FinalWin Prob.pScore
154%98
97
946%97
85
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
111.58784.6
NOH
97.78789.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Washington 2 AST)97
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHPargo 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)94
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOHHORNETS Rebound94
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00NOHMISS Ely 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 294
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 294
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 1:42NOHBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)94
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:46SASButler STEAL (1 STL)94
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:08NOHJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08NOHJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19SASMISS Bowen Layup94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27NOHMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 2:53SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 3:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 3:11NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot92
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 3:25SASPaul STEAL (2 STL)92
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 3:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)92
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 3:43SASMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot92
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)92
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 4:04NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot92
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 4:23NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot92
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 4:39NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)92
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 4:52SASParker Driving Layup (27 PTS)92
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 5:16NOHMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot90
98.0%
79
2.0%
Q4 - 5:36NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 5:37SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 290
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 5:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
98.0%
79
2.0%
Q4 - 6:05NOHJackson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 6:22NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 6:23SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot89
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 6:30NOHArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)89
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 6:32NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 6:33NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 6:39NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 6:41SASMISS Parker Layup89
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 6:54NOHButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 7:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 7:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 7:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 7:09SASMISS Oberto 19' Jump Shot87
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q4 - 7:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 7:24NOHMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot87
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 7:43SASDuncan 13' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)87
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 8:08NOHJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q4 - 8:08NOHJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
96.0%
73
4.0%
Q4 - 8:20NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 8:21SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot85
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 8:46NOHPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)85
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 9:01NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 9:03SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot85
98.2%
69
1.8%
Q4 - 9:25SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 9:26SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot85
98.2%
69
1.8%
Q4 - 9:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 9:51NOHMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot85
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q4 - 10:10SASBonner Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)85
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 10:28NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
97.1%
69
2.9%
Q4 - 10:28NOHArmstrong Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)83
97.1%
69
2.9%
Q4 - 10:30NOHMISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot83
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 10:55SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)83
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q4 - 11:07NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
96.5%
67
3.5%
Q4 - 11:07NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
96.7%
66
3.3%
Q4 - 11:18NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 11:20SASMISS Bonner 17' Jump Shot81
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 11:40NOHArmstrong 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)81
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH81
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound81
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Butler 41' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.4%
63
1.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASWashington Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)81
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)79
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot79
96.9%
63
3.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)79
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q3 - 1:00SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot79
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q3 - 1:21NOHPaul 19' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)79
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 1:29NOHHORNETS Rebound79
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q3 - 1:30NOHMISS Chandler Alley Oop Layup79
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q3 - 1:41SASWashington Reverse Layup (5 PTS)79
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q3 - 2:01NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)77
97.4%
59
2.6%
Q3 - 2:04SASWest STEAL (3 STL)77
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 2:26SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 2:27NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot77
98.4%
56
1.6%
Q3 - 2:57SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 2:57SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 3:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
97.6%
56
2.4%
Q3 - 3:05NOHMISS Chandler Tip Shot75
97.5%
56
2.5%
Q3 - 3:05NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q3 - 3:06NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot75
97.5%
56
2.5%
Q3 - 3:19SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)75
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q3 - 3:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q3 - 3:40NOHMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
96.4%
56
3.6%
Q3 - 3:46SASWest STEAL (2 STL)73
95.9%
56
4.1%
Q3 - 3:49NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)73
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q3 - 4:04SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)73
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 4:20NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q3 - 4:46SASParker Layup (25 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)70
94.6%
54
5.4%
Q3 - 4:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
93.8%
54
6.2%
Q3 - 4:50NOHMISS Paul 8' Running Jump Shot68
93.5%
54
6.5%
Q3 - 5:13SASDuncan Tip Shot (19 PTS)68
92.0%
54
8.0%
Q3 - 5:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
90.8%
54
9.2%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Duncan Layup66
89.7%
54
10.3%
Q3 - 5:29NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
90.8%
54
9.2%
Q3 - 5:29NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 266
91.0%
53
9.0%
Q3 - 5:48SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)66
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 5:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 6:01SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot64
87.3%
53
12.7%
Q3 - 6:29NOHPaul 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
88.6%
53
11.4%
Q3 - 6:34NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 6:35SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q3 - 6:59NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)64
91.5%
51
8.5%
Q3 - 7:12SASParker Driving Layup (23 PTS)64
91.8%
49
8.2%
Q3 - 7:25NOHChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)62
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 7:28NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 7:30SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
89.7%
49
10.3%
Q3 - 7:44NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)62
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 7:48SASStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)62
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 7:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 7:56NOHMISS West Layup62
90.4%
49
9.6%
Q3 - 8:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)62
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 8:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
83.8%
49
16.2%
Q3 - 8:34NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 258
83.5%
49
16.5%
Q3 - 8:34NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q3 - 8:41NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
83.6%
48
16.4%
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot58
84.3%
48
15.7%
Q3 - 8:54NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
85.8%
48
14.2%
Q3 - 8:54NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 258
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q3 - 9:14SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS)58
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q3 - 9:21SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q3 - 9:23NOHMISS West 13' Jump Shot56
82.4%
47
17.6%
Q3 - 9:34NOHHORNETS Rebound56
80.9%
47
19.1%
Q3 - 9:35NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot56
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q3 - 9:52SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)56
80.9%
47
19.1%
Q3 - 10:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
78.3%
47
21.7%
Q3 - 10:05NOHMISS Chandler Layup54
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q3 - 10:19SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)54
75.5%
47
24.5%
Q3 - 10:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
73.1%
47
26.9%
Q3 - 10:35NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 11:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
69.9%
47
30.1%
Q3 - 11:11SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot52
70.8%
47
29.2%
Q3 - 11:35NOHPeterson Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)52
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q3 - 11:39SASWest STEAL (1 STL)52
75.3%
45
24.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS52
78.0%
45
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound52
78.0%
45
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 44' 3PT Jump Shot52
76.2%
45
23.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
76.8%
45
23.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 252
77.7%
44
22.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 252
77.8%
44
22.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)52
79.3%
44
20.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
76.9%
44
23.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup51
76.4%
44
23.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T4)51
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
76.9%
44
23.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Paul Layup51
76.4%
44
23.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)51
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0NOHPaul 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
69.2%
44
30.8%
Q2 - 1:00SASParker 12' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
72.7%
42
27.3%
Q2 - 1:11SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
68.5%
42
31.5%
Q2 - 1:13NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
68.1%
42
31.9%
Q2 - 1:36SASOberto 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 1:51NOHWest 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)44
62.7%
42
37.3%
Q2 - 2:11SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
66.1%
40
33.9%
Q2 - 2:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
60.1%
40
39.9%
Q2 - 2:19NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot41
59.3%
40
40.7%
Q2 - 2:51NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 241
57.8%
40
42.2%
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 3:12NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 3:12NOHChandler Tip Shot (6 PTS)40
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 3:13NOHMISS West Layup40
62.2%
38
37.8%
Q2 - 3:35SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)40
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 3:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
57.4%
38
42.6%
Q2 - 3:51NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot38
56.4%
38
43.6%
Q2 - 4:14NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
54.5%
38
45.5%
Q2 - 4:15SASMISS Ginobili 24' Jump Shot38
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 4:24SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 4:25NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot38
56.4%
38
43.6%
Q2 - 4:50SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)38
54.4%
38
45.6%
Q2 - 5:14NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)36
51.9%
38
48.1%
Q2 - 5:33SASWashington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
54.5%
36
45.5%
Q2 - 5:37SASWashington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
49.0%
36
51.0%
Q2 - 5:38NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot33
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 5:55SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)33
46.0%
36
54.0%
Q2 - 6:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
44.1%
36
55.9%
Q2 - 6:19NOHMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 231
43.7%
36
56.3%
Q2 - 6:19NOHMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 231
41.9%
36
58.1%
Q2 - 6:35SASParker Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)31
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 6:46NOHEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)29
38.7%
36
61.3%
Q2 - 7:02SASOberto 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)29
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 7:13NOHArmstrong Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
34.5%
36
65.5%
Q2 - 7:28SASParker Reverse Layup (13 PTS)27
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 7:53NOHArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)25
34.5%
34
65.5%
Q2 - 8:15SASOberto 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)25
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q2 - 8:36NOHEly 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)23
34.8%
32
65.2%
Q2 - 8:53NOHHORNETS Rebound23
36.9%
30
63.1%
Q2 - 8:53SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot23
37.7%
30
62.3%
Q2 - 9:14NOHEly 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)23
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q2 - 9:36NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
42.1%
28
57.9%
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Udoka Layup23
43.0%
28
57.0%
Q2 - 9:51SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q2 - 9:52NOHMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot23
44.1%
28
55.9%
Q2 - 10:14NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 10:15SASMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot23
43.0%
28
57.0%
Q2 - 10:33NOHPargo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ely 2 AST)23
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 10:54NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 10:55SASMISS Washington 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
48.0%
26
52.0%
Q2 - 11:17NOHJackson 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)23
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q2 - 11:28NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q2 - 11:29NOHMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot23
53.9%
24
46.1%
Q2 - 11:40SASElson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
54.7%
24
45.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound23
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Chandler 53' 3PT Jump Shot23
53.9%
24
46.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASEly BLOCK (2 BLK)23
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0NOHJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)23
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASUdoka 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Washington 1 AST)23
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0NOHEly Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
56.6%
21
43.4%
Q1 - 1:11SASParker Layup (11 PTS)21
54.9%
21
45.1%
Q1 - 1:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
52.0%
21
48.0%
Q1 - 1:17NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot19
51.5%
21
48.5%
Q1 - 1:34SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)19
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 1:47NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)17
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q1 - 2:03NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 2:05SASEly BLOCK (1 BLK)17
53.3%
18
46.7%
Q1 - 2:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
54.8%
18
45.2%
Q1 - 2:30NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot17
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 2:51SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 2:51SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 2:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 2:58NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot15
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 3:13SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
48.0%
18
52.0%
Q1 - 3:32SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 3:33NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot12
43.0%
18
57.0%
Q1 - 3:47SASParker Layup (4 PTS)12
41.3%
18
58.7%
Q1 - 3:54NOHChandler Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)10
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q1 - 4:16NOHHORNETS Rebound10
41.6%
16
58.4%
Q1 - 4:16SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 4:21SASSpurs Rebound10
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 4:21SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot10
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 4:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 4:42NOHMISS West 6' Hook Shot10
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 4:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
41.6%
16
58.4%
Q1 - 4:53NOHMISS Chandler Layup10
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 5:10NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 5:11SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot10
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 5:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 5:26NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot10
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 5:43NOHHORNETS Rebound10
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 5:43SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 6:01NOHWest Layup (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)10
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 6:03NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 6:05NOHMISS Peterson Layup10
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 6:07NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 6:08NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot10
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 6:17NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 6:20SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 6:44NOHPeterson Layup (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)10
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 6:49SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)10
50.9%
12
49.1%
Q1 - 7:02NOHPaul 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 7:17SASParker Layup (2 PTS)10
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 7:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 7:22NOHMISS Chandler 5' Hook Shot8
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 7:39NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Finley Layup8
51.9%
10
48.1%
Q1 - 7:47SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 7:48NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot8
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 8:06SASPeterson STEAL (1 STL)8
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 8:31NOHStojakovic Layup (2 PTS)8
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 8:32NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
55.4%
8
44.6%
Q1 - 8:33NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:40NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
55.4%
8
44.6%
Q1 - 8:41SASWest BLOCK (1 BLK)8
56.0%
8
44.0%
Q1 - 8:57NOHWest Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)8
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 9:10SASDuncan Running Layup (4 PTS)8
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 9:32NOHChandler 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
57.5%
6
42.5%
Q1 - 9:54SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 10:18NOHPaul Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 10:28SASOberto Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 10:44NOHPaul 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 10:52SASOberto Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 10:53SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 10:54SASMISS Parker Layup0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:06NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:17NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot0
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 11:37SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:38NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot0
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Chandler vs. Duncan: Tip to Paul0
55.4%
0
44.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.4%
NOH
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
21
28
75%
NOH
12
22
55%
Midrange
SAS
15
34
44%
NOH
19
44
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
NOH
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
SAS
13
18
72%
NOH
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2759%13.5 / 23
T. Duncan2475%12.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1454%7.0 / 13
F. Oberto1381%6.5 / 8
D. Washington788%3.5 / 4
M. Bonner550%2.5 / 5
B. Bowen350%1.5 / 3
M. Finley217%1.0 / 6
I. Udoka250%1.0 / 2
F. Elson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1860%9.0 / 15
D. West1542%7.5 / 18
B. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
H. Armstrong10100%5.0 / 5
T. Chandler938%4.5 / 12
J. Pargo758%3.5 / 6
M. Peterson425%2.0 / 8
M. Ely450%2.0 / 4
P. Stojakovic217%1.0 / 6
R. Butler220%1.0 / 5
R. Bowen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+9
-10
86
NOH
78
+13
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.4%
NOH
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
110.8
SAS 111.5
NOH 97.7 +13.8
Pace
89.5
90.5
SAS 84.6
NOH 89.5 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.9
SAS 17.0
NOH 16.1 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.2%
SAS 54.5% +8.8%
NOH 45.7%
TO %
13.4%
12.4%
SAS 10.5%
NOH 9.2% +1.3%
ORB %
23.4%
27.1%
SAS 20.0%
NOH 20.5% +0.5%
FTrt
27.6
25.1
SAS 23.4 +2.4
NOH 21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
56.4%
SAS 47.5%
NOH 51.4% +3.9%
STL %
7.1%
8.6%
SAS 6.9%
NOH 9.2% +2.3%
BLK %
6.5%
6.4%
SAS 9.1% +4.3%
NOH 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.3%
SAS 56.4% +9.7%
NOH 46.7%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.2%
SAS 75.0% +20.5%
NOH 54.5%
Mid FG%
40.4%
43.1%
SAS 44.1% +0.9%
NOH 43.2%
3P %
36.9%
38.9%
SAS 26.7%
NOH 26.7%
FT %
76.1%
76.9%
SAS 72.2% +7.5%
NOH 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
29.6%
SAS 36.4% +9.2%
NOH 27.2%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
46.5%
SAS 44.2% +10.2%
NOH 54.3%
3P Att. %
25.1%
23.9%
SAS 19.5% +1.0%
NOH 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points9785
Rebounds4237
Assists1918
Steals68
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)28 (4)
Field Goals40-7735-81
At-the-Rim FG21-2812-22
Midrange FG15-3419-44
2-Point FG36-6231-66
3-Point FG4-154-15
Free Throws13-1811-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.8
27
59%
4
8
2
0
3
1
0
4
4-7
57%
10-18
56%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
35.8
24
75%
12
2
0
4
2
3
2
10
2-4
50%
11-14
79%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
32.2
3
50%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
27.2
13
81%
4
1
0
0
0
4
2
2
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
16.7
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
32.4
14
54%
10
3
2
1
2
0
1
9
5-5
100%
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
18.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
13.5
5
50%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 22
13.4
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
9.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 21
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
#11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
42
19
6
6
10
0
7
35
13-18
72%
36-62
58%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.