FinalWin Prob.pScore
1543%90
97
2257%92
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
104.39397.5
MIA logo MIA
113.39086.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)97
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)97
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 296
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
6.4%
98
93.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
3.1%
98
96.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup94
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
3.1%
98
96.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)92
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 292
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot92
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 1:17MILAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)92
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q4 - 1:25MILMason REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot89
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)89
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 1:59MILRobinson Layup (19 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)89
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 2:04MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup87
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 2:19MILMISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot87
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)87
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound87
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 2:57MILMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot87
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 3:18MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)87
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
18.8%
90
81.2%
Q4 - 3:34MILMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot87
20.5%
90
79.5%
Q4 - 3:45MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
24.9%
90
75.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot87
22.7%
90
77.3%
Q4 - 4:02MIAHEAT Rebound87
18.1%
90
81.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot87
22.5%
90
77.5%
Q4 - 4:24MILCassell 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
17.8%
90
82.2%
Q4 - 4:30MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
13.2%
90
86.8%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot85
11.8%
90
88.2%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
9.2%
90
90.8%
Q4 - 4:52MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot85
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)85
15.4%
90
84.6%
Q4 - 5:26MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
20.0%
88
80.0%
Q4 - 5:26MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 284
19.2%
88
80.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAStrickland Driving Layup (9 PTS)84
20.2%
88
79.8%
Q4 - 5:58MILAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)84
25.8%
86
74.2%
Q4 - 6:15MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
34.2%
86
65.8%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot84
31.8%
86
68.2%
Q4 - 6:40MIAHEAT Rebound84
26.8%
86
73.2%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot84
31.8%
86
68.2%
Q4 - 6:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)84
26.8%
86
73.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot84
31.8%
86
68.2%
Q4 - 7:04MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
28.4%
86
71.6%
Q4 - 7:04MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
27.7%
86
72.3%
Q4 - 7:14MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
23.7%
86
76.3%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
22.1%
86
77.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
18.5%
86
81.5%
Q4 - 7:33MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot82
20.0%
86
80.0%
Q4 - 7:50MILBucks Rebound82
23.6%
86
76.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
22.0%
86
78.0%
Q4 - 8:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
20.2%
86
79.8%
Q4 - 8:10MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
21.5%
86
78.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)82
24.7%
86
75.3%
Q4 - 8:26MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q4 - 8:28MILMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot82
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 8:37MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
24.6%
86
75.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup82
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q4 - 9:00MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q4 - 9:00MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
19.5%
86
80.5%
Q4 - 9:11MIAStepania Finger Roll (8 PTS)80
17.6%
86
82.4%
Q4 - 9:27MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
21.1%
84
78.9%
Q4 - 9:29MILMISS Anthony Driving Layup80
22.4%
84
77.6%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)80
25.6%
84
74.4%
Q4 - 10:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 10:03MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
37.5%
81
62.5%
Q4 - 10:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
41.5%
81
58.5%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot80
39.7%
81
60.3%
Q4 - 10:25MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)80
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 10:27MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
41.6%
81
58.4%
Q4 - 10:30MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot80
37.5%
81
62.5%
Q4 - 10:53MIAStepania Tip Shot (6 PTS)80
41.6%
81
58.4%
Q4 - 10:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
46.7%
79
53.3%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot80
51.0%
79
49.0%
Q4 - 11:02MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
46.5%
79
53.5%
Q4 - 11:04MILMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
48.2%
79
51.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
52.2%
79
47.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
52.9%
78
47.1%
Q4 - 11:42MILMason 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
57.3%
77
42.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL78
52.2%
77
47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
52.2%
77
47.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot78
48.1%
77
51.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)78
51.7%
77
48.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILThomas Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)78
56.8%
75
43.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)77
55.8%
75
44.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)76
54.7%
75
45.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
46.5%
75
53.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
43.0%
75
57.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAStepania Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
46.5%
75
53.5%
Q3 - 1:14MILAllen 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
51.1%
73
48.9%
Q3 - 1:18MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)73
46.4%
73
53.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q3 - 1:34MILMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
42.9%
73
57.1%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)73
46.4%
73
53.6%
Q3 - 2:16MILThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)73
40.9%
73
59.1%
Q3 - 2:37MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)70
32.6%
73
67.4%
Q3 - 2:50MILAnthony 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
28.3%
73
71.7%
Q3 - 3:00MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
25.0%
73
75.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot68
24.6%
73
75.4%
Q3 - 3:17MILJohnson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)68
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
22.2%
71
77.8%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Grant 22' Jump Shot66
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q3 - 3:47MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q3 - 3:47MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q3 - 3:52MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)64
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 4:02MILMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)64
20.0%
71
80.0%
Q3 - 4:36MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q3 - 4:36MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 263
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q3 - 4:51MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
22.9%
69
77.1%
Q3 - 5:10MILRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)63
26.3%
67
73.7%
Q3 - 5:31MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)63
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q3 - 5:39MIAHEAT Rebound63
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Shot63
36.0%
65
64.0%
Q3 - 6:08MILMason 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
33.4%
65
66.6%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMourning Reverse Layup (12 PTS)61
30.2%
65
69.8%
Q3 - 6:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 6:54MILMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot61
34.6%
63
65.4%
Q3 - 7:05MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q3 - 7:05MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 7:06MILStrickland STEAL (1 STL)61
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 7:25MIAStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)61
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
51.9%
58
48.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot61
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q3 - 7:46MILPrzybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
52.0%
58
48.0%
Q3 - 7:46MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 260
50.2%
58
49.8%
Q3 - 8:06MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)60
52.4%
58
47.6%
Q3 - 8:27MILPrzybilla Dunk (4 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)60
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
53.4%
55
46.6%
Q3 - 8:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
55.6%
54
44.4%
Q3 - 8:53MILMISS Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
56.9%
54
43.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)58
58.7%
54
41.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q3 - 9:29MILMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot58
63.2%
52
36.8%
Q3 - 9:34MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
65.7%
52
34.3%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Strickland Layup58
64.6%
52
35.4%
Q3 - 9:36MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup58
64.6%
52
35.4%
Q3 - 9:48MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q3 - 9:48MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 257
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 9:54MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Przybilla: Tip to Cassell57
62.3%
52
37.7%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
57.9%
52
42.1%
Q3 - 10:16MILStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)57
59.1%
52
40.9%
Q3 - 10:24MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot57
60.6%
52
39.4%
Q3 - 10:46MILCassell 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)57
57.9%
52
42.1%
Q3 - 10:54MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot55
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q3 - 11:22MILCassell 12' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)55
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 11:35MIAGill 5' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)53
47.4%
52
52.6%
Q3 - 11:39MILGill STEAL (1 STL)53
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q3 - 11:48MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)53
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL53
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
61.1%
48
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot53
60.0%
48
40.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)53
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)50
50.0%
48
50.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAHEAT Rebound50
54.3%
46
45.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0MILMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot50
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:00MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot50
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q2 - 1:16MILMason Foul Turnover (P2.T2)50
54.3%
46
45.7%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
56.0%
46
44.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
60.6%
44
39.4%
Q2 - 1:37MILMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot50
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)50
62.2%
44
37.8%
Q2 - 2:08MIAHEAT Rebound50
68.0%
41
32.0%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS House 15' Running Jump Shot50
69.7%
41
30.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
68.0%
41
32.0%
Q2 - 2:17MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot50
68.8%
41
31.2%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)50
70.5%
41
29.5%
Q2 - 2:55MILAnthony 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)50
68.1%
41
31.9%
Q2 - 3:03MILAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
64.2%
41
35.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot48
63.2%
41
36.8%
Q2 - 3:24MILHam Dunk (2 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)48
61.1%
41
38.9%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)46
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 3:50MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
55.3%
41
44.7%
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Robinson 20' Jump Shot46
56.3%
41
43.7%
Q2 - 4:14MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)46
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q2 - 4:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
60.5%
39
39.5%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot46
61.3%
39
38.7%
Q2 - 4:38MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)46
63.2%
39
36.8%
Q2 - 5:00MILRobinson Dunk (11 PTS)46
68.4%
36
31.6%
Q2 - 5:04MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
65.5%
36
34.5%
Q2 - 5:11MIAHEAT Rebound44
62.6%
36
37.4%
Q2 - 5:13MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot44
63.5%
36
36.5%
Q2 - 5:22MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)44
65.5%
36
34.5%
Q2 - 5:27MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)44
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 5:37MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
60.2%
36
39.8%
Q2 - 5:49MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 5:49MILCassell 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
57.2%
34
42.8%
Q2 - 6:28MILAnthony 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)39
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 6:50MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
57.2%
32
42.8%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot37
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q2 - 6:58MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot37
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q2 - 7:13MILMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot37
54.5%
32
45.5%
Q2 - 7:29MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)37
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 7:43MILJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)37
58.9%
30
41.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)35
56.1%
30
43.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Stepania Layup35
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 8:41MILMason 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)35
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
58.7%
27
41.3%
Q2 - 8:59MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
59.0%
26
41.0%
Q2 - 9:13MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
60.2%
25
39.8%
Q2 - 9:15MILMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
61.0%
25
39.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)33
62.9%
25
37.1%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHEAT Rebound33
67.2%
22
32.8%
Q2 - 9:47MILMISS Mason 6' Hook Shot33
68.0%
22
32.0%
Q2 - 10:09MIAEllis 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q2 - 10:25MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 10:25MILAllen Layup (7 PTS)32
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q2 - 10:35MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup30
66.3%
20
33.7%
Q2 - 10:50MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q2 - 10:52MILMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
65.3%
20
34.7%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
66.1%
20
33.9%
Q2 - 11:26MILAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)30
68.3%
18
31.7%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound27
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Allen 65' 3PT Jump Shot27
66.9%
16
33.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)27
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
69.9%
14
30.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot27
70.4%
14
29.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
71.4%
14
28.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot27
71.0%
14
29.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0MILCassell Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
69.9%
14
30.1%
Q1 - 1:06MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
67.3%
14
32.7%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot25
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 1:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
65.7%
14
34.3%
Q1 - 1:16MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)25
66.2%
14
33.8%
Q1 - 1:23MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
67.3%
14
32.7%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot25
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 1:49MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)25
65.7%
14
34.3%
Q1 - 1:55MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
63.0%
14
37.0%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot23
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 2:11MILAllen 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
61.0%
14
39.0%
Q1 - 2:34MIACarter 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
58.7%
14
41.3%
Q1 - 2:41MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
61.1%
12
38.9%
Q1 - 2:43MILStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)21
61.7%
12
38.3%
Q1 - 2:53MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
63.1%
12
36.9%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 221
63.4%
11
36.6%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHEAT Rebound21
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 3:20MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
62.8%
11
37.2%
Q1 - 3:33MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
64.5%
11
35.5%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 3:49MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)21
62.2%
11
37.8%
Q1 - 4:04MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
59.8%
11
40.2%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 219
59.5%
11
40.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 219
58.5%
11
41.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot19
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 4:29MILRobinson 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 4:53MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
55.5%
11
44.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
56.3%
9
43.7%
Q1 - 5:07MILMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot17
57.0%
9
43.0%
Q1 - 5:19MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot17
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
56.4%
9
43.6%
Q1 - 5:31MILMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot17
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 5:46MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
58.7%
9
41.3%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot17
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 6:09MILCassell 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
55.6%
9
44.4%
Q1 - 6:29MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot15
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 6:53MILPrzybilla Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)15
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 7:02MIAStrickland Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)13
49.1%
9
50.9%
Q1 - 7:14MILMason Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)11
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:02MILRobinson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)11
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)9
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 8:31MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 8:33MILMISS Cassell 21' Jump Shot9
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 8:39MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot9
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 9:02MILMason 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)7
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 9:26MILPope 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
43.0%
5
57.0%
Q1 - 9:39MILBucks Rebound5
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 9:42MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot5
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)5
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 10:08MILRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pope 1 AST)5
43.0%
3
57.0%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.6%
3
62.4%
Q1 - 10:30MILGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)2
38.2%
3
61.8%
Q1 - 10:35MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot2
39.0%
3
61.0%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.6%
3
62.4%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot2
39.0%
3
61.0%
Q1 - 10:59MILMason 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
37.6%
3
62.4%
Q1 - 11:27MIAGill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)0
36.0%
3
64.0%
Q1 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:47MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Przybilla: Tip to Mason0
41.2%
0
58.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
16
75%
MIA
11
20
55%
Midrange
MIL
19
43
44%
MIA
19
46
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
20
25
80%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Robinson1956%9.5 / 17
S. Cassell1943%9.5 / 22
R. Allen1853%9.0 / 17
A. Mason1354%6.5 / 12
G. Anthony941%4.5 / 11
T. Thomas6100%3.0 / 3
J. Przybilla563%2.5 / 4
E. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
M. Pope250%1.0 / 2
D. Ham2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. House2279%11.0 / 14
A. Mourning1864%9.0 / 14
E. Jones1753%8.5 / 16
R. Strickland1139%5.5 / 14
B. Grant1063%5.0 / 8
K. Gill950%4.5 / 9
V. Stepania840%4.0 / 10
L. Ellis550%2.5 / 5
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
86
+6
-7
92
MIA
79
+15
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
96.1
MIL 104.3
MIA 113.3 +9.0
Pace
92.5
89.7
MIL 97.5 +11.5
MIA 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.7
MIL 14.8 +2.0
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
46.3%
MIL 49.4%
MIA 51.2% +1.8%
TO %
14.5%
15.5%
MIL 7.3% +4.3%
MIA 11.6%
ORB %
25.6%
26.7%
MIL 11.4%
MIA 27.5% +16.1%
FTrt
26.9
26.8
MIL 32.1 +5.3
MIA 26.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
59.4%
MIL 47.2%
MIA 60.5% +13.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.4%
MIL 7.5% +5.3%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.7%
MIL 4.5%
MIA 6.8% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
47.7%
MIL 51.6%
MIA 53.7% +2.1%
Rim FG%
56.1%
60.6%
MIL 75.0% +20.0%
MIA 55.0%
Mid FG%
45.1%
38.0%
MIL 44.2% +2.9%
MIA 41.3%
3P %
37.5%
34.7%
MIL 26.3%
MIA 50.0% +23.7%
FT %
74.8%
72.4%
MIL 80.0%
MIA 81.8% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
28.1%
MIL 20.5%
MIA 24.4% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
57.8%
MIL 55.1% +1.0%
MIA 56.1%
3P Att. %
24.1%
14.1%
MIL 24.4% +4.8%
MIA 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points97102
Rebounds3342
Assists1723
Steals72
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (5)
Field Goals36-7838-82
At-the-Rim FG12-1611-20
Midrange FG19-4319-46
2-Point FG31-5930-66
3-Point FG5-198-16
Free Throws20-2518-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 255 · 35
42.1
13
54%
11
4
2
0
3
2
4
7
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
37.9
19
56%
5
4
2
0
2
4
0
5
6-8
75%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 32
33.1
19
43%
3
3
0
1
1
4
0
3
3-3
100%
8-17
47%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 245 · 22
20.0
5
63%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'10" 235 · 30
12.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
27.1
9
41%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
23.7
4
100%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 27
23.0
18
53%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
10.2
6
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29
10.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
C · 6'11" 250 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
33
17
7
3
7
0
4
29
20-25
80%
31-59
53%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.