FinalWin Prob.pScore
1446%89
88
2254%91
81
ORTG#PossPace
CHH
97.89098.1
MIA logo MIA
91.08983.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHH88
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHHAllen STEAL (1 STL)88
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0Hornets Rebound88
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)88
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 2 of 288
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMourning Driving Layup (25 PTS)87
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)87
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHHNailon Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)85
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHHNailon Layup (13 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)84
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
91.1%
79
8.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Strickland 7' Running Jump Shot82
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
80.6%
79
19.4%
Q4 - 1:01CHHMISS Mashburn 20' Turnaround Jump Shot82
83.4%
79
16.6%
Q4 - 1:22CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)82
86.4%
79
13.6%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Marks Driving Layup82
83.7%
79
16.3%
Q4 - 1:38CHHMashburn 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
75.6%
79
24.4%
Q4 - 1:57Hornets Rebound80
65.8%
79
34.2%
Q4 - 1:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
53.1%
79
46.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot80
62.1%
79
37.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot80
62.5%
79
37.5%
Q4 - 2:22MIAHEAT Rebound80
51.2%
79
48.8%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot80
62.8%
79
37.2%
Q4 - 2:42MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
51.0%
79
49.0%
Q4 - 2:44CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)80
67.8%
79
32.2%
Q4 - 2:44CHHMISS Magloire Tip Shot80
56.3%
79
43.7%
Q4 - 2:47CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot80
56.3%
79
43.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)80
65.1%
79
34.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
50.5%
79
49.5%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot80
61.0%
79
39.0%
Q4 - 3:26CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
50.3%
79
49.7%
Q4 - 3:26CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
49.1%
79
50.9%
Q4 - 3:26CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
44.7%
79
55.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot78
39.9%
79
60.1%
Q4 - 3:55CHHMashburn 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
33.5%
79
66.5%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T11)76
25.9%
79
74.1%
Q4 - 4:30CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)76
18.9%
79
81.1%
Q4 - 4:30CHHLynch Tip Shot (5 PTS)76
18.9%
79
81.1%
Q4 - 4:35CHHMISS Magloire 7' Jump Shot74
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q4 - 4:41CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
14.0%
79
86.0%
Q4 - 4:45CHHMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)74
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)74
16.5%
79
83.5%
Q4 - 5:17CHHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 5:17CHHMISS Nailon Free Throw 1 of 273
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q4 - 5:19CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
12.3%
79
87.7%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Marks 7' Jump Shot73
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 5:35CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 5:35CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMourning Tip Shot (23 PTS)71
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Mourning 2' Hook Shot71
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot71
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 6:27CHHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot71
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 6:45CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot71
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q4 - 7:02CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q4 - 7:02CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q4 - 7:03CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q4 - 7:05CHHMISS Mashburn 8' Jump Shot69
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q4 - 7:23MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)69
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 7:23MIAHEAT Rebound69
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q4 - 7:53CHHMashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)69
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 8:10CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 8:12CHHMISS Nailon 8' Jump Shot66
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 8:25MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)66
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 8:31CHHCarter STEAL (2 STL)66
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMarks Reverse Dunk (8 PTS)66
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 9:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 9:05CHHMISS Davis Dunk66
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)66
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q4 - 9:23CHHNailon 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 9:33CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS House Layup64
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q4 - 9:36CHHCarter STEAL (1 STL)64
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)64
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q4 - 10:06CHHDavis Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)64
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q4 - 10:15Hornets Rebound64
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q4 - 10:15CHHMISS Magloire Layup64
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q4 - 10:53CHHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 164
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 10:53CHHMagloire 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augmon 2 AST)64
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q4 - 11:13CHHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot62
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q4 - 11:40CHHMagloire 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS)62
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHH60
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0CHHMISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)60
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0CHHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
15.5%
67
84.5%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
19.5%
67
80.5%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS House Free Throw 1 of 260
19.9%
66
80.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q3 - 1:23CHHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 1:43CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 1:45CHHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMarks 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)60
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 2:27CHHMISS Augmon 5' Jump Shot60
27.7%
64
72.3%
Q3 - 2:39CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
30.6%
64
69.4%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup60
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
26.5%
64
73.5%
Q3 - 2:55CHHMISS Lynch Free Throw 2 of 260
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 2:55CHHLynch Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 2:56CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 2:58CHHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 3:13CHHDavis Free Throw Clear Path (14 PTS)59
27.5%
64
72.5%
Q3 - 3:14MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)58
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 3:20CHHDavis Reverse Layup (13 PTS)58
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q3 - 3:23CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q3 - 3:25CHHMISS Augmon 9' Jump Shot56
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 3:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q3 - 3:58CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot56
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 4:00Hornets Rebound56
24.0%
62
76.0%
Q3 - 4:02CHHMISS Campbell 5' Hook Shot56
22.2%
62
77.8%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMarks 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
27.5%
60
72.5%
Q3 - 4:38CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot56
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 4:53MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)56
31.7%
60
68.3%
Q3 - 5:18CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 5:18CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
27.8%
60
72.2%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
25.2%
60
74.8%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 254
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 5:55CHHWesley Layup (4 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)54
24.9%
59
75.1%
Q3 - 6:00CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot52
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 6:13CHHMISS Mashburn 8' Jump Shot52
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 6:18CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
22.8%
59
77.2%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Strickland 5' Jump Shot52
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 6:45CHHBrown Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)52
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 6:57MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)50
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q3 - 7:10CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 7:10CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 148
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q3 - 7:30MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)48
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMourning 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)48
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 7:42CHHMISS Davis Reverse Layup48
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 7:56CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot48
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 8:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 8:07CHHStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)48
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 8:24Hornets Rebound48
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot48
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 8:31MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Strickland Layup48
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 8:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 8:46CHHJones BLOCK (2 BLK)48
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 8:53CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup48
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 9:02CHHMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 9:16CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
21.4%
56
78.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot48
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 9:41CHHWesley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)48
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIAStrickland 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)46
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 10:12CHHBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)46
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 10:30CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 246
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 246
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q3 - 10:51CHHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 10:54CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q3 - 10:56CHHStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)44
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 11:07CHHMashburn Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)44
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 11:20MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)43
16.1%
54
83.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot43
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0Hornets Rebound43
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)43
20.6%
52
79.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
26.1%
49
73.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0CHHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot43
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 243
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHHBrown 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)43
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot41
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q2 - 1:16CHHBrown Dunk (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)41
24.3%
48
75.7%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 1:51MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Campbell: Tip to Gill39
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 2:07CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 2:08CHHMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot39
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)39
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)39
27.2%
45
72.8%
Q2 - 2:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q2 - 2:46CHHMISS Traylor 13' Jump Shot39
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 2:48CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q2 - 2:51CHHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot39
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)39
32.4%
44
67.6%
Q2 - 3:21MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 3:23CHHMISS Brown Reverse Layup39
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 3:40MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q2 - 3:40MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
38.9%
41
61.1%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHEAT Rebound39
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot39
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 3:59CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 3:59CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 4:03Hornets Rebound37
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 4:22CHHNailon 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)37
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)35
32.6%
40
67.4%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (11 PTS)35
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 4:51CHHDavis Layup (11 PTS)35
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIAStrickland 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
35.2%
37
64.8%
Q2 - 5:11CHHNailon Layup (6 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)33
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 5:40MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)31
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 5:53MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
37.8%
33
62.2%
Q2 - 5:55CHHMISS Nailon 10' Jump Shot31
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 6:10MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 6:32CHHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot31
44.2%
31
55.8%
Q2 - 6:49MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)31
46.5%
31
53.5%
Q2 - 6:49MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
47.2%
30
52.8%
Q2 - 7:13CHHMashburn 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 7:29MIAHouse Layup (5 PTS)29
46.3%
29
53.7%
Q2 - 7:32CHHHouse STEAL (1 STL)29
48.8%
27
51.2%
Q2 - 7:42MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 8:00CHHNailon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)27
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS)27
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
58.7%
21
41.3%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot27
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q2 - 8:30CHHLynch 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS)27
58.7%
21
41.3%
Q2 - 8:33CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 8:35CHHMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot25
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q2 - 8:50CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot25
55.7%
21
44.3%
Q2 - 9:10CHHNailon 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
53.3%
21
46.7%
Q2 - 9:30CHHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
51.1%
21
48.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot23
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q2 - 9:52CHHJones STEAL (2 STL)23
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q2 - 9:58CHHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
51.1%
21
48.9%
Q2 - 9:59CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
51.1%
21
48.9%
Q2 - 9:59CHHMISS Nailon Tip Shot23
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q2 - 10:03CHHMISS Campbell 6' Jump Shot23
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
50.9%
21
49.1%
Q2 - 10:20MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
53.4%
20
46.6%
Q2 - 10:34CHHDavis 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q2 - 10:36CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q2 - 10:38CHHAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)21
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q2 - 10:53CHHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot21
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q2 - 11:04MIAHEAT Rebound21
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Marks Reverse Layup21
52.0%
18
48.0%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q2 - 11:17CHHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot21
51.1%
18
48.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)21
52.8%
18
47.2%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot21
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHHMagloire Tip Shot (7 PTS)21
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot19
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0CHHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)19
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAAllen 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
45.1%
16
54.9%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
48.0%
14
52.0%
Q1 - 1:11CHHMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 216
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 1:11CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
49.8%
14
50.2%
Q1 - 1:11Hornets Rebound15
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot15
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 1:31CHHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot15
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 1:41CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot15
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup15
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 2:07CHHMagloire 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)15
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 2:19MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 2:33CHHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 2:56CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot13
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
40.8%
14
59.2%
Q1 - 3:14CHHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 213
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 3:14CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
42.7%
14
57.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)12
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 3:45CHHMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 3:45CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
45.5%
12
54.5%
Q1 - 3:47CHHMISS Magloire 8' Jump Shot12
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)12
45.4%
12
54.6%
Q1 - 4:25CHHMagloire 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)12
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 4:35CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
45.4%
10
54.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot10
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 4:54CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
42.8%
10
57.2%
Q1 - 4:54CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 29
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 5:04CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 2 of 29
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 29
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 5:06MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Jones Layup9
42.3%
10
57.7%
Q1 - 5:12CHHJones STEAL (1 STL)9
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 5:25MIAGill 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 5:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 5:46CHHStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)9
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 6:04CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot9
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 6:24CHHDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 6:29CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Strickland 8' Jump Shot7
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 6:51CHHCampbell Dunk (4 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)7
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 6:58CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot5
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 7:08MIAHEAT Rebound5
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot5
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 7:18CHHGill STEAL (1 STL)5
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 7:24CHHMashburn Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 7:50CHHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 7:56CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 7:58CHHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot4
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 8:40CHHMISS Campbell 16' Jump Shot4
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 8:55CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot4
44.3%
4
55.7%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 9:10CHHMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot4
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 9:17Hornets Rebound4
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 9:18CHHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)4
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Strickland 5' Jump Shot4
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 10:00CHHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:06CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup4
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 10:27CHHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMourning 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 10:53CHHDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 11:00CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Gill 13' Jump Shot2
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:11CHHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:49CHHCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:49CHHCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Campbell: Tip to Davis0
44.5%
0
55.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHH
0.89 44.4%
MIA
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHH
16
26
62%
MIA
13
27
48%
Midrange
CHH
12
42
29%
MIA
16
46
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHH
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
MIA
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
CHH
26
33
79%
MIA
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2343%11.5 / 27
J. Magloire1554%7.5 / 14
B. Davis1458%7.0 / 12
L. Nailon1464%7.0 / 11
P. Brown956%4.5 / 8
G. Lynch563%2.5 / 4
D. Wesley422%2.0 / 9
E. Campbell425%2.0 / 8
S. Augmon0-0.0 / 3
R. Traylor0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2563%12.5 / 20
E. Jones1343%6.5 / 15
M. Allen1150%5.5 / 11
E. House1050%5.0 / 10
S. Marks844%4.0 / 9
R. Strickland627%3.0 / 11
V. Stepania643%3.0 / 7
K. Gill214%1.0 / 7
A. Carter0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHH
78
+18
-12
96
MIA
81
+17
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHH
0.89 44.4%
MIA
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
CHH 97.8 +6.8
MIA 91.0
Pace
94.4
89.7
CHH 98.1 +14.7
MIA 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
CHH 14.7 +2.6
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.6%
46.3%
CHH 38.3%
MIA 39.5% +1.2%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
CHH 11.2% +0.3%
MIA 11.5%
ORB %
30.6%
26.7%
CHH 34.6% +7.3%
MIA 27.3%
FTrt
32.0
26.8
CHH 40.7 +9.8
MIA 30.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
59.4%
CHH 43.3% +4.6%
MIA 38.7%
STL %
8.7%
7.4%
CHH 3.3%
MIA 9.0% +5.7%
BLK %
8.4%
8.7%
CHH 5.5%
MIA 10.3% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
CHH 44.4% +4.3%
MIA 40.1%
Rim FG%
55.4%
60.6%
CHH 61.5% +13.4%
MIA 48.1%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.0%
CHH 28.6%
MIA 34.8% +6.2%
3P %
34.8%
34.7%
CHH 15.4%
MIA 25.0% +9.6%
FT %
74.5%
72.4%
CHH 78.8% +10.8%
MIA 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
28.1%
CHH 32.1%
MIA 33.3% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
57.8%
CHH 51.9% +4.9%
MIA 56.8%
3P Att. %
15.1%
14.1%
CHH 16.0% +6.2%
MIA 9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHHMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes22.025.6
Points8881
Rebounds5046
Assists1312
Steals38
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)8 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (0)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (0)
Field Goals30-8131-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2613-27
Midrange FG12-4216-46
2-Point FG28-6829-73
3-Point FG2-132-8
Free Throws26-3317-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 247 · 29
39.7
23
43%
8
5
0
0
2
2
1
7
12-14
86%
4-17
24%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 212 · 23
37.1
14
58%
4
3
2
1
3
3
2
2
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 203 · 31
35.2
4
22%
4
1
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 239 · 33
25.6
9
56%
8
1
1
2
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 279 · 34
23.3
4
25%
5
0
0
0
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
22.5
15
54%
6
0
0
1
1
4
4
2
5-7
71%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 27
20.3
14
64%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
18.7
5
63%
10
0
0
0
1
2
5
5
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 34
15.3
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 25
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 184 · 28
F · 6'9" 242 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
44%
50
13
3
4
12
0
18
32
26-33
79%
28-68
41%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.