FinalWin Prob.pScore
547%98
95
1453%99
88
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
97.99799.3
NOH
92.69592.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL95
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOHWest Putback Layup (14 PTS)95
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0NOHMISS Pargo Layup95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHMISS Pargo Layup91
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
95.3%
86
4.7%
Q4 - 1:02NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)89
89.2%
86
10.8%
Q4 - 1:25ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)89
91.0%
84
9.0%
Q4 - 1:41NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pargo 7 AST)86
77.1%
84
22.9%
Q4 - 1:52ORLNelson Driving Layup (14 PTS)86
83.5%
82
16.5%
Q4 - 1:58ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
76.6%
82
23.4%
Q4 - 1:59NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot84
73.6%
82
26.4%
Q4 - 2:20ORLPargo STEAL (1 STL)84
63.7%
82
36.3%
Q4 - 2:44NOHPargo Driving Layup (18 PTS)84
77.9%
82
22.1%
Q4 - 2:57ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)84
79.5%
80
20.5%
Q4 - 3:18ORLMagic Rebound81
66.4%
80
33.6%
Q4 - 3:19NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
62.1%
80
37.9%
Q4 - 3:35ORLHoward Dunk (24 PTS)81
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q4 - 3:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)79
43.9%
80
56.1%
Q4 - 3:38ORLMISS Dooling Layup79
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 3:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
43.9%
80
56.1%
Q4 - 3:49NOHMISS Pargo 23' Jump Shot79
40.9%
80
59.1%
Q4 - 4:16NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
34.3%
80
65.7%
Q4 - 4:17ORLMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
37.1%
80
62.9%
Q4 - 4:41NOHEly 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)79
43.7%
80
56.3%
Q4 - 5:06ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)79
52.0%
78
48.0%
Q4 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
36.0%
78
64.0%
Q4 - 5:13NOHMISS West Layup76
33.6%
78
66.4%
Q4 - 5:35ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)76
28.4%
78
71.6%
Q4 - 5:38NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)73
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q4 - 5:55ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)73
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q4 - 6:17NOHPeterson Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)73
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q4 - 6:22ORLPeterson STEAL (3 STL)73
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q4 - 6:37NOHEly 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)73
30.4%
76
69.6%
Q4 - 6:51NOHButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
36.2%
74
63.8%
Q4 - 6:52ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot73
38.7%
74
61.3%
Q4 - 7:09NOHEly 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)73
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q4 - 7:23ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)73
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q4 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
58.8%
72
41.2%
Q4 - 7:34NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot73
56.5%
72
43.5%
Q4 - 7:47NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q4 - 7:48ORLMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot73
53.5%
72
46.5%
Q4 - 8:07NOHWest 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)73
57.5%
72
42.5%
Q4 - 8:20NOHButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q4 - 8:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
53.1%
72
46.9%
Q4 - 8:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)73
57.6%
72
42.4%
Q4 - 8:46NOHMISS Ely 18' Jump Shot73
55.6%
72
44.4%
Q4 - 9:10ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)73
50.8%
72
49.2%
Q4 - 9:37NOHJackson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
39.2%
72
60.8%
Q4 - 9:44NOHButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
44.8%
70
55.2%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q4 - 9:49ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
51.1%
70
48.9%
Q4 - 9:51ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q4 - 10:04NOHPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)70
50.8%
70
49.2%
Q4 - 10:24NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
44.7%
70
55.3%
Q4 - 10:25ORLMISS Foyle 10' Hook Shot70
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q4 - 10:47NOHPargo 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)70
50.9%
70
49.1%
Q4 - 10:59ORLArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)70
56.1%
68
43.9%
Q4 - 11:13ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
61.0%
68
39.0%
Q4 - 11:14NOHMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot70
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q4 - 11:26NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
55.5%
68
44.5%
Q4 - 11:27ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
57.2%
68
42.8%
Q4 - 11:38NOHJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)70
61.1%
68
38.9%
Q4 - 11:44NOHButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
55.5%
68
44.5%
Q4 - 11:46NOHMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot70
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL70
55.5%
68
44.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound70
61.1%
68
38.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Dunk70
57.2%
68
42.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0NOHStojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)70
60.4%
68
39.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
65.2%
66
34.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot70
68.4%
66
31.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOHHORNETS Rebound70
65.2%
66
34.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHMISS Bowen Layup70
68.4%
66
31.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
65.2%
66
34.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
66.6%
66
33.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0NOHPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)70
69.7%
66
30.3%
Q3 - 1:03ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
64.2%
66
35.8%
Q3 - 1:03ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
63.4%
66
36.6%
Q3 - 1:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)68
59.8%
66
40.2%
Q3 - 1:09NOHMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
58.3%
66
41.7%
Q3 - 1:15NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
54.9%
66
45.1%
Q3 - 1:16ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup68
56.4%
66
43.6%
Q3 - 1:41NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
59.9%
66
40.1%
Q3 - 1:41NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 268
60.3%
65
39.7%
Q3 - 1:58ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)68
59.7%
65
40.3%
Q3 - 2:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
63.3%
65
36.7%
Q3 - 2:08NOHMISS Armstrong 14' Jump Shot68
61.9%
65
38.1%
Q3 - 2:24ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)68
58.5%
65
41.5%
Q3 - 2:39ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
63.4%
65
36.6%
Q3 - 2:40NOHMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
62.0%
65
38.0%
Q3 - 3:01ORLDooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)68
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 3:02ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
62.9%
65
37.1%
Q3 - 3:06NOHMISS Pargo 23' Jump Shot68
61.5%
65
38.5%
Q3 - 3:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 3:21ORLMISS Ariza Layup68
59.8%
65
40.2%
Q3 - 3:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
62.9%
65
37.1%
Q3 - 3:26NOHMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot68
61.5%
65
38.5%
Q3 - 3:51ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)68
58.3%
65
41.7%
Q3 - 4:00ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
54.2%
65
45.8%
Q3 - 4:01NOHMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot66
52.4%
65
47.6%
Q3 - 4:24ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
49.0%
65
51.0%
Q3 - 4:24ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 4:38ORLMagic Rebound64
45.3%
65
54.7%
Q3 - 4:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 6' Jump Shot64
41.9%
65
58.1%
Q3 - 4:44ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
45.3%
65
54.7%
Q3 - 4:45NOHMISS Jackson Layup64
43.8%
65
56.2%
Q3 - 4:52NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
40.5%
65
59.5%
Q3 - 4:53ORLWest BLOCK (1 BLK)64
41.9%
65
58.1%
Q3 - 5:09NOHStojakovic 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
45.2%
65
54.8%
Q3 - 5:25ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
49.1%
63
50.9%
Q3 - 5:25ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 5:39NOHPargo 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)62
45.2%
63
54.8%
Q3 - 5:58ORLHoward Dunk (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)62
49.0%
61
51.0%
Q3 - 6:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
45.2%
61
54.8%
Q3 - 6:05NOHMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot60
43.9%
61
56.1%
Q3 - 6:17ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)60
41.0%
61
59.0%
Q3 - 6:30NOHPargo 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
45.2%
61
54.8%
Q3 - 6:44NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
48.9%
59
51.1%
Q3 - 6:45ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 7:11NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
52.7%
59
47.3%
Q3 - 7:11NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
53.9%
58
46.1%
Q3 - 7:26ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)60
56.0%
57
44.0%
Q3 - 7:44ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q3 - 7:45NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot58
51.4%
57
48.6%
Q3 - 8:08ORLDooling 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 8:25NOHStojakovic 21' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)56
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q3 - 8:43NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q3 - 8:44ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
49.7%
55
50.3%
Q3 - 9:04NOHWest Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)56
52.1%
55
47.9%
Q3 - 9:10ORLStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)56
55.6%
53
44.4%
Q3 - 9:23NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
59.3%
53
40.7%
Q3 - 9:23NOHArmstrong Putback Dunk (2 PTS)56
59.3%
53
40.7%
Q3 - 9:24NOHMISS West Layup56
65.1%
51
34.9%
Q3 - 9:43NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
62.8%
51
37.2%
Q3 - 9:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
63.2%
51
36.8%
Q3 - 9:44ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
65.0%
51
35.0%
Q3 - 10:02NOHPargo 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)55
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q3 - 10:18NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
65.4%
49
34.6%
Q3 - 10:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
66.5%
49
33.5%
Q3 - 10:34NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
68.9%
49
31.1%
Q3 - 10:34NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q3 - 10:38ORLWest STEAL (2 STL)55
71.6%
47
28.4%
Q3 - 10:49NOHStojakovic 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
74.7%
47
25.3%
Q3 - 10:56ORLArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)55
77.0%
45
23.0%
Q3 - 11:25NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
79.0%
45
21.0%
Q3 - 11:44ORLHoward Layup (17 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)55
81.1%
43
18.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL53
79.0%
43
21.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound53
79.0%
43
21.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot53
77.3%
43
22.7%
Q2 - 0:11.0NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)53
77.6%
43
22.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHHORNETS Rebound53
82.5%
40
17.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot53
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHWest Layup (4 PTS)53
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
86.1%
38
13.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot53
86.8%
38
13.2%
Q2 - 1:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
85.5%
38
14.5%
Q2 - 1:06ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
84.9%
38
15.1%
Q2 - 1:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)51
83.0%
38
17.0%
Q2 - 1:12NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot51
82.7%
38
17.3%
Q2 - 1:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
82.0%
38
18.0%
Q2 - 1:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 1:37NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)49
79.0%
38
21.0%
Q2 - 1:42NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
83.8%
35
16.2%
Q2 - 1:44ORLMISS Nelson Layup49
84.1%
35
15.9%
Q2 - 1:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
84.7%
35
15.3%
Q2 - 1:50NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot49
84.5%
35
15.5%
Q2 - 2:06ORLHoward Layup (13 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)49
82.6%
35
17.4%
Q2 - 2:24NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
80.7%
35
19.3%
Q2 - 2:24NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
80.8%
34
19.2%
Q2 - 2:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
82.7%
33
17.3%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 246
82.1%
33
17.9%
Q2 - 2:59NOHEly Dunk (4 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)46
82.6%
33
17.4%
Q2 - 3:11NOHHORNETS Rebound46
83.1%
31
16.9%
Q2 - 3:11ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
83.7%
31
16.3%
Q2 - 3:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
84.9%
31
15.1%
Q2 - 3:24NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup46
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 3:39NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
83.2%
31
16.8%
Q2 - 3:41ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
83.7%
31
16.3%
Q2 - 3:54NOHPargo Running Layup (8 PTS)46
85.0%
31
15.0%
Q2 - 4:19ORLBogans 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)46
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 4:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
83.9%
29
16.1%
Q2 - 4:28NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot44
83.5%
29
16.5%
Q2 - 4:51NOHHORNETS Rebound44
82.3%
29
17.7%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
82.9%
29
17.1%
Q2 - 5:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
83.5%
29
16.5%
Q2 - 5:07NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
83.0%
29
17.0%
Q2 - 5:14NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
81.8%
29
18.2%
Q2 - 5:15ORLMISS Arroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
82.3%
29
17.7%
Q2 - 5:23NOHPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)44
83.5%
29
16.5%
Q2 - 5:39ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)44
81.8%
29
18.2%
Q2 - 6:09NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)44
83.0%
29
17.0%
Q2 - 6:21NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 6:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
87.2%
26
12.8%
Q2 - 6:38NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
86.7%
26
13.3%
Q2 - 6:53ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P3.T7)44
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 7:09NOHButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 7:09NOHMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 244
86.4%
25
13.6%
Q2 - 7:15NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
86.0%
25
14.0%
Q2 - 7:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
86.4%
25
13.6%
Q2 - 7:29NOHEly 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)44
87.3%
25
12.7%
Q2 - 7:44ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (5 PTS)44
88.4%
23
11.6%
Q2 - 7:54ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
87.4%
23
12.6%
Q2 - 7:55NOHMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot42
87.0%
23
13.0%
Q2 - 8:09ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)42
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q2 - 8:26NOHButler 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)39
82.9%
23
17.1%
Q2 - 8:38ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)39
84.2%
21
15.8%
Q2 - 8:50NOHButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
85.7%
21
14.3%
Q2 - 8:50NOHMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 239
86.0%
20
14.0%
Q2 - 9:02ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)39
84.8%
20
15.2%
Q2 - 9:21ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
82.2%
20
17.8%
Q2 - 9:22NOHMISS Ely 7' Hook Shot36
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q2 - 9:30NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
80.5%
20
19.5%
Q2 - 9:31ORLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)36
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q2 - 9:49NOHEly Foul Turnover (P1.T8)36
82.3%
20
17.7%
Q2 - 9:52ORLPeterson STEAL (2 STL)36
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q2 - 10:06NOHBowen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)36
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q2 - 10:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 235
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q2 - 10:34NOHPeterson Layup (3 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)35
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q2 - 10:44NOHPeterson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)35
81.6%
18
18.4%
Q2 - 10:55ORLDooling 19' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
83.1%
17
16.9%
Q2 - 11:20ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q2 - 11:21NOHMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot33
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q2 - 11:33ORLFoyle Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)33
79.5%
17
20.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL33
81.1%
17
18.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound33
81.1%
17
18.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
80.0%
17
20.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0ORLAugustine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
80.2%
17
19.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0NOHMISS Pargo Layup33
79.8%
17
20.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLDooling Layup (5 PTS)33
79.0%
17
21.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)31
77.0%
17
23.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup31
76.6%
17
23.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLHoward Layup (10 PTS)31
75.7%
17
24.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
73.5%
17
26.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Howard Layup29
72.5%
17
27.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
73.5%
17
26.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Nelson 9' Jump Shot29
72.5%
17
27.5%
Q1 - 1:07NOHPargo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)29
73.4%
17
26.6%
Q1 - 1:22ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)29
75.6%
15
24.4%
Q1 - 1:32ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)26
71.5%
15
28.5%
Q1 - 1:41NOHStojakovic 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 1:56NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
71.9%
13
28.1%
Q1 - 1:58NOHMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
73.0%
13
27.0%
Q1 - 2:12ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
71.7%
13
28.3%
Q1 - 2:28NOHStojakovic Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)23
69.7%
13
30.3%
Q1 - 2:45NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.8%
13
32.2%
Q1 - 2:47ORLMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
68.4%
13
31.6%
Q1 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
69.7%
13
30.3%
Q1 - 3:00NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot23
69.1%
13
30.9%
Q1 - 3:18NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
66.7%
13
33.3%
Q1 - 3:20ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot23
67.4%
13
32.6%
Q1 - 3:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
69.0%
13
31.0%
Q1 - 3:39NOHMISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot23
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 3:45NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
66.8%
13
33.2%
Q1 - 3:46NOHMISS Chandler Layup23
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 3:46NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
66.8%
13
33.2%
Q1 - 3:47NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot23
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 4:03ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
66.2%
13
33.8%
Q1 - 4:15NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
64.6%
13
35.4%
Q1 - 4:15NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
64.9%
12
35.1%
Q1 - 4:37ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)21
66.2%
11
33.8%
Q1 - 4:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
64.6%
11
35.4%
Q1 - 4:45NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot19
63.9%
11
36.1%
Q1 - 5:04ORLHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)19
61.4%
11
38.6%
Q1 - 5:21NOHPargo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
59.6%
11
40.4%
Q1 - 5:45NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
61.5%
9
38.5%
Q1 - 5:47ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot17
62.1%
9
37.9%
Q1 - 5:54ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
63.7%
9
36.3%
Q1 - 5:56NOHMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 6:11ORLBogans 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)17
60.7%
9
39.3%
Q1 - 6:14NOHChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)15
58.9%
9
41.1%
Q1 - 6:33NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 6:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 115
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 6:38ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 6:39NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 6:49ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 7:03NOHPargo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)11
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 7:25ORLNelson Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
52.3%
7
47.7%
Q1 - 7:40NOHPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 7:52ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 8:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 8:01NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot7
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 8:10ORLLewis Tip Shot (5 PTS)7
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 8:16ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 8:18ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.9%
7
58.1%
Q1 - 8:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 8:30NOHMISS West Layup5
42.6%
7
57.4%
Q1 - 8:40NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
41.2%
7
58.8%
Q1 - 8:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 8:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 8:48NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot5
42.6%
7
57.4%
Q1 - 9:05ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
40.8%
7
59.2%
Q1 - 9:09ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 9:10NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 9:17ORLChandler STEAL (1 STL)3
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 9:23NOHChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)3
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 9:39ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)3
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 9:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 9:52NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 10
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 10:01ORLPeterson STEAL (1 STL)0
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:13NOHWest Foul Turnover (P2.T2)0
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 10:22ORLWest STEAL (1 STL)0
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:41NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)0
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 10:50NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:51ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:17NOHChandler 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:31NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:32ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot0
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:47NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Chandler vs. Howard: Tip to Pargo0
44.8%
0
55.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.10 55.2%
NOH
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
25
72%
NOH
10
21
48%
Midrange
ORL
8
17
47%
NOH
22
45
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
NOH
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
ORL
19
23
83%
NOH
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2471%12.0 / 17
R. Lewis1979%9.5 / 12
J. Nelson1653%8.0 / 15
H. Turkoglu1547%7.5 / 16
K. Dooling1568%7.5 / 11
K. Bogans433%2.0 / 6
C. Arroyo233%1.0 / 3
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 1
T. Ariza0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2162%10.5 / 17
J. Pargo1843%9.0 / 21
D. West1439%7.0 / 18
M. Peterson1161%5.5 / 9
M. Ely1071%5.0 / 7
T. Chandler467%2.0 / 3
R. Butler433%2.0 / 6
H. Armstrong467%2.0 / 3
B. Jackson225%1.0 / 4
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+9
-20
86
NOH
81
+9
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.10 55.2%
NOH
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
110.8
ORL 97.9 +5.3
NOH 92.6
Pace
93.5
90.5
ORL 99.3 +6.4
NOH 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.9
ORL 14.5 +1.0
NOH 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
51.2%
ORL 52.8% +7.0%
NOH 45.8%
TO %
14.7%
12.4%
ORL 19.6%
NOH 13.5% +6.1%
ORB %
23.4%
27.1%
ORL 15.2%
NOH 17.4% +2.2%
FTrt
35.5
25.1
ORL 31.9 +12.6
NOH 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.4%
ORL 55.9% +3.1%
NOH 52.8%
STL %
6.8%
8.6%
ORL 8.2%
NOH 9.5% +1.3%
BLK %
6.2%
6.4%
ORL 4.5%
NOH 4.8% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
53.3%
ORL 55.2% +6.3%
NOH 48.9%
Rim FG%
61.5%
58.2%
ORL 72.0% +24.4%
NOH 47.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
43.1%
ORL 47.1%
NOH 48.9% +1.8%
3P %
38.6%
38.9%
ORL 26.7% +3.2%
NOH 23.5%
FT %
72.1%
76.9%
ORL 82.6% +7.6%
NOH 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
29.6%
ORL 34.7% +9.4%
NOH 25.3%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
46.5%
ORL 23.6% +30.6%
NOH 54.2%
3P Att. %
32.2%
23.9%
ORL 41.7% +21.2%
NOH 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLNOH
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points9588
Rebounds4336
Assists1919
Steals89
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals34-7236-83
At-the-Rim FG18-2510-21
Midrange FG8-1722-45
2-Point FG26-4232-66
3-Point FG8-304-17
Free Throws19-2312-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
40.9
19
79%
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
40.4
24
71%
15
2
1
3
4
1
3
12
4-7
57%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
39.1
15
47%
7
4
1
0
5
2
0
7
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
2-7
29%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
33.2
16
53%
5
5
1
0
3
1
0
5
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 215 · 28
23.9
4
33%
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
24.1
15
68%
4
2
1
0
1
2
0
4
7-7
100%
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
14.8
2
33%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
11.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 37
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
43
19
8
3
20
0
5
38
19-23
83%
26-42
62%
8-30
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.