Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 16, 2002

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	27	Grizzlies	23%	93	84
	15	Clippers	77%	102	92

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	96.6	87	92.3
LAC	104.5	88	83.3

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-12

LAC

+14

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.2%

LAC

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	LAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAC		84 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:02.0	MEM	Gill Driving Layup (9 PTS)	84 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0	LAC	Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	82 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0	LAC	Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	82 0.1%	91 99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0	MEM	Richardson STEAL (2 STL)	82 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	82 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	LAC	MISS Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2	82 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	LAC	Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	82 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	LAC	Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	82 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0	MEM	MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot	82 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	82 0.5%	89 99.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0	LAC	MISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 2	82 0.5%	89 99.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0	LAC	MISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 2	82 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0	MEM	Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	82 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 1:03	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	79 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 1:05	LAC	MISS Brand 7' Jump Shot	79 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 1:25	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	79 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 1:27	MEM	Miles BLOCK (2 BLK)	79 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 1:45	LAC	CLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	79 0.4%	89 99.6%
Q4 - 1:45	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	79 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 1:45	LAC	MISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot	79 0.4%	89 99.6%
Q4 - 2:10	MEM	Boykins STEAL (2 STL)	79 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 2:21	LAC	Boykins 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	79 0.6%	89 99.4%
Q4 - 2:42	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	79 0.7%	87 99.3%
Q4 - 2:44	MEM	MISS Battier 15' Jump Shot	79 0.9%	87 99.1%
Q4 - 2:57	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	79 1.9%	87 98.1%
Q4 - 3:00	LAC	MISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot	79 1.6%	87 98.4%
Q4 - 3:18	MEM	Swift Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	79 1.0%	87 99.0%
Q4 - 3:18	MEM	Swift Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	78 0.9%	87 99.1%
Q4 - 3:34	LAC	Olowokandi 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (25 PTS) (Boykins 6 AST)	77 1.3%	87 98.7%
Q4 - 3:53	LAC	Piatkowski REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 1.8%	85 98.2%
Q4 - 3:56	MEM	MISS Fotsis 24' 3PT Jump Shot	77 2.0%	85 98.0%
Q4 - 4:14	LAC	Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Olowokandi 3 AST)	77 2.5%	85 97.5%
Q4 - 4:35	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	77 5.0%	82 95.0%
Q4 - 4:38	MEM	MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot	77 5.6%	82 94.4%
Q4 - 4:47	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	77 7.2%	82 92.8%
Q4 - 4:50	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 15' Jump Shot	77 6.5%	82 93.5%
Q4 - 5:08	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	77 5.9%	82 94.1%
Q4 - 5:08	MEM	Swift Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)	77 5.9%	82 94.1%
Q4 - 5:10	MEM	MISS Fotsis Driving Layup	75 3.5%	82 96.5%
Q4 - 5:20	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	75 4.4%	82 95.6%
Q4 - 5:22	LAC	MISS Piatkowski 27' 3PT Jump Shot	75 3.9%	82 96.1%
Q4 - 5:35	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	75 3.1%	82 96.9%
Q4 - 5:37	MEM	MISS Fotsis 19' Jump Shot	75 3.4%	82 96.6%
Q4 - 5:56	LAC	Olowokandi Foul Turnover (P2.T9)	75 4.3%	82 95.7%
Q4 - 6:16	MEM	Gasol 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)	75 3.6%	82 96.4%
Q4 - 6:32	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	73 2.8%	82 97.2%
Q4 - 6:33	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 14' Jump Shot	73 2.5%	82 97.5%
Q4 - 6:46	MEM	Gill 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	73 2.0%	82 98.0%
Q4 - 7:01	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	71 2.0%	82 98.0%
Q4 - 7:03	LAC	MISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	71 1.8%	82 98.2%
Q4 - 7:22	MEM	Swift Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Buford 2 AST)	71 1.5%	82 98.5%
Q4 - 7:38	LAC	Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Olowokandi 2 AST)	69 1.1%	82 98.9%
Q4 - 8:06	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	69 2.4%	79 97.6%
Q4 - 8:08	MEM	MISS Battier 13' Jump Shot	69 2.6%	79 97.4%
Q4 - 8:33	LAC	Olowokandi Dunk (23 PTS)	69 3.1%	79 96.9%
Q4 - 8:44	MEM	Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)	69 3.9%	77 96.1%
Q4 - 8:53	MEM	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	69 5.0%	77 95.0%
Q4 - 8:55	LAC	MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 4.6%	77 95.4%
Q4 - 9:15	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	69 4.3%	77 95.7%
Q4 - 9:17	LAC	MISS Overton 26' 3PT Jump Shot	69 5.1%	77 94.9%
Q4 - 9:33	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	69 4.3%	77 95.7%
Q4 - 9:34	LAC	MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 5.1%	77 94.9%
Q4 - 10:02	MEM	Gasol 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)	69 4.7%	77 95.3%
Q4 - 10:21	LAC	Miles 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	67 3.9%	77 96.1%
Q4 - 10:35	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	67 4.7%	75 95.3%
Q4 - 10:36	MEM	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	67 5.0%	75 95.0%
Q4 - 10:43	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	67 5.9%	75 94.1%
Q4 - 10:46	LAC	MISS Brand 7' Jump Shot	67 5.5%	75 94.5%
Q4 - 11:03	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	67 5.2%	75 94.8%
Q4 - 11:05	MEM	MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot	67 5.6%	75 94.4%
Q4 - 11:21	LAC	Miles Layup (9 PTS)	67 6.4%	75 93.6%
Q4 - 11:22	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	67 7.8%	73 92.2%
Q4 - 11:24	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 12' Jump Shot	67 9.0%	73 91.0%
Q4 - 11:45	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	67 7.8%	73 92.2%
Q4 - 11:45	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	66 7.4%	73 92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	LAC		65 6.4%	73 93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	65 5.2%	73 94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0	LAC	MISS Overton 39' 3PT Jump Shot	65 6.4%	73 93.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MEM	Gasol Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Swift 2 AST)	65 5.6%	73 94.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	63 4.6%	73 95.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0	LAC	MISS Brand 11' Jump Shot	63 4.3%	73 95.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	63 3.8%	73 96.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0	LAC	MISS Overton 21' Jump Shot	63 4.3%	73 95.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	63 3.8%	73 96.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0	MEM	MISS Buford 11' Jump Shot	63 4.0%	73 96.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	63 4.6%	73 95.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0	LAC	MISS Olowokandi Free Throw 2 of 2	63 4.5%	73 95.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0	LAC	Olowokandi Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	63 4.0%	73 96.0%
Q3 - 1:14	MEM	Grizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	63 4.9%	72 95.1%
Q3 - 1:14	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	63 5.9%	72 94.1%
Q3 - 1:14	MEM	MISS Battier Layup	63 5.2%	72 94.8%
Q3 - 1:15	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	63 5.9%	72 94.1%
Q3 - 1:17	MEM	MISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot	63 5.2%	72 94.8%
Q3 - 1:42	LAC	Brand 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Olowokandi 1 AST)	63 5.9%	72 94.1%
Q3 - 1:58	MEM	Swift Layup (4 PTS)	63 7.1%	70 92.9%
Q3 - 2:00	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	61 5.9%	70 94.1%
Q3 - 2:03	MEM	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 5.4%	70 94.6%
Q3 - 2:21	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	61 6.2%	70 93.8%
Q3 - 2:23	LAC	MISS Maggette 23' Jump Shot	61 5.8%	70 94.2%
Q3 - 2:50	MEM	Battier 13' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)	61 5.1%	70 94.9%
Q3 - 2:54	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	59 4.3%	70 95.7%
Q3 - 2:56	LAC	MISS Boykins Layup	59 4.1%	70 95.9%
Q3 - 3:24	MEM	Battier Layup (15 PTS)	59 3.9%	70 96.1%
Q3 - 3:25	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	57 3.3%	70 96.7%
Q3 - 3:26	MEM	MISS Wright 6' Jump Shot	57 2.9%	70 97.1%
Q3 - 3:44	LAC	Olowokandi 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Piatkowski 2 AST)	57 3.3%	70 96.7%
Q3 - 4:01	MEM	Battier Layup (13 PTS)	57 4.0%	68 96.0%
Q3 - 4:06	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	55 3.5%	68 96.5%
Q3 - 4:08	MEM	MISS Williams 21' Jump Shot	55 3.0%	68 97.0%
Q3 - 4:22	LAC	Brand 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)	55 3.5%	68 96.5%
Q3 - 4:28	MEM	Piatkowski STEAL (1 STL)	55 4.0%	66 96.0%
Q3 - 4:41	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	55 4.8%	66 95.2%
Q3 - 4:44	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 16' Jump Shot	55 4.6%	66 95.4%
Q3 - 5:01	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	55 4.3%	66 95.7%
Q3 - 5:02	MEM	Olowokandi BLOCK (2 BLK)	55 4.5%	66 95.5%
Q3 - 5:17	LAC	Boykins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	55 5.1%	66 94.9%
Q3 - 5:33	MEM	Buford Driving Layup (8 PTS)	55 4.3%	66 95.7%
Q3 - 5:42	MEM	Buford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 3.7%	66 96.3%
Q3 - 5:44	LAC	MISS Brand 12' Jump Shot	53 3.5%	66 96.5%
Q3 - 6:03	MEM	Gasol Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)	53 3.3%	66 96.7%
Q3 - 6:24	LAC	Olowokandi Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Maggette 5 AST)	51 2.9%	66 97.1%
Q3 - 6:39	MEM	Gasol Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)	51 3.3%	64 96.7%
Q3 - 6:45	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	49 2.9%	64 97.1%
Q3 - 6:47	MEM	MISS Buford 12' Jump Shot	49 2.5%	64 97.5%
Q3 - 7:05	LAC	Olowokandi 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)	49 3.1%	64 96.9%
Q3 - 7:22	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	49 3.5%	62 96.5%
Q3 - 7:24	LAC	MISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot	49 3.9%	62 96.1%
Q3 - 7:43	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 3.5%	62 96.5%
Q3 - 7:45	MEM	MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot	49 3.6%	62 96.4%
Q3 - 8:03	LAC	Piatkowski 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)	49 4.3%	62 95.7%
Q3 - 8:10	MEM	Brand STEAL (1 STL)	49 4.8%	60 95.2%
Q3 - 8:25	LAC	Maggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Piatkowski 1 AST)	49 5.7%	60 94.3%
Q3 - 8:53	MEM	Williams 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	49 7.4%	57 92.6%
Q3 - 9:05	LAC	Olowokandi Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)	47 6.5%	57 93.5%
Q3 - 9:05	LAC	Olowokandi Layup (13 PTS) (Maggette 4 AST)	47 7.5%	56 92.5%
Q3 - 9:24	MEM	Williams 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	47 8.5%	54 91.5%
Q3 - 9:33	LAC	Brand Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	45 7.5%	54 92.5%
Q3 - 9:49	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	45 6.5%	54 93.5%
Q3 - 9:50	MEM	MISS Buford 12' Jump Shot	45 6.8%	54 93.2%
Q3 - 10:04	MEM	Buford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	45 7.6%	54 92.4%
Q3 - 10:06	LAC	MISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot	45 7.2%	54 92.8%
Q3 - 10:17	MEM	Gasol Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)	45 6.5%	54 93.5%
Q3 - 10:32	LAC	Piatkowski 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)	43 5.8%	54 94.2%
Q3 - 10:39	MEM	Battier Foul Turnover (P5.T7)	43 7.4%	51 92.6%
Q3 - 10:59	LAC	Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST)	43 8.6%	51 91.4%
Q3 - 11:21	MEM	Buford 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	43 10.9%	48 89.1%
Q3 - 11:27	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	41 9.7%	48 90.3%
Q3 - 11:29	MEM	MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot	41 8.9%	48 91.1%
Q3 - 11:40	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	41 9.7%	48 90.3%
Q3 - 11:42	LAC	MISS Brand 6' Jump Shot	41 9.3%	48 90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC		41 8.5%	48 91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	41 8.5%	48 91.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0	LAC	MISS Miles Driving Layup	41 9.6%	48 90.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	41 9.0%	48 91.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	40 8.8%	48 91.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0	LAC	Brand Layup (4 PTS) (Miles 4 AST)	39 7.7%	48 92.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0	MEM	Wright 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)	39 9.0%	46 91.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0	LAC	Olowokandi 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	37 7.7%	46 92.3%
Q2 - 1:13	MEM	Battier 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	37 9.3%	44 90.7%
Q2 - 1:20	MEM	Fotsis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 7.8%	44 92.2%
Q2 - 1:24	LAC	MISS Brand 5' Jump Shot	35 7.7%	44 92.3%
Q2 - 1:29	LAC	Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	35 7.4%	44 92.6%
Q2 - 1:31	MEM	MISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot	35 7.5%	44 92.5%
Q2 - 1:53	LAC	Olowokandi Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	35 7.8%	44 92.2%
Q2 - 1:53	LAC	MISS Olowokandi Free Throw 1 of 2	35 8.2%	43 91.8%
Q2 - 2:01	LAC	Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 8.3%	43 91.7%
Q2 - 2:03	MEM	MISS Gasol 10' Hook Shot	35 8.6%	43 91.4%
Q2 - 2:36	LAC	Overton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)	35 9.2%	43 90.8%
Q2 - 2:57	MEM	Battier Foul Turnover (P4.T6)	35 11.6%	40 88.4%
Q2 - 3:12	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	35 13.0%	40 87.0%
Q2 - 3:17	LAC	MISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot	35 12.6%	40 87.4%
Q2 - 3:29	LAC	Overton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 11.6%	40 88.4%
Q2 - 3:32	MEM	Overton BLOCK (1 BLK)	35 12.0%	40 88.0%
Q2 - 3:56	LAC	Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)	35 13.0%	40 87.0%
Q2 - 4:08	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 15.7%	37 84.3%
Q2 - 4:10	MEM	MISS Fotsis 11' Jump Shot	35 16.2%	37 83.8%
Q2 - 4:32	LAC	Maggette 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Overton 1 AST)	35 17.3%	37 82.7%
Q2 - 4:45	MEM	Wright 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)	35 19.0%	35 81.0%
Q2 - 5:02	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	33 17.2%	35 82.8%
Q2 - 5:03	LAC	MISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 2	33 17.0%	35 83.0%
Q2 - 5:03	LAC	Miles Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	33 16.1%	35 83.9%
Q2 - 5:04	MEM	Miles STEAL (1 STL)	33 17.0%	34 83.0%
Q2 - 5:09	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	33 18.9%	34 81.1%
Q2 - 5:09	MEM	Olowokandi BLOCK (1 BLK)	33 17.6%	34 82.4%
Q2 - 5:33	LAC	Richardson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)	33 18.9%	34 81.1%
Q2 - 5:44	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 20.5%	32 79.5%
Q2 - 5:46	MEM	MISS Gill 14' Jump Shot	33 21.1%	32 78.9%
Q2 - 6:05	LAC	Maggette Layup (8 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)	33 22.4%	32 77.6%
Q2 - 6:09	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	33 24.0%	30 76.0%
Q2 - 6:10	MEM	MISS Swift 8' Jump Shot	33 24.7%	30 75.3%
Q2 - 6:35	LAC	Miles Driving Layup (6 PTS)	33 26.5%	30 73.5%
Q2 - 6:37	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	33 28.2%	28 71.8%
Q2 - 6:40	MEM	Miles BLOCK (1 BLK)	33 29.1%	28 70.9%
Q2 - 6:58	LAC	Maggette 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)	33 31.0%	28 69.0%
Q2 - 7:11	MEM	Gill 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	33 32.3%	26 67.7%
Q2 - 7:31	LAC	Richardson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	31 30.2%	26 69.8%
Q2 - 7:43	MEM	Richardson STEAL (1 STL)	31 27.9%	26 72.1%
Q2 - 7:56	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 30.2%	26 69.8%
Q2 - 7:58	MEM	MISS Swift 13' Jump Shot	31 28.6%	26 71.4%
Q2 - 8:03	LAC	Richardson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	31 29.9%	26 70.1%
Q2 - 8:09	MEM	Ekezie STEAL (1 STL)	31 27.5%	26 72.5%
Q2 - 8:32	LAC	Miles Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	31 29.9%	26 70.1%
Q2 - 8:37	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 27.5%	26 72.5%
Q2 - 8:38	MEM	MISS Swift Layup	31 28.2%	26 71.8%
Q2 - 8:42	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	31 29.9%	26 70.1%
Q2 - 8:44	MEM	MISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot	31 28.2%	26 71.8%
Q2 - 8:49	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	31 29.9%	26 70.1%
Q2 - 8:50	LAC	MISS Ekezie 15' Jump Shot	31 29.2%	26 70.8%
Q2 - 9:02	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	31 26.9%	26 73.1%
Q2 - 9:05	MEM	MISS Williams 17' Jump Shot	31 27.6%	26 72.4%
Q2 - 9:12	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	31 29.2%	26 70.8%
Q2 - 9:14	LAC	MISS Miles 16' Jump Shot	31 28.5%	26 71.5%
Q2 - 9:30	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 27.0%	26 73.0%
Q2 - 9:33	LAC	MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	31 28.6%	26 71.4%
Q2 - 9:46	MEM	Wright 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)	31 27.0%	26 73.0%
Q2 - 10:07	LAC	Miles Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)	29 25.3%	26 74.7%
Q2 - 10:12	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	29 26.9%	24 73.1%
Q2 - 10:15	MEM	MISS Solomon 26' 3PT Jump Shot	29 27.6%	24 72.4%
Q2 - 10:25	LAC	Boykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	29 29.2%	24 70.8%
Q2 - 10:47	MEM	Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	29 26.9%	24 73.1%
Q2 - 10:59	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	26 23.4%	24 76.6%
Q2 - 11:01	LAC	MISS Ekezie Layup	26 22.2%	24 77.8%
Q2 - 11:14	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	26 21.1%	24 78.9%
Q2 - 11:16	MEM	MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 21.6%	24 78.4%
Q2 - 11:23	MEM	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	26 22.7%	24 77.3%
Q2 - 11:25	LAC	MISS Ekezie Layup	26 22.2%	24 77.8%
Q2 - 11:27	LAC	Ekezie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	26 21.1%	24 78.9%
Q2 - 11:29	LAC	MISS Miles 15' Jump Shot	26 22.2%	24 77.8%
Q2 - 11:43	LAC	Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	26 21.1%	24 78.9%
Q2 - 11:45	LAC	MISS Ekezie 15' Jump Shot	26 22.3%	24 77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAC		26 21.1%	24 78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	26 21.1%	24 78.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0	LAC	MISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot	26 21.9%	24 78.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 21.1%	24 78.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0	MEM	MISS Swift 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	26 21.4%	24 78.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0	MEM	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	26 22.3%	24 77.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0	LAC	MISS Brand Dunk	26 21.9%	24 78.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0	LAC	Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 21.0%	24 79.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0	MEM	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 21.4%	24 78.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0	LAC	Boykins 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	26 22.3%	24 77.7%
Q1 - 1:00	MEM	Williams 12' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	26 24.4%	22 75.6%
Q1 - 1:11	LAC	Miles Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)	24 22.3%	22 77.7%
Q1 - 1:15	LAC	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 24.3%	20 75.7%
Q1 - 1:18	MEM	Brand BLOCK (2 BLK)	24 24.7%	20 75.3%
Q1 - 1:39	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	24 25.7%	20 74.3%
Q1 - 1:40	MEM	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	24 24.8%	20 75.2%
Q1 - 1:55	LAC	Boykins Driving Layup (6 PTS)	24 25.7%	20 74.3%
Q1 - 1:59	LAC	Ekezie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 28.0%	18 72.0%
Q1 - 2:01	MEM	MISS Solomon 16' Jump Shot	24 28.2%	18 71.8%
Q1 - 2:24	LAC	Boykins 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	24 29.5%	18 70.5%
Q1 - 2:47	MEM	Buford 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	24 31.6%	16 68.4%
Q1 - 2:59	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 29.5%	16 70.5%
Q1 - 3:02	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 10' Hook Shot	22 28.2%	16 71.8%
Q1 - 3:20	MEM	Williams Driving Layup (5 PTS)	22 26.8%	16 73.2%
Q1 - 3:27	LAC	Boykins 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	20 25.3%	16 74.7%
Q1 - 3:44	MEM	Swift 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	20 26.9%	14 73.1%
Q1 - 3:55	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 25.3%	14 74.7%
Q1 - 3:57	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 8' Jump Shot	18 24.8%	14 75.2%
Q1 - 4:19	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	18 22.9%	14 77.1%
Q1 - 4:19	MEM	Gasol 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)	17 21.3%	14 78.7%
Q1 - 4:29	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	15 20.2%	14 79.8%
Q1 - 4:33	LAC	MISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot	15 19.7%	14 80.3%
Q1 - 4:53	MEM	Battier 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	15 18.5%	14 81.5%
Q1 - 5:06	MEM	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	13 17.0%	14 83.0%
Q1 - 5:08	MEM	MISS Buford 6' Jump Shot	13 16.2%	14 83.8%
Q1 - 5:11	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	13 17.1%	14 82.9%
Q1 - 5:14	LAC	MISS Piatkowski 27' 3PT Jump Shot	13 16.7%	14 83.3%
Q1 - 5:19	MEM	Boykins STEAL (1 STL)	13 15.8%	14 84.2%
Q1 - 5:21	LAC	Maggette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	13 17.1%	14 82.9%
Q1 - 5:37	MEM	Olowokandi STEAL (1 STL)	13 15.8%	14 84.2%
Q1 - 5:51	LAC	Olowokandi Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	13 17.1%	14 82.9%
Q1 - 6:07	MEM	Battier Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	13 15.7%	14 84.3%
Q1 - 6:17	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 14.7%	14 85.3%
Q1 - 6:19	LAC	MISS Piatkowski 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 14.4%	14 85.6%
Q1 - 6:36	MEM	Buford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	11 13.7%	14 86.3%
Q1 - 6:50	LAC	Maggette Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)	9 12.8%	14 87.2%
Q1 - 7:04	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 13.6%	12 86.4%
Q1 - 7:06	MEM	MISS Williams 21' Jump Shot	9 13.9%	12 86.1%
Q1 - 7:20	LAC	Olowokandi 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)	9 14.7%	12 85.3%
Q1 - 7:37	MEM	Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	9 15.5%	10 84.5%
Q1 - 7:56	LAC	Maggette 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 13.7%	10 86.3%
Q1 - 8:05	LAC	Piatkowski REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 14.4%	8 85.6%
Q1 - 8:06	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot	6 14.7%	8 85.3%
Q1 - 8:23	LAC	Olowokandi 13' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)	6 15.5%	8 84.5%
Q1 - 8:36	LAC	Olowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 16.4%	6 83.6%
Q1 - 8:39	LAC	MISS Maggette 27' 3PT Jump Shot	6 17.2%	6 82.8%
Q1 - 8:41	LAC	Boykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 16.4%	6 83.6%
Q1 - 8:44	LAC	MISS Olowokandi 6' Hook Shot	6 17.2%	6 82.8%
Q1 - 9:02	MEM	Wright 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)	6 16.1%	6 83.9%
Q1 - 9:21	LAC	Olowokandi 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)	4 15.4%	6 84.6%
Q1 - 9:39	MEM	Battier 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 16.1%	4 83.9%
Q1 - 9:55	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	2 15.4%	4 84.6%
Q1 - 9:58	LAC	MISS Piatkowski 3PT Jump Shot	2 15.0%	4 85.0%
Q1 - 10:03	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 14.2%	4 85.8%
Q1 - 10:05	MEM	Brand BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 14.5%	4 85.5%
Q1 - 10:19	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 15.3%	4 84.7%
Q1 - 10:20	LAC	MISS Brand 12' Jump Shot	2 14.9%	4 85.1%
Q1 - 10:38	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 14.2%	4 85.8%
Q1 - 10:38	MEM	Wright Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)	2 14.2%	4 85.8%
Q1 - 10:40	MEM	MISS Buford 5' Jump Shot	0 12.8%	4 87.2%
Q1 - 11:02	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	0 13.4%	4 86.6%
Q1 - 11:02	LAC	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	0 13.5%	3 86.5%
Q1 - 11:14	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	0 14.3%	2 85.7%
Q1 - 11:16	MEM	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0 14.5%	2 85.5%
Q1 - 11:31	LAC	Olowokandi 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)	0 15.1%	2 84.9%
Q1 - 11:44	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	0 16.2%	0 83.8%
Q1 - 11:45	MEM	MISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot	0 16.5%	0 83.5%
Q1 - 12:00	LAC	Jump Ball Olowokandi vs. Gasol: Tip to Wright	0 17.1%	0 82.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.2%

LAC

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

71%

LAC

65%

Midrange

MEM

39%

LAC

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

4.5

19%

28%

LAC

10.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

MEM

100%

LAC

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Gasol	19	63%	9.5 / 15
S. Battier	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Williams	11	37%	5.5 / 15
L. Wright	10	63%	5.0 / 8
S. Swift	10	56%	5.0 / 9
E. Gill	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Buford	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Fotsis	0	-	0.0 / 4
W. Solomon	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Olowokandi	25	60%	12.5 / 21
C. Maggette	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Q. Richardson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
E. Boykins	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Miles	11	55%	5.5 / 10
E. Brand	8	33%	4.0 / 12
E. Piatkowski	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Overton	3	38%	1.5 / 4
O. Ekezie	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-12

LAC

+14

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.2%

LAC

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	95.6 103.0	MEM 96.6 +8.0 LAC 104.5
Pace	93.7 92.4	MEM 92.3 +9.0 LAC 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15.4 15.8	MEM 15.6 +1.7 LAC 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	46.2% 47.6%	MEM 45.8% LAC 51.2% +5.4%
TO %	16.7% 15.1%	MEM 13.0% LAC 10.2% +2.8%
ORB %	27.8% 31.3%	MEM 25.6% +1.2% LAC 24.4%
FTrt	28.8 30.4	MEM 8.3 LAC 18.5 +10.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.6% 57.7%	MEM 56.8% LAC 68.4% +11.6%
STL %	8.4% 6.7%	MEM 4.6% LAC 10.2% +5.6%
BLK %	8.5% 9.4%	MEM 6.6% LAC 10.3% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	47.7% 49.5%	MEM 47.2% LAC 48.9% +1.7%
Rim FG%	57.1% 59.3%	MEM 70.8% +5.8% LAC 65.0%
Mid FG%	38.6% 38.7%	MEM 38.6% LAC 43.9% +5.3%
3P %	30.7% 35.6%	MEM 18.8% LAC 35.0% +16.2%
FT %	70.8% 73.9%	MEM 100.0% +40.0% LAC 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.4% 31.0%	MEM 28.6% +3.9% LAC 24.7%
Mid Att. %	48.9% 51.8%	MEM 52.4% LAC 50.6% +1.8%
3P Att. %	16.8% 17.2%	MEM 19.0% LAC 24.7% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Game Totals	MEM	LAC
Possessions	87	88
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	84	92
Rebounds	41	39
Assists	21	26
Steals	4	9
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	29 (4)
Field Goals	37-84	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	13-20
Midrange FG	17-44	18-41
2-Point FG	34-68	31-61
3-Point FG	3-16	7-20
Free Throws	7-7	9-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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27 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 24	45.5	17	53%	6	1	0	0	6	3	4	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 22	41.0	19	63%	11	4	2	1	4	3	1	10	5-5	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 26	31.2	11	37%	4	8	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Rodney Buford G · 6'5" 195 · 24	30.1	8	44%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 26	27.7	10	63%	8	1	2	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22	27.1	10	56%	9	2	0	2	0	1	3	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Eddie Gill G · 6'0" 190 · 24	16.8	9	56%	0	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Antonis Fotsis F · 6'10" 219 · 21	11.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Will Solomon G · 6'1" 185 · 24	9.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Massenburg F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35
Grant Long F · 6'9" 240 · 36
Brevin Knight G · 5'10" 166 · 26
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	47%	41	21	4	4	12	0	10	31	7-7	100%	34-68	50%	3-16	19%

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27 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 24	45.5	17	53%	6	1	0	0	6	3	4	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 22	41.0	19	63%	11	4	2	1	4	3	1	10	5-5	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 26	31.2	11	37%	4	8	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Rodney Buford G · 6'5" 195 · 24	30.1	8	44%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 26	27.7	10	63%	8	1	2	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22	27.1	10	56%	9	2	0	2	0	1	3	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Eddie Gill G · 6'0" 190 · 24	16.8	9	56%	0	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Antonis Fotsis F · 6'10" 219 · 21	11.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Will Solomon G · 6'1" 185 · 24	9.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Massenburg F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35
Grant Long F · 6'9" 240 · 36
Brevin Knight G · 5'10" 166 · 26
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	47%	41	21	4	4	12	0	10	31	7-7	100%	34-68	50%	3-16	19%

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15 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Olowokandi C · 7'0" 270 · 27	40.8	25	60%	8	3	1	2	2	3	1	7	3-5	60%	11-18	61%	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 23	38.2	8	33%	10	3	1	2	1	3	3	7	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 26	32.8	11	50%	1	6	2	0	2	1	1	0	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Eric Piatkowski G · 6'7" 215 · 32	26.0	8	57%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 22	23.6	13	72%	3	5	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Quentin Richardson F · 6'6" 228 · 22	28.9	13	59%	5	2	2	0	2	1	1	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Darius Miles F · 6'9" 235 · 21	27.2	11	55%	7	4	1	2	1	1	3	4	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Doug Overton G · 6'3" 190 · 33	15.3	3	38%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Obinna Ekezie C · 6'9" 270 · 27	7.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Jeff McInnis G · 6'4" 190 · 27
Harold Jamison F · 6'9" 269 · 25
Tremaine Fowlkes F · 6'8" 220 · 26
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	49%	39	26	9	7	9	0	10	29	9-15	60%	31-61	51%	7-20	35%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE