FinalWin Prob.pScore
2624%86
117
2276%95
120
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
110.410687.2
MIA logo MIA
112.110789.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
OT2 - 0:00.0MIA117
0%
120
100%
OT2 - 0:04.0HOURockets Rebound117
1.4%
120
98.6%
OT2 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot117
1.9%
120
98.1%
OT2 - 0:20.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)117
5.4%
120
94.6%
OT2 - 0:20.0MIAStepania Tip Shot (10 PTS)117
5.4%
120
94.6%
OT2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS House Driving Layup117
21.8%
118
78.2%
OT2 - 0:37.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)117
12.1%
118
87.9%
OT2 - 0:39.0HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot117
18.1%
118
81.9%
OT2 - 0:55.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)117
29.3%
118
70.7%
OT2 - 1:19HOUMobley 18' Jump Shot (30 PTS)117
52.2%
115
47.8%
OT2 - 1:36HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)115
38.7%
115
61.3%
OT2 - 1:38MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot115
34.6%
115
65.4%
OT2 - 2:03HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS)115
25.1%
115
74.9%
OT2 - 2:24MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 13 AST)113
20.1%
115
79.9%
OT2 - 2:28HOUStrickland STEAL (1 STL)113
24.4%
113
75.6%
OT2 - 2:46MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)113
39.2%
113
60.8%
OT2 - 2:46MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)113
41.3%
112
58.7%
OT2 - 3:02HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (26 PTS)113
44.3%
111
55.7%
OT2 - 3:14HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
38.2%
111
61.8%
OT2 - 3:16MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
33.9%
111
66.1%
OT2 - 3:26MIAHEAT Rebound111
24.9%
111
75.1%
OT2 - 3:28MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot111
33.9%
111
66.1%
OT2 - 3:44HOUMobley 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)111
26.8%
111
73.2%
OT2 - 4:03MIAStrickland Running Layup (18 PTS)109
20.4%
111
79.6%
OT2 - 4:09HOUHouse STEAL (2 STL)109
26.8%
109
73.2%
OT2 - 4:20MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)109
35.4%
109
64.6%
OT2 - 4:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)109
26.8%
109
73.2%
OT2 - 4:22MIAMISS Jones 14' Running Jump Shot109
32.7%
109
67.3%
OT2 - 4:44MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)109
26.8%
109
73.2%
OT2 - 4:46HOUMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot109
29.3%
109
70.7%
OT2 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Griffin: Tip to Francis109
35.5%
109
64.5%
OT1 - 0:12.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)109
25.6%
109
74.4%
OT1 - 0:14.0HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup109
32.6%
109
67.4%
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Strickland 12 AST)109
46.8%
109
53.2%
OT1 - 0:41.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)109
60.4%
107
39.6%
OT1 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot109
66.0%
107
34.0%
OT1 - 1:04HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)109
71.6%
107
28.4%
OT1 - 1:06MIAMISS House 10' Jump Shot109
66.7%
107
33.3%
OT1 - 1:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)109
54.6%
107
45.4%
OT1 - 1:12MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot109
64.7%
107
35.3%
OT1 - 1:25MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)109
50.9%
107
49.1%
OT1 - 1:27HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot109
55.2%
107
44.8%
OT1 - 1:45HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)109
62.3%
107
37.7%
OT1 - 1:47MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot109
58.2%
107
41.8%
OT1 - 2:04HOUFrancis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)109
46.1%
107
53.9%
OT1 - 2:34MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Strickland 11 AST)106
28.7%
107
71.3%
OT1 - 2:46HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)106
44.8%
104
55.2%
OT1 - 2:46HOURockets Rebound106
62.2%
104
37.8%
OT1 - 2:47HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
50.1%
104
49.9%
OT1 - 3:10MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 1106
57.4%
104
42.6%
OT1 - 3:10MIAStepania Dunk (8 PTS) (Strickland 10 AST)106
59.4%
104
40.6%
OT1 - 3:28HOUThomas Driving Layup (26 PTS)106
64.9%
102
35.1%
OT1 - 3:47HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
53.2%
102
46.8%
OT1 - 3:49MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot104
50.3%
102
49.7%
OT1 - 4:04HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)104
43.7%
102
56.3%
OT1 - 4:04HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 2103
41.9%
102
58.1%
OT1 - 4:15MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)103
44.4%
102
55.6%
OT1 - 4:29HOUThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)103
53.4%
100
46.6%
OT1 - 4:29HOUThomas Driving Hook Shot (23 PTS)102
44.0%
100
56.0%
OT1 - 4:44HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)100
35.5%
100
64.5%
OT1 - 4:46MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
32.7%
100
67.3%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Griffin: Tip to Grant100
26.8%
100
73.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)100
51.6%
100
48.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)100
73.0%
98
27.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot100
85.7%
98
14.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUFrancis 15' Jump Shot (32 PTS)100
62.9%
98
37.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
45.0%
98
55.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
39.4%
98
60.6%
Q4 - 1:10HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)98
27.0%
98
73.0%
Q4 - 1:10HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
24.8%
98
75.2%
Q4 - 1:10MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)96
18.2%
98
81.8%
Q4 - 1:23HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)96
10.6%
98
89.4%
Q4 - 1:23HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)95
9.7%
98
90.3%
Q4 - 1:27HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
7.2%
98
92.8%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS Norris 22' Jump Shot94
4.8%
98
95.2%
Q4 - 1:43HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
7.9%
98
92.1%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot94
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 2:07HOUMobley Driving Layup (22 PTS)94
4.8%
98
95.2%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJones 12' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)92
3.7%
98
96.3%
Q4 - 2:46HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 2:46HOUThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)90
4.4%
96
95.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJones 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)90
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
8.6%
93
91.4%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot90
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q4 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 3:22HOUMISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot90
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 3:32HOURockets Rebound90
15.2%
93
84.8%
Q4 - 3:33HOUGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)90
12.1%
93
87.9%
Q4 - 3:37HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup90
13.7%
93
86.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 4:02HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup90
11.8%
93
88.2%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)90
14.9%
93
85.1%
Q4 - 4:44HOUJones STEAL (2 STL)90
20.0%
91
80.0%
Q4 - 4:57MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
27.3%
91
72.7%
Q4 - 4:57MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
28.3%
90
71.7%
Q4 - 5:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
32.9%
89
67.1%
Q4 - 5:11HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot90
35.3%
89
64.7%
Q4 - 5:36MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)90
41.2%
89
58.8%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)90
49.2%
87
50.8%
Q4 - 5:54HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot90
51.9%
87
48.1%
Q4 - 6:04HOURockets Rebound90
53.7%
87
46.3%
Q4 - 6:05HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
47.7%
87
52.3%
Q4 - 6:19MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
53.9%
87
46.1%
Q4 - 6:19MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
55.3%
86
44.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
60.2%
85
39.8%
Q4 - 6:25HOUMISS Norris 6' Running Jump Shot90
62.7%
85
37.3%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMourning Dunk (19 PTS)90
68.3%
85
31.7%
Q4 - 6:59HOUMobley 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Norris 5 AST)90
73.7%
83
26.3%
Q4 - 7:14HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
64.1%
83
35.9%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot88
61.9%
83
38.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
56.8%
83
43.2%
Q4 - 7:41HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 2 of 288
57.8%
83
42.2%
Q4 - 7:41HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
62.1%
83
37.9%
Q4 - 7:50HOURockets Rebound87
57.7%
83
42.3%
Q4 - 7:51HOUMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)87
52.3%
83
47.7%
Q4 - 7:56MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)87
57.7%
83
42.3%
Q4 - 8:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
48.1%
83
51.9%
Q4 - 8:03HOUMISS Mobley 16' Jump Shot87
50.1%
83
49.9%
Q4 - 8:24HOUMobley Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)87
54.7%
83
45.3%
Q4 - 8:37HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
48.4%
83
51.6%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot86
46.4%
83
53.6%
Q4 - 8:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
41.9%
83
58.1%
Q4 - 8:52MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
41.9%
83
58.1%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot86
46.4%
83
53.6%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot86
44.4%
83
55.6%
Q4 - 9:29HOUNorris Layup (2 PTS)86
40.2%
83
59.8%
Q4 - 9:33MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)84
34.8%
83
65.2%
Q4 - 9:38MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
29.4%
83
70.6%
Q4 - 9:40HOUMISS Griffin 24' Jump Shot84
31.0%
83
69.0%
Q4 - 10:01MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
34.2%
83
65.8%
Q4 - 10:01MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
36.2%
82
63.8%
Q4 - 10:18HOUMobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q4 - 10:27HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)81
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q4 - 10:29HOUMISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot81
25.9%
81
74.1%
Q4 - 10:36HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)81
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q4 - 10:38HOUMISS Norris Driving Layup81
25.9%
81
74.1%
Q4 - 10:52MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)81
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q4 - 11:08HOUFrancis Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Norris 4 AST)81
24.8%
81
75.2%
Q4 - 11:18MIAEllis Tip Shot (5 PTS)79
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q4 - 11:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Stepania 5' Running Jump Shot79
27.9%
79
72.1%
Q4 - 11:40HOUFrancis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)79
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
14.6%
79
85.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 41' 3PT Jump Shot76
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0HOUThomas 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Norris 3 AST)76
15.0%
79
85.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)74
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)74
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
12.5%
76
87.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot71
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:00HOUThomas Dunk (17 PTS)71
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)69
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHEAT Rebound69
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Mourning Layup69
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 1:08HOUHouse STEAL (1 STL)69
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 1:10HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot69
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 1:33HOUFrancis Driving Layup (18 PTS)69
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)67
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 1:54HOUMobley Driving Layup (14 PTS)67
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 2:06MIAStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS)65
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 2:21HOUCato Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)65
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 2:33MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)63
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 2:57HOUFrancis Foul Turnover (P2.T5)63
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 3:20MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (House 3 AST)63
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 3:39HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 3:39HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 3:51HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot61
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 4:13HOUMobley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)61
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 4:28MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 4:48HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 2 of 259
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 4:48HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)59
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 4:48HOURockets Rebound58
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMourning Dunk (17 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)58
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 5:15HOUThomas 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 5:25HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot56
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 5:46HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot56
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 6:11MIAStrickland 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 6:17HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup56
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 6:34MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 6:45HOUThomas 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)54
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 7:24HOUMISS Francis Reverse Layup54
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)54
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 7:55HOUThomas 7' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)54
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T10)52
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 8:16HOUMourning STEAL (1 STL)52
13.5%
56
86.5%
Q3 - 8:31MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 8:52HOUMobley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)52
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMobley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)49
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q3 - 9:32HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
13.4%
52
86.6%
Q3 - 9:32HOUThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q3 - 9:45HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 246
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 9:55HOUThomas 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 10:10MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)44
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q3 - 10:24HOULanghi 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)44
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q3 - 10:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot42
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q3 - 10:55HOUThomas 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)42
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q3 - 11:15MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q3 - 11:15MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q3 - 11:27HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)40
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q3 - 11:44HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot38
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUFrancis Driving Layup (14 PTS)38
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot36
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0HOUFrancis Tip Shot (12 PTS)36
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Norris 6' Hook Shot34
3.6%
49
96.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 1:16HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 1:16HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 233
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 1:32HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
3.6%
49
96.4%
Q2 - 1:34HOUMISS Langhi 18' Jump Shot33
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 1:50HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
3.6%
49
96.4%
Q2 - 1:51HOUMISS Thomas 10' Hook Shot33
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 2:04MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)33
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 2:16HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 2:16HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 232
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMourning 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 2:48HOUMobley Finger Roll (4 PTS)32
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 2:56HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot30
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 3:10HOUGriffin 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 3:16HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
3.7%
45
96.3%
Q2 - 3:17HOUMISS Langhi 6' Running Hook Shot28
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIAGill Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
3.7%
45
96.3%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 3:46HOUMISS Norris 4' Running Hook Shot28
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)28
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 4:31HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)28
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 5:09HOULanghi 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)28
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 5:16HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot26
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot26
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:35HOUMISS Langhi 20' Jump Shot26
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T8)26
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 6:05HOULanghi 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)26
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 124
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)24
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 6:33HOUMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot24
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 6:35HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 6:39HOUMISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot24
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 6:59HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 2 of 224
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 224
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 7:15HOUGriffin 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q2 - 7:40HOULanghi 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
4.8%
37
95.2%
Q2 - 7:52MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
4.4%
37
95.6%
Q2 - 8:03MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 8:05HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot20
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 8:28MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)20
5.5%
35
94.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q2 - 8:40HOUMISS Morris 18' Jump Shot20
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 9:03MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q2 - 9:15HOUFrancis Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)18
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 9:28MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 9:30HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 10:04MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 10:06HOUMISS Collier 10' Hook Shot18
7.8%
29
92.2%
Q2 - 10:38HOUCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS House Driving Layup18
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Gatling 9' Hook Shot18
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 11:18HOUFrancis 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)16
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU16
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound16
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 58' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS House Free Throw 1 of 216
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0HOUFrancis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUMISS Collier Free Throw 1 of 213
5.8%
28
94.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
5.8%
28
94.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup13
5.5%
28
94.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
5.8%
28
94.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Morris 21' Jump Shot13
5.5%
28
94.5%
Q1 - 1:16MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)13
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q1 - 1:38HOUMorris 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
7.1%
25
92.9%
Q1 - 1:40HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q1 - 1:42HOUMISS Mobley 6' Hook Shot11
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
6.0%
25
94.0%
Q1 - 1:59HOUGatling BLOCK (1 BLK)11
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 2:12MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)11
6.5%
25
93.5%
Q1 - 2:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.1%
23
92.9%
Q1 - 2:31HOUMISS Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)11
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q1 - 3:01HOUFrancis Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 3:24MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)9
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 3:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot9
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 3:50HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 3:50HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)7
8.7%
18
91.3%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)7
8.9%
17
91.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
9.3%
16
90.7%
Q1 - 4:20HOUMISS Langhi Tip Shot7
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 4:21HOULanghi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 4:23HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 27
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 4:23HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 27
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 4:33MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 4:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
9.3%
16
90.7%
Q1 - 4:40HOUMISS Langhi 19' Jump Shot7
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot7
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 5:11HOUMISS Francis 3PT Jump Shot7
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 5:31HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.9%
14
88.1%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot7
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 5:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:48HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot7
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 6:13HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot7
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 6:21HOUJones STEAL (1 STL)7
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 6:29HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot7
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 6:52HOUMISS Langhi 20' Jump Shot7
11.4%
14
88.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 7:17MIAHEAT Rebound7
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 7:19HOUMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot7
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)7
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 7:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 7:57HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup7
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 8:40HOUThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 9:03MIAGill Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 9:15HOULanghi Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
18.4%
6
81.6%
Q1 - 9:15HOULanghi 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)6
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 9:39MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 9:41HOUMISS Langhi 21' Jump Shot4
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 10:05MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 10:18MIAHEAT Rebound4
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:20HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot4
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMourning 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 11:02HOUThomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:21MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 11:39HOUFrancis Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Cato: Tip to Francis0
18.4%
0
81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.01 50.4%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
28
57%
MIA
18
24
75%
Midrange
HOU
24
54
44%
MIA
22
52
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIA
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
HOU
22
30
73%
MIA
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis3556%17.5 / 31
C. Mobley3065%15.0 / 23
K. Thomas2668%13.0 / 19
D. Langhi1142%5.5 / 13
E. Griffin528%2.5 / 9
K. Cato467%2.0 / 3
M. Norris319%1.5 / 8
T. Morris220%1.0 / 5
J. Collier125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2676%13.0 / 17
R. Strickland2050%10.0 / 20
E. House2059%10.0 / 17
A. Mourning1973%9.5 / 13
B. Grant1045%5.0 / 11
V. Stepania1063%5.0 / 8
L. Ellis563%2.5 / 4
K. Gill429%2.0 / 7
C. Gatling467%2.0 / 3
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
97
+19
-9
116
MIA
91
+16
-16
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.01 50.4%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
96.1
HOU 110.4
MIA 112.1 +1.8
Pace
90.5
89.7
HOU 87.2
MIA 89.1 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.7
HOU 16.5
MIA 16.2 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
46.3%
HOU 48.5%
MIA 56.7% +8.2%
TO %
14.3%
15.5%
HOU 8.3% +6.2%
MIA 14.5%
ORB %
29.0%
26.7%
HOU 23.9%
MIA 28.6% +4.7%
FTrt
28.6
26.8
HOU 30.6 +2.5
MIA 28.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
59.4%
HOU 26.7%
MIA 61.7% +35.0%
STL %
7.1%
7.4%
HOU 10.4% +4.8%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
7.6%
8.7%
HOU 3.9% +0.2%
MIA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.2%
47.7%
HOU 50.4%
MIA 55.0% +4.6%
Rim FG%
56.6%
60.6%
HOU 57.1%
MIA 75.0% +17.9%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
HOU 44.4% +2.1%
MIA 42.3%
3P %
33.5%
34.7%
HOU 31.3%
MIA 53.8% +22.5%
FT %
74.1%
72.4%
HOU 73.3%
MIA 76.0% +2.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
28.1%
HOU 28.6% +1.6%
MIA 27.0%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
57.8%
HOU 55.1% +3.3%
MIA 58.4%
3P Att. %
22.3%
14.1%
HOU 16.3% +1.7%
MIA 14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions106107
Possession Minutes29.228.8
Points117120
Rebounds4147
Assists1229
Steals116
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (8)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)35 (2)
Field Goals45-9847-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2818-24
Midrange FG24-5422-52
2-Point FG40-8240-76
3-Point FG5-167-13
Free Throws22-3019-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 25
53.0
35
56%
7
0
4
0
2
5
1
6
4-4
100%
11-22
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 215 · 27
51.0
30
65%
3
2
1
1
3
4
0
3
6-6
100%
9-17
53%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
45.4
26
68%
4
4
3
0
2
1
0
4
6-9
67%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 28
34.6
4
67%
13
0
1
1
1
6
2
11
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 24
26.4
11
42%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
36.6
3
19%
5
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 20
27.3
5
28%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 260 · 25
8.6
1
25%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 23
7.0
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 25
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
290
117
50%
41
12
11
3
9
0
11
30
22-30
73%
40-82
49%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.