| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 101.1 | 88 | 95.5 |
 MIA | 103.4 | 89 | 82.5 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
81
+15
-7
96
MIA
75
+12
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 89 0% | 92 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | TOR | MISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 0.7% | 92 99.3% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 89 4.5% | 92 95.5% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 89 5.3% | 91 94.7% |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | TOR | L. Jackson Driving Dunk (10 PTS) | 89 13.1% | 90 86.9% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 87 7.6% | 90 92.4% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 87 8.6% | 89 91.4% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 87 15.0% | 88 85.0% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | TOR | MISS Ford 12' Jump Shot | 87 20.1% | 88 79.9% |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 87 35.7% | 88 64.3% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 28.9% | 88 71.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS) | 87 20.8% | 88 79.2% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Posey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14) | 84 8.0% | 88 92.0% |
| Q4 - 1:21 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 84 5.6% | 88 94.4% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 6.9% | 88 93.1% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | TOR | L. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 84 11.9% | 88 88.1% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 10.4% | 88 89.6% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 84 7.6% | 88 92.4% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | TOR | MISS Bosh 9' Jump Hook Shot | 84 9.1% | 88 90.9% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13) | 84 14.0% | 88 86.0% |
| Q4 - 2:33 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 84 7.5% | 88 92.5% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | TOR | MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot | 84 9.1% | 88 90.9% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 84 15.0% | 88 85.0% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot | 84 12.8% | 88 87.2% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 84 8.8% | 88 91.2% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | TOR | MISS Bosh Layup | 84 10.3% | 88 89.7% |
| Q4 - 3:28 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 84 15.2% | 88 84.8% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | TOR | MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 10.3% | 88 89.7% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | MIA | O'Neal 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) | 84 16.6% | 88 83.4% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 84 21.8% | 86 78.2% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 83 20.7% | 86 79.3% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | MIA | Williams 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 82 16.3% | 86 83.7% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | TOR | L. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 82 21.6% | 84 78.4% |
| Q4 - 5:00 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) | 79 11.6% | 84 88.4% |
| Q4 - 5:22 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 79 17.7% | 82 82.3% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 | 79 18.4% | 82 81.6% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | TOR | Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 79 21.2% | 82 78.8% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 78 17.9% | 82 82.1% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 16.4% | 82 83.6% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 78 13.3% | 82 86.7% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | TOR | O'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK) | 78 14.6% | 82 85.4% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 78 19.5% | 82 80.5% |
| Q4 - 6:06 | MIA | MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot | 78 17.9% | 82 82.1% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | TOR | Graham 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 78 14.6% | 82 85.4% |
| Q4 - 6:41 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 76 11.6% | 82 88.4% |
| Q4 - 6:43 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot | 76 10.5% | 82 89.5% |
| Q4 - 7:02 | TOR | Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 76 10.1% | 82 89.9% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | MIA | Jones Reverse Layup (14 PTS) | 73 6.2% | 82 93.8% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 73 7.7% | 80 92.3% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | TOR | Mourning BLOCK (3 BLK) | 73 8.4% | 80 91.6% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | TOR | MISS Calderon Free Throw Technical | 73 10.2% | 80 89.8% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | MIA | Mourning Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST) | 73 11.4% | 80 88.6% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | TOR | L. Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 73 14.2% | 78 85.8% |
| Q4 - 9:08 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 70 10.0% | 78 90.0% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | MISS Walker 7' Running Hook Shot | 70 9.4% | 78 90.6% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | TOR | Peterson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7) | 70 7.9% | 78 92.1% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 10.0% | 78 90.0% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 9.3% | 78 90.7% |
| Q4 - 10:13 | TOR | Calderon 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 70 8.7% | 78 91.3% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | MIA | Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 68 7.2% | 78 92.8% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 68 10.7% | 75 89.3% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | TOR | MISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot | 68 11.4% | 75 88.6% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | MIA | Walker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 68 13.2% | 75 86.8% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 68 11.5% | 75 88.5% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 67 11.1% | 75 88.9% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | MIA | Mourning Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 67 11.6% | 75 88.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 67 13.8% | 73 86.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 67 13.8% | 73 86.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 67 14.7% | 73 85.3% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 67 17.5% | 73 82.5% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 67 14.8% | 73 85.2% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | TOR | MISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 15.6% | 73 84.4% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 67 17.5% | 73 82.5% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot | 67 16.6% | 73 83.4% |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 67 14.7% | 73 85.3% |
| Q3 - 0:51.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 15.5% | 73 84.5% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | MIA | Haslem 8' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS) | 67 18.3% | 73 81.7% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | TOR | Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 67 21.3% | 71 78.7% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | MIA | Mourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10) | 64 15.5% | 71 84.5% |
| Q3 - 1:54 | TOR | L. Jackson Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 64 13.0% | 71 87.0% |
| Q3 - 1:56 | TOR | L. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 62 11.0% | 71 89.0% |
| Q3 - 1:58 | TOR | MISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot | 62 9.7% | 71 90.3% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 62 11.7% | 71 88.3% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 62 12.3% | 70 87.7% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | TOR | Parker Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 62 13.5% | 69 86.5% |
| Q3 - 2:41 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9) | 60 11.6% | 69 88.4% |
| Q3 - 2:48 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 60 9.7% | 69 90.3% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | TOR | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 60 10.3% | 69 89.7% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 60 12.3% | 69 87.7% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 60 11.7% | 69 88.3% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 60 10.4% | 69 89.6% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | TOR | MISS Dixon 3PT Jump Shot | 60 10.9% | 69 89.1% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | Mourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 60 12.3% | 69 87.7% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | TOR | Bosh Layup (18 PTS) | 60 10.3% | 69 89.7% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 58 9.4% | 69 90.6% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | TOR | Mourning BLOCK (2 BLK) | 58 8.3% | 69 91.7% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 58 9.4% | 69 90.6% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | TOR | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 58 12.5% | 66 87.5% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) | 56 11.5% | 66 88.5% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 56 13.2% | 64 86.8% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | MIA | MISS Posey Reverse Layup | 56 14.7% | 64 85.3% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 56 13.2% | 64 86.8% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | TOR | MISS Ford Layup | 56 13.8% | 64 86.2% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | MIA | Posey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 56 15.3% | 64 84.7% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 13.1% | 64 86.9% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | TOR | MISS Ford 17' Jump Shot | 56 13.8% | 64 86.2% |
| Q3 - 5:50 | MIA | Haslem Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 56 15.3% | 64 84.7% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | TOR | Parker 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 56 17.9% | 62 82.1% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | MIA | Posey Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 54 15.8% | 62 84.2% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 54 17.9% | 60 82.1% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 53 17.5% | 60 82.5% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 52 16.2% | 60 83.8% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 52 18.1% | 58 81.9% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 52 20.0% | 58 80.0% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 52 18.1% | 58 81.9% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | TOR | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 52 18.9% | 58 81.1% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | TOR | Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 20.9% | 58 79.1% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 52 20.0% | 58 80.0% |
| Q3 - 7:59 | TOR | Ford 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 52 18.1% | 58 81.9% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 50 16.6% | 58 83.4% |
| Q3 - 8:17 | TOR | MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 15.0% | 58 85.0% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 50 16.6% | 58 83.4% |
| Q3 - 8:27 | TOR | Jones BLOCK (2 BLK) | 50 15.0% | 58 85.0% |
| Q3 - 8:33 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 50 16.6% | 58 83.4% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Layup | 50 15.9% | 58 84.1% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 14.3% | 58 85.7% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot | 50 15.0% | 58 85.0% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 50 16.7% | 58 83.3% |
| Q3 - 9:09 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 16.1% | 58 83.9% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | TOR | Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 50 14.7% | 58 85.3% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 47 11.4% | 58 88.6% |
| Q3 - 9:46 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 47 10.0% | 58 90.0% |
| Q3 - 9:52 | MIA | Jones Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 47 11.4% | 58 88.6% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | TOR | Parker Layup (5 PTS) (Ford 7 AST) | 47 10.3% | 58 89.7% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 45 9.2% | 58 90.8% |
| Q3 - 10:17 | MIA | MISS Posey Layup | 45 8.8% | 58 91.2% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 45 8.0% | 58 92.0% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | TOR | O'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK) | 45 8.3% | 58 91.7% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 45 9.2% | 58 90.8% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 45 9.4% | 57 90.6% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | TOR | Dixon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 45 10.3% | 56 89.7% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 43 9.5% | 56 90.5% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot | 43 9.2% | 56 90.8% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 43 8.4% | 56 91.6% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 9.2% | 56 90.8% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 43 8.3% | 56 91.7% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | TOR | MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot | 43 8.7% | 56 91.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 43 9.5% | 56 90.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 43 9.2% | 56 90.8% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | TOR | MISS Ford 17' Jump Shot | 43 9.4% | 56 90.6% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Payton 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 43 9.9% | 56 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 43 11.6% | 54 88.4% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 42 11.3% | 54 88.7% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 41 9.9% | 54 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh Dunk | 41 9.3% | 54 90.7% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 41 9.9% | 54 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | TOR | MISS Humphries 7' Jump Shot | 41 9.3% | 54 90.7% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 41 9.9% | 54 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:51.0 | TOR | MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot | 41 9.3% | 54 90.7% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | TOR | Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 41 9.9% | 54 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | MIA | MISS Posey Layup | 41 9.7% | 54 90.3% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 41 9.1% | 54 90.9% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS Posey Tip Shot | 41 10.1% | 54 89.9% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 41 9.7% | 54 90.3% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Walker Layup | 41 10.1% | 54 89.9% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 41 9.7% | 54 90.3% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 40 9.5% | 54 90.5% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (10 PTS) | 39 8.1% | 54 91.9% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 39 9.7% | 52 90.3% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 39 10.1% | 52 89.9% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | TOR | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 39 9.7% | 52 90.3% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | MIA | Haslem Tip Shot (12 PTS) | 39 11.0% | 52 89.0% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 12.4% | 50 87.6% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 39 12.4% | 50 87.6% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MIA | MISS Posey Tip Shot | 39 13.3% | 50 86.7% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 39 13.3% | 50 86.7% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 12.3% | 50 87.7% |
| Q2 - 2:18 | TOR | MISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 12.7% | 50 87.3% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | MIA | Williams Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 39 13.6% | 50 86.4% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 39 15.3% | 48 84.7% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | TOR | MISS Ford 15' Jump Shot | 39 15.8% | 48 84.2% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Posey 5 AST) | 39 17.6% | 48 82.4% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | TOR | Bosh Dunk (8 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST) | 39 19.2% | 46 80.8% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 37 17.6% | 46 82.4% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | TOR | Haslem BLOCK (2 BLK) | 37 16.3% | 46 83.7% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 37 17.6% | 46 82.4% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 37 17.3% | 46 82.7% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 37 16.6% | 46 83.4% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | TOR | Dixon 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 6 AST) | 37 15.7% | 46 84.3% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 35 14.3% | 46 85.7% |
| Q2 - 3:58 | MIA | MISS Kapono 10' Jump Shot | 35 13.8% | 46 86.2% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 35 13.4% | 46 86.6% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | MISS Williams Layup | 35 14.3% | 46 85.7% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 35 13.3% | 46 86.7% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | TOR | MISS Dixon 17' Jump Shot | 35 13.8% | 46 86.2% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 35 14.7% | 46 85.3% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | TOR | MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot | 35 13.7% | 46 86.3% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 4 AST) | 35 14.7% | 46 85.3% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 35 16.2% | 44 83.8% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot | 35 16.7% | 44 83.3% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 35 17.8% | 44 82.2% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | TOR | MISS Dixon 3PT Jump Shot | 35 16.7% | 44 83.3% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 35 18.2% | 44 81.8% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 35 17.9% | 44 82.1% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 35 17.3% | 44 82.7% |
| Q2 - 5:29 | TOR | Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 35 16.4% | 44 83.6% |
| Q2 - 5:43 | MIA | Payton 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST) | 32 13.6% | 44 86.4% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | TOR | Kapono STEAL (1 STL) | 32 14.9% | 42 85.1% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 32 17.0% | 42 83.0% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 32 18.3% | 40 81.7% |
| Q2 - 6:29 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 32 20.3% | 40 79.7% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | MIA | MISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 19.7% | 40 80.3% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 18.3% | 40 81.7% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | TOR | MISS Dixon 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 18.9% | 40 81.1% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 20.3% | 40 79.7% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | MIA | MISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 21.0% | 39 79.0% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 19.9% | 39 80.1% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot | 32 20.6% | 39 79.4% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 22.6% | 39 77.4% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | MIA | MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 22.0% | 39 78.0% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 32 20.7% | 39 79.3% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 22.0% | 39 78.0% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 32 20.6% | 39 79.4% |
| Q2 - 7:44 | TOR | MISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 21.2% | 39 78.8% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 22.5% | 39 77.5% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | MISS Walker 8' Hook Shot | 32 21.9% | 39 78.1% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | TOR | Graham Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2) | 32 20.7% | 39 79.3% |
| Q2 - 8:12 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 32 22.7% | 39 77.3% |
| Q2 - 8:14 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 21.3% | 39 78.7% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | MIA | Walker Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 32 22.7% | 39 77.3% |
| Q2 - 8:36 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 20.7% | 39 79.3% |
| Q2 - 8:38 | TOR | MISS L. Jackson Layup | 32 21.3% | 39 78.7% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 32 22.7% | 39 77.3% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | TOR | Peterson 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 32 24.5% | 37 75.5% |
| Q2 - 9:29 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 22.9% | 37 77.1% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 30 22.6% | 37 77.4% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 30 21.7% | 37 78.3% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | TOR | Graham Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 30 22.6% | 36 77.4% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | TOR | Graham Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 29 22.4% | 36 77.6% |
| Q2 - 10:02 | MIA | Kapono 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 28 21.3% | 36 78.7% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 28 22.8% | 34 77.2% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | TOR | MISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot | 28 23.4% | 34 76.6% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIA | Kapono 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 28 24.8% | 34 75.2% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 28 26.5% | 32 73.5% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | TOR | Mourning BLOCK (1 BLK) | 28 27.2% | 32 72.8% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | Mourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 28 28.4% | 32 71.6% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | TOR | Humphries Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 28 30.5% | 30 69.5% |
| Q2 - 11:27 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 26.5% | 30 73.5% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | MISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot | 25 26.0% | 30 74.0% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 24.7% | 30 75.3% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | MIA | MISS Mourning Layup | 25 26.0% | 30 74.0% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 24.7% | 30 75.3% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | TOR | MISS Graham 20' Jump Shot | 25 25.2% | 30 74.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 25 26.6% | 30 73.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 25 24.7% | 30 75.3% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 46' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 25.9% | 30 74.1% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 25.0% | 30 75.0% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | TOR | MISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 25 25.2% | 30 74.8% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 26.4% | 30 73.6% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST) | 24 24.6% | 30 75.4% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 28.7% | 27 71.3% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | TOR | MISS Graham 19' Jump Shot | 24 29.1% | 27 70.9% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST) | 24 30.2% | 27 69.8% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | TOR | Humphries 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST) | 24 32.8% | 25 67.2% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 30.3% | 25 69.7% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot | 22 29.8% | 25 70.2% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 22 28.7% | 25 71.3% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | TOR | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 22 29.2% | 25 70.8% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MIA | Williams Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 22 30.6% | 25 69.4% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | TOR | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 22 32.7% | 23 67.3% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 20 30.6% | 23 69.4% |
| Q1 - 2:42 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 30.0% | 23 70.0% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | TOR | Dixon Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 20 28.7% | 23 71.3% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 20 30.7% | 23 69.3% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 34.5% | 20 65.5% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | TOR | Jones BLOCK (1 BLK) | 20 35.2% | 20 64.8% |
| Q1 - 3:44 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 36.8% | 20 63.2% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 36.1% | 20 63.9% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | TOR | Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 20 34.2% | 20 65.8% |
| Q1 - 4:31 | MIA | Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 3 AST) | 18 32.6% | 20 67.4% |
| Q1 - 4:54 | TOR | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 5 AST) | 18 36.2% | 17 63.8% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 16 34.2% | 17 65.8% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | TOR | MISS Ford 12' Jump Shot | 16 32.8% | 17 67.2% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIA | O'Neal 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 2 AST) | 16 34.3% | 17 65.7% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | TOR | Nesterovic Dunk (8 PTS) (Ford 4 AST) | 16 36.0% | 15 64.0% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 14 34.3% | 15 65.7% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | TOR | Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST) | 14 32.2% | 15 67.8% |
| Q1 - 6:25 | MIA | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 12 30.5% | 15 69.5% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | TOR | Ford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 12 34.0% | 12 66.0% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 32.3% | 12 67.7% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 30.4% | 12 69.6% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | TOR | O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 31.0% | 12 69.0% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST) | 10 32.3% | 12 67.7% |
| Q1 - 7:26 | TOR | Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST) | 10 33.8% | 10 66.2% |
| Q1 - 7:44 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 32.3% | 10 67.7% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 8 32.1% | 10 67.9% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 8 31.4% | 10 68.6% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 30.5% | 10 69.5% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | TOR | MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot | 8 31.0% | 10 69.0% |
| Q1 - 8:13 | MIA | O'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 8 32.4% | 10 67.6% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | TOR | Dixon 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST) | 8 33.8% | 8 66.2% |
| Q1 - 8:37 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 32.4% | 8 67.6% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | TOR | Bosh 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 6 30.5% | 8 69.5% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | MIA | Williams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 29.1% | 8 70.9% |
| Q1 - 9:13 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 30.2% | 6 69.8% |
| Q1 - 9:15 | TOR | MISS Dixon 8' Jump Bank Shot | 4 30.8% | 6 69.2% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | TOR | Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 32.3% | 6 67.7% |
| Q1 - 9:29 | TOR | MISS Ford 9' Jump Bank Shot | 4 30.9% | 6 69.1% |
| Q1 - 9:41 | MIA | Jones Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 4 32.3% | 6 67.7% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | TOR | Nesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 4 33.6% | 4 66.4% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 32.1% | 4 67.9% |
| Q1 - 10:12 | TOR | MISS Ford Layup | 2 30.9% | 4 69.1% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 2 32.1% | 4 67.9% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 33.5% | 2 66.5% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | TOR | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 2 34.1% | 2 65.9% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 2 35.5% | 2 64.5% |
| Q1 - 10:55 | MIA | MISS Posey 12' Jump Shot | 2 34.9% | 2 65.1% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | TOR | Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 33.7% | 2 66.3% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | TOR | Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 33.5% | 2 66.5% |
| Q1 - 11:38 | MIA | O'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 0 32.0% | 2 68.0% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Bosh: Tip to Williams | 0 33.7% | 0 66.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
10
19
53%
MIA
19
29
66%
Midrange
TOR
17
48
35%
MIA
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
TOR
17
21
81%
MIA
10
18
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 24 | 55% | 12.0 / 22 | |
| R. Nesterovic | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| J. Dixon | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| L. Jackson | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| A. Parker | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| M. Peterson | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| J. Calderon | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| K. Humphries | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| T. Ford | 4 | 15% | 2.0 / 13 | |
| J. Graham | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Haslem | 16 | 67% | 8.0 / 12 | |
| S. O'Neal | 16 | 53% | 8.0 / 15 | |
| E. Jones | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| J. Williams | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| A. Mourning | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| J. Kapono | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. Posey | 6 | 27% | 3.0 / 11 | |
| A. Walker | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| G. Payton | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
81
+15
-7
96
MIA
75
+12
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.3 104.2 | TOR 101.1 MIA 103.4 +2.2 |
| Pace | 93.3 90.1 | TOR 95.5 +13.0 MIA 82.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.3 16.5 | TOR 15.1 +2.4 MIA 17.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.4% 50.6% | TOR 41.4% MIA 54.7% +13.3% |
| TO % | 13.8% 15.3% | TOR 6.8% +7.6% MIA 14.4% |
| ORB % | 22.3% 24.9% | TOR 26.4% MIA 26.5% +0.1% |
| FTrt | 30.3 32.1 | TOR 24.1 +0.1 MIA 24.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.1% 57.6% | TOR 57.6% +7.6% MIA 50.0% |
| STL % | 7.6% 7.6% | TOR 10.2% +8.0% MIA 2.2% |
| BLK % | 6.3% 8.8% | TOR 8.9% MIA 14.9% +6.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.6% 52.4% | TOR 46.4% MIA 52.3% +5.9% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 61.8% | TOR 52.6% MIA 65.5% +12.9% |
| Mid FG% | 42.7% 40.5% | TOR 35.4% MIA 48.1% +12.7% |
| 3P % | 36.3% 34.3% | TOR 30.0% MIA 31.6% +1.6% |
| FT % | 78.8% 69.0% | TOR 81.0% +25.4% MIA 55.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.1% 34.9% | TOR 21.8% MIA 38.7% +16.8% |
| Mid Att. % | 47.6% 40.7% | TOR 55.2% MIA 36.0% +19.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.4% 24.5% | TOR 23.0% MIA 25.3% +2.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.1 | 25.9 |
| Points | 89 | 92 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 48 |
| Assists | 19 | 19 |
| Steals | 9 | 2 |
| Blocks | 5 | 10 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 7 (0) | 14 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 14 (1) | 9 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 25 (4) | 39 (2) |
| Field Goals | 33-87 | 38-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 10-19 | 19-29 |
| Midrange FG | 17-48 | 13-27 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-67 | 32-56 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-20 | 6-19 |
| Free Throws | 17-21 | 10-18 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.