FinalWin Prob.pScore
239%100
87
561%103
89
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
92.69497.2
SAS logo SAS
96.79289.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL87
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound87
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Exel 69' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (33 PTS)87
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)87
30.3%
87
69.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)85
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 285
19.5%
86
80.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)85
15.0%
86
85.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)84
12.7%
86
87.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)83
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:18)82
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 282
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALVan Exel 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)82
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)80
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 280
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 280
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALBowen STEAL (4 STL)80
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot80
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)80
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 1:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 1:09DALParker BLOCK (1 BLK)80
16.6%
82
83.4%
Q4 - 1:16SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)80
24.7%
82
75.3%
Q4 - 1:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)80
14.8%
82
85.2%
Q4 - 1:20SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot80
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q4 - 1:40DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
16.9%
82
83.1%
Q4 - 1:51SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)77
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 2:05DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)77
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 2:05DALVan Exel 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 2:17DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 2:19DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot74
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 2:28DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot74
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 2:54DALZhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)74
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)71
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)71
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 3:19SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)71
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 3:21DALMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 3:28DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 3:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)71
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q4 - 3:38DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot71
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q4 - 3:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)71
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot71
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q4 - 4:24DALFinley Dunk (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)71
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 4:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)69
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 4:29SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot69
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 4:58DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)69
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 4:58DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 268
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 5:21SASFerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)68
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 5:38SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 5:40DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q4 - 5:48DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
7.3%
75
92.7%
Q4 - 5:51SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot68
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q4 - 6:06SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q4 - 6:09DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q4 - 6:15DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q4 - 6:17SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot68
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q4 - 6:40DALVan Exel 1' Running Layup (16 PTS)68
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q4 - 6:50SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)66
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q4 - 7:06SASMISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q4 - 7:11SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Rose 2' Layup66
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q4 - 7:30SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q4 - 7:32DALMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot66
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 7:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 7:45DALMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 7:54SASRose 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)66
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q4 - 8:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q4 - 8:12DALMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot66
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q4 - 8:21DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)66
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q4 - 8:42DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q4 - 8:42SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 265
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q4 - 8:42SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q4 - 8:42SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Rose Layup65
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q4 - 9:04DALFinley 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)65
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q4 - 9:43SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)63
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q4 - 9:50DALBowen STEAL (3 STL)63
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q4 - 10:16SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q4 - 10:18SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 163
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q4 - 10:18SASDaniels 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)63
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q4 - 10:23DALDuncan STEAL (3 STL)63
18.8%
67
81.2%
Q4 - 10:30DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
22.9%
67
77.1%
Q4 - 10:32SASMISS Daniels 12' Jump Shot63
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q4 - 10:50SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
18.8%
67
81.2%
Q4 - 10:54DALDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)63
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q4 - 11:19SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)63
23.4%
67
76.6%
Q4 - 11:37SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q4 - 11:39DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot63
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS63
23.4%
67
76.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
19.5%
67
80.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot63
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)63
20.4%
67
79.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki 2' Tip Shot (22 PTS)63
20.4%
67
79.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMISS Finley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot61
15.3%
67
84.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)61
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASFerry Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)61
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q3 - 1:12DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 1:12DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
23.7%
64
76.3%
Q3 - 1:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)59
21.0%
64
79.0%
Q3 - 1:25SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 259
20.6%
64
79.4%
Q3 - 1:25SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 259
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q3 - 1:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)59
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 1:35DALRose BLOCK (1 BLK)59
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 1:52DALMavericks Rebound59
21.0%
64
79.0%
Q3 - 1:53SASMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot59
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 2:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 2:14DALMISS Van Exel 24' Jump Shot59
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 2:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)59
21.4%
64
78.6%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 259
20.9%
64
79.1%
Q3 - 2:22SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 2:22SASFerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)59
21.1%
63
78.9%
Q3 - 2:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
24.4%
62
75.6%
Q3 - 2:34DALMISS LaFrentz 4' Jump Shot59
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 2:47DALMavericks Rebound59
28.3%
62
71.7%
Q3 - 2:47DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 259
24.9%
62
75.1%
Q3 - 2:47DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 259
27.2%
62
72.8%
Q3 - 3:03SASDuncan Dunk (26 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)59
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 3:09SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
32.3%
60
67.7%
Q3 - 3:10DALMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot59
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 3:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)59
36.6%
60
63.4%
Q3 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 259
37.3%
59
62.7%
Q3 - 3:41DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
36.3%
59
63.7%
Q3 - 3:41DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 258
35.5%
59
64.5%
Q3 - 3:46DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 3:48SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot58
35.2%
59
64.8%
Q3 - 4:12DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
31.9%
59
68.1%
Q3 - 4:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)55
25.4%
59
74.6%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Bowen 10' Jump Shot55
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q3 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)55
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 4:48DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot55
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 4:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)55
25.4%
59
74.6%
Q3 - 4:59SASMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot55
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q3 - 5:24DALJohnson 1' Layup (9 PTS)55
22.4%
59
77.6%
Q3 - 5:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)53
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 5:28SASMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot53
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 5:57DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)53
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 6:04SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)53
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 6:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)53
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q3 - 6:13DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 6:18DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 6:20DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 6:37SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)53
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 6:52DALJohnson 1' Layup (7 PTS)53
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q3 - 7:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)51
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 7:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 251
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)51
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q3 - 7:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)51
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 7:21DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot51
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q3 - 7:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 7:33SASMISS Robinson 1' Layup51
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 7:49DALFinley Palming Turnover (P3.T10)51
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 8:12SASParker Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)51
18.5%
58
81.5%
Q3 - 8:31DALLaFrentz Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)51
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 8:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q3 - 8:47SASRobinson 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)49
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q3 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot49
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 8:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 9:02DALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)49
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 9:17DALMavericks Rebound49
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q3 - 9:17SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot49
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 9:32DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)49
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q3 - 9:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 9:59SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot46
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 10:17DALJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 10:17DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 245
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 10:27SASParker 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 10:53DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q3 - 11:14SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
11.9%
54
88.1%
Q3 - 11:14SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 243
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q3 - 11:18DALBowen STEAL (2 STL)43
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 11:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q3 - 11:31DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q3 - 11:51SASSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)43
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASDaniels Dunk (11 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)43
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0DALDuncan STEAL (2 STL)43
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 243
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0DALFinley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)43
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 1:13SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q2 - 1:13SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 1:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)41
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q2 - 1:24DALMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 241
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 1:24DALMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 241
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 1:24DALMavericks Rebound41
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:24DALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot41
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 1:40SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 1:40SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q2 - 1:49SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 1:52DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 1:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q2 - 1:57DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot41
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 2:08SASDuncan 7' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)41
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q2 - 2:25DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)41
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 2:32DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot39
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 2:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)39
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 2:44SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)39
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 3:02DALNowitzki 2' Layup (15 PTS)39
29.6%
41
70.4%
Q2 - 3:19SASDuncan 2' Layup (17 PTS)37
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)37
29.6%
39
70.4%
Q2 - 3:24SASMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot37
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 3:34SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
29.6%
39
70.4%
Q2 - 3:37DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot37
30.4%
39
69.6%
Q2 - 3:53SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 3:53SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
33.0%
38
67.0%
Q2 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
34.8%
37
65.2%
Q2 - 4:03DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot37
35.6%
37
64.4%
Q2 - 4:10DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
37.4%
37
62.6%
Q2 - 4:12SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
36.6%
37
63.4%
Q2 - 4:36DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)37
34.8%
37
65.2%
Q2 - 4:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
32.2%
37
67.8%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot35
31.4%
37
68.6%
Q2 - 5:18DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 5:34SASDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)33
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 5:54SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS Van Exel 10' Jump Shot33
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 6:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Ferry 16' Jump Shot33
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q2 - 6:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)33
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 6:25DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 6:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)33
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 6:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 233
35.3%
33
64.7%
Q2 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
34.4%
33
65.6%
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot33
36.5%
33
63.5%
Q2 - 7:08SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q2 - 7:10DALMISS Johnson 1' Layup33
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 7:25SASDaniels 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 7:44SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 7:46DALMISS Finley 8' Jump Shot33
40.4%
31
59.6%
Q2 - 8:00DALMavericks Rebound33
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 8:00SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot33
41.5%
31
58.5%
Q2 - 8:36DALVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q2 - 9:00SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)31
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 9:26DALVan Exel 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 9:34SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 9:55DALJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 10:10SASDaniels 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 10:33DALVan Exel 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q2 - 10:37SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q2 - 10:48DALJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS)25
30.0%
27
70.0%
Q2 - 11:01SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)23
27.9%
27
72.1%
Q2 - 11:06SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q2 - 11:08DALMISS Finley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot23
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 11:27DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)23
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q2 - 11:34SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)22
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q2 - 11:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q2 - 11:37SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot22
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL22
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound22
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 69' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
29.6%
25
70.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Daniels 1' Layup22
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0DALDuncan STEAL (1 STL)22
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS)22
29.6%
25
70.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)22
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 1:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q1 - 1:08SASMISS Rose 1' Layup19
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 1:29SASSPURS Rebound19
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q1 - 1:31DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 1:33DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q1 - 1:37SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot19
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 1:52DALVan Exel 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q1 - 2:05SASDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 2:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 2:11DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Layup17
23.3%
23
76.7%
Q1 - 2:21SASRose Layup (2 PTS)17
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 2:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q1 - 2:36DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q1 - 2:52SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
28.0%
21
72.0%
Q1 - 2:52SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 217
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 3:12DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)17
28.1%
20
71.9%
Q1 - 3:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 3:29SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot15
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 3:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 3:41SASMISS Parker 1' Layup15
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 3:53DALNowitzki 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)15
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 4:05SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 4:20DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:20DALFinley 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:37SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 4:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw Technical10
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 5:11DALFinley Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)10
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 5:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Robinson 1' Layup8
21.5%
16
78.5%
Q1 - 5:43DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 6:03SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 6:06DALBowen STEAL (1 STL)6
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 6:07DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 6:09SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 6:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 6:15DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot6
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 6:23SASRobinson Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 6:43DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:48DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 6:57SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot4
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 7:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 7:07DALMISS Nash 17' Jump Shot4
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 7:17SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)4
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 7:34SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:38DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot4
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 7:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 7:52SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot4
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 8:12DALLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P2.T5)4
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 8:26DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 8:26SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 24
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 8:26SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 24
21.8%
12
78.2%
Q1 - 8:34DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)4
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)4
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 9:05DALNowitzki 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 9:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 9:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 9:33SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 9:35DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 9:40DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 9:43SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot2
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 9:59DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 10:17SASParker Layup (4 PTS)0
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 10:25DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)0
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 10:25DALMavericks Rebound0
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 10:25DALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 10:54SASBowen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 11:01DALParker STEAL (1 STL)0
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 11:13SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 11:23DALLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:32SASParker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:42SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Nowitzki0
34.6%
0
65.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.93 46.3%
SAS
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
21
67%
SAS
12
22
55%
Midrange
DAL
16
39
41%
SAS
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
SAS
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
DAL
12
19
63%
SAS
27
45
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel2764%13.5 / 21
D. Nowitzki2659%13.0 / 22
M. Finley1835%9.0 / 26
A. Johnson950%4.5 / 9
R. LaFrentz433%2.0 / 6
W. Zhi-zhi375%1.5 / 2
S. Nash0-0.0 / 4
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3357%16.5 / 29
A. Daniels1343%6.5 / 15
D. Ferry11110%5.5 / 5
B. Bowen1056%5.0 / 9
D. Robinson950%4.5 / 9
T. Parker833%4.0 / 12
M. Rose528%2.5 / 9
S. Smith0-0.0 / 1
C. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+13
-13
94
SAS
80
+11
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.93 46.3%
SAS
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.4
103.9
DAL 92.6
SAS 96.7 +4.2
Pace
95.4
92.4
DAL 97.2 +8.1
SAS 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.5
DAL 14.8 +1.3
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
49.2%
DAL 45.7% +0.1%
SAS 45.6%
TO %
12.1%
14.8%
DAL 13.4%
SAS 12.9% +0.5%
ORB %
26.2%
27.2%
DAL 18.6%
SAS 25.0% +6.4%
FTrt
28.8
35.3
DAL 23.2
SAS 66.2 +43.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
56.4%
DAL 34.3%
SAS 55.2% +20.9%
STL %
7.4%
8.2%
DAL 5.3%
SAS 9.8% +4.5%
BLK %
7.1%
9.5%
DAL 3.4%
SAS 8.3% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
51.2%
DAL 46.3%
SAS 47.8% +1.5%
Rim FG%
58.9%
60.3%
DAL 66.7% +12.2%
SAS 54.5%
Mid FG%
42.0%
37.6%
DAL 41.0% +4.9%
SAS 36.1%
3P %
37.8%
36.2%
DAL 22.7%
SAS 40.0% +17.3%
FT %
80.6%
74.2%
DAL 63.2% +3.2%
SAS 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
37.2%
DAL 25.6%
SAS 32.4% +6.7%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
43.8%
DAL 47.6% +5.4%
SAS 52.9%
3P Att. %
23.7%
19.0%
DAL 26.8% +12.1%
SAS 14.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8789
Rebounds4146
Assists1216
Steals59
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals35-8229-68
At-the-Rim FG14-2112-22
Midrange FG16-3913-36
2-Point FG30-6025-58
3-Point FG5-224-10
Free Throws12-1927-45
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 225 · 29
46.9
18
35%
9
0
0
0
3
3
4
5
1-1
100%
7-18
39%
1-7
14%
F · 7'0" 245 · 24
46.6
26
59%
21
3
1
0
1
3
3
18
3-4
75%
10-16
63%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
24.9
4
33%
2
0
0
1
3
6
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 28
18.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'4" 210 · 26
17.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
37.1
27
64%
5
4
1
0
3
5
0
5
7-8
88%
7-12
58%
2-5
40%
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
22.9
9
50%
0
3
2
0
0
5
0
0
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
16.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 25
7.6
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28
C · 7'6" 275 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
41
12
5
2
13
0
8
33
12-19
63%
30-60
50%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.