FinalWin Prob.pScore
566%94
100
2534%89
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
114.98782.8
IND logo IND
98.88690.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DET100
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDMISS McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDHarrison 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07INDMcLeod 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16DETMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28DETMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50INDBaston Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50INDMISS Baston Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04DETHunter 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10INDGreene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17DETMISS Mohammed 2' Layup98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44INDMcLeod 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55DETMaxiell 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)98
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P2.T16)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22INDPACERS Rebound96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22DETMISS Hunter 15' Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29INDMISS Greene 4' Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41DETMohammed 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hunter 4 AST)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47INDMISS McLeod 3' Layup94
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 3:50INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 3:52DETMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)94
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 4:03DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04INDMISS Dunleavy Layup94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)94
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 4:16DETPistons Rebound94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16DETO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)94
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46DETMISS Mohammed 10' Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05INDMISS Greene Free Throw 1 of 194
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30INDGreene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot92
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 6:18DETPrince 2' Driving Dunk (24 PTS)92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 6:32INDArmstrong 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)90
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 6:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)90
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Maxiell 1' Dunk90
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:41INDMcLeod Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)90
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:49DETGranger STEAL (1 STL)90
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:51DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 6:52DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 290
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:52DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)90
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:12INDDunleavy 12' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)89
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 7:17INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 7:18DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot89
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 7:44INDGranger 3' Layup (14 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)89
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 7:49INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:51INDMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:05DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:14INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 8:14INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 8:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 8:21DETMISS Maxiell 4' Jump Shot87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 8:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:27DETMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 8:52INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)87
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:01DETHunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)87
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:22INDArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)84
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 9:36INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 9:38DETMISS McDyess 12' Jump Shot84
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 9:53DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)84
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 9:55INDMISS Dunleavy 4' Jump Shot84
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 10:09INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 10:10DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 184
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 10:32INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)82
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 10:42INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 10:42DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 182
99.1%
64
0.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 11:02INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot80
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 11:27DETPrince 9' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)80
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q4 - 11:48INDShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
97.8%
64
2.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND78
97.2%
64
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)78
97.2%
64
2.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)76
96.2%
64
3.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
95.4%
64
4.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
95.1%
64
4.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDGranger 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)74
94.4%
64
5.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)74
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)71
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)71
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETMISS McDyess 1' Layup71
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS Prince 7' Jump Shot71
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 1:15DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
92.7%
62
7.3%
Q3 - 1:16INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot71
92.3%
62
7.7%
Q3 - 1:43DETBillups 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)71
91.3%
62
8.7%
Q3 - 1:47INDArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)69
89.6%
62
10.4%
Q3 - 2:02DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
86.7%
62
13.3%
Q3 - 2:08DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q3 - 2:10INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot67
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 2:36DETBillups 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
81.9%
62
18.1%
Q3 - 2:55INDMurphy 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
79.2%
62
20.8%
Q3 - 3:12DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
81.6%
60
18.4%
Q3 - 3:12DETWebber 2' Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)65
81.6%
60
18.4%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS McDyess 1' Layup63
76.7%
60
23.3%
Q3 - 3:34INDGranger 1' Layup (10 PTS)63
78.9%
60
21.1%
Q3 - 3:48DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
81.6%
58
18.4%
Q3 - 3:48DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
80.8%
58
19.2%
Q3 - 3:57DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
78.9%
58
21.1%
Q3 - 3:58INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
78.0%
58
22.0%
Q3 - 4:11DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
75.3%
58
24.7%
Q3 - 4:11DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)60
75.0%
58
25.0%
Q3 - 4:22DETPistons Rebound59
72.5%
58
27.5%
Q3 - 4:23DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
69.7%
58
30.3%
Q3 - 4:35INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)59
72.5%
58
27.5%
Q3 - 4:59DETPrince 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
75.4%
56
24.6%
Q3 - 5:20INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
72.4%
56
27.6%
Q3 - 5:20INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 257
72.9%
55
27.1%
Q3 - 5:36DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q3 - 6:00INDDunleavy 2' Finger Roll (9 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)54
65.2%
55
34.8%
Q3 - 6:18INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
68.8%
53
31.2%
Q3 - 6:20DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot54
69.9%
53
30.1%
Q3 - 6:31INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
72.3%
53
27.7%
Q3 - 6:31INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 254
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q3 - 6:50DETHamilton 2' Slam Dunk (14 PTS)54
72.1%
52
27.9%
Q3 - 6:53INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)52
69.0%
52
31.0%
Q3 - 7:05DETMcDyess 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)52
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q3 - 7:25INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)50
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 7:39DETHamilton 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)50
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q3 - 7:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 7:51INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot48
60.5%
50
39.5%
Q3 - 8:06DETWebber 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)48
58.2%
50
41.8%
Q3 - 8:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
55.0%
50
45.0%
Q3 - 8:14DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot46
52.0%
50
48.0%
Q3 - 8:20DETBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)46
55.0%
50
45.0%
Q3 - 8:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q3 - 8:33DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q3 - 8:33DETMISS McDyess 1' Layup45
48.2%
50
51.8%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot45
48.2%
50
51.8%
Q3 - 8:46INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
51.2%
50
48.8%
Q3 - 8:46INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q3 - 8:51INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
54.4%
48
45.6%
Q3 - 8:52DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot45
55.7%
48
44.3%
Q3 - 9:11DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
59.1%
48
40.9%
Q3 - 9:12INDMISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot45
58.0%
48
42.0%
Q3 - 9:28DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)45
55.4%
48
44.6%
Q3 - 9:28DETPistons Rebound45
59.1%
48
40.9%
Q3 - 9:28DETGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)45
56.5%
48
43.5%
Q3 - 9:52DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
59.1%
48
40.9%
Q3 - 9:53INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot45
58.0%
48
42.0%
Q3 - 10:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
56.3%
48
43.7%
Q3 - 10:08DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot45
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q3 - 10:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
60.1%
48
39.9%
Q3 - 10:21INDMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot45
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q3 - 10:36DETPrince 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)45
56.2%
48
43.8%
Q3 - 11:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q3 - 11:06DETMISS Webber 20' Jump Shot43
51.8%
48
48.2%
Q3 - 11:24INDDunleavy 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q3 - 11:39INDPACERS Rebound43
57.4%
46
42.6%
Q3 - 11:40DETMISS Prince 8' Jump Shot43
58.5%
46
41.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
60.9%
46
39.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
60.9%
46
39.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot43
59.9%
46
40.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
58.7%
46
41.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
57.9%
46
42.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
54.5%
46
45.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot41
53.8%
46
46.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
53.8%
46
46.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMISS Armstrong 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
53.8%
46
46.2%
Q2 - 1:14DETWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
53.0%
46
47.0%
Q2 - 1:14DETWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q2 - 1:19INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)39
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q2 - 1:34DETWallace 3' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)39
46.5%
46
53.5%
Q2 - 1:51INDO'Neal 3' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)37
41.8%
46
58.2%
Q2 - 2:08DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q2 - 2:08DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q2 - 2:11INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)35
43.4%
44
56.6%
Q2 - 2:24DETTinsley STEAL (1 STL)35
40.6%
44
59.4%
Q2 - 2:40INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)35
43.3%
44
56.7%
Q2 - 2:52DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
40.6%
44
59.4%
Q2 - 2:52DETMISS Delfino Free Throw 1 of 234
39.9%
44
60.1%
Q2 - 2:58DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
40.2%
44
59.8%
Q2 - 3:00INDMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot34
39.4%
44
60.6%
Q2 - 3:18DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)34
39.0%
44
61.0%
Q2 - 3:33INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)32
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 3:53DETWebber 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)32
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 4:20INDO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diogu 1 AST)30
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 4:44DETWebber 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)30
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 5:05INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)28
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 5:18DETDelfino Foul Turnover (P1.T7)28
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 5:29DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 5:31DETMISS Delfino 2' Layup28
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 5:49DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 5:51INDMISS Shaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot28
37.9%
40
62.1%
Q2 - 6:08DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 6:25INDDiogu 3' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)28
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 6:44INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
42.2%
38
57.8%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 7:14INDArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
46.6%
38
53.4%
Q2 - 7:18INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
49.1%
36
50.9%
Q2 - 7:20DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot28
49.9%
36
50.1%
Q2 - 7:37INDArmstrong 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)28
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 7:43INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 7:44INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot28
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 7:52INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 7:54INDMISS Diogu 4' Jump Shot28
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 8:05INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 8:07DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot28
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 8:17INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
57.2%
34
42.8%
Q2 - 8:17INDMISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 228
57.6%
33
42.4%
Q2 - 8:32DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 8:32DETMaxiell 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 8:33DETMISS Delfino 21' Jump Shot26
52.7%
33
47.3%
Q2 - 8:44DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
54.7%
33
45.3%
Q2 - 8:46INDMISS Harrison 7' Jump Shot26
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 9:03DETMaxiell Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)26
52.5%
33
47.5%
Q2 - 9:23INDHarrison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
55.2%
33
44.8%
Q2 - 9:44DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)26
52.4%
33
47.6%
Q2 - 9:59INDHarrison 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
50.2%
33
49.8%
Q2 - 10:01INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 10:02INDMISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot24
54.4%
31
45.6%
Q2 - 10:11INDGranger Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)24
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 10:28DETPistons Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#4)24
54.9%
30
45.1%
Q2 - 10:28DETPistons Rebound24
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q2 - 10:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q2 - 10:29DETMISS McDyess 3' Layup24
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot24
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 10:58INDShaw. Williams 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)24
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q2 - 11:10DETHamilton 3' Layup (8 PTS)24
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 11:31INDShaw. Williams 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
58.0%
28
42.0%
Q2 - 11:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
60.3%
26
39.7%
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 222
60.6%
26
39.4%
Q2 - 11:45DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
60.3%
26
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)21
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound21
60.3%
26
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)21
60.2%
26
39.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0INDMISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 120
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot20
61.2%
24
38.8%
Q1 - 1:02INDShaw. Williams 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
62.6%
24
37.4%
Q1 - 1:17DETPrince 6' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)20
65.2%
22
34.8%
Q1 - 1:38INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)18
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q1 - 1:38INDPACERS Rebound18
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q1 - 1:38INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
62.0%
22
38.0%
Q1 - 2:05DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)18
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q1 - 2:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q1 - 2:30INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot15
55.8%
22
44.2%
Q1 - 2:52DETWallace 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)15
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q1 - 3:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
52.8%
22
47.2%
Q1 - 3:08INDMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot13
52.1%
22
47.9%
Q1 - 3:30DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q1 - 3:37DETMISS Billups Free Throw Technical11
48.2%
22
51.8%
Q1 - 4:00INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)11
48.2%
22
51.8%
Q1 - 4:08INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 4:10DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot11
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 4:23DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 4:24INDMISS Murphy 15' Jump Shot11
52.8%
20
47.2%
Q1 - 4:35INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 4:36DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot11
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 4:45INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 5:10DETPrince 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)11
52.3%
20
47.7%
Q1 - 5:28DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 5:29INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot9
49.7%
20
50.3%
Q1 - 5:37DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q1 - 5:37DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 28
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 5:49DETPistons Rebound8
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 5:50INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot8
47.5%
20
52.5%
Q1 - 6:05DETWallace 2' Layup (4 PTS)8
47.1%
20
52.9%
Q1 - 6:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 6:08DETO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)6
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q1 - 6:12DETPistons Rebound6
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 6:12DETTinsley BLOCK (1 BLK)6
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q1 - 6:36INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)6
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 6:43INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.1%
17
50.9%
Q1 - 6:44DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q1 - 6:58INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)6
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 7:12DETHamilton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
54.5%
15
45.5%
Q1 - 7:36INDO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)4
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 7:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 7:44DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 8:08INDO'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)4
57.3%
13
42.7%
Q1 - 8:24INDPACERS Rebound4
58.9%
11
41.1%
Q1 - 8:24INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
61.0%
11
39.0%
Q1 - 8:24INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 24
61.3%
10
38.7%
Q1 - 8:28DETO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)4
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 8:46INDGranger 1' Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
62.7%
10
37.3%
Q1 - 8:48INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 8:50DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot4
64.9%
8
35.1%
Q1 - 9:08DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.2%
8
33.8%
Q1 - 9:09INDMISS Murphy 5' Jump Shot4
65.5%
8
34.5%
Q1 - 9:24DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 9:38INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)2
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 9:59DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 10:25INDGranger 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 10:38INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 10:38DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 20
64.5%
4
35.5%
Q1 - 10:38DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 20
65.6%
4
34.4%
Q1 - 10:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 10:50DETMISS Webber 7' Jump Shot0
64.8%
4
35.2%
Q1 - 11:15INDGranger 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)0
66.2%
4
33.8%
Q1 - 11:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 11:23DETMISS Webber 4' Jump Shot0
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 11:46INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 11:46INDDunleavy 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 11:48INDMISS Dunleavy 3' Layup0
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Murphy0
71.0%
0
29.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.99 49.5%
IND
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
26
58%
IND
19
26
73%
Midrange
DET
19
43
44%
IND
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
IND
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
Free Throws
DET
23
32
72%
IND
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2460%12.0 / 20
R. Hamilton1986%9.5 / 11
C. Billups1161%5.5 / 9
C. Webber1050%5.0 / 10
R. Wallace1083%5.0 / 6
A. McDyess833%4.0 / 12
R. Murray650%3.0 / 6
L. Hunter542%2.5 / 6
J. Maxiell433%2.0 / 6
N. Mohammed225%1.0 / 4
C. Delfino110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2063%10.0 / 16
M. Dunleavy1550%7.5 / 15
D. Granger1478%7.0 / 9
T. Murphy833%4.0 / 12
D. Armstrong643%3.0 / 7
S. Williams675%3.0 / 4
I. Diogu563%2.5 / 4
K. McLeod450%2.0 / 4
D. Harrison467%2.0 / 3
O. Greene250%1.0 / 2
M. Baston150%0.5 / 1
J. Tinsley0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
79
+21
-8
100
IND
70
+8
-16
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.99 49.5%
IND
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
103.0
DET 114.9
IND 98.8 +16.1
Pace
88.0
92.4
DET 82.8
IND 90.6 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
17.0
15.7
DET 17.4
IND 15.9 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
47.4%
DET 47.0%
IND 52.9% +5.9%
TO %
13.2%
17.1%
DET 11.1% +6.9%
IND 18.0%
ORB %
28.3%
28.4%
DET 35.7% +14.5%
IND 21.2%
FTrt
30.7
32.4
DET 39.0 +11.5
IND 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.5%
DET 48.6%
IND 63.9% +15.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
DET 12.6% +9.1%
IND 3.5%
BLK %
9.2%
8.5%
DET 3.2%
IND 7.2% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
51.0%
DET 49.5%
IND 53.1% +3.6%
Rim FG%
58.3%
56.1%
DET 57.7%
IND 73.1% +15.4%
Mid FG%
41.7%
39.0%
DET 44.2% +1.0%
IND 43.2%
3P %
34.4%
34.6%
DET 23.1% +6.4%
IND 16.7%
FT %
77.4%
76.0%
DET 71.9% +8.7%
IND 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
33.3%
DET 31.7%
IND 37.7% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
45.5%
DET 52.4% +1.2%
IND 53.6%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.2%
DET 15.9% +7.2%
IND 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETIND
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points10085
Rebounds4134
Assists1823
Steals113
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)8 (4)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (6)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)27 (3)
Field Goals37-8236-69
At-the-Rim FG15-2619-26
Midrange FG19-4316-37
2-Point FG34-6935-63
3-Point FG3-131-6
Free Throws23-3212-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
31.7
24
60%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
5-10
50%
8-12
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
27.9
11
61%
3
4
1
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 29
27.6
19
86%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
7-8
88%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
26.8
10
50%
10
3
1
0
2
2
2
8
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 33
20.5
10
83%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33
24.5
8
33%
7
1
1
0
1
3
5
2
4-5
80%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 36
20.4
5
42%
0
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
20.1
6
50%
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
6-6
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
17.0
4
33%
3
0
1
2
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25
16.3
1
10%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 30
6.9
2
25%
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · F · 6'7" 209 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'0" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
50%
41
18
11
2
8
0
15
26
23-32
72%
34-69
49%
3-13
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.