FinalWin Prob.pScore
1031%100
87
369%106
96
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
89.79789.4
DAL logo DAL
98.098107.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAMarshall 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stockton 9 AST)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)83
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15UTAMarshall Layup (4 PTS)83
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 1:15UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:17UTAMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 1:21UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:24DALMISS Finley 5' Jump Shot81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:43UTAFinley STEAL (1 STL)81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:45UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:49DALMISS Van Exel Layup81
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 2:07DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)81
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 2:10DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 2:25UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P6.T21)81
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 2:49DALFinley Layup (35 PTS)81
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 2:51DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 2:53DALMISS Finley Layup81
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 3:13UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 3:13UTAMalone Dunk (24 PTS)81
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 3:16UTAMISS Stockton Driving Layup79
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 3:22UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)79
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 3:31UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 3:35DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 3:49UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)78
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:09DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)78
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:11DALNajera REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)78
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 4:13UTAMISS Stockton 20' Jump Shot78
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 4:35UTAMalone Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)78
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 4:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 4:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:04UTAMalone Driving Layup (20 PTS)76
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 5:21DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 5:21DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 5:31DALNajera REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)74
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 5:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)74
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 5:34DALMISS Najera Layup74
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 5:37DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot74
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 5:47UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 5:47UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 5:52UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 5:53DALMISS Najera Layup72
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 6:08DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 6:09UTAMISS Russell Layup72
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 6:26DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 6:26DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (8 PTS)72
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 6:28DALMISS Van Exel Layup72
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q4 - 6:32DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 6:35UTAFinley BLOCK (2 BLK)72
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 6:56UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 6:58UTAMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot72
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 7:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 7:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 7:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q4 - 7:24UTAMISS Malone Layup72
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 7:43DALFinley Slam Dunk (33 PTS)72
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 7:52UTALaFrentz STEAL (2 STL)72
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q4 - 8:10UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
21.0%
75
79.0%
Q4 - 8:12DALMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot72
19.7%
75
80.3%
Q4 - 8:19DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q4 - 8:22UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot72
18.1%
75
81.9%
Q4 - 8:32UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q4 - 8:35DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot72
19.6%
75
80.4%
Q4 - 8:42UTALaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)72
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q4 - 8:52UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q4 - 8:54DALMISS Van Exel 12' Jump Shot72
19.6%
75
80.4%
Q4 - 9:23UTAStockton 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
17.4%
75
82.6%
Q4 - 9:43UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
14.3%
75
85.7%
Q4 - 9:45DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Shot70
13.4%
75
86.6%
Q4 - 10:04UTAPadgett Layup (15 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)70
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q4 - 10:15DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)68
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q4 - 10:15DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 268
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q4 - 10:20DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q4 - 10:22UTAMISS Marshall 6' Jump Shot68
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q4 - 10:42DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q4 - 10:42DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
12.9%
73
87.1%
Q4 - 11:02UTALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T17)68
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q4 - 11:19DALFinley Alley Oop Dunk (30 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)68
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q4 - 11:28UTAPadgett Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)68
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q4 - 11:28UTAPadgett Layup (12 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)67
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q4 - 11:36UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q4 - 11:38DALMISS Buckner Layup65
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q4 - 11:39DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Van Exel 5' Jump Shot65
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL65
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)65
14.2%
70
85.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 265
16.5%
69
83.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
16.0%
69
84.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0UTAMISS Stevenson 9' Jump Shot65
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
18.9%
69
81.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot65
18.0%
69
82.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
16.0%
69
84.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0UTAMISS Marshall 22' Jump Shot65
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q3 - 1:13UTALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 1:15DALMISS Zhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
18.3%
69
81.7%
Q3 - 1:33UTAPadgett Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)65
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 1:33UTAPadgett Layup (9 PTS)64
13.8%
69
86.2%
Q3 - 1:33UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 1:34UTAMISS Malone 13' Jump Shot62
10.3%
69
89.7%
Q3 - 1:50DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 1:50DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 1:58UTAStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)62
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 2:20DALNajera Layup (4 PTS)62
16.6%
67
83.4%
Q3 - 2:22DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
19.1%
65
80.9%
Q3 - 2:25DALMISS Van Exel 5' Running Jump Shot62
21.4%
65
78.6%
Q3 - 2:32DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
19.1%
65
80.9%
Q3 - 2:32UTAMISS Stevenson Layup62
20.1%
65
79.9%
Q3 - 2:32UTAJazz Rebound62
22.5%
65
77.5%
Q3 - 2:32UTABradley BLOCK (3 BLK)62
20.1%
65
79.9%
Q3 - 2:52DALVan Exel 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
22.5%
65
77.5%
Q3 - 2:59UTAVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)62
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 3:03DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)62
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q3 - 3:14UTAStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)62
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 3:25UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q3 - 3:28UTAMISS Malone 14' Jump Shot62
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 3:44DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)62
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q3 - 3:47DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
25.8%
63
74.2%
Q3 - 3:51UTABradley BLOCK (2 BLK)62
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 4:06DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 4:06DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q3 - 4:06DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 4:08UTAMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
33.8%
61
66.2%
Q3 - 4:11UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 4:13UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot62
33.8%
61
66.2%
Q3 - 4:28DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P3.T14)62
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 4:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 4:33UTAMISS Russell 17' Jump Shot62
33.9%
61
66.1%
Q3 - 4:38UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 4:42DALMISS Nash Driving Layup62
35.7%
61
64.3%
Q3 - 5:03UTAMalone Driving Layup (18 PTS)62
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 5:22UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 5:26DALMISS Bradley Layup60
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q3 - 5:32DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 5:34UTAMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot60
26.7%
61
73.3%
Q3 - 5:53DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)60
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 6:06UTAKirilenko Dunk (14 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)60
32.0%
59
68.0%
Q3 - 6:21DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)58
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 6:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound58
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 6:26DALMISS Buckner 21' Jump Shot58
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 6:27DALMAVERICKS Rebound58
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 6:28DALMISS Bradley Slam Dunk58
27.9%
59
72.1%
Q3 - 6:50UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
25.5%
59
74.5%
Q3 - 6:50UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
25.0%
59
75.0%
Q3 - 7:06UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 7:08DALMISS Finley 9' Jump Shot56
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 7:20UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 7:20UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 255
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q3 - 7:45DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)55
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 7:45DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)55
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 7:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 7:57UTAMISS Malone 21' Jump Shot55
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 8:12DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)55
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 8:23UTAMalone Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)55
28.3%
55
71.7%
Q3 - 8:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q3 - 8:31UTAMISS Kirilenko 3PT Jump Shot55
29.3%
55
70.7%
Q3 - 8:48DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)55
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q3 - 8:48DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (23 PTS)55
35.3%
54
64.7%
Q3 - 9:01UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q3 - 9:01UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q3 - 9:07UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
34.2%
52
65.8%
Q3 - 9:08UTAMISS Russell 7' Jump Shot53
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 9:25DALFinley 4' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)53
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q3 - 9:35UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
37.6%
50
62.4%
Q3 - 9:35UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
36.9%
50
63.1%
Q3 - 9:53DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)51
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q3 - 10:04DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q3 - 10:05DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot51
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q3 - 10:27UTARussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
36.7%
48
63.3%
Q3 - 10:58UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q3 - 11:01DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup48
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q3 - 11:15UTAStockton 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q3 - 11:18UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q3 - 11:22UTAMISS Russell 20' Jump Shot46
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q3 - 11:36DALLaFrentz Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)46
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q3 - 11:42UTAMalone 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA44
19.9%
48
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
19.9%
48
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot44
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0UTAStockton Foul Turnover (P4.T12)44
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0UTAMarshall Layup (2 PTS)44
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Stockton 8' Jump Shot42
15.0%
48
85.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot42
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q2 - 1:06UTABradley STEAL (2 STL)42
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 1:20DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 1:20DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 242
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 1:20UTABradley STEAL (1 STL)42
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 1:33DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)42
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 1:45UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)42
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 1:55DALNash Driving Layup (2 PTS)40
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 2:13UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)40
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 2:32DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)38
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 2:47UTAStockton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 3:09DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 3:09DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 236
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 3:09DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
15.2%
42
84.8%
Q2 - 3:10DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot36
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 3:30UTALewis Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)36
15.2%
42
84.8%
Q2 - 3:35UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 3:37DALMISS Najera Layup34
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 3:51DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 3:54UTAMISS Stockton Running Layup34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)34
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 4:10DALNowitzki Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)34
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 4:13DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.0%
39
83.0%
Q2 - 4:17UTANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)34
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 4:27DALVan Exel 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 4:44UTAGriffin STEAL (2 STL)34
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 5:00DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 5:21UTAPadgett Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)34
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 5:28DALGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)32
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 5:47UTAPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)32
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 6:01UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 6:06DALMISS Bradley 15' Jump Shot29
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 6:30UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 6:30UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 6:35DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)27
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 6:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 6:47UTAMISS Kirilenko 3PT Jump Shot27
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 6:51UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 6:54DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot27
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 7:11UTAPadgett 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 7:25DALBradley 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 7:45UTALewis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)25
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 8:06DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 8:06DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 8:20UTAMarshall Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)23
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 8:47DALGriffin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)23
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 8:53DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 8:54UTAMISS Marshall Layup23
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 9:03UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 9:06DALMISS Van Exel 4' Jump Shot23
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 9:11UTAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)23
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 9:30DALGriffin 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)23
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 9:40UTABuckner STEAL (1 STL)23
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 9:51UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 9:52DALMISS Buckner 16' Jump Shot23
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 10:06UTAStarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 10:06UTAStarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 10:06UTAJazz Rebound21
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q2 - 10:06UTABuckner BLOCK (1 BLK)21
14.2%
29
85.8%
Q2 - 10:27DALBradley Layup (2 PTS)21
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q2 - 10:50DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 10:53UTAMISS Stockton 13' Jump Shot21
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 11:02UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 11:05UTALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)21
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 11:10UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 11:12DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 11:15DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 11:18UTABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)21
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 11:37DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)21
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 11:45DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q2 - 11:47UTAMISS Starks 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA21
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALBuckner 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)21
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 220
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot20
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0UTAMalone Layup (8 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)20
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)18
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)18
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAStevenson Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot16
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 1:23DALMAVERICKS Rebound16
20.9%
19
79.1%
Q1 - 1:23UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot16
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 1:49DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)16
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q1 - 1:51DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 1:57UTALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)16
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 2:22DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)16
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 2:36UTAMalone Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)16
29.6%
14
70.4%
Q1 - 2:49UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 2:51DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot14
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 3:04UTARussell 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)14
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 3:26DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)12
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 3:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 3:34UTAMISS Malone 15' Jump Shot12
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 3:55UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 3:56DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
26.8%
12
73.2%
Q1 - 4:05UTANowitzki STEAL (3 STL)12
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 4:26DALLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)12
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 4:26DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 4:30DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 4:45UTAMalone 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 4:59DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)10
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 5:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 5:08UTAMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot10
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 5:27DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)10
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 5:38DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 5:38UTAMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 5:40UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 5:42UTAMISS Malone Layup10
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 5:57UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 6:01DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot10
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 6:19UTARussell Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)10
26.3%
9
73.7%
Q1 - 6:25DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)8
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 6:30UTANash STEAL (1 STL)8
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 6:34DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)8
24.8%
9
75.2%
Q1 - 6:38DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 6:41DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot8
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 7:01UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)8
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 7:09UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 7:13DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot6
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 7:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound6
24.5%
6
75.5%
Q1 - 7:16DALMISS Najera Layup6
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 7:20DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.5%
6
75.5%
Q1 - 7:22UTAMISS Russell 20' Jump Shot6
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 7:45DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)6
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 7:52DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 7:56UTAMISS Stockton 20' Jump Shot6
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 8:13UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 8:16DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot6
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 8:24UTAKirilenko 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)6
27.3%
4
72.7%
Q1 - 8:44DALNash Foul Turnover (P1.T4)4
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 8:57UTANowitzki STEAL (2 STL)4
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 9:12DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:26UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 9:30DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 9:34DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 9:34DALMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot4
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 9:44UTAKirilenko 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)4
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 9:55UTAJazz Rebound2
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:57DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot2
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:08DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:10UTAMISS Collins 4' Jump Shot2
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:22DALLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 10:42DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:44UTAMISS Collins 5' Jump Shot2
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 11:01UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 11:04DALMISS Najera 9' Jump Shot2
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 11:20UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:23DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:27UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)0
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 11:46DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Collins: Tip to Nash0
24.2%
0
75.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.96 47.8%
DAL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
34
53%
DAL
14
31
45%
Midrange
UTA
14
37
38%
DAL
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
DAL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
UTA
17
19
89%
DAL
28
32
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Malone2457%12.0 / 21
A. Kirilenko1869%9.0 / 13
S. Padgett1575%7.5 / 10
J. Stockton735%3.5 / 10
B. Russell732%3.5 / 11
D. Marshall638%3.0 / 8
Q. Lewis4100%2.0 / 2
D. Stevenson321%1.5 / 7
J. Starks233%1.0 / 3
J. Collins113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley3565%17.5 / 27
D. Nowitzki2457%12.0 / 21
N. Van Exel1137%5.5 / 15
R. LaFrentz867%4.0 / 6
E. Najera633%3.0 / 9
S. Bradley650%3.0 / 6
S. Nash217%1.0 / 6
G. Buckner225%1.0 / 4
A. Griffin2100%1.0 / 1
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
75
+15
-22
90
DAL
83
+15
-15
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.96 47.8%
DAL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
109.4
UTA 89.7
DAL 98.0 +8.3
Pace
92.3
95.4
UTA 89.4
DAL 107.3 +17.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.9
UTA 16.1
DAL 13.4 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
50.7%
UTA 43.8% +0.8%
DAL 43.0%
TO %
16.9%
12.1%
UTA 19.9%
DAL 14.7% +5.2%
ORB %
33.5%
26.2%
UTA 31.0% +3.1%
DAL 27.9%
FTrt
38.1
28.8
UTA 23.8
DAL 40.5 +16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
69.7%
56.6%
UTA 55.9%
DAL 59.4% +3.5%
STL %
9.8%
7.4%
UTA 9.3%
DAL 13.3% +4.0%
BLK %
10.5%
7.1%
UTA 16.4% +3.7%
DAL 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
53.0%
UTA 47.8%
DAL 49.0% +1.2%
Rim FG%
54.8%
58.9%
UTA 52.9% +7.7%
DAL 45.2%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.0%
UTA 37.8%
DAL 38.9% +1.1%
3P %
33.3%
37.8%
UTA 22.2%
DAL 33.3% +11.1%
FT %
76.3%
80.6%
UTA 89.5% +2.0%
DAL 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
30.7%
UTA 42.5% +3.3%
DAL 39.2%
Mid Att. %
45.7%
45.6%
UTA 46.3%
DAL 45.6% +0.7%
3P Att. %
13.2%
23.7%
UTA 11.3%
DAL 15.2% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes26.021.9
Points8796
Rebounds4441
Assists1919
Steals913
Blocks119
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals34-8032-79
At-the-Rim FG18-3414-31
Midrange FG14-3714-36
2-Point FG32-7128-67
3-Point FG2-94-12
Free Throws17-1928-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 259 · 39
38.7
24
57%
7
3
1
0
7
4
2
5
4-4
100%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
37.9
18
69%
4
2
2
6
3
2
2
2
6-6
100%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 40
37.8
7
35%
2
9
3
1
4
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 31
24.0
7
32%
4
2
1
1
1
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 249 · 23
18.3
1
13%
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
24.2
15
75%
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
22.4
6
38%
10
1
0
1
1
3
3
7
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
14.2
4
100%
1
0
2
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21
10.2
3
21%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 29
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 190 · 37
4.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
48%
44
19
9
11
22
0
13
31
17-19
89%
32-71
45%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.