FinalWin Prob.pScore
245%95
92
355%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
101.19191.6
DAL logo DAL
115.49190.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Bonner Layup92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALMISS Diop 8' Fadeaway Jumper91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17SASWashington 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26SASHarris STEAL (3 STL)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASWashington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49DALHarris 17' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11SASMISS Elson Driving Reverse Layup89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 2:28DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 3:17DALHarris Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 3:34SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)89
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 3:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 3:42DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 3:42DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 3:53SASDuncan Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)87
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 3:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 3:56SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot85
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 4:12DALHarris 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 4:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:44DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 5:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 281
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 5:16DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 5:36DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 5:37SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:00DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 6:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 6:24SASNowitzki BLOCK (4 BLK)81
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 6:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 6:40DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot81
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 6:57SASDuncan Layup (22 PTS)81
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 6:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)79
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 6:59SASMISS Finley Layup79
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 7:15DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)79
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 7:42SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)79
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 7:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 7:51DALMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot76
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 8:11DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 8:12SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot76
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 8:31DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)76
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 8:49SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 9:13DALHarris 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
5.2%
86
94.8%
Q4 - 9:33SASDuncan Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)74
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 9:48DALBass Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)72
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 10:00SASVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)72
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 10:21SASSpurs Rebound72
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 10:21DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot72
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q4 - 10:32DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 10:34SASNowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)72
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 10:38DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)72
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 11:03SASBarry 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)72
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 11:17DALBass 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 11:20DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 11:24SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot70
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 11:44DALHarris 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL70
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound70
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 31' 3PT Jump Shot70
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)70
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)70
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q3 - 1:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q3 - 1:06DALMISS Dampier 6' Running Hook Shot67
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q3 - 1:25SASVaughn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)67
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 1:33SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q3 - 1:34DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot65
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 1:40DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup65
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 1:55DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 1:55DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 2:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Parker Driving Layup65
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 2:05SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q3 - 2:08DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot65
7.2%
78
92.8%
Q3 - 2:41SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)65
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 2:59DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)62
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 3:16SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 3:16SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 3:20DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)60
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 3:42DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 3:42SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 260
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 3:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q3 - 4:05DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 4:22SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)59
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 4:39DALStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 5:08SASDuncan Driving Layup (16 PTS)56
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 5:25DALStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 5:39SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)54
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 5:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 5:40SASNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)51
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 6:01DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 6:04SASTerry STEAL (1 STL)51
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 6:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 6:12SASMISS Bonner 19' Jump Shot51
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 6:24DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)51
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 6:40DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 6:42DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 7:01SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)51
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 7:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 7:10DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot48
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 7:18DALAger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 7:19SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot48
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 7:35DALAger Foul Turnover (P1.T9)48
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 7:43SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)48
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 7:59DALHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T8)48
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 8:13DALAger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 8:14SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot48
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 8:34DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)48
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 8:43SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)48
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 8:52DALNowitzki Driving Layup (16 PTS)48
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 9:10SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 9:10SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 9:10DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)46
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 9:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 9:16SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot46
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 9:29SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 9:30DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 9:55SASBowen 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 10:16DALDiop Running Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)44
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 10:31DALMAVERICKS Rebound44
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 10:32DALMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot44
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 10:44DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 10:45DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot44
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 11:15SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)44
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q3 - 11:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)42
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot42
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q3 - 11:33DALDiop Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 11:47SASOberto 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)42
6.7%
59
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL40
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound40
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 44' 3PT Running Jump Shot40
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot40
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 240
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound40
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot40
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot40
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALMISS Stackhouse Layup40
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 1:02DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 1:04SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot40
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q2 - 1:23DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)40
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 1:43SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)40
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 1:56DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)38
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q2 - 2:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 2:15SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 237
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q2 - 2:28DALNowitzki 18' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)37
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q2 - 2:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)37
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 2:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)36
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 2:37DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)35
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 2:54SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 2:54SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 3:01SASSpurs Rebound33
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 3:01SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 3:20DALNowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)33
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 3:39SASDuncan Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)33
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 4:01DALHoward Running Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)31
9.7%
49
90.3%
Q2 - 4:04SASHoward STEAL (3 STL)31
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q2 - 4:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 4:18DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 231
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 4:18DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)31
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 4:18DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 4:18SASMISS Udoka 18' Jump Shot31
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 4:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q2 - 4:26DALMISS Harris 8' Running Jump Shot31
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 4:42SASDuncan Putback Layup (8 PTS)31
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:45SASMISS Oberto 5' Hook Shot29
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 4:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)29
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:48SASMISS Ginobili Running Layup29
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 4:54DALDiop Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:57DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 4:58DALMISS Howard Driving Layup29
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 5:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 5:12SASMISS Udoka Layup27
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 5:26DALDiop Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)27
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 5:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 5:36SASMISS Udoka 9' Hook Shot27
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 6:00DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)27
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 6:00DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)27
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 6:17SASOberto Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)27
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 6:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 6:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 6:43SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot27
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 7:01DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)27
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 7:01DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)27
18.1%
39
81.9%
Q2 - 7:03SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)27
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 7:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 7:07SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot27
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 7:32DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)27
21.1%
38
78.9%
Q2 - 7:46DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 7:48SASMISS Bonner 6' Running Jump Shot27
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 8:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 8:07SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 8:18DALBass Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)27
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 8:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)27
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 8:18DALMISS Dampier Layup27
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 8:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 8:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot27
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 8:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 8:46DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 9:10SASGinobili 15' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)27
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 9:26SASSpurs Rebound25
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 9:27DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot25
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 9:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 9:35SASMISS Ginobili Driving Finger Roll Layup25
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 9:47DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 9:47DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 10:02SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)25
25.3%
33
74.7%
Q2 - 10:17DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 10:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 10:33DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 10:39DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 10:40DALMISS Bass 10' Turnaround Jump Shot22
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 11:00SASBonner Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 11:19SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 11:20DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot20
18.5%
33
81.5%
Q2 - 11:40SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)20
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 51' 3PT Running Jump Shot18
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALTerry 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)18
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound18
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)18
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 1:02SASElson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q1 - 1:17DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot16
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q1 - 1:39DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q1 - 1:40SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 216
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q1 - 1:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q1 - 1:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q1 - 1:48DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q1 - 1:58DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 1:59SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot15
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q1 - 2:17DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)15
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q1 - 2:33SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 2:33SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q1 - 2:38DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 2:48SASDiop STEAL (3 STL)12
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 2:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 2:56DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot12
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 3:03DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 3:04SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q1 - 3:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
18.9%
26
81.1%
Q1 - 3:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 3:34SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)12
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 3:51DALAger Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)10
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q1 - 3:56DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q1 - 4:19DALHarris Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)10
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 4:25SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 4:36DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 4:36DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 28
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 4:45DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q1 - 4:47SASMISS Parker 11' Running Jump Shot8
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 5:07DALAger Running Dunk (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)8
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 5:13SASHarris STEAL (2 STL)8
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 5:38DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)8
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 5:53DALMISS Howard Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 28
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 5:53DALMISS Howard Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 28
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 5:55SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)8
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 6:20DALHarris Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Ager 2 AST)8
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 6:24SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)8
34.8%
12
65.2%
Q1 - 6:38DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 6:38DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 28
37.4%
11
62.6%
Q1 - 6:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 28
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 6:54SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 6:58SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
36.7%
11
63.3%
Q1 - 6:59SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot7
35.4%
11
64.6%
Q1 - 7:20DALHoward Running Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)7
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 7:26SASDiop STEAL (2 STL)7
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 7:37DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)7
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 7:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
42.4%
7
57.6%
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot7
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 7:53SASSpurs Rebound7
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 7:54SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)7
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 7:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)7
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 8:00SASMISS Parker Driving Layup7
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 8:10SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 8:10SASMISS Duncan 5' Turnaround Hook Shot7
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 8:32DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ager 1 AST)7
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 8:39SASDiop STEAL (1 STL)7
46.3%
5
53.7%
Q1 - 8:56DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)7
48.4%
5
51.6%
Q1 - 9:09SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)7
49.7%
3
50.3%
Q1 - 9:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
48.4%
3
51.6%
Q1 - 9:21SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot5
46.7%
3
53.3%
Q1 - 9:39SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
48.4%
3
51.6%
Q1 - 9:40DALMISS Harris 11' Running Jump Shot5
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 9:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 9:46DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot5
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 9:56DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 9:57SASMISS Finley 10' Fadeaway Jumper5
46.7%
3
53.3%
Q1 - 10:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
48.1%
3
51.9%
Q1 - 10:07DALMISS Ager 22' Jump Shot5
47.4%
3
52.6%
Q1 - 10:19SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)5
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 10:36DALAger Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
42.5%
3
57.5%
Q1 - 10:36DALMISS Ager Free Throw 1 of 22
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:41DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:42SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot2
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:08DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 11:30SASDuncan Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Hook Bank Shot0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Duncan: Tip to Nowitzki0
42.5%
0
57.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.4%
DAL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
30
43%
DAL
14
18
78%
Midrange
SAS
13
35
37%
DAL
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DAL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
SAS
22
28
79%
DAL
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2560%12.5 / 21
T. Duncan2455%12.0 / 22
B. Barry11138%5.5 / 4
M. Bonner844%4.0 / 9
T. Parker725%3.5 / 14
B. Bowen583%2.5 / 3
F. Elson450%2.0 / 4
F. Oberto350%1.5 / 3
J. Vaughn350%1.5 / 3
D. Washington2100%1.0 / 1
M. Finley0-0.0 / 6
I. Udoka0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2364%11.5 / 18
D. Harris1864%9.0 / 14
J. Terry18100%9.0 / 9
D. Nowitzki1750%8.5 / 17
J. Stackhouse1050%5.0 / 10
B. Bass650%3.0 / 6
M. Ager563%2.5 / 4
D. Diop563%2.5 / 4
E. Dampier338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+18
-14
95
DAL
78
+12
-13
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.4%
DAL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
110.6
SAS 101.1
DAL 115.4 +14.3
Pace
89.5
90.6
SAS 91.6 +1.1
DAL 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.4
SAS 15.7 +0.2
DAL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.2%
SAS 43.8%
DAL 56.8% +13.0%
TO %
13.4%
13.3%
SAS 14.0%
DAL 14.0%
ORB %
23.4%
26.8%
SAS 31.9% +3.8%
DAL 28.1%
FTrt
27.6
31.8
SAS 35.0
DAL 41.1 +6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
56.9%
SAS 53.1% +0.5%
DAL 52.6%
STL %
7.1%
6.6%
SAS 7.7%
DAL 12.1% +4.4%
BLK %
6.5%
7.5%
SAS 1.8%
DAL 6.2% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.9%
SAS 48.4%
DAL 58.3% +9.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.5%
SAS 43.3%
DAL 77.8% +34.5%
Mid FG%
40.4%
44.3%
SAS 37.1%
DAL 43.6% +6.5%
3P %
36.9%
35.2%
SAS 40.0%
DAL 43.8% +3.8%
FT %
76.1%
81.4%
SAS 78.6% +5.3%
DAL 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
28.9%
SAS 37.5% +12.8%
DAL 24.7%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
49.6%
SAS 43.8% +9.7%
DAL 53.4%
3P Att. %
25.1%
21.5%
SAS 18.8%
DAL 21.9% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points92105
Rebounds3841
Assists1720
Steals711
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals32-8038-73
At-the-Rim FG13-3014-18
Midrange FG13-3517-39
2-Point FG26-6531-57
3-Point FG6-157-16
Free Throws22-2822-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
33.5
24
55%
5
1
1
0
5
2
4
1
2-2
100%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
32.8
7
25%
3
8
1
1
1
3
2
1
5-6
83%
1-10
10%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
24.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
19.1
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
18.9
3
50%
5
1
1
0
1
3
5
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
31.9
25
60%
9
7
3
0
4
3
3
6
10-13
77%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
21.7
8
44%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
16.7
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
15.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
14.4
11
138%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 22
3.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
48%
38
17
7
1
14
0
15
23
22-28
79%
26-65
40%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.