FinalWin Prob.pScore
1948%92
76
2252%93
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.48586.3
CHA logo CHA
108.38482.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA76
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHADavidson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson 20' Jump Shot76
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHAMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHADudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHADudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03CHAHerrmann Layup (4 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08CHAMISS Davidson 16' Jump Shot76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHeat Rebound74
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 174
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51CHADavidson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAQuinn Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)72
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10CHAMISS McInnis 20' Jump Shot70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Cook Layup68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHeat Rebound68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Quinn Layup68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54CHAMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33CHAHerrmann Dunk (2 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAParker 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59CHAMISS Hollins 15' Jump Shot63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14CHAHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16CHAMISS Carroll 16' Jump Shot63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38CHAMISS Dudley 6' Jump Shot61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40CHADudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42CHAMISS Herrmann 17' Jump Shot61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIABlount Layup (6 PTS)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24CHACarroll Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48CHAMcInnis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAParker 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31CHARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot54
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 254
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)54
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot52
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot52
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45CHAMcInnis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)52
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10CHAMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot52
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 9:34CHACarroll 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)52
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIACook 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)52
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 10:06CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)50
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 10:06CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 250
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)50
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)49
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 10:38CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)48
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 10:38CHABOBCATS Rebound48
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q4 - 10:38CHAMISS McInnis 35' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 10:53CHABOBCATS Rebound48
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q4 - 10:53CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 11:03CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot48
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 11:21CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)48
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 11:40CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 248
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA47
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 247
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)47
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Dudley 21' Jump Shot46
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIADudley STEAL (1 STL)46
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHACarroll Layup (7 PTS) (Felton 9 AST)46
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 1:17CHADudley Layup (2 PTS) (Felton 8 AST)46
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 1:19CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 1:22CHAMISS Carroll 19' Jump Shot46
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 1:33CHABOBCATS Rebound46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 1:34CHAMISS Hollins 6' Jump Shot46
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIAAl. Johnson Layup (2 PTS)46
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHeat Rebound44
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 2:18CHAMISS Carroll 19' Jump Shot44
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIACook 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 2:51CHACarroll 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)42
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q3 - 3:00CHAHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)42
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q3 - 3:16CHAMcInnis 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 3:39CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot42
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 3:54CHAWallace 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)42
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 4:14CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot42
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 4:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 242
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 242
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 4:30CHAMcInnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 4:46CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)42
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 4:53MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 4:54CHAMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 5:00MIAFelton STEAL (1 STL)42
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 5:18CHARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)42
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)42
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot40
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 5:50CHAWallace Driving Dunk (13 PTS)40
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 6:21MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Davis 10' Jump Bank Shot38
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 6:43CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)38
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 6:52CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)38
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot38
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 7:17CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)38
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q3 - 7:35MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q3 - 7:49CHAOkafor Layup (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)38
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q3 - 7:58CHABOBCATS Rebound38
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q3 - 7:58CHAMISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot38
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q3 - 8:01CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q3 - 8:03CHAMISS Brezec 17' Jump Shot38
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q3 - 8:12CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot38
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q3 - 8:30CHAWallace Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q3 - 8:34CHABOBCATS Rebound38
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q3 - 8:34CHAMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot38
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q3 - 8:52CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot38
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q3 - 9:18CHARichardson 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)38
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q3 - 9:58CHARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)35
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q3 - 10:06CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot35
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q3 - 10:14CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q3 - 10:18CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS O'Neal Layup35
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q3 - 10:42CHABrezec 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)35
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)35
26.5%
41
73.5%
Q3 - 11:04CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q3 - 11:04CHAMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 235
30.8%
40
69.2%
Q3 - 11:08CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
30.1%
40
69.9%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q3 - 11:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q3 - 11:38CHAMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot35
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA35
30.1%
40
69.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)35
30.1%
40
69.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 233
28.3%
39
71.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)33
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0CHAMISS Okafor Layup31
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)31
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
20.9%
39
79.1%
Q2 - 1:11CHAMISS Richardson Layup29
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 1:39CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 227
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 1:39CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 1:53MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 1:53MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 2:00CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 2:00CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 2:04CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot25
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 2:24CHARichardson Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)25
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q2 - 2:27CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot25
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 2:52CHAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot25
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 2:59CHABOBCATS Rebound25
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 2:59CHAMISS Wallace Layup25
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 3:25CHARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)23
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 3:45CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot23
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 3:58CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)23
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 3:58CHAMISS Okafor Tip Shot23
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 4:01CHAMISS McInnis 21' Jump Shot23
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 4:13CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot23
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 4:43CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 4:43CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 4:48CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot23
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q2 - 5:08CHAMISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot23
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)23
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q2 - 5:48CHAMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot21
27.7%
29
72.3%
Q2 - 5:57CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 221
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 221
27.7%
29
72.3%
Q2 - 6:20CHAWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)21
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q2 - 6:24CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot21
31.8%
27
68.2%
Q2 - 6:33MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
33.9%
27
66.1%
Q2 - 6:34CHAMISS Brezec 13' Jump Shot21
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q2 - 6:49MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)21
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 7:11CHAFelton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 7:34CHABOBCATS Rebound19
31.8%
25
68.2%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot19
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound19
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q2 - 7:39MIADavidson BLOCK (2 BLK)19
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q2 - 7:54CHAMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot19
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q2 - 8:11MIAOkafor STEAL (2 STL)19
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q2 - 8:21CHAOkafor 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 8:45MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)19
36.6%
23
63.4%
Q2 - 8:53MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q2 - 8:54CHAMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot17
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q2 - 9:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)17
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q2 - 9:24CHADavidson Layup (6 PTS) (Hollins 1 AST)14
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q2 - 9:32CHAHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk14
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q2 - 9:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
32.5%
21
67.5%
Q2 - 9:51CHAMISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot14
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)14
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q2 - 10:22MIAHeat Rebound14
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q2 - 10:22CHAMISS Davidson 19' Jump Shot14
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q2 - 10:37CHABOBCATS Rebound14
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot14
30.9%
21
69.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIADavidson BLOCK (1 BLK)14
30.9%
21
69.1%
Q2 - 10:58CHADavidson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)14
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q2 - 11:14MIAWilliams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
34.8%
19
65.2%
Q2 - 11:38CHADavidson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA12
34.8%
17
65.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound12
37.0%
17
63.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn Layup12
35.5%
17
64.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0CHADavidson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
35.2%
17
64.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0CHAMISS McInnis Layup12
36.3%
17
63.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHADavidson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
35.2%
17
64.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot12
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHACarroll 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)12
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 1:07CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot12
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 1:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 1:25CHAMISS Richardson 19' Turnaround Jump Shot12
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 1:50CHAHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot12
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 2:14CHAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.3%
15
58.7%
Q1 - 2:33CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 2:34MIAHollins BLOCK (1 BLK)12
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 2:59CHAWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)12
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 3:13MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)12
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 3:31CHARichardson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)10
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 3:52MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)10
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 4:11CHAMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot8
41.6%
11
58.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)8
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 4:37CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 4:37CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
43.1%
10
56.9%
Q1 - 4:43CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot8
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 5:01CHARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brezec 1 AST)8
46.5%
9
53.5%
Q1 - 5:06CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 5:08CHAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot8
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 5:24CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot8
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 5:33CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 5:48CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS O'Neal Layup8
51.3%
6
48.7%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 5:58CHAMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot8
52.2%
6
47.8%
Q1 - 6:09CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot8
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 6:30CHABrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:30CHABrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)8
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 6:55CHAWallace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)8
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)8
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 7:26CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIAOkafor STEAL (1 STL)6
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 7:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 7:43CHAMISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot6
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 8:00CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot6
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 8:17CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 8:29MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 8:40CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 8:40CHABrezec Layup (2 PTS)6
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 8:42CHAMISS Richardson Layup6
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)6
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 9:19MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 9:21CHAMISS Richardson Layup4
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 9:29CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot4
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 9:42CHAMISS Okafor Layup4
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 10:01MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 10:11CHAMISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot2
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 10:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 10:34CHAMISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 10:52CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:05CHAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:31MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:31MIAHeat Rebound0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Okafor vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
48.1%
0
51.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.85 42.7%
CHA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
29
62%
CHA
15
23
65%
Midrange
MIA
11
42
26%
CHA
12
41
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
7
14%
21%
CHA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIA
15
22
68%
CHA
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal1753%8.5 / 16
U. Haslem1036%5.0 / 14
D. Cook964%4.5 / 7
J. Williams840%4.0 / 10
M. Blount857%4.0 / 7
S. Parker750%3.5 / 7
R. Davis623%3.0 / 13
A. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
C. Quinn550%2.5 / 5
A. Hardaway0-0.0 / 0
D. Wright0-0.0 / 2
A. Mourning0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Wallace1979%9.5 / 12
J. Richardson1860%9.0 / 15
E. Okafor1354%6.5 / 12
M. Carroll1050%5.0 / 10
R. Felton633%3.0 / 9
P. Brezec633%3.0 / 9
J. McInnis643%3.0 / 7
J. Davidson660%3.0 / 5
W. Herrmann450%2.0 / 4
J. Dudley338%1.5 / 4
R. Hollins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+13
-10
88
CHA
76
+15
-8
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.85 42.7%
CHA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
104.7
MIA 89.4 +18.9
CHA 108.3
Pace
90.5
91.9
MIA 86.3 +3.6
CHA 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
MIA 16.7 +0.7
CHA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.2%
MIA 39.1%
CHA 47.5% +8.4%
TO %
15.4%
14.9%
MIA 11.1%
CHA 10.1% +1.0%
ORB %
22.2%
25.7%
MIA 17.4%
CHA 23.1% +5.7%
FTrt
30.0
32.3
MIA 28.2 +0.4
CHA 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
59.1%
MIA 56.7%
CHA 64.7% +8.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIA 2.4%
CHA 6.0% +3.6%
BLK %
7.1%
7.7%
MIA 6.3% +0.7%
CHA 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
51.6%
MIA 42.7%
CHA 48.4% +5.7%
Rim FG%
59.2%
57.1%
MIA 62.1%
CHA 65.2% +3.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.2%
MIA 26.2%
CHA 29.3% +3.1%
3P %
35.8%
36.7%
MIA 14.3%
CHA 46.7% +32.4%
FT %
72.7%
71.4%
MIA 68.2%
CHA 72.7% +4.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.3%
MIA 37.2% +8.1%
CHA 29.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
41.7%
MIA 53.8%
CHA 51.9% +1.9%
3P Att. %
21.7%
22.0%
MIA 9.0%
CHA 19.0% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8584
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points7691
Rebounds3847
Assists1722
Steals25
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)38 (2)
Field Goals30-7834-79
At-the-Rim FG18-2915-23
Midrange FG11-4212-41
2-Point FG29-7127-64
3-Point FG1-77-15
Free Throws15-2216-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
30.5
8
40%
3
5
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
29.9
6
23%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-11
18%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
27.3
10
36%
7
1
0
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
25.0
17
53%
6
0
1
2
2
4
1
5
3-6
50%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
19.3
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
24.7
0
0%
5
2
1
0
2
0
0
5
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
17.3
9
64%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
14.7
7
50%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
14.7
6
75%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
14.1
8
57%
5
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
12.5
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
43%
38
17
2
4
10
0
8
30
15-22
68%
29-71
41%
1-7
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.