FinalWin Prob.pScore
1429%94
99
671%101
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.59390.0
ORL logo ORL
129.09396.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMAGIC Rebound99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)99
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIABlount 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)99
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Al. Johnson 17' Jump Shot97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35ORLMAGIC Rebound97
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot97
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 3:42MIAHeat Rebound97
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 4:00ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P4.T11)97
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 4:22MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS)97
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)95
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)95
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:13ORLTurkoglu Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS)93
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 293
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)93
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 5:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 5:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot92
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)92
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)91
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 6:04ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bogans 4 AST)90
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26MIAParker Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)90
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 6:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 7:01ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 7:01ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 7:08ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot88
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 7:25MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 7:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 288
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 7:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 288
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 7:41ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Hook Shot88
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 7:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 8:21ORLLewis 8' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)88
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 8:27MIADooling STEAL (1 STL)88
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 8:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot88
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 8:57MIADavis 18' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)88
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 9:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 9:06ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot86
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 9:24MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)86
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 9:45ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)83
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)83
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 10:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Williams Layup81
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 10:36ORLDooling Layup (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)81
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 10:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)81
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 11:13ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)78
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 11:25ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)78
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 11:47MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound76
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 40' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Rebound76
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)76
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)73
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAWade Layup (21 PTS)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLDooling Driving Layup (8 PTS)71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)71
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q3 - 1:11MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)70
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q3 - 1:20ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 1:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)69
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 1:48ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot68
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)68
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 2:28ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 2:28ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:32ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 2:45ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 2:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 266
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)66
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 3:04ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)64
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 3:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 3:31MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 3:32ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 3:39ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot64
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 3:56ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)64
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 4:10MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)64
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot62
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 4:32ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 4:32ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMAGIC Rebound62
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot62
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 4:41ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 4:56ORLEvans Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)62
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMourning 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)62
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 5:38MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 5:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 6:01MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 6:02ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 6:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 6:27ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)58
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 6:31ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 6:35ORLMISS Lewis Layup58
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 6:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot58
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 7:13ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 7:33ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 7:48ORLLewis Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)58
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 7:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 7:56ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 8:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS O'Neal Layup58
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q3 - 8:33ORLLewis Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)58
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)58
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 9:01ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 9:13MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)58
10.9%
65
89.1%
Q3 - 9:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 255
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 9:34ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 9:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot55
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 9:53ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot55
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 9:57ORLMAGIC Rebound55
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 9:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot55
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAHeat Rebound55
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 155
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q3 - 10:17MIAO'Neal Lane Violation Turnover (P3.T11)55
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 10:33ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 10:50MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 10:57ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 11:18ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)49
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 11:24ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Haslem 7' Hook Shot49
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 11:41ORLBogans 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)49
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)49
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLHoward 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)47
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Blount 15' Fadeaway Jumper47
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q2 - 1:08ORLEvans Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)47
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 1:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 1:13MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)47
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 1:27ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 247
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q2 - 1:27ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 1:29MIALewis STEAL (2 STL)47
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 1:35ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)47
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 1:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot47
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 1:55ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P2.T5)47
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)47
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q2 - 2:10ORLLewis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
16.5%
52
83.5%
Q2 - 2:32MIADavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)47
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 2:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot47
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q2 - 3:02ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)47
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot45
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 3:38ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 145
16.5%
50
83.5%
Q2 - 3:40ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot45
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 4:07ORLLewis 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)45
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 244
21.6%
46
78.4%
Q2 - 4:30ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 4:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot44
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 244
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 4:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 5:18ORLMISS Dooling 10' Jump Shot41
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 5:40MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)41
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 5:44ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)39
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 5:56MIAParker 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 6:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 6:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Jump Shot37
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMAGIC Rebound37
11.3%
45
88.7%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIAHeat Rebound37
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot37
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 137
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 7:11MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)37
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 7:23ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)35
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 7:40ORLMAGIC Rebound35
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 8:04ORLHoward Slam Dunk (11 PTS)35
13.1%
43
86.9%
Q2 - 8:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 8:08ORLMISS Evans 18' Driving Jump Shot35
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 8:31MIADavis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)35
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 8:48ORLEvans Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Foyle 1 AST)32
12.0%
41
88.0%
Q2 - 8:52MIAArroyo STEAL (1 STL)32
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 8:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Evans 18' Jump Shot32
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 9:06ORLMAGIC Rebound32
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 9:07ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot32
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)32
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 9:38ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 9:38ORLFoyle Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 9:40ORLMISS Dooling 5' Jump Shot32
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 10:02MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 10:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 10:21ORLMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 10:42MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 10:42MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 10:57ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)28
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 11:21ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS O'Neal Hook Shot28
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 11:41MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 11:43ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)28
14.6%
34
85.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLDooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot28
17.4%
32
82.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 228
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 228
17.0%
32
83.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q1 - 1:02ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot26
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q1 - 1:23MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)26
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q1 - 1:40ORLCook 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q1 - 2:00MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)24
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q1 - 2:17ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)22
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q1 - 2:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 2:55ORLNelson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)22
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)22
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 3:33ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)19
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 3:37MIABogans STEAL (1 STL)19
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q1 - 3:54ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 3:54ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 4:14ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
16.6%
22
83.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)17
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 4:46ORLCook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)17
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 5:02ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Haslem Layup17
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 5:21ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)17
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 5:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot17
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 5:50ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)17
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 6:00MIALewis STEAL (1 STL)17
25.1%
15
74.9%
Q1 - 6:23ORLTurkoglu Layup (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)17
26.5%
15
73.5%
Q1 - 6:37MIAO'Neal Hook Bank Shot (10 PTS)17
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 7:00ORLLewis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
26.5%
13
73.5%
Q1 - 7:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)15
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 7:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper12
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 8:00ORLHoward Slam Dunk (5 PTS)10
21.9%
11
78.1%
Q1 - 8:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 8:03ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot10
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIADavis Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot8
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 8:35ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot8
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 8:45ORLMISS Lewis 23' Jump Shot8
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 8:56MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)8
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 9:06ORLHoward Layup (3 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)6
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 9:20MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:39ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 9:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 25
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 9:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:11ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)5
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 10:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.8%
1
73.2%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS O'Neal Layup5
27.3%
1
72.7%
Q1 - 10:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.5%
1
71.5%
Q1 - 10:42ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 25
28.2%
1
71.8%
Q1 - 10:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
27.5%
1
72.5%
Q1 - 11:01MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:20MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:21ORLMISS Howard Hook Shot2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
22.6%
0
77.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.8%
ORL
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
27
74%
ORL
19
22
86%
Midrange
MIA
12
33
36%
ORL
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
ORL
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
20
25
80%
ORL
28
39
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3262%16.0 / 26
R. Davis2361%11.5 / 19
S. O'Neal2063%10.0 / 16
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
S. Parker750%3.5 / 7
M. Blount450%2.0 / 4
J. Williams330%1.5 / 5
A. Mourning250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2775%13.5 / 18
R. Lewis1948%9.5 / 20
D. Howard1777%8.5 / 11
K. Dooling1785%8.5 / 10
J. Nelson1260%6.0 / 10
K. Bogans990%4.5 / 5
C. Arroyo788%3.5 / 4
M. Evans643%3.0 / 7
B. Cook450%2.0 / 4
A. Foyle2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+11
-13
91
ORL
82
+10
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.8%
ORL
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
111.2
MIA 106.5
ORL 129.0 +22.6
Pace
90.5
93.5
MIA 90.0
ORL 96.2 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.0
ORL 15.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
53.7%
MIA 50.0%
ORL 61.3% +11.3%
TO %
15.4%
14.7%
MIA 12.6%
ORL 10.7% +1.9%
ORB %
22.2%
23.4%
MIA 18.9%
ORL 18.9%
FTrt
30.0
35.5
MIA 31.6
ORL 52.0 +20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.8%
MIA 56.8%
ORL 57.1% +0.3%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
MIA 5.4%
ORL 8.6% +3.2%
BLK %
7.1%
6.2%
MIA 3.8% +2.1%
ORL 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.9%
MIA 53.8%
ORL 65.2% +11.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.5%
MIA 74.1%
ORL 86.4% +12.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.8%
MIA 36.4%
ORL 48.4% +12.0%
3P %
35.8%
38.6%
MIA 26.3%
ORL 36.4% +10.1%
FT %
72.7%
72.1%
MIA 80.0% +8.2%
ORL 71.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
35.5%
MIA 34.2% +4.8%
ORL 29.3%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
32.3%
MIA 41.8%
ORL 41.3% +0.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
32.2%
MIA 24.1%
ORL 29.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points99120
Rebounds3737
Assists2124
Steals58
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)30 (4)
Field Goals37-7942-75
At-the-Rim FG20-2719-22
Midrange FG12-3315-31
2-Point FG32-6034-53
3-Point FG5-198-22
Free Throws20-2528-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
41.7
23
61%
6
7
2
0
2
4
0
6
6-6
100%
4-7
57%
3-9
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
40.2
32
62%
6
6
1
1
4
2
2
4
8-11
73%
12-20
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
33.6
8
50%
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
30.7
20
63%
6
1
0
0
3
4
1
5
4-6
67%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
29.1
3
30%
3
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
27.8
7
50%
3
2
0
0
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
13.3
2
50%
5
0
0
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
9.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
8.9
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'5" 210 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
37
21
5
2
13
0
7
30
20-25
80%
32-60
53%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.