FinalWin Prob.pScore
2222%87
65
678%96
70
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
75.68676.5
BOS logo BOS
79.588100.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS65
0%
70
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)65
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAGill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)65
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Strickland 9' Jump Shot62
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)62
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q4 - 1:01BOSCELTICS Rebound62
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot62
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q4 - 1:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q4 - 1:15BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot62
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)62
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q4 - 1:41BOSWalker 2' Driving Hook Shot (21 PTS)62
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q4 - 1:53MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)62
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q4 - 2:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
36.7%
62
63.3%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot62
26.8%
62
73.2%
Q4 - 2:36BOSWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)62
36.9%
62
63.1%
Q4 - 2:51BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)62
53.2%
59
46.8%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 262
55.0%
59
45.0%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 262
61.6%
59
38.4%
Q4 - 3:03MIAGill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
67.1%
59
32.9%
Q4 - 3:05BOSMISS Anderson 2' Layup62
63.0%
59
37.0%
Q4 - 3:14BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
52.5%
59
47.5%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot62
57.2%
59
42.8%
Q4 - 3:34BOSBattie Slam Dunk (6 PTS)62
59.2%
59
40.8%
Q4 - 3:35BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
67.3%
57
32.7%
Q4 - 3:38BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup62
73.1%
57
26.9%
Q4 - 3:49BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot62
70.8%
57
29.2%
Q4 - 4:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
76.5%
57
23.5%
Q4 - 4:09BOSMISS Battie 1' Layup62
74.3%
57
25.7%
Q4 - 4:11BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q4 - 4:14BOSMISS Walker 1' Layup62
74.4%
57
25.6%
Q4 - 4:33MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)62
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
61.2%
57
38.8%
Q4 - 4:47BOSMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot60
58.3%
57
41.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)60
46.4%
57
53.6%
Q4 - 5:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
55.4%
57
44.6%
Q4 - 5:29BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot60
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q4 - 5:44BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot60
49.5%
57
50.5%
Q4 - 6:05BOSAnderson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)60
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q4 - 6:10BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
57.5%
55
42.5%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot60
60.1%
55
39.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
65.9%
55
34.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot60
60.3%
55
39.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
66.1%
55
33.9%
Q4 - 6:52BOSMISS Battie 2' Layup60
63.7%
55
36.3%
Q4 - 7:10BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
56.3%
55
43.7%
Q4 - 7:27BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)60
61.6%
55
38.4%
Q4 - 7:42MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)60
54.1%
55
45.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAGill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot58
41.1%
55
58.9%
Q4 - 8:16BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)58
45.6%
55
54.4%
Q4 - 8:33MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
39.3%
55
60.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 257
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q4 - 8:52BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q4 - 8:52BOSPierce Driving Layup (12 PTS)57
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q4 - 8:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)57
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Stepania 7' Jump Shot57
54.0%
52
46.0%
Q4 - 9:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
55.5%
52
44.5%
Q4 - 9:23BOSMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot57
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q4 - 9:29BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)57
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIARogers BLOCK (2 BLK)57
51.2%
52
48.8%
Q4 - 9:48BOSMcCarty Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)57
55.7%
52
44.3%
Q4 - 9:53BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
51.3%
52
48.7%
Q4 - 10:06MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
53.5%
52
46.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
49.2%
52
50.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q4 - 10:31BOSMISS Pierce 1' Dunk57
51.7%
52
48.3%
Q4 - 10:36BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
47.4%
52
52.6%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 257
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
51.5%
52
48.5%
Q4 - 10:44MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q4 - 10:45BOSMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot56
46.0%
52
54.0%
Q4 - 10:56BOSCELTICS Rebound56
41.8%
52
58.2%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Mourning Layup56
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)56
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q4 - 11:00MIAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)56
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q4 - 11:18MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q4 - 11:21BOSMISS Rogers 2' Layup56
45.2%
52
54.8%
Q4 - 11:22BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q4 - 11:24BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup56
45.2%
52
54.8%
Q4 - 11:42BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS House 4' Jump Shot56
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS56
47.0%
52
53.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound56
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
45.2%
52
54.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Gill 14' Jump Shot56
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
44.9%
52
55.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0BOSMISS Walker 3' Layup56
43.4%
52
56.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 256
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
43.6%
52
56.4%
Q3 - 1:01BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
38.3%
52
61.7%
Q3 - 1:01BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
39.3%
51
60.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)55
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q3 - 1:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
47.9%
50
52.1%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot55
44.4%
50
55.6%
Q3 - 1:36BOSPierce 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)55
48.0%
50
52.0%
Q3 - 1:43BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
52.7%
48
47.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIARogers BLOCK (1 BLK)55
54.3%
48
45.7%
Q3 - 2:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
55.1%
48
44.9%
Q3 - 2:07BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
53.6%
48
46.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (House 2 AST)55
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 2:39MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot52
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q3 - 2:48BOSMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot52
39.9%
48
60.1%
Q3 - 3:09MIAJones 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)52
36.0%
48
64.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 3:21BOSMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q3 - 3:40MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T10)50
28.2%
48
71.8%
Q3 - 3:54MIAHeat Rebound50
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot50
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q3 - 4:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q3 - 4:03BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup50
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q3 - 4:11BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot50
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q3 - 4:33BOSWalker 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)50
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q3 - 4:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
35.9%
46
64.1%
Q3 - 5:06BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)50
38.1%
46
61.9%
Q3 - 5:21BOSCELTICS Rebound50
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot50
35.2%
46
64.8%
Q3 - 5:43BOSAnderson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)50
38.1%
46
61.9%
Q3 - 5:48BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
43.1%
44
56.9%
Q3 - 5:56BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)50
46.2%
44
53.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)50
40.3%
44
59.7%
Q3 - 6:27MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q3 - 6:32BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q3 - 6:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot47
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q3 - 6:55BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMourning 2' Hook Shot (14 PTS)47
28.8%
44
71.2%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot45
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q3 - 7:34BOSWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)45
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q3 - 7:39BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot45
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q3 - 7:58BOSWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T9)45
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMourning Layup (12 PTS) (Gill 5 AST)45
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q3 - 8:24BOSWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q3 - 8:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot43
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q3 - 8:45BOSBattie Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)43
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)43
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q3 - 9:34BOSBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)43
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q3 - 9:59MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)43
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q3 - 10:14BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q3 - 10:14BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
15.7%
43
84.3%
Q3 - 10:14BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q3 - 10:14BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup41
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q3 - 10:38MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q3 - 10:46BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 4 AST)39
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q3 - 11:21BOSAnderson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)36
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q3 - 11:32MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)36
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q3 - 11:44MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q3 - 11:46BOSMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot36
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS36
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0BOSMISS Potapenko 12' Jump Shot34
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAGill 1' Layup (6 PTS)34
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMcCarty BLOCK (1 BLK)32
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAHeat Rebound32
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0BOSMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 1:22MIAGrant 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)32
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 1:41BOSAnderson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 1:55BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 2:18BOSPotapenko 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)30
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 2:39BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 2:50BOSMISS Potapenko 19' Jump Shot30
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q2 - 2:59BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot30
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 3:07BOSMISS Rogers 2' Layup30
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMourning Tip Shot (10 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)30
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 3:54BOSAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 3:57BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Strickland 11' Jump Shot28
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound28
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot28
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 4:30BOSAnderson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)28
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 4:41BOSCELTICS Rebound28
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 4:43BOSMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot28
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 4:51BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot28
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q2 - 5:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
11.0%
34
89.0%
Q2 - 5:15BOSMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot28
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 5:34MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 5:56BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 5:56BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 226
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAGill Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)26
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAHeat Rebound26
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 6:31BOSMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot26
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 6:47BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot26
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:10BOSWalker Driving Layup (12 PTS)26
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 7:20BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot26
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 7:47BOSWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)26
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q2 - 8:04MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)26
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 8:17BOSMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot24
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)24
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot22
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q2 - 8:59MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 9:01BOSMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot22
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q2 - 9:03BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)22
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q2 - 9:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)22
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q2 - 9:31BOSWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)22
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMourning 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)22
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q2 - 9:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q2 - 9:59BOSMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot20
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q2 - 10:08BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot20
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q2 - 10:33BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q2 - 10:48MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot20
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q2 - 11:06BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMourning 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)20
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q2 - 11:44BOSMISS McCarty 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS18
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEllis Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)18
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)17
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)16
9.7%
24
90.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0BOSMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot15
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0BOSCELTICS Rebound15
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot15
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0BOSStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot15
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:08BOSStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)15
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 1:18MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 1:20BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot15
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 1:23BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Stepania 3' Layup15
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:29MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Stepania 6' Jump Shot15
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:45BOSWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 2:03MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)15
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 2:26BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 2:26BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 212
8.1%
21
91.9%
Q1 - 2:39MIAPotapenko STEAL (1 STL)12
8.0%
21
92.0%
Q1 - 2:55BOSStrickland 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
8.7%
21
91.3%
Q1 - 3:18MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)12
9.5%
19
90.5%
Q1 - 3:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot10
8.3%
19
91.7%
Q1 - 3:43BOSRogers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Potapenko 1 AST)10
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 3:48BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 3:52BOSMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 4:11MIAStepania 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
9.4%
17
90.6%
Q1 - 4:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Stepania 9' Jump Shot8
8.3%
17
91.7%
Q1 - 4:46BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)8
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 4:57BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 5:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 5:13BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup8
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:19BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.5%
15
90.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 5:41BOSWilliams 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)8
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 5:49BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.0%
13
89.0%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Ellis 1' Layup8
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Ellis 1' Layup8
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 6:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 6:04BOSMISS Anderson Layup8
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
11.1%
13
88.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
11.0%
13
89.0%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.4%
13
89.6%
Q1 - 6:17BOSMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot6
10.1%
13
89.9%
Q1 - 6:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.6%
13
90.4%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot6
9.8%
13
90.2%
Q1 - 6:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.4%
13
89.6%
Q1 - 6:39BOSMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot6
10.1%
13
89.9%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)6
9.7%
13
90.3%
Q1 - 7:21BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
9.1%
13
90.9%
Q1 - 7:32BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
10.4%
10
89.6%
Q1 - 7:33BOSMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 7:40BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
10.4%
10
89.6%
Q1 - 7:42BOSMISS Walker 13' Jump Shot4
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAHeat Rebound2
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 8:14BOSMISS Battie 1' Layup2
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)2
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 8:49BOSWalker 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 9:12MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 9:31BOSWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)0
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)0
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 10:21BOSBattie 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)0
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 10:29BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot0
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:50BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)0
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 11:00BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot0
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:21BOSBattie Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 11:34MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:34MIAHeat Rebound0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Battie vs. Mourning: Tip to Jones0
16.0%
0
84.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.68 34.2%
BOS
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
18
61%
BOS
12
29
41%
Midrange
MIA
10
48
21%
BOS
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
BOS
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
8
13
62%
BOS
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1640%8.0 / 20
A. Mourning1653%8.0 / 15
K. Gill1350%6.5 / 13
B. Grant633%3.0 / 9
R. Strickland523%2.5 / 11
V. Stepania425%2.0 / 8
L. Ellis315%1.5 / 10
E. House214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2150%10.5 / 21
P. Pierce1539%7.5 / 19
K. Anderson1255%6.0 / 11
E. Williams857%4.0 / 7
T. Battie650%3.0 / 6
E. Strickland450%2.0 / 4
V. Potapenko233%1.0 / 3
R. Rogers220%1.0 / 5
W. McCarty0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+22
-13
95
BOS
73
+9
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.68 34.2%
BOS
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.7
MIA 75.6
BOS 79.5 +4.0
Pace
89.7
95.1
MIA 76.5
BOS 100.4 +23.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.6
MIA 18.8
BOS 14.3 +4.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.6%
MIA 32.8%
BOS 41.0% +8.2%
TO %
15.5%
13.8%
MIA 13.9% +2.3%
BOS 16.2%
ORB %
26.7%
24.1%
MIA 33.3% +15.4%
BOS 17.9%
FTrt
26.8
29.1
MIA 14.9
BOS 18.1 +3.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.4%
MIA 73.1% +8.8%
BOS 64.3%
STL %
7.4%
10.1%
MIA 5.8%
BOS 9.1% +3.3%
BLK %
8.7%
5.8%
MIA 8.5% +0.9%
BOS 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.7%
MIA 34.2%
BOS 42.2% +8.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
53.9%
MIA 61.1% +19.7%
BOS 41.4%
Mid FG%
38.0%
36.6%
MIA 20.8%
BOS 43.3% +22.5%
3P %
34.7%
35.9%
MIA 23.8% +0.7%
BOS 23.1%
FT %
72.4%
76.4%
MIA 61.5%
BOS 84.6% +23.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.5%
MIA 20.7%
BOS 40.3% +19.6%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
36.6%
MIA 55.2%
BOS 41.7% +13.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
28.9%
MIA 24.1% +6.1%
BOS 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points6570
Rebounds5145
Assists1918
Steals58
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)38 (4)
Field Goals26-8728-72
At-the-Rim FG11-1812-29
Midrange FG10-4813-30
2-Point FG21-6625-59
3-Point FG5-213-13
Free Throws8-1311-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
40.9
16
40%
4
4
0
1
2
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
25%
4-12
33%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
38.1
6
33%
8
4
2
0
2
5
3
5
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
37.0
16
53%
8
1
0
4
3
3
4
4
2-4
50%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
33.3
13
50%
7
5
0
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
32.8
5
23%
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
3
1-4
25%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
22.1
3
15%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
3-3
100%
0-5
0%
0-4
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
19.5
4
25%
9
0
0
0
2
2
4
5
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
16.3
2
14%
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
F · 6'10" · 35
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
65
34%
51
19
5
5
13
0
19
32
8-13
62%
21-66
32%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.