FinalWin Prob.pScore
1537%97
89
1263%102
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.010098.0
DEN logo DEN
116.299101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENMcCoy Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)89
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENMISS Wafer 9' Running Jump Shot87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:01MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:01MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:01MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMcCoy BLOCK (1 BLK)85
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:18DENMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 285
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:18DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:33DENMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 285
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 285
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:48DENDiawara Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAHeat Rebound85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Quinn Reverse Layup85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25DENWafer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DENWafer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Smith Driving Layup84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34DENWafer Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DENNUGGETS Rebound82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07DENMISS Diawara Driving Layup82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DENWafer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37DENDiawara 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)82
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30DENKleiza 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Najera 3 AST)81
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42MIAQuinn Driving Layup (9 PTS)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DENNajera 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIACook 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23DENKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DENMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19DENSmith Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59DENMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20MIAAl. Johnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42DENKleiza Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 270
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:24DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:59DENAnthony Layup (27 PTS)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 10:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:15MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:15MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58DENMISS Iverson 11' Jump Shot67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)67
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 11:27DENIverson 19' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:50MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENIverson 33' 3PT Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:16)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIACamby BLOCK (2 BLK)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:14DENMISS Kleiza 18' Jump Shot64
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)64
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:49DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:49DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 2:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)61
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Davis Reverse Layup61
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:25DENMISS Iverson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot61
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:37DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)61
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot61
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:52DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:52DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 2:52DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Haslem 7' Turnaround Jump Shot61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 3:04DENMISS Najera 3PT Jump Shot61
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 3:24MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)61
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 3:41DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)59
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMourning Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)59
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:18DENMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 259
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:18DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 4:24DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)59
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 259
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:32DENMISS Anthony Layup58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIANajera STEAL (2 STL)58
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:50DENMISS Anthony Slam Dunk58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 4:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)58
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 258
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 258
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 4:58DENMISS Najera Layup58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 5:01DENIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 5:02DENMISS Iverson Layup58
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 5:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 258
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 5:34DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Camby 6 AST)57
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 5:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)57
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)57
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Wright 10' Running Jump Shot55
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 6:01MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 6:04DENMISS Iverson 3PT Jump Shot55
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 6:26MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 6:40DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)53
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 6:45MIAIverson STEAL (1 STL)53
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 6:53DENIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)53
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 7:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)53
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot53
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 7:32DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)53
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 7:40MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)53
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 7:52DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)51
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 7:52DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical51
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 7:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot51
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 8:09DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)51
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 8:33MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)51
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 8:45DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 8:45DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 251
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)51
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 9:12DENIverson 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 9:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)49
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Hardaway 23' Jump Shot49
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 9:39DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Camby 5 AST)49
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 9:56DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)49
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 149
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 10:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot47
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 10:38DENIverson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)44
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 10:53DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)44
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Haslem Layup44
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 11:05DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q3 - 11:26MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)44
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q3 - 11:46DENMISS Martin 8' Hook Shot42
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)42
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound42
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMISS Iverson 8' Jump Shot42
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Blount 13' Jump Shot42
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q2 - 1:14DENMartin Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)42
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 1:31MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)42
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 1:50DENMISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 240
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 1:50DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 240
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q2 - 2:12MIADavis Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q2 - 2:17DENMISS Camby Layup38
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 2:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)38
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q2 - 2:20DENMISS Martin Reverse Layup38
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 2:40DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot38
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q2 - 2:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q2 - 2:49DENMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot38
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 3:12DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)36
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 3:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot36
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q2 - 3:37DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q2 - 3:51MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 3:51DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 134
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 4:16MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 4:25DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Blount 7' Hook Shot30
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 4:58DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)30
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 5:05DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)30
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 5:07DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot30
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)30
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 5:37DENSmith Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 5:53MIABlount Inbound Turnover (P1.T10)30
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q2 - 5:56DENMartin 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 6:07DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)30
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS O'Neal Layup30
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 6:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk30
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Blount Layup30
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 6:31DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)30
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q2 - 6:58DENKleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T2)30
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 7:26MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)30
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 7:44DENKleiza Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)27
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 7:50MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)27
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 7:58DENIverson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)27
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 8:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot27
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 8:15MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 8:17DENMISS Iverson 9' Jump Shot27
8.4%
44
91.6%
Q2 - 8:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot27
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 8:45DENMISS Kleiza Layup27
8.4%
44
91.6%
Q2 - 9:02MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 9:15DENNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)25
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 9:24MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 9:24MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 9:54DENIverson Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIAWilliams Driving Layup (5 PTS)23
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 10:10DENMISS Kleiza 20' Jump Shot21
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWilliams 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 10:38MIAHeat Rebound19
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot19
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 10:59DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)19
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 11:13MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
6.0%
40
94.0%
Q2 - 11:42DENNajera 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)17
5.4%
40
94.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
6.5%
37
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup17
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)17
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot17
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
7.3%
37
92.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)17
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENMISS Camby Tip Shot17
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENMISS Anthony Layup17
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot17
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
7.3%
37
92.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENMISS Smith Tip Shot17
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot17
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T7)17
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q1 - 1:11DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
7.4%
37
92.6%
Q1 - 1:11DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIADavis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)17
8.2%
35
91.8%
Q1 - 1:42DENIverson Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
8.8%
35
91.2%
Q1 - 1:50DENNUGGETS Rebound17
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q1 - 1:51DENMISS Smith Driving Layup17
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q1 - 1:56DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q1 - 2:13DENNajera 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)17
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q1 - 2:31MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)17
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q1 - 2:55DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)15
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 2:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 2:57DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot15
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)15
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup13
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 3:18MIADavis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q1 - 3:19DENSmith Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)12
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 3:22DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
13.0%
25
87.0%
Q1 - 3:24DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 3:25DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
13.0%
25
87.0%
Q1 - 3:28DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot12
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 3:38DENNUGGETS Rebound12
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 3:39DENMISS Najera Layup12
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 3:46DENNUGGETS Rebound12
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 3:47DENMISS Iverson 10' Fadeaway Jumper12
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 4:03MIAWade 6' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)12
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 4:19DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)10
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 4:19DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)10
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 4:48DENMISS Camby Dunk8
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 4:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 4:53MIACamby BLOCK (1 BLK)8
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot8
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 5:20DENCarter Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)8
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)8
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 5:27DENMISS Anthony 16' Turnaround Jump Shot8
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)8
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 5:42DENIverson Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 5:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Haslem 5' Hook Shot8
16.1%
19
83.9%
Q1 - 6:02DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)8
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 6:02MIAHeat Rebound8
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)8
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 6:11DENMISS Martin Driving Layup8
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 6:50DENCarter Layup (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)8
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 6:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Williams Reverse Layup8
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 7:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 7:05DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot8
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)8
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 7:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Camby Layup6
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 7:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 7:36DENMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot6
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 8:13DENAnthony Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)4
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 8:21DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot4
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 8:37DENCamby Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)4
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 8:45DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.2%
12
79.8%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot4
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Anthony 14' Fadeaway Jumper3
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIACamby STEAL (1 STL)3
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 9:26DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 9:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 9:55DENCarter Layup (2 PTS)2
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 9:58MIACarter STEAL (1 STL)2
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 10:08DENMartin 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)2
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 10:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot2
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 10:24DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)2
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)2
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 10:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot0
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 10:53DENMartin Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 11:05DENNUGGETS Rebound0
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot0
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 11:31DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot0
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
33.1%
0
66.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.6%
DEN
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
26
54%
DEN
28
47
60%
Midrange
MIA
12
41
29%
DEN
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
DEN
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
25
36
69%
DEN
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1372%6.5 / 9
R. Davis1142%5.5 / 13
D. Cook1139%5.5 / 14
U. Haslem935%4.5 / 13
C. Quinn964%4.5 / 7
J. Williams857%4.0 / 7
A. Mourning770%3.5 / 5
A. Johnson788%3.5 / 4
S. O'Neal643%3.0 / 7
D. Wright542%2.5 / 6
M. Blount319%1.5 / 8
A. Hardaway0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3075%15.0 / 20
A. Iverson2053%10.0 / 19
K. Martin2077%10.0 / 13
J. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
E. Najera1063%5.0 / 8
L. Kleiza850%4.0 / 8
M. Camby732%3.5 / 11
A. Carter650%3.0 / 6
Y. Diawara233%1.0 / 3
B. Jones150%0.5 / 1
V. Wafer0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+15
-16
99
DEN
87
+14
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.6%
DEN
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
110.4
MIA 89.0 +27.2
DEN 116.2
Pace
90.5
99.4
MIA 98.0
DEN 101.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
13.9
MIA 14.7
DEN 14.2 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.0%
MIA 40.0%
DEN 52.2% +12.2%
TO %
15.4%
14.4%
MIA 15.8%
DEN 11.1% +4.7%
ORB %
22.2%
25.6%
MIA 22.0% +1.2%
DEN 20.8%
FTrt
30.0
35.8
MIA 45.0 +15.7
DEN 29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.2%
MIA 53.3%
DEN 68.9% +15.6%
STL %
7.9%
9.1%
MIA 4.0%
DEN 9.1% +5.1%
BLK %
7.1%
9.9%
MIA 6.4% +0.4%
DEN 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
54.4%
MIA 43.6%
DEN 55.8% +12.2%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.7%
MIA 53.8%
DEN 59.6% +5.8%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.4%
MIA 29.3%
DEN 35.5% +6.2%
3P %
35.8%
35.5%
MIA 30.8%
DEN 42.9% +12.1%
FT %
72.7%
75.1%
MIA 69.4%
DEN 70.4% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
38.1%
MIA 32.5%
DEN 51.1% +18.6%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
39.1%
MIA 51.2%
DEN 33.7% +17.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
22.8%
MIA 16.3% +1.0%
DEN 15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points89115
Rebounds4949
Assists1631
Steals49
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)39 (2)
Field Goals30-8045-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2628-47
Midrange FG12-4111-31
2-Point FG26-6739-78
3-Point FG4-136-14
Free Throws25-3619-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
28.2
9
35%
8
2
0
1
2
4
2
6
1-4
25%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
25.3
8
57%
1
6
1
0
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
19.6
6
43%
8
0
0
0
2
3
5
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
19.2
13
72%
1
3
0
0
2
4
0
1
1-3
33%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
26.3
11
42%
4
0
0
0
4
2
0
4
5-5
100%
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
22.5
5
42%
7
3
2
0
0
1
1
6
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
22.5
11
39%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
1-6
17%
1-5
20%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
21.6
3
19%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
3-6
50%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
16.4
9
64%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
14.5
7
70%
8
0
0
3
1
4
2
6
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
12.0
7
88%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
44%
49
16
4
5
16
0
11
38
25-36
69%
26-67
39%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.