Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | 73% | 103 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 33% | 93 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Raptors | 29% | 89 | 101 |
 | 9 | Bulls | 71% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 54% | 96 | 112 |
| 14 | Nets | 46% | 94 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Magic | 53% | 108 | 96 |
Friday, November 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 46% | 102 | 98 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 46% | 93 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 43% | 99 | 87 |
 | 24 | Bobcats | 57% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Celtics | 80% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 56% | 104 | 112 |
 | 20 | Knicks | 44% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 66% | 103 | 106 |
 | 25 | Heat | 34% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 48% | 108 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Pistons | 69% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Hornets | 46% | 97 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bucks | 17% | 89 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 18% | 95 | 93 |
 | 10 | Lakers | 82% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Kings | 40% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 103 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 35% | 109 | 101 | |
Thursday, November 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 58% | 106 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 40% | 99 | 85 |
| 16 | Nets | 60% | 102 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 48% | 92 | 93 |
| 12 | Bulls | 52% | 93 | 97 |
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 59% | 101 | 90 | |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 51% | 113 | 105 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 49% | 112 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 35% | 103 | 101 |
| 8 | Jazz | 65% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 20% | 87 | 78 |
| 1 | Spurs | 80% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 26% | 97 | 93 |
| 2 | Celtics | 74% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 46% | 104 | 104 |
| 25 | Pacers | 54% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 61% | 106 | 96 |
| 27 | Hawks | 39% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 36% | 94 | 63 |
| 20 | 76ers | 64% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 47% | 95 | 105 |
| 18 | Raptors | 53% | 96 | 96 |
Tuesday, November 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 57% | 107 | 115 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 43% | 104 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 35% | 93 | 82 |
| 17 | Nets | 65% | 98 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 56% | 105 | 112 |
| 21 | Knicks | 44% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 96 | 85 |
| 26 | Bucks | 46% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 67% | 97 | 111 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 33% | 91 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 34% | 97 | 97 |
| 9 | Bulls | 66% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 46% | 95 | 81 |
| 3 | Rockets | 54% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 38% | 102 | 98 | |
| 25 | Kings | 62% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 40% | 102 | 118 | |
| 10 | Lakers | 60% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 52% | 104 | 108 |
| 19 | Warriors | 48% | 103 | 104 |
Monday, November 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 48% | 95 | 98 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 52% | 96 | 107 |
Sunday, November 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 41% | 105 | 109 |
| 11 | Lakers | 59% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 37% | 101 | 92 |
| 6 | Suns | 63% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 37% | 100 | 93 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 63% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 23% | 94 | 91 |
| 5 | Pistons | 77% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 47% | 97 | 90 |
| 22 | Heat | 53% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 28% | 97 | 93 |
| 21 | Knicks | 72% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 30% | 106 | 101 | |
| 17 | Clippers | 70% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 98 | 98 |
| 14 | Raptors | 43% | 95 | 95 |
Saturday, November 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 10% | 88 | 80 |
| 2 | Rockets | 90% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 46% | 93 | 93 | |
| 20 | 76ers | 54% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 43% | 102 | 94 |
| 15 | Wizards | 57% | 105 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 39% | 97 | 121 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 61% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 63% | 98 | 72 |
| 26 | Bucks | 37% | 94 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 21% | 90 | 102 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 79% | 101 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 27% | 104 | 110 |
| 8 | Jazz | 73% | 112 | 133 |
Friday, November 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 96 | 93 |
| 9 | Hornets | 75% | 105 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 33% | 95 | 99 |
| 17 | Bobcats | 67% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 39% | 93 | 116 |
| 13 | Magic | 61% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 43% | 96 | 85 |
| 23 | Pacers | 57% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 38% | 94 | 106 |
| 12 | Nets | 62% | 98 | 69 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 71% | 99 | 94 |
| 29 | Hawks | 29% | 92 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 30% | 94 | 106 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 70% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 25% | 99 | 83 |
| 5 | Celtics | 75% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 72% | 103 | 99 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 28% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 23% | 88 | 96 |
| 6 | Bulls | 77% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 15% | 90 | 80 |
| 1 | Spurs | 85% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 28% | 104 | 119 |
| 3 | Suns | 72% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 44% | 100 | 114 |
| 19 | Clippers | 56% | 101 | 120 |
Thursday, November 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 54% | 94 | 91 |
| 20 | Heat | 46% | 92 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 53% | 102 | 106 |
| 7 | Jazz | 47% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 79% | 110 | 106 |
| 27 | SuperSonics | 21% | 100 | 99 | |
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | SuperSonics | 24% | 91 | 103 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 76% | 100 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 35% | 93 | 90 |
| 12 | Hornets | 65% | 98 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 71% | 99 | 104 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 29% | 92 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 52% | 97 | 92 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 48% | 96 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 51% | 92 | 103 |
| 14 | Nets | 49% | 91 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 58% | 99 | 110 |
| 29 | Pacers | 42% | 96 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 28% | 96 | 83 |
| 10 | Magic | 72% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 32% | 91 | 97 |
| 15 | Raptors | 68% | 97 | 106 |
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 59% | 97 | 95 |
| 16 | Lakers | 41% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 45% | 96 | 117 |
| 13 | Warriors | 55% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 13% | 88 | 97 |
| 1 | Spurs | 87% | 103 | 106 |