Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 17, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Celtics | 80% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bulls | 25% | 93 | 106 |
| 14 | Hornets | 75% | 101 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Raptors | 67% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 54% | 95 | 99 | |
 | 24 | Knicks | 46% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Heat | 28% | 90 | 103 |
 | 13 | Magic | 72% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bucks | 33% | 95 | 89 |
 | 8 | Pistons | 67% | 100 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Timberwolves | 88% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 58% | 104 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | SuperSonics | 83% | 102 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Lakers | 71% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, April 16, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 92 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 45% | 99 | 99 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 55% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 45% | 92 | 103 |
| 16 | Nets | 55% | 94 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 46% | 89 | 88 | |
| 22 | Heat | 54% | 91 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 52% | 102 | 102 |
| 21 | Hawks | 48% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 89 |
| 11 | Bucks | 65% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 31% | 100 | 87 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 69% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 27% | 91 | 71 |
| 6 | Spurs | 73% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 46% | 94 | 70 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 54% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 11% | 97 | 106 |
| 1 | Kings | 89% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 23% | 93 | 84 |
| 15 | Clippers | 77% | 102 | 92 |
Monday, April 15, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 22% | 86 | 98 |
| 18 | 76ers | 78% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 40% | 97 | 93 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 60% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 26% | 94 | 104 | |
| 2 | Lakers | 74% | 102 | 111 |
Sunday, April 14, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 95 |
| 10 | Magic | 65% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 51% | 97 | 86 |
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 96 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 29% | 88 | 94 |
| 19 | Heat | 71% | 94 | 67 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 39% | 96 | 91 | |
| 13 | Bucks | 61% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 53% | 92 | 82 | |
| 20 | Raptors | 47% | 91 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 46% | 98 | 120 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 99 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 26% | 92 | 98 |
| 24 | Rockets | 74% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 20% | 102 | 113 |
| 1 | Kings | 80% | 112 | 100 |
Saturday, April 13, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 40% | 98 | 123 |
| 22 | Hawks | 60% | 101 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 68% | 96 | 113 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 32% | 90 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 39% | 101 | 116 |
| 11 | SuperSonics | 61% | 104 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 59% | 97 | 124 |
| 28 | Bulls | 41% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 65% | 97 | 94 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 35% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 51% | 101 | 101 |
| 16 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 63% | 103 | 109 |
| 25 | Warriors | 37% | 98 | 101 |
Friday, April 12, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 31% | 88 | 91 |
| 17 | 76ers | 69% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 40% | 93 | 73 |
| 22 | Raptors | 60% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 18% | 91 | 92 |
| 5 | Celtics | 82% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 40% | 93 | 94 |
| 19 | Heat | 60% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 35% | 95 | 100 |
| 14 | Hornets | 65% | 100 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 51% | 94 | 96 |
| 15 | Pistons | 49% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 37% | 96 | 107 |
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 98 | 80 |
| 24 | Rockets | 40% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 53% | 101 | 89 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 47% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 61% | 103 | 125 |
| 13 | Clippers | 39% | 100 | 106 |
Thursday, April 11, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 24% | 93 | 104 |
| 24 | Knicks | 76% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 44% | 98 | 101 | |
| 11 | Magic | 56% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 16% | 98 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 99 | 99 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 30% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 51% | 97 | 97 |
| 21 | Suns | 49% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 28% | 97 | 83 |
| 2 | Lakers | 72% | 104 | 96 |
Wednesday, April 10, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 22% | 87 | 65 |
| 6 | Celtics | 78% | 96 | 70 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 51% | 92 | 77 |
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 91 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 37% | 95 | 101 |
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 99 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 39% | 98 | 81 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 61% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 17% | 89 | 102 |
| 12 | Pistons | 83% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 32% | 91 | 82 |
| 16 | Pacers | 68% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 7% | 84 | 79 |
| 4 | Spurs | 93% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 68% | 107 | 118 |
| 25 | Warriors | 32% | 101 | 116 |
Tuesday, April 9, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 46% | 92 | 80 | |
| 20 | Raptors | 54% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 49% | 100 | 108 |
| 25 | Knicks | 51% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 21% | 90 | 88 |
| 5 | Nets | 79% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 24% | 86 | 117 |
| 22 | Heat | 76% | 95 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 40% | 92 | 92 |
| 14 | Bucks | 60% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 38% | 93 | 86 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 62% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 100 | 96 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 69% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SuperSonics | 42% | 95 | 92 | |
| 19 | Suns | 58% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 25% | 94 | 82 |
| 2 | Lakers | 75% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 23% | 97 | 103 |
| 1 | Kings | 77% | 106 | 122 |
Monday, April 8, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 23% | 96 | 74 |
| 12 | Magic | 77% | 105 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 29% | 92 | 99 |
| 11 | Pistons | 71% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 36% | 96 | 111 |
| 13 | Pacers | 64% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 69% | 99 | 100 |
| 28 | Bulls | 31% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 91 | 87 |
| 4 | Spurs | 65% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 44% | 102 | 105 |
| 9 | Jazz | 56% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 28% | 94 | 100 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 72% | 101 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 62% | 105 | 100 |
| 25 | Warriors | 38% | 101 | 93 |
Sunday, April 7, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 37% | 91 | 87 |
| 16 | 76ers | 63% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 60% | 94 | 96 |
| 22 | Heat | 40% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 47% | 92 | 84 |
| 21 | Raptors | 53% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 14% | 93 | 82 |
| 1 | Kings | 86% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 39% | 94 | 102 |
| 7 | Nets | 61% | 98 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 21% | 92 | 75 |
| 17 | Clippers | 79% | 102 | 97 |
Saturday, April 6, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 39% | 100 | 87 |
| 5 | Spurs | 61% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 28% | 91 | 85 |
| 23 | Wizards | 72% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 40% | 95 | 93 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 60% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 21% | 93 | 101 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 79% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 23% | 94 | 104 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 77% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 14% | 94 | 86 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 86% | 107 | 113 |
Friday, April 5, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 43% | 88 | 92 |
| 16 | 76ers | 57% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 39% | 94 | 87 |
| 12 | Pacers | 61% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 48% | 99 | 81 |
| 9 | Celtics | 52% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 29% | 97 | 85 |
| 6 | Nets | 71% | 103 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 43% | 90 | 97 |
| 22 | Heat | 57% | 92 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 31% | 92 | 91 |
| 14 | Hornets | 69% | 98 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 44% | 95 | 81 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 56% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 64% | 94 | 98 |
| 29 | Bulls | 36% | 90 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 49% | 97 | 117 |
| 7 | Jazz | 51% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 19% | 91 | 86 |
| 11 | SuperSonics | 81% | 102 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 27% | 95 | 104 |
| 26 | Warriors | 73% | 103 | 108 |
Thursday, April 4, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 26% | 98 | 101 |
| 10 | Magic | 74% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 48% | 96 | 94 |
| 19 | Hawks | 52% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 17% | 100 | 90 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 83% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 96 | 102 |
| 23 | Rockets | 41% | 93 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 67% | 100 | 87 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 33% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 21% | 91 | 80 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 101 | 88 |