FinalWin Prob.pScore
1040%93
94
1960%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
98.995102.5
MIA logo MIA
101.09891.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup94
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)94
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 294
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)94
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (16 PTS)94
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)92
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)92
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Tip Shot (34 PTS)92
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMISS McGrady 4' Running Jump Shot90
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Grant Tip Shot90
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)90
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLMISS McGrady Tip Shot90
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMISS McGrady 2' Tip Shot90
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLMISS McGrady 5' Running Jump Shot90
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMagic Rebound90
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot90
4.9%
94
95.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)90
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS)88
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 1:30ORLHudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)88
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 1:39ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot85
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 1:59ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (14 PTS)85
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 2:05ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot83
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 2:30ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 2:37ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)83
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 2:54MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)82
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 3:03MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot82
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot82
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 3:55ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS)82
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)80
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 4:32ORLMcGrady 6' Running Hook Shot (28 PTS)80
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)78
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 5:11ORLGarrity Foul Turnover (P3.T14)78
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T16)78
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q4 - 5:43MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 5:45ORLMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot78
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMourning Dunk (13 PTS)78
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 6:18MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot78
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 6:44ORLMcGrady 8' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)78
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 7:01MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 7:06MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMISS Garrity 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
14.2%
81
85.8%
Q4 - 7:24ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
15.6%
81
84.4%
Q4 - 7:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot76
15.6%
81
84.4%
Q4 - 7:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 8:06ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
18.0%
81
82.0%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot76
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q4 - 8:19MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q4 - 8:21ORLMISS McGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper76
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q4 - 8:31MIAAllen Dunk (16 PTS)76
18.0%
81
82.0%
Q4 - 8:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
25.2%
79
74.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 8:57ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
26.7%
79
73.3%
Q4 - 8:57ORLMISS McGrady Tip Shot76
23.3%
79
76.7%
Q4 - 9:01ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
24.1%
79
75.9%
Q4 - 9:21MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)76
27.4%
79
72.6%
Q4 - 9:28ORLMourning STEAL (1 STL)76
37.6%
76
62.4%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 5 AST)76
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q4 - 9:55ORLMiller 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)76
49.5%
74
50.5%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)74
43.4%
74
56.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
37.5%
74
62.5%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)74
39.3%
74
60.7%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
43.4%
74
56.6%
Q4 - 10:38ORLEwing 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
48.6%
72
51.4%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)72
43.4%
72
56.6%
Q4 - 11:06ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)72
37.7%
72
62.3%
Q4 - 11:15MIAAllen Dunk (14 PTS) (House 4 AST)72
43.1%
72
56.9%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
48.2%
70
51.8%
Q4 - 11:21ORLMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot72
50.0%
70
50.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)72
53.9%
70
46.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL72
59.0%
68
41.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
64.4%
68
35.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
62.8%
68
37.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
58.1%
68
41.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup72
59.6%
68
40.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)72
63.0%
68
37.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
67.7%
66
32.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
67.2%
66
32.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLMagic Rebound70
63.1%
66
36.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw 1 of 170
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
63.1%
66
36.9%
Q3 - 1:09ORLMcGrady Layup (24 PTS) (Reid 4 AST)70
56.9%
66
43.1%
Q3 - 1:15ORLReid REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)68
52.2%
66
47.8%
Q3 - 1:17ORLMISS McGrady 11' Running Hook Shot68
48.7%
66
51.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
52.2%
66
47.8%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 1:46ORLMISS Hudson 3PT Jump Shot68
58.5%
64
41.5%
Q3 - 1:59ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
61.8%
64
38.2%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS House Driving Layup68
58.7%
64
41.3%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
55.3%
64
44.7%
Q3 - 2:15ORLMISS Hudson 21' Jump Shot68
56.9%
64
43.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)68
60.4%
64
39.6%
Q3 - 2:45ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
64.4%
62
35.6%
Q3 - 2:52ORLReid REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
68.9%
62
31.1%
Q3 - 2:54ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot68
65.8%
62
34.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
67.9%
62
32.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
68.4%
61
31.6%
Q3 - 3:12ORLHudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 3:25ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
63.9%
60
36.1%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot65
62.5%
60
37.5%
Q3 - 3:48ORLHudson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Reid 3 AST)65
59.4%
60
40.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
54.4%
60
45.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
49.5%
60
50.5%
Q3 - 4:24ORLMISS Reid Free Throw 2 of 263
50.2%
60
49.8%
Q3 - 4:24ORLReid Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
52.6%
60
47.4%
Q3 - 4:42MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)62
50.2%
60
49.8%
Q3 - 4:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
45.2%
60
54.8%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 5:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
45.1%
60
54.9%
Q3 - 5:04ORLMISS Hudson 22' Jump Shot62
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 5:28MIAGill Foul Turnover (P1.T10)62
49.5%
60
50.5%
Q3 - 5:36ORLJones STEAL (2 STL)62
45.1%
60
54.9%
Q3 - 5:58MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)62
49.6%
60
50.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 6:17ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
53.9%
58
46.1%
Q3 - 6:38ORLMagic Rebound62
56.9%
58
43.1%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
55.6%
58
44.4%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)62
52.6%
58
47.4%
Q3 - 6:55ORLMagic Rebound62
56.9%
58
43.1%
Q3 - 6:57ORLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
53.9%
58
46.1%
Q3 - 7:21MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)62
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 7:37ORLGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)62
59.3%
56
40.7%
Q3 - 7:37ORLGrant Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)61
55.5%
56
44.5%
Q3 - 7:46ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)59
52.2%
56
47.8%
Q3 - 7:54MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)58
48.3%
56
51.7%
Q3 - 7:56MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q3 - 8:03ORLMISS McGrady 7' Hook Shot58
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
55.6%
54
44.4%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot58
54.3%
54
45.7%
Q3 - 8:29ORLGill STEAL (1 STL)58
51.3%
54
48.7%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)58
55.6%
54
44.4%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMourning Layup (8 PTS)58
59.3%
53
40.7%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
62.4%
51
37.6%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup58
65.2%
51
34.8%
Q3 - 9:00ORLMiller 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)58
62.4%
51
37.6%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)56
58.0%
51
42.0%
Q3 - 9:29ORLMcGrady Reverse Dunk (22 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)56
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q3 - 9:34ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot54
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q3 - 9:54ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)54
47.0%
51
53.0%
Q3 - 10:12ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
50.3%
51
49.7%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot54
49.1%
51
50.9%
Q3 - 10:27ORLGarrity Foul Turnover (P1.T6)54
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 10:40ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
50.3%
51
49.7%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup54
49.1%
51
50.9%
Q3 - 10:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 10:46ORLMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot54
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q3 - 10:55ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
50.3%
51
49.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot54
49.1%
51
50.9%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
48.5%
51
51.5%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
46.1%
51
53.9%
Q3 - 11:12ORLMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)54
47.1%
51
52.9%
Q3 - 11:21ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot54
48.6%
51
51.4%
Q3 - 11:42ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (20 PTS)54
46.1%
51
53.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL52
42.8%
51
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
42.8%
51
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAllen Tip Shot (4 PTS)52
42.8%
51
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot52
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0ORLMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q2 - 1:05MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
48.1%
49
51.9%
Q2 - 1:05MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
48.5%
48
51.5%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q2 - 1:13ORLMISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot52
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q2 - 1:20ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
54.5%
47
45.5%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot52
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q2 - 1:39MIAAllen 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (House 3 AST)52
54.5%
47
45.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
59.2%
45
40.8%
Q2 - 1:49ORLMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot52
59.7%
45
40.3%
Q2 - 2:01ORLGarrity Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 2:01ORLGarrity Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q2 - 2:03ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
54.5%
45
45.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot50
53.6%
45
46.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot50
52.5%
45
47.5%
Q2 - 2:32MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)50
54.5%
45
45.5%
Q2 - 2:48ORLMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)50
60.9%
42
39.1%
Q2 - 3:00MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)48
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q2 - 3:13ORLMcGrady 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
53.5%
42
46.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)46
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
56.5%
39
43.5%
Q2 - 3:36ORLMISS McGrady Dunk46
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 3:45MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)46
59.8%
39
40.2%
Q2 - 3:49ORLStrickland STEAL (2 STL)46
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q2 - 4:01MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)46
63.9%
37
36.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
61.3%
37
38.7%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Ewing Free Throw 2 of 246
61.7%
37
38.3%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Ewing Free Throw 1 of 246
63.3%
37
36.7%
Q2 - 4:16ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
64.0%
37
36.0%
Q2 - 4:17ORLMISS Ewing Reverse Layup46
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 4:35MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
64.0%
37
36.0%
Q2 - 4:53ORLGarrity 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)46
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
61.4%
35
38.6%
Q2 - 5:00MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
62.1%
34
37.9%
Q2 - 5:03MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
63.3%
33
36.7%
Q2 - 5:05ORLMISS McGrady Layup43
64.1%
33
35.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
66.1%
33
33.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 5:41ORLEwing 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)41
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 6:22MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
67.4%
29
32.6%
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Hudson 21' Jump Shot41
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 6:35ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
70.3%
29
29.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot41
69.5%
29
30.5%
Q2 - 6:49ORLEwing Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)41
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)39
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
66.4%
27
33.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Mourning Layup39
68.1%
27
31.9%
Q2 - 7:20ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 7:20ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
66.2%
27
33.8%
Q2 - 7:31ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 237
63.9%
27
36.1%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 237
62.1%
27
37.9%
Q2 - 7:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
61.6%
27
38.4%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot37
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q2 - 7:46MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
61.6%
27
38.4%
Q2 - 7:48ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup37
62.5%
27
37.5%
Q2 - 7:56ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q2 - 8:18ORLHudson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ewing 1 AST)37
61.0%
27
39.0%
Q2 - 8:32ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
58.8%
27
41.2%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot35
57.9%
27
42.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIAHEAT Rebound35
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q2 - 8:52ORLMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot35
56.8%
27
43.2%
Q2 - 8:58ORLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
58.8%
27
41.2%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot35
58.0%
27
42.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q2 - 9:13ORLMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot35
56.1%
27
43.9%
Q2 - 9:25MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)35
58.1%
27
41.9%
Q2 - 9:43ORLEwing 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
60.2%
25
39.8%
Q2 - 9:55MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)33
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
55.0%
25
45.0%
Q2 - 10:07ORLMISS Hudson 23' Jump Shot33
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 10:30MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)33
57.7%
25
42.3%
Q2 - 10:46ORLHudson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
62.2%
22
37.8%
Q2 - 10:56ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q2 - 11:21ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q2 - 11:21ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 230
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q2 - 11:38MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
56.8%
22
43.2%
Q2 - 11:38MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q2 - 11:40ORLCarter STEAL (2 STL)30
59.1%
20
40.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
59.2%
20
40.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 55' 3PT Jump Shot30
60.8%
20
39.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLHudson Layup (2 PTS) (Reid 2 AST)30
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)28
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
58.7%
18
41.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)28
59.3%
18
40.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
60.0%
18
40.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)28
58.7%
18
41.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot28
60.0%
18
40.0%
Q1 - 1:15ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 1:25MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q1 - 1:44ORLJackson Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)28
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 1:47MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
55.8%
18
44.2%
Q1 - 2:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
53.7%
18
46.3%
Q1 - 2:03ORLMISS DeClercq 8' Running Hook Shot26
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 2:24MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
55.9%
18
44.1%
Q1 - 2:24MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
56.8%
17
43.2%
Q1 - 2:34ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Reid 1 AST)26
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 2:48ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
53.6%
16
46.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot23
52.9%
16
47.1%
Q1 - 3:15ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q1 - 3:18MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 3:25MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 3:27ORLMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot21
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 3:50MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 4:03ORLStrickland STEAL (1 STL)21
49.8%
14
50.2%
Q1 - 4:16MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)21
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 4:30ORLArmstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)21
54.2%
12
45.8%
Q1 - 4:53MIAGill Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)18
50.3%
12
49.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 5:11ORLMISS Armstrong 8' Jump Shot18
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 5:28MIAGill Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 5:48ORLMcGrady 9' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)18
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 5:51ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup16
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)16
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 6:05ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 6:09ORLMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)13
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 6:12ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 6:17ORLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)13
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 6:22ORLMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot13
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)13
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:01ORLReid Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)13
47.2%
6
52.8%
Q1 - 7:06ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot11
44.9%
6
55.1%
Q1 - 7:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
43.5%
6
56.5%
Q1 - 7:26ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 7:32ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot11
44.9%
6
55.1%
Q1 - 7:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
43.5%
6
56.5%
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot11
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 7:54ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot11
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
43.5%
6
56.5%
Q1 - 8:08ORLMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 8:24MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)11
43.5%
6
56.5%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup8
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 9:05ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:13ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
39.9%
6
60.1%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot8
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 9:28ORLArmstrong 21' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 9:32ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot6
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 9:57ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 9:57ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 10:03ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot4
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 10:22ORLMcGrady 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 10:56ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 10:56ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)0
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 11:20MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:22ORLMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:34MIAGill 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. McGrady: Tip to Strickland0
34.3%
0
65.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.5%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
32
41%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
ORL
16
37
43%
MIA
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
ORL
15
20
75%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3452%17.0 / 33
T. Hudson1850%9.0 / 18
D. Armstrong1662%8.0 / 13
P. Ewing867%4.0 / 6
P. Garrity542%2.5 / 6
M. Miller467%2.0 / 3
H. Grant321%1.5 / 7
D. Reid338%1.5 / 4
J. Jackson225%1.0 / 4
M. Williams125%0.5 / 2
A. DeClercq0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. House2867%14.0 / 21
M. Allen1689%8.0 / 9
E. Jones1563%7.5 / 12
A. Mourning1341%6.5 / 16
K. Gill1050%5.0 / 10
R. Strickland945%4.5 / 10
V. Stepania467%2.0 / 3
B. Grant211%1.0 / 9
A. Carter225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+15
-13
97
MIA
82
+13
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.5%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
96.1
ORL 98.9 +2.1
MIA 101.0
Pace
95.6
89.7
ORL 102.5 +11.3
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.7
ORL 14.0 +1.7
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
46.3%
ORL 44.4%
MIA 48.2% +3.8%
TO %
13.7%
15.5%
ORL 12.5% +2.3%
MIA 14.8%
ORB %
26.4%
26.7%
ORL 24.5%
MIA 25.6% +1.1%
FTrt
27.8
26.8
ORL 22.5
MIA 28.0 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
59.4%
ORL 52.8%
MIA 70.3% +17.5%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
ORL 6.3%
MIA 8.2% +1.9%
BLK %
6.8%
8.7%
ORL 4.5%
MIA 8.7% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
47.7%
ORL 46.5%
MIA 51.6% +5.1%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.6%
ORL 40.6%
MIA 66.7% +26.1%
Mid FG%
38.6%
38.0%
ORL 43.2% +5.1%
MIA 38.1%
3P %
37.3%
34.7%
ORL 35.0% +3.7%
MIA 31.3%
FT %
75.4%
72.4%
ORL 75.0%
MIA 87.0% +12.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
28.1%
ORL 36.0% +6.7%
MIA 29.3%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
57.8%
ORL 41.6% +9.6%
MIA 51.2%
3P Att. %
24.1%
14.1%
ORL 22.5% +3.0%
MIA 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9598
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points9499
Rebounds4551
Assists1926
Steals68
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)40 (1)
Field Goals36-8937-82
At-the-Rim FG13-3216-24
Midrange FG16-3716-42
2-Point FG29-6932-66
3-Point FG7-205-16
Free Throws15-2020-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 23
37.3
34
52%
11
3
1
0
1
2
5
6
4-4
100%
12-27
44%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 218 · 22
32.2
4
67%
1
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
31.5
16
62%
5
3
0
0
2
4
2
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-7
29%
C · 6'10" 245 · 37
30.4
3
21%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 26
27.4
5
42%
5
2
0
0
3
5
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
20.6
3
38%
3
4
1
1
0
3
3
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 26
19.5
18
50%
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
2
4-5
80%
4-12
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 225 · 34
12.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 31
11.8
1
25%
2
0
3
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 40
11.4
8
67%
5
1
0
2
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
47%
45
19
6
3
13
0
13
32
15-20
75%
29-69
42%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.