FinalWin Prob.pScore
2623%96
74
1277%105
83
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
85.18780.9
ORL logo ORL
93.38996.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL74
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMorris 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Morris 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUMorris Layup (9 PTS)70
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLHudson 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup68
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 1:30ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)68
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 1:32HOUMISS Norris 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44ORLMcGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 2:00HOUCato Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)68
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 2:19ORLMcGrady 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)68
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 2:35ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q4 - 2:35HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 268
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 2:35HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)68
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q4 - 2:54ORLMcGrady 18' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)67
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q4 - 3:09ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q4 - 3:10HOUMISS Norris 17' Jump Shot67
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q4 - 3:46ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)67
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q4 - 3:59HOUThomas Traveling Turnover (P4.T18)67
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q4 - 4:22ORLArmstrong 14' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q4 - 4:26ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q4 - 4:28HOUMISS Morris Driving Finger Roll67
28.6%
67
71.4%
Q4 - 4:55ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
34.8%
67
65.2%
Q4 - 5:13HOUGriffin Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)67
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q4 - 5:19HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
32.5%
65
67.5%
Q4 - 5:21ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup65
30.2%
65
69.8%
Q4 - 5:35HOUNorris Foul Turnover (P2.T17)65
25.4%
65
74.6%
Q4 - 5:53HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q4 - 5:55ORLMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot65
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q4 - 6:06HOUNorris Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
24.2%
65
75.8%
Q4 - 6:13HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q4 - 6:15HOUMISS Norris 8' Running Jump Shot63
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q4 - 6:32ORLArmstrong 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q4 - 6:52HOUNorris Driving Layup (2 PTS)63
24.3%
63
75.7%
Q4 - 7:08HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)61
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q4 - 7:10ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot61
18.4%
63
81.6%
Q4 - 7:32HOUFrancis 18' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)61
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q4 - 7:54HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q4 - 7:56HOUMISS Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q4 - 8:06HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q4 - 8:08HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q4 - 8:31ORLGrant Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)59
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q4 - 8:38ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q4 - 8:41HOUMISS Thomas 8' Jump Shot59
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q4 - 9:03ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (14 PTS)59
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q4 - 9:28HOUFrancis Driving Layup (26 PTS)59
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q4 - 9:40HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q4 - 9:42ORLMISS McGrady 8' Running Jump Shot57
12.5%
61
87.5%
Q4 - 9:59HOUMorris 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Norris 3 AST)57
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMcGrady Finger Roll (12 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)55
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q4 - 10:33HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q4 - 10:33HOUMorris Tip Shot (5 PTS)55
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q4 - 10:34HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot53
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q4 - 10:53ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q4 - 11:10HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)53
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q4 - 11:10HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)52
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q4 - 11:17HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q4 - 11:19ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup51
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q4 - 11:35ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q4 - 11:37HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot51
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL51
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound51
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 251
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)51
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0ORLEwing Foul Turnover (P2.T12)50
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOULanghi 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)50
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLEwing 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)48
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOULanghi Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)48
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 1:12HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 1:13ORLMISS Hudson 15' Jump Shot48
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 1:25ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 1:25HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 248
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 1:25HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)48
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 1:38ORLHudson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)47
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 1:44ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 1:46HOUMISS Morris 3PT Jump Shot47
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 1:55HOURockets Rebound47
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 1:57HOUMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)47
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 2:07HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 2:09ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup47
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 2:14HOUWilliams STEAL (1 STL)47
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 2:32HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)47
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 247
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 247
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 2:39HOUCato 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Morris 2 AST)47
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 2:56ORLEwing Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)45
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 3:16HOULanghi 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cato 2 AST)45
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q3 - 3:18HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q3 - 3:21HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q3 - 3:42HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q3 - 3:43ORLMISS Ewing Layup43
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 3:44ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 3:46ORLMISS Armstrong 11' Jump Shot43
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 4:00ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 4:02HOUMISS Francis 7' Jump Shot43
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 4:14ORLArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)43
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q3 - 4:31HOUThomas Dunk (8 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)43
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q3 - 4:43HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)41
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS Ewing 15' Jump Shot41
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q3 - 5:03HOUCato Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)41
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q3 - 5:27ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)39
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q3 - 5:34ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q3 - 5:36HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q3 - 5:54HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)39
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q3 - 5:56HOUMISS Torres 21' Jump Shot39
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q3 - 6:15HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q3 - 6:16ORLMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 239
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q3 - 6:16ORLGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q3 - 6:26HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)39
6.2%
48
93.8%
Q3 - 6:44ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Garrity Free Throw 1 of 237
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q3 - 7:09HOUCato 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Langhi 1 AST)37
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q3 - 7:36ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q3 - 7:48HOUCato Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)35
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q3 - 7:49HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q3 - 7:52HOUMISS Langhi 14' Jump Shot35
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q3 - 8:11ORLGarrity 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q3 - 8:33HOUThomas 3' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q3 - 8:57HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q3 - 8:58ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 233
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q3 - 8:58ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q3 - 9:11ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q3 - 9:13HOUMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot33
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q3 - 9:23ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)33
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q3 - 9:38HOUTorres Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)33
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q3 - 9:51HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q3 - 9:53HOUMISS Torres 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.9%
40
93.1%
Q3 - 10:08ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)31
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q3 - 10:15ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
6.7%
40
93.3%
Q3 - 10:18HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q3 - 10:39ORLArmstrong 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q3 - 11:01HOUThomas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)31
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q3 - 11:12HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q3 - 11:14ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup29
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q3 - 11:30ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q3 - 11:32HOUMISS Thomas Layup29
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q3 - 11:46ORLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU29
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Torres 20' Running Jump Shot29
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)29
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw 1 of 229
8.0%
37
92.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
8.1%
37
91.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Francis Reverse Layup29
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 1:00ORLMAGIC Rebound29
8.1%
37
91.9%
Q2 - 1:01HOUMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot29
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 1:15HOURockets Rebound29
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 1:16HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup29
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 1:34ORLHudson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)29
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 1:55ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q2 - 1:56HOUMISS Torres 20' Jump Shot29
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q2 - 2:16ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
11.8%
35
88.2%
Q2 - 2:36HOUFrancis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)29
10.6%
35
89.4%
Q2 - 3:08ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)26
8.7%
35
91.3%
Q2 - 3:08ORLHudson Layup (10 PTS)26
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 3:15HOUFrancis Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)26
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 3:23HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 3:24ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot24
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 3:29ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 3:36ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 3:39HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot24
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 3:50HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 4:00HOUFrancis 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)24
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 4:25ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)22
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 4:41ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Griffin: Tip to Hudson22
7.0%
32
93.0%
Q2 - 4:41HOUMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot22
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q2 - 5:06ORLWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)22
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 5:29ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
8.7%
30
91.3%
Q2 - 5:31HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q2 - 5:52ORLArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)22
9.7%
30
90.3%
Q2 - 5:55ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 5:57HOUMISS Griffin 13' Jump Shot22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 6:23ORLHudson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q2 - 6:33ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 6:35HOUMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q2 - 6:50HOUBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q2 - 6:52HOUMISS Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q2 - 7:16ORLHudson Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q2 - 7:31HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)22
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q2 - 7:31HOURockets Rebound22
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q2 - 7:32HOUMISS Cato 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q2 - 7:55HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMISS Hudson 21' Jump Shot22
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 8:01HOUArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)22
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q2 - 8:07HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 8:10ORLMISS Reid Dunk22
16.9%
24
83.1%
Q2 - 8:18HOUNorris Foul Turnover (P1.T11)22
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q2 - 8:21HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 8:23ORLMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.9%
24
83.1%
Q2 - 8:36HOUMorris Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)22
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q2 - 8:47ORLHudson Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 9:03HOUMorris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)22
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q2 - 9:16HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q2 - 9:18ORLMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot19
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q2 - 9:25ORLReid REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q2 - 9:27HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)19
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q2 - 9:58HOUGriffin Dunk (2 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)19
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q2 - 10:10ORLMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot17
13.1%
22
86.9%
Q2 - 10:17ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q2 - 10:20HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot17
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q2 - 10:34ORLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q2 - 10:49HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)17
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q2 - 10:51HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q2 - 10:53HOUMISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot14
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q2 - 11:11HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q2 - 11:12ORLMISS Reid Reverse Layup14
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q2 - 11:30HOUFrancis 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
9.4%
22
90.6%
Q2 - 11:46HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q2 - 11:49ORLMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot12
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL12
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound12
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot12
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0HOUMorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)12
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUFrancis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
7.2%
22
92.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUGarrity STEAL (2 STL)10
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 1:14ORLReid Layup (4 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)10
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:21ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 1:23HOUMISS Langhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 1:33ORLReid Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 1:49HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 1:49HOUTorres Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 1:51HOUMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot8
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 2:18ORLReid 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 2:32HOUMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 2:47HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS McGrady Running Layup8
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 2:54ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 2:55HOUMISS Torres 18' Jump Shot8
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 3:05HOULanghi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 3:07ORLMISS Hudson 13' Jump Shot8
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 3:15ORLReid REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 3:18HOUMISS Torres 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 3:23HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 3:25HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 3:36ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 3:40ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 3:42HOUMISS Morris Layup8
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 3:52ORLHudson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)8
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 4:10ORLReid REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 4:11HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 28
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 4:11HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
12.8%
13
87.2%
Q1 - 4:17HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 4:19ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup7
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 4:29HOUThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T6)7
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 4:41HOULanghi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 4:43ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot7
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 5:02ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 5:04HOUMISS Torres 20' Jump Shot7
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 5:12HOULanghi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 5:14ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 5:42ORLMAGIC Rebound7
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 5:45HOUMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot7
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 6:06ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)7
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 6:12HOUArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)7
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 6:17HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 6:18HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
14.3%
10
85.7%
Q1 - 6:29ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 6:29ORLGrant Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 6:31ORLMISS Armstrong 23' Jump Shot7
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 6:42HOUCato Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)7
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 6:50HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot7
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 7:04HOUTorres Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 7:14HOUFrancis Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)7
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 7:23HOULanghi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 7:24ORLMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot6
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 7:36HOUCato Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 8:01ORLWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)6
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:07ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:09HOUMISS Torres 19' Jump Shot6
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 8:21ORLGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:22ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:24ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 8:29ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:31HOUMISS Torres 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 8:51ORLWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:54ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 8:57HOUGarrity BLOCK (1 BLK)6
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 9:18ORLGarrity 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)6
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 9:24HOUGarrity STEAL (1 STL)6
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 9:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 9:36ORLMISS Garrity Driving Layup6
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 9:47ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 9:49HOUMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot6
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 10:04HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 10:06ORLMISS Williams Driving Finger Roll6
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 10:33HOULanghi 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)6
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:45HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:48ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot4
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:06HOUFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:24ORLWilliams 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:26ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:47HOUThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Cato: Tip to Francis0
17.5%
0
82.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.83 41.6%
ORL
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
21
76%
ORL
13
25
52%
Midrange
HOU
13
40
33%
ORL
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
3
4.5
21
14%
21%
ORL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
HOU
7
11
64%
ORL
7
13
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2950%14.5 / 29
T. Morris1150%5.5 / 11
K. Thomas836%4.0 / 11
K. Cato867%4.0 / 6
D. Langhi660%3.0 / 5
O. Torres417%2.0 / 12
M. Norris433%2.0 / 6
E. Griffin429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2255%11.0 / 20
T. Hudson1959%9.5 / 16
D. Armstrong1450%7.0 / 14
P. Garrity1063%5.0 / 8
M. Williams956%4.5 / 8
D. Reid450%2.0 / 4
H. Grant330%1.5 / 5
P. Ewing233%1.0 / 3
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
69
+19
-18
88
ORL
76
+8
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.83 41.6%
ORL
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
104.4
HOU 85.1
ORL 93.3 +8.2
Pace
90.5
95.6
HOU 80.9
ORL 96.3 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.6
HOU 17.8
ORL 15.0 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
49.3%
HOU 40.9%
ORL 50.7% +9.8%
TO %
14.3%
13.7%
HOU 18.0%
ORL 13.9% +4.1%
ORB %
29.0%
26.4%
HOU 31.9% +17.3%
ORL 14.6%
FTrt
28.6
27.8
HOU 13.4
ORL 17.3 +3.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
58.4%
HOU 43.8%
ORL 48.6% +4.8%
STL %
7.1%
8.4%
HOU 5.7%
ORL 6.7% +1.0%
BLK %
7.6%
6.8%
HOU 1.8%
ORL 3.3% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.2%
50.9%
HOU 41.6%
ORL 48.8% +7.2%
Rim FG%
56.6%
57.9%
HOU 76.2% +24.2%
ORL 52.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.6%
HOU 32.5%
ORL 50.0% +17.5%
3P %
33.5%
37.3%
HOU 14.3%
ORL 33.3% +19.0%
FT %
74.1%
75.4%
HOU 63.6% +9.8%
ORL 53.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
33.5%
HOU 25.6%
ORL 33.3% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
42.4%
HOU 48.8%
ORL 42.7% +6.1%
3P Att. %
22.3%
24.1%
HOU 25.6% +1.6%
ORL 24.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUORL
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points7483
Rebounds5038
Assists1417
Steals56
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals32-8235-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2113-25
Midrange FG13-4016-32
2-Point FG29-6129-57
3-Point FG3-216-18
Free Throws7-117-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 25
45.7
29
50%
8
2
1
0
2
4
2
6
7-11
64%
8-18
44%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
42.1
8
36%
12
4
1
0
4
2
4
8
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 24
29.7
6
60%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 275 · 28
28.1
8
67%
6
2
1
0
5
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 209 · 25
20.4
4
17%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 221 · 23
31.9
11
50%
10
2
1
0
3
2
4
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
22.8
4
33%
3
3
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 20
17.0
4
29%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 27
C · 7'0" 260 · 25
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
42%
50
14
5
1
18
0
15
35
7-11
64%
29-61
48%
3-21
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.