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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 17, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs38%9286
6Jazz62%9684
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.0
43.2
31.1
26
57%
16
6
0
1
7
2
2
14
8-11
73%
9-18
8-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.0
38.8
22.0
9
43%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.8
30.9
26.1
6
44%
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.9
19.7
25.7
8
51%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.0
16.9
15.2
5
51%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.5
26.6
18.3
10
67%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 39.0
23.6
14.5
9
56%
3
5
2
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.1
18.6
25.1
9
59%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.4
16.4
24.7
4
67%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
5-10
67%
47%
0-0
-
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
5.4
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 28.5
12.7
0
2-4
44%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.0
10.6
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.1
41.0
32.4
23
58%
2
10
2
2
0
2
0
2
10-11
91%
5-14
5-9
36%
52%
1-1
100%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.7
40.8
33.4
15
43%
8
4
3
2
2
1
0
8
9-10
90%
3-13
6-14
23%
44%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.3
33.3
25.4
9
30%
9
1
2
1
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-10
2-5
30%
41%
1-5
20%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
30.5
30.0
7
33%
9
0
1
2
5
1
6
3
3-6
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.4
20.8
18.0
6
55%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
25.7
23.1
8
67%
8
2
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
18.6
24.1
6
43%
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Lewis
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
11.1
13.9
10
83%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
45%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.0
7.0
13.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.1
4.0
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.4
3.6
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.7
3.6
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.