FinalWin Prob.pScore
1817%87
91
183%100
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.99284.2
BOS logo BOS
101.191101.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS91
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot91
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0BOSPierce 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 7 AST)91
24.5%
92
75.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)91
37.9%
90
62.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 291
41.3%
90
58.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
53.5%
90
46.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)90
42.6%
90
57.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup90
35.3%
90
64.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
24.7%
90
75.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 190
26.4%
90
73.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)88
15.5%
90
84.5%
Q4 - 1:08MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)88
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 1:20MIAHeat Rebound86
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 1:35BOSRondo 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 6 AST)86
6.1%
90
93.9%
Q4 - 1:50BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
11.6%
88
88.4%
Q4 - 2:08BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
16.3%
88
83.7%
Q4 - 2:08BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)86
16.9%
87
83.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
20.3%
86
79.7%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 285
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
23.9%
86
76.1%
Q4 - 2:48BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
20.2%
86
79.8%
Q4 - 2:56MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)85
15.0%
86
85.0%
Q4 - 3:15BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)85
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q4 - 3:38MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)85
16.6%
86
83.4%
Q4 - 3:54BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)82
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 4:08MIACook 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)82
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 4:20BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot80
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 4:36MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)80
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 4:57MIAHeat Rebound78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 4:58BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 5:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)78
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 5:32BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P2.T16)78
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 5:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 5:51MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 6:08BOSPerkins Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T15)78
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)78
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 6:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 6:39BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot76
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)76
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 7:06MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 7:06BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)74
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 7:43BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup72
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 271
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:12BOSGarnett 11' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)71
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 8:31MIADavis 14' Pullup Bank Shot (14 PTS)71
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 8:46BOSMISS Pierce 13' Jump Shot69
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 9:09BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 269
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 269
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 9:32BOSGarnett 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (24 PTS)69
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)69
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 9:54BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 10:00BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)69
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 10:12BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 10:25BOSMISS Pierce 3' Layup69
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 10:44MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)69
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 11:01BOSPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)67
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 11:10BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Williams 3' Layup67
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHeat Rebound67
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot67
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 11:37BOSPierce 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)67
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 11:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 11:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 11:52BOSHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)65
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound65
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 37' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0BOSMISS Scalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIACook Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0BOSScalabrine Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIADavis 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 1:00BOSAllen 8' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)61
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 1:36BOSMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot59
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 1:39BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot59
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 2:12BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)59
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 2:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 2:53BOSPosey 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)59
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 3:09BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 259
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 3:19BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T11)59
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 3:28BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 3:50BOSPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)59
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIAParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 4:50BOSPosey 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)56
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAPosey STEAL (1 STL)56
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 5:01BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)56
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 5:24BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 5:47BOSPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)56
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 6:23BOSPerkins 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)56
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)56
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 7:10BOSGarnett 4' Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)54
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 7:25BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot54
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q3 - 7:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 7:36BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup54
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q3 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 8:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 8:02BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 8:18BOSCELTICS Rebound52
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q3 - 8:18BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup52
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 8:33MIAHaslem 15' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 8:42BOSMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot50
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:58BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot50
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 9:15BOSPerkins 4' Layup (8 PTS)50
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 9:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot50
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 9:42BOSRondo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)50
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 9:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 10:22BOSPerkins 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)50
8.6%
56
91.4%
Q3 - 10:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot50
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q3 - 10:52BOSGarnett 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)50
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 11:06MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 11:28BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T8)48
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)48
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound46
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 39' 3PT Jump Shot46
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)46
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)46
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0BOSAllen 10' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)44
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)44
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
9.0%
49
91.0%
Q2 - 1:20BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 1:51BOSAllen 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)41
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 2:02BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot41
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 2:18BOSRondo 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)41
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 2:47BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)40
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 3:02BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 3:04BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 3:24MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 3:42BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)37
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 3:59MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)37
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 4:09BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)35
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 4:56BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)35
10.9%
39
89.1%
Q2 - 5:09BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
12.0%
37
88.0%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 5:31BOSGarnett 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)35
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 5:48BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Hardaway 21' Jump Shot35
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 5:58BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 5:58BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 5:59BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 6:00BOSMISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot35
18.7%
33
81.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 6:12MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:13BOSMISS Pierce 13' Fadeaway Jumper33
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 6:25BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)33
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 6:44MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)33
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 7:07MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 7:08BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot31
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 7:16MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)31
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q2 - 7:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 7:18BOSMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot31
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 7:42MIAHardaway Backcourt Turnover (P1.T4)31
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q2 - 7:55BOSPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)31
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 8:13MIAParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)31
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q2 - 8:30BOSPerkins 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)28
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (8 PTS)28
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 8:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup26
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 8:54MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 8:55BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q2 - 9:04MIAHouse STEAL (1 STL)26
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 9:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 9:21BOSMISS Allen 3' Layup26
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 9:38BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot26
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 9:50BOSHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 10:06BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Hardaway 19' Jump Shot26
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 10:22BOSPollard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q2 - 10:24BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 10:26BOSMISS House 20' Jump Shot26
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q2 - 10:42BOSCELTICS Rebound26
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot26
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 10:47BOSMISS Scalabrine Tip Shot26
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q2 - 10:49BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 10:50BOSMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot26
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIAParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q2 - 11:27BOSScalabrine Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)24
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q2 - 11:45BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS24
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 223
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot23
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot23
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0BOSMISS Scalabrine 5' Jump Shot23
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Mourning 3' Jump Shot20
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 1:01BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup20
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q1 - 1:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 1:24BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)18
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 1:41BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
8.3%
24
91.7%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot18
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q1 - 1:57BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 1:57BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 218
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 1:58MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)18
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 2:22BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)18
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 2:41BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot18
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 2:52BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup18
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 3:02BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot18
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 3:27BOSRondo 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)18
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 3:30BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 3:31BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 3:37BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Williams 6' Running Jump Shot18
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 3:47BOSMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot18
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 4:07BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 4:26BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 4:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)18
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 4:54BOSGarnett 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)18
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 5:10MIADavis 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:28BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)16
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 5:36BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot16
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 5:49BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 5:49BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 6:15BOSGarnett 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)14
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 6:30MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 6:40BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)14
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 7:00MIAO'Neal 2' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 7:19BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 7:19BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 7:29MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 7:45BOSGarnett 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)10
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 8:08BOSMISS Perkins 18' Jump Shot8
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 8:28BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot8
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 8:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 8:50BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 8:50BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 9:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 9:28BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot6
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 9:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 9:44MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 9:45BOSMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot6
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:03MIAO'Neal 1' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 10:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Layup4
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 10:22BOSPierce 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:38MIADavis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 11:03BOSMISS Garnett 14' Fadeaway Jumper2
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 11:22MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:43BOSMISS Allen 23' Jump Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Rondo0
11.9%
0
88.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
BOS
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
23
74%
BOS
17
28
61%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
BOS
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
BOS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
16
28
57%
BOS
17
18
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2355%11.5 / 21
R. Davis2053%10.0 / 19
S. O'Neal1771%8.5 / 12
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
S. Parker867%4.0 / 6
A. Mourning660%3.0 / 5
D. Cook650%3.0 / 6
J. Williams220%1.0 / 5
A. Hardaway0-0.0 / 2
M. Blount0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2676%13.0 / 17
R. Allen1956%9.5 / 17
J. Posey1381%6.5 / 8
P. Pierce1246%6.0 / 13
K. Perkins1063%5.0 / 8
R. Rondo964%4.5 / 7
S. Pollard3150%1.5 / 1
E. House0-0.0 / 2
B. Scalabrine0-0.0 / 3
T. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+8
-11
89
BOS
73
+6
-18
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
BOS
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
109.6
MIA 98.9 +2.2
BOS 101.1
Pace
90.5
91.5
MIA 84.2
BOS 101.7 +17.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
MIA 17.1
BOS 14.2 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.2%
MIA 50.7%
BOS 52.8% +2.1%
TO %
15.4%
15.7%
MIA 11.3% +8.1%
BOS 19.4%
ORB %
22.2%
26.6%
MIA 10.3%
BOS 14.7% +4.4%
FTrt
30.0
34.6
MIA 37.8 +12.4
BOS 25.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.4%
MIA 51.4%
BOS 82.9% +31.5%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 8.7% +3.2%
BOS 5.5%
BLK %
7.1%
7.9%
MIA 12.3% +8.7%
BOS 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.1%
MIA 51.1%
BOS 57.5% +6.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.2%
MIA 73.9% +13.2%
BOS 60.7%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.2%
MIA 39.4%
BOS 44.8% +5.4%
3P %
35.8%
38.1%
MIA 27.8%
BOS 35.7% +7.9%
FT %
72.7%
77.1%
MIA 57.1%
BOS 94.4% +37.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
37.1%
MIA 31.1%
BOS 39.4% +8.4%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
38.0%
MIA 44.6%
BOS 40.8% +3.7%
3P Att. %
21.7%
24.9%
MIA 24.3% +4.6%
BOS 19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes26.221.5
Points9192
Rebounds3340
Assists1829
Steals85
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals35-7435-71
At-the-Rim FG17-2317-28
Midrange FG13-3313-29
2-Point FG30-5630-57
3-Point FG5-185-14
Free Throws16-2817-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
42.1
20
53%
4
2
1
0
2
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
3-9
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
38.3
23
55%
1
6
1
0
3
0
0
1
7-12
58%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
38.0
9
45%
8
1
3
0
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
34.7
2
20%
2
5
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
26.7
17
71%
9
2
0
2
2
5
3
6
3-4
75%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
19.2
6
60%
3
0
0
3
0
1
1
2
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
15.3
6
50%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
11.6
8
67%
2
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
8.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
5.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
51%
33
18
8
7
11
0
4
29
16-28
57%
30-56
54%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.