FinalWin Prob.pScore
297%84
79
493%102
87
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
90.88785.8
SAS logo SAS
106.18283.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN79
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENHart BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Andersen 14' Jump Shot79
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASHart REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENRose BLOCK (2 BLK)79
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENNuggets Rebound79
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Rose 2' Tip Shot79
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Daniels 1' Layup79
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 1:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)79
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 1:07DENRose BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 1:19SASRose Foul Turnover (P5.T15)79
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 1:34DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 1:34DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 1:51DENNuggets Rebound77
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 1:51SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot77
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 1:55SASHart REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 1:57SASMISS Hart 8' Jump Shot77
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 2:20DENHarvey 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 2:22DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot75
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:31DENNuggets Rebound75
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Lenard 2' Layup75
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:33DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:35DENMISS Harvey 15' Jump Shot75
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:59DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 3:00SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 275
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 3:00SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 3:21DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)75
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 3:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 3:25SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot75
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 3:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 3:44DENMISS Satterfield 3' Layup75
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 4:12SASRose 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)75
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 4:32DENAndersen 1' Layup (9 PTS)75
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 4:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 4:34DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 273
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:34DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 4:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:42SASMISS Smith 3' Layup72
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 5:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 5:02DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 272
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 5:02DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 272
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 5:15SASHart 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 5:40DENSatterfield 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)72
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 6:04SASRose 2' Layup (12 PTS)69
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 6:22DENSatterfield Layup (6 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)69
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 6:24SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)67
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 6:50DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 6:50DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 7:02SASDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T13)65
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 7:25DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 7:25DENAndersen Tip Shot (7 PTS)65
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 7:27DENMISS Satterfield 12' Jump Shot63
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 7:39SASHart Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 7:54DENLenard 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Satterfield 5 AST)63
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:08SASSmith Layup (4 PTS)61
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:15SASFerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 8:17SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot61
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T16)61
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 8:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Smith 2' Layup61
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 9:05DENLenard 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)61
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 9:26SASSmith 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)59
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 9:32DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot59
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 9:55SASFerry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)59
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 10:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Ferry 20' Jump Shot59
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 10:26DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 10:26DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 10:28DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 10:31SASSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Smith 2' Layup57
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 10:34SASMISS Smith 2' Layup57
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 10:42SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 10:46SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 10:58DENSatterfield Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)57
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 11:03DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot57
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 11:07SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot57
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 11:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Satterfield 2' Reverse Layup57
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:45SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS57
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound57
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 44' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENAndersen Dunk (5 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)57
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASDuncan 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)55
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)55
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 254
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot54
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)54
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)53
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 1:07SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)51
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 1:36DENHarvey 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)51
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 1:45DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 1:47SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup49
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 2:06DENHarvey Layup (4 PTS)49
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 2:08DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10DENMISS Lenard 21' Jump Shot47
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 2:34SASParker 1' Running Layup (11 PTS)47
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q3 - 2:57DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 2 of 247
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q3 - 2:57DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 1 of 247
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 3:10SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)47
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 3:28DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)47
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q3 - 3:28DENHoward 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)46
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 3:37SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)44
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q3 - 3:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 3:41SASMISS Rose 1' Layup44
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q3 - 3:59DENHoward 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)44
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 4:13DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 4:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 4:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 4:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Harvey 1' Layup42
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q3 - 4:41DENNuggets Rebound42
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 4:41DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Andersen 2' Follow Up Dunk42
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q3 - 4:42DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q3 - 5:04DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 242
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 5:04SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 5:09DENPosey 2' Layup (8 PTS)42
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 5:29SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q3 - 5:53DENHoward 1' Layup (14 PTS) (McCloud 3 AST)40
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 6:02DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
0.7%
57
99.3%
Q3 - 6:32DENHarvey 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)38
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)36
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 6:59DENHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T14)36
0.5%
57
99.5%
Q3 - 7:09DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 7:11SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 7:24DENHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)36
0.5%
57
99.5%
Q3 - 7:36SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 7:55DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 7:55DENMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 235
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 7:59SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:16DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)35
0.6%
55
99.4%
Q3 - 8:32DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:35SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Smith Free Throw Technical35
0.6%
55
99.4%
Q3 - 8:49SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
0.6%
55
99.4%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 9:06DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
0.8%
55
99.2%
Q3 - 9:07SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 9:19DENMISS Cheaney 15' Jump Shot35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 9:32SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)35
0.8%
55
99.2%
Q3 - 9:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 9:55DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot35
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 10:23SASRose 2' Layup (10 PTS)35
0.8%
55
99.2%
Q3 - 10:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Bateer 15' Jump Shot35
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q3 - 10:42DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q3 - 11:12SASParker 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)35
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q3 - 11:21SASSPURS Rebound35
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup35
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q3 - 11:39DENBateer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cheaney 3 AST)35
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN32
0.9%
51
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound32
0.9%
51
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
0.8%
51
99.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASRobinson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)32
1.0%
51
99.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENRobinson STEAL (5 STL)32
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
1.3%
49
98.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
1.4%
48
98.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
1.5%
47
98.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup32
1.6%
47
98.4%
Q2 - 1:07DENHoward 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)32
1.7%
47
98.3%
Q2 - 1:29DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 1:31SASMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot30
1.3%
47
98.7%
Q2 - 1:47SASSPURS Rebound30
1.3%
47
98.7%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Cheaney 16' Jump Shot30
1.3%
47
98.7%
Q2 - 2:01DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
1.5%
47
98.5%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup30
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 2:25DENRose STEAL (1 STL)30
1.3%
47
98.7%
Q2 - 2:43DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
1.5%
47
98.5%
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot30
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 3:08SASRose Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)30
1.6%
47
98.4%
Q2 - 3:13DENRobinson STEAL (4 STL)30
1.8%
45
98.2%
Q2 - 3:31SASRobinson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)30
2.0%
45
98.0%
Q2 - 3:45SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
2.2%
43
97.8%
Q2 - 3:48DENMISS Cheaney 14' Jump Shot30
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 3:53DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot30
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 4:13DENRobinson STEAL (3 STL)30
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 4:25DENMcCloud Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)30
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 4:25DENMcCloud Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)29
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 4:38SASParks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)28
2.0%
43
98.0%
Q2 - 4:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Parks 16' Jump Shot28
2.0%
43
98.0%
Q2 - 4:56DENRobinson STEAL (2 STL)28
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 5:16SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
2.1%
43
97.9%
Q2 - 5:32SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 5:34DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot28
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 5:52SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
2.1%
43
97.9%
Q2 - 5:57SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 5:59DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 6:05DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
2.1%
43
97.9%
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Ferry 21' Jump Shot28
2.1%
43
97.9%
Q2 - 6:23SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Robinson 2' Dunk28
2.0%
43
98.0%
Q2 - 6:38DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 6:38DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 6:41DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 6:43SASMISS Parks 17' Jump Shot26
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 7:03SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 7:05DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot26
1.7%
43
98.3%
Q2 - 7:17DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 7:42DENHoward 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)26
1.6%
43
98.4%
Q2 - 7:55SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
1.5%
43
98.5%
Q2 - 7:55SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 224
1.5%
42
98.5%
Q2 - 8:10DENBateer 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)24
1.5%
42
98.5%
Q2 - 8:30SASHart 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
1.4%
42
98.6%
Q2 - 8:53SASSPURS Rebound22
1.5%
40
98.5%
Q2 - 8:55DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot22
1.6%
40
98.4%
Q2 - 9:20SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
1.7%
40
98.3%
Q2 - 9:20SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 222
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q2 - 9:37DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)22
1.7%
39
98.3%
Q2 - 9:50SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
1.9%
39
98.1%
Q2 - 9:50SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
1.9%
38
98.1%
Q2 - 10:01DENSatterfield 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
2.2%
37
97.8%
Q2 - 10:17DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
2.0%
37
98.0%
Q2 - 10:20SASMISS Hart 17' Jump Shot20
1.9%
37
98.1%
Q2 - 10:40DENPosey 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)20
1.8%
37
98.2%
Q2 - 10:45DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
1.6%
37
98.4%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Posey 17' Jump Shot18
1.5%
37
98.5%
Q2 - 11:01DENPosey Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)18
1.6%
37
98.4%
Q2 - 11:17SASHart 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ferry 2 AST)17
1.5%
37
98.5%
Q2 - 11:20DENHart STEAL (2 STL)17
1.6%
35
98.4%
Q2 - 11:36SASDaniels 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)17
1.8%
35
98.2%
Q2 - 11:39DENHart STEAL (1 STL)17
2.0%
33
98.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
2.2%
33
97.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENLenard 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)17
2.0%
33
98.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
1.8%
33
98.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 215
1.8%
33
98.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
1.7%
33
98.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENSatterfield 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)15
1.8%
32
98.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
1.6%
32
98.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Lenard 11' Jump Shot13
1.6%
32
98.4%
Q1 - 1:17SASRose 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)13
1.7%
32
98.3%
Q1 - 1:22SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
1.9%
30
98.1%
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot13
1.9%
30
98.1%
Q1 - 1:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
2.0%
30
98.0%
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 213
2.0%
29
98.0%
Q1 - 1:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
2.0%
29
98.0%
Q1 - 1:51DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)13
2.1%
29
97.9%
Q1 - 2:13SASParker 2' Layup (7 PTS)13
2.2%
29
97.8%
Q1 - 2:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
2.4%
27
97.6%
Q1 - 2:19DENMISS Harvey 11' Jump Shot13
2.5%
27
97.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)13
2.7%
27
97.3%
Q1 - 3:00DENMcCloud 1' Layup (3 PTS)13
3.2%
24
96.8%
Q1 - 3:01DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
3.0%
24
97.0%
Q1 - 3:03DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
2.8%
24
97.2%
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
3.0%
24
97.0%
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
3.1%
23
96.9%
Q1 - 3:21SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
3.2%
22
96.8%
Q1 - 3:21SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
3.3%
21
96.7%
Q1 - 3:29SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
3.9%
20
96.1%
Q1 - 3:31DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot11
4.0%
20
96.0%
Q1 - 3:40DENNuggets Rebound11
4.2%
20
95.8%
Q1 - 3:42DENMISS Harvey 3' Layup11
4.0%
20
96.0%
Q1 - 3:59DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
4.2%
20
95.8%
Q1 - 4:02SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup11
4.1%
20
95.9%
Q1 - 4:20DENHoward 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)11
3.8%
20
96.2%
Q1 - 4:44SASBowen 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
3.5%
20
96.5%
Q1 - 5:10DENPosey 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)9
3.8%
18
96.2%
Q1 - 5:21DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
3.5%
18
96.5%
Q1 - 5:23SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
3.4%
18
96.6%
Q1 - 5:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
3.2%
18
96.8%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS McCloud 19' Jump Shot7
3.3%
18
96.7%
Q1 - 5:54SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
3.5%
18
96.5%
Q1 - 5:54SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 27
3.6%
17
96.4%
Q1 - 6:05SASSPURS Rebound7
3.6%
17
96.4%
Q1 - 6:06DENMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot7
3.7%
17
96.3%
Q1 - 6:26SASSmith 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
3.9%
17
96.1%
Q1 - 6:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
4.2%
15
95.8%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
4.4%
15
95.6%
Q1 - 6:56DENCheaney 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
4.2%
15
95.8%
Q1 - 7:09DENMcCloud Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
3.9%
15
96.1%
Q1 - 7:21SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
3.7%
15
96.3%
Q1 - 7:39DENBateer Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
3.9%
13
96.1%
Q1 - 7:59SASRobinson 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)4
4.2%
13
95.8%
Q1 - 8:08SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
4.4%
11
95.6%
Q1 - 8:10DENMISS Posey 14' Jump Shot4
4.5%
11
95.5%
Q1 - 8:29SASBowen 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4.8%
11
95.2%
Q1 - 8:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
5.1%
9
94.9%
Q1 - 8:34SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
5.4%
9
94.6%
Q1 - 8:50DENHoward 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)4
5.1%
9
94.9%
Q1 - 8:55SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)2
4.8%
9
95.2%
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
4.4%
9
95.6%
Q1 - 9:00DENMISS McCloud 7' Jump Shot2
4.5%
9
95.5%
Q1 - 9:13DENNuggets Rebound2
4.7%
9
95.3%
Q1 - 9:15DENMISS Posey 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
4.4%
9
95.6%
Q1 - 9:30SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS)2
4.7%
9
95.3%
Q1 - 9:33DENRobinson STEAL (1 STL)2
5.0%
7
95.0%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
5.5%
7
94.5%
Q1 - 10:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
5.8%
5
94.2%
Q1 - 10:16DENMISS Cheaney 12' Jump Shot2
5.9%
5
94.1%
Q1 - 10:30SASSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
6.2%
5
93.8%
Q1 - 10:45SASSPURS Rebound2
6.6%
3
93.4%
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
6.8%
3
93.2%
Q1 - 10:52SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
7.2%
3
92.8%
Q1 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
6.6%
3
93.4%
Q1 - 10:54SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 22
7.1%
3
92.9%
Q1 - 10:54SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
6.8%
3
93.2%
Q1 - 10:54SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
7.1%
2
92.9%
Q1 - 10:56SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
7.5%
2
92.5%
Q1 - 11:06DENHoward 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
7.1%
2
92.9%
Q1 - 11:14SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
6.6%
2
93.4%
Q1 - 11:19DENParker STEAL (1 STL)0
7.1%
0
92.9%
Q1 - 11:44SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
7.6%
0
92.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Bateer: Tip to Parker0
7.1%
0
92.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.92 45.9%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
26
69%
SAS
15
29
52%
Midrange
DEN
10
34
29%
SAS
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
SAS
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
SAS
20
33
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard1963%9.5 / 15
C. Andersen1169%5.5 / 8
V. Lenard932%4.5 / 14
K. Satterfield950%4.5 / 9
J. Posey840%4.0 / 10
D. Harvey844%4.0 / 9
G. McCloud536%2.5 / 7
M. Bateer583%2.5 / 3
Z. Hamilton350%1.5 / 3
C. Cheaney217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1657%8.0 / 14
B. Bowen1575%7.5 / 10
M. Rose1458%7.0 / 12
T. Parker1146%5.5 / 12
D. Robinson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Hart660%3.0 / 5
S. Smith433%2.0 / 6
A. Daniels440%2.0 / 5
C. Smith429%2.0 / 7
D. Ferry233%1.0 / 3
C. Parks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
70
+16
-17
86
SAS
67
+17
-15
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.92 45.9%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
103.9
DEN 90.8 +15.3
SAS 106.1
Pace
92.1
92.4
DEN 85.8 +2.7
SAS 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
DEN 16.8 +0.5
SAS 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
49.2%
DEN 42.5%
SAS 47.9% +5.4%
TO %
14.9%
14.8%
DEN 16.9%
SAS 15.1% +1.8%
ORB %
30.7%
27.2%
DEN 29.7%
SAS 38.5% +8.8%
FTrt
25.6
35.3
DEN 32.9
SAS 47.1 +14.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
56.4%
DEN 63.3% +10.2%
SAS 53.1%
STL %
8.0%
8.2%
DEN 9.2%
SAS 12.2% +3.0%
BLK %
8.6%
9.5%
DEN 6.9%
SAS 8.3% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
51.2%
DEN 45.9%
SAS 50.0% +4.1%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.3%
DEN 69.2% +17.5%
SAS 51.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
DEN 29.4%
SAS 48.3% +18.9%
3P %
32.9%
36.2%
DEN 15.4%
SAS 25.0% +9.6%
FT %
74.4%
74.2%
DEN 70.8% +10.2%
SAS 60.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
37.2%
DEN 35.6%
SAS 41.4% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
43.8%
DEN 46.6%
SAS 41.4% +5.1%
3P Att. %
18.7%
19.0%
DEN 17.8% +0.7%
SAS 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8782
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points7987
Rebounds3541
Assists1917
Steals810
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals30-7332-70
At-the-Rim FG18-2615-29
Midrange FG10-3414-29
2-Point FG28-6029-58
3-Point FG2-133-12
Free Throws17-2420-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
32.6
19
63%
3
2
0
0
2
2
2
1
3-3
100%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 230 · 35
26.6
5
36%
3
3
1
0
4
3
1
2
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 31
24.0
2
17%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 26
20.7
5
83%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
19.0
8
40%
4
0
2
0
3
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
31.5
8
44%
7
2
2
0
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
27.9
9
32%
3
3
2
1
1
3
2
1
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
22.2
9
50%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
17.7
11
69%
7
0
0
3
1
0
3
4
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
13.4
3
50%
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
3-6
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
46%
35
19
8
4
17
0
11
24
17-24
71%
28-60
47%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.