FinalWin Prob.pScore
2712%95
105
488%110
108
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
104.010193.4
DAL logo DAL
106.9101110.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM105
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)105
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Navarro 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)105
3.2%
108
96.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)105
3.5%
107
96.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMNavarro Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)105
8.2%
106
91.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMNavarro Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)104
6.9%
106
93.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)103
4.2%
106
95.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 2103
4.9%
105
95.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMHarris STEAL (5 STL)103
3.5%
105
96.5%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)103
11.2%
105
88.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)103
12.0%
104
88.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0MEMGay 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)103
21.6%
103
78.4%
Q4 - 1:01DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)101
14.0%
103
86.0%
Q4 - 1:13MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)101
20.9%
101
79.1%
Q4 - 1:28DALHarris Foul Turnover (P3.T15)98
8.4%
101
91.6%
Q4 - 1:37MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Navarro 4 AST)98
5.1%
101
94.9%
Q4 - 1:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 1:47DALMISS Terry 15' Fadeaway Jumper95
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 2:04MEMGasol 7' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)95
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 2:22MEMGrizzlies Rebound93
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 2:23DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot93
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 2:45MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)93
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 2:52MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 2:54DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 3:08MEMLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)91
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:35DALHoward Driving Reverse Layup (27 PTS)91
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 3:57MEMLowry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)91
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 4:10DALHoward Running Layup (25 PTS)91
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 4:34MEMMiller 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 4:54MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 4:56DALMISS Harris Layup89
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 5:15DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 5:16MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 5:37DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)89
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 5:46MEMNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)89
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 5:50MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 5:51MEMMISS Navarro 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 6:15DALDiop Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)89
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 6:23DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 6:24MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot89
8.6%
92
91.4%
Q4 - 6:42MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
10.7%
92
89.3%
Q4 - 6:43DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 289
10.3%
92
89.7%
Q4 - 6:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
8.3%
92
91.7%
Q4 - 6:58MEMSwift Foul Turnover (P2.T16)89
10.3%
91
89.7%
Q4 - 7:14DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)89
13.8%
91
86.2%
Q4 - 7:27DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
16.9%
89
83.1%
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot89
18.3%
89
81.7%
Q4 - 7:39MEMGrizzlies Rebound89
21.8%
89
78.2%
Q4 - 7:39DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
20.2%
89
79.8%
Q4 - 8:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
17.2%
89
82.8%
Q4 - 8:05MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 289
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q4 - 8:05MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
20.1%
89
79.9%
Q4 - 8:14DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q4 - 8:14DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 8:25MEMWarrick Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)88
21.1%
87
78.9%
Q4 - 8:34MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
17.3%
87
82.7%
Q4 - 8:37DALMISS Howard Driving Layup86
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 8:49DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
13.8%
87
86.2%
Q4 - 8:51DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper86
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 9:06DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
13.5%
87
86.5%
Q4 - 9:07MEMMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot86
14.4%
87
85.6%
Q4 - 9:19DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)86
16.8%
87
83.2%
Q4 - 9:22DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
20.2%
85
79.8%
Q4 - 9:22DALMISS Bass Layup86
23.2%
85
76.8%
Q4 - 9:43MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
20.3%
85
79.7%
Q4 - 9:43MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q4 - 9:53DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
16.8%
85
83.2%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 284
17.4%
84
82.6%
Q4 - 10:08MEMKinsey Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)84
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q4 - 10:24DALBass 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
13.8%
84
86.2%
Q4 - 10:39MEMStoudamire 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)82
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 10:47DALBass Foul Turnover (P2.T14)80
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 11:11DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q4 - 11:13MEMMISS Kinsey 23' Jump Shot80
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 11:26MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
14.2%
82
85.8%
Q4 - 11:27DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot80
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 11:43MEMWarrick 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)80
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL78
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMSwift 4' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)78
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 276
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)75
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound75
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0MEMMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot75
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MEMMiller Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)75
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Lowry Running Layup75
12.3%
77
87.7%
Q3 - 1:08MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q3 - 1:10DALMISS Howard Running Layup75
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q3 - 1:34MEMWarrick Layup (11 PTS)75
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 1:36MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 1:38MEMMISS Swift 15' Jump Shot73
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 1:49DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 1:49DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q3 - 1:50DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q3 - 1:54MEMBass BLOCK (1 BLK)73
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q3 - 1:58DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 1:58DALDampier Tip Shot (5 PTS)73
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 1:59DALMISS Dampier Layup73
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 2:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q3 - 2:03DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot73
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q3 - 2:24MEMWarrick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)73
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q3 - 2:24MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 2:25MEMMISS Kinsey Layup73
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 2:28MEMKinsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q3 - 2:29MEMDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)73
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 2:45DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P2.T13)73
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q3 - 2:59MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q3 - 2:59MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 272
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 3:03MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 3:05DALMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot72
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q3 - 3:20DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q3 - 3:23MEMDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)72
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 3:29MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 3:30MEMMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot72
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 3:38MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 3:40DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot72
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q3 - 3:54MEMMiller 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q3 - 4:16DALBass Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)70
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 4:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 4:22MEMMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot70
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 4:36DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 4:49MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)70
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 5:02DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)67
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 5:02DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 267
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 5:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 5:03DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot67
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q3 - 5:13MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 5:36DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
9.6%
68
90.4%
Q3 - 5:36DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 5:43MEMGasol 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Navarro 3 AST)64
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 6:03MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 6:04DALMISS Diop Free Throw 2 of 262
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 6:04DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 6:04DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 6:05DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot62
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 6:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 6:21DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot62
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 6:34DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 6:35MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 7:00DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P4.T12)62
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 7:15MEMNavarro Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 7:15MEMNavarro Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 7:30DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 7:42MEMHoward STEAL (2 STL)60
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 8:10DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 8:11MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 8:22DALHarris Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 8:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 8:31MEMMISS Gasol Running Layup60
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 8:44DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)60
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 8:44DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 260
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:55MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)60
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 8:55MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 8:55MEMDiop BLOCK (3 BLK)60
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q3 - 8:55MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 8:55MEMMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot60
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q3 - 9:20MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 9:21DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot60
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 9:37MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 9:37MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 9:41DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 9:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 9:46MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot58
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 10:10DALHoward Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)58
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 10:15MEMHarris STEAL (4 STL)58
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 10:24DALAger 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)58
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:45MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)58
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q3 - 10:54MEMStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q3 - 10:55DALMISS Howard Layup55
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 10:56DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 10:57DALMISS Ager Putback Layup55
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 10:59DALAger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 11:00DALMISS Harris Layup55
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 11:04MEMDiop STEAL (1 STL)55
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 11:16DALHarris Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)55
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 11:34MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS)55
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 11:48DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM53
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMKinsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot53
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
11.0%
54
89.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)51
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)51
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot51
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MEMMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot51
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q2 - 1:16DALHoward Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)51
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 1:19MEMHoward STEAL (1 STL)51
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 1:22DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)51
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 1:29DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 1:30MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot51
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 1:39MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q2 - 1:40DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot51
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q2 - 1:45DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 1:46MEMMISS Swift 14' Jump Shot51
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 1:55DALHoward 17' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)51
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q2 - 2:17MEMMiller Driving Layup (7 PTS)51
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 2:32DALBass 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)49
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 2:42MEMSwift 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)49
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 2:47MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 2:50DALMISS Stackhouse Layup47
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 3:04DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)47
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 3:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound47
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 3:17MEMMISS Navarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 3:32DALHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 3:42DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 3:43MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot47
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 3:55DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 3:55DALDiop Tip Shot (2 PTS)47
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 3:57DALMISS Nowitzki Layup47
23.6%
41
76.4%
Q2 - 3:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 4:00DALMISS Nowitzki Layup47
23.6%
41
76.4%
Q2 - 4:18MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 4:18MEMConley Tip Shot (2 PTS)47
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 4:21MEMMISS Gay 7' Jump Shot45
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 4:25DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)45
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 4:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
17.5%
41
82.5%
Q2 - 4:34MEMMISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot45
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 5:09MEMKinsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 5:12DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper45
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 5:37MEMWarrick 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)45
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 5:59DALNowitzki 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)43
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 6:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 6:02DALMISS Howard Driving Layup43
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 6:15DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 6:17MEMDiop BLOCK (2 BLK)43
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 6:40MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 6:41DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 243
18.2%
39
81.8%
Q2 - 6:41DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 6:44DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 6:45MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 7:00DALHoward Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)43
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 7:05MEMHarris STEAL (3 STL)43
21.1%
36
78.9%
Q2 - 7:20DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)43
23.0%
36
77.0%
Q2 - 7:39MEMWarrick Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
26.8%
33
73.2%
Q2 - 7:54DALHarris 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
25.0%
33
75.0%
Q2 - 8:07MEMKinsey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 8:07MEMKinsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 8:23MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 8:24DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot39
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 8:40MEMLowry Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)39
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 8:52MEMGrizzlies Rebound37
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 8:53MEMMISS Jacobsen Running Layup37
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 9:05DALHarris 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 9:23MEMSwift Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)37
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 9:46DALHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q2 - 9:53MEMHarris STEAL (2 STL)35
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 10:00MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 10:03DALMISS Dampier Layup35
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q2 - 10:04DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 10:05DALMISS Stackhouse Layup35
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q2 - 10:21MEMLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)35
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 10:32DALStackhouse 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 10:44DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q2 - 10:45MEMMISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot32
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 11:01MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q2 - 11:03DALMISS Hassell 13' Jump Shot32
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q2 - 11:26MEMKinsey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)32
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q2 - 11:43DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL29
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound29
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Bass 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMNavarro Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)29
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0MEMMISS Warrick 16' Fadeaway Jumper27
11.1%
27
88.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)27
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MEMMISS Navarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot27
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 1:17MEMLowry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 1:29DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q1 - 1:53DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 1:54MEMMISS Gasol Running Layup25
11.1%
25
88.9%
Q1 - 2:01DALBass 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)25
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q1 - 2:14MEMGasol Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Navarro 2 AST)25
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 2:20MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 2:22DALMISS Terry 12' Jump Shot23
11.3%
23
88.7%
Q1 - 2:41MEMMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)23
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q1 - 2:47DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 2:53MEMMiller 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)20
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 3:04DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
7.6%
23
92.4%
Q1 - 3:04DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
7.7%
22
92.3%
Q1 - 3:09MEMTerry STEAL (1 STL)18
8.2%
21
91.8%
Q1 - 3:25MEMGrizzlies Rebound18
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 3:26DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.7%
21
91.3%
Q1 - 3:44DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
8.2%
21
91.8%
Q1 - 3:45MEMMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot18
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 3:57DALStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)18
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 4:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 4:05MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot18
9.7%
19
90.3%
Q1 - 4:14DALTerry Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Diop 2 AST)18
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 4:30MEMWarrick 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)18
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 4:44DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 5:00MEMMiller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)16
9.4%
17
90.6%
Q1 - 5:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 5:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 5:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 5:21MEMDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)16
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 5:37DALHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)16
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 5:41MEMHarris STEAL (1 STL)16
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 5:51MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 5:52DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot16
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 6:09MEMWarrick Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 6:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 214
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 6:21DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
10.7%
13
89.3%
Q1 - 6:32MEMNavarro 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)14
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 6:47DALHoward Running Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)12
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 7:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
10.9%
10
89.1%
Q1 - 7:05DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 212
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 7:05DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 212
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 7:25MEMNavarro 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 7:37DALNowitzki Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
9.6%
10
90.4%
Q1 - 7:48DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 7:50MEMMISS Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
10.5%
8
89.5%
Q1 - 8:13DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 8:13DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 8:25MEMGasol 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Navarro 1 AST)9
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 8:38MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 8:39DALMISS Ager Driving Layup7
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 8:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10.0%
6
90.0%
Q1 - 8:50MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot7
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 9:04DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)7
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:08DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 9:09DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot7
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 9:23MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 9:23MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 9:39MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
10.7%
4
89.3%
Q1 - 9:40DALMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot5
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 9:51MEMGay Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 10:09DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 10:21MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)5
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 10:30MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 10:31DALMISS Harris Layup3
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 10:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
9.8%
2
90.2%
Q1 - 10:38MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot3
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 10:58DALNowitzki Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)3
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 11:17MEMNavarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)3
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:25MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 11:27MEMMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot0
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 11:39MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 11:40DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 20
9.7%
0
90.3%
Q1 - 11:40DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 20
9.2%
0
90.8%
Q1 - 11:58DALAger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.2%
0
90.8%
Q1 - 11:58MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Gasol: Tip to Stoudamire0
9.8%
0
90.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.07 53.6%
DAL
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
26
65%
DAL
20
36
56%
Midrange
MEM
15
39
38%
DAL
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
DAL
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
MEM
20
23
87%
DAL
28
40
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller2382%11.5 / 14
H. Warrick1771%8.5 / 12
P. Gasol1539%7.5 / 19
J. Navarro1470%7.0 / 10
R. Gay935%4.5 / 13
S. Swift950%4.5 / 9
K. Lowry770%3.5 / 5
T. Kinsey770%3.5 / 5
D. Stoudamire225%1.0 / 4
M. Conley250%1.0 / 2
C. Jacobsen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2759%13.5 / 23
D. Nowitzki2153%10.5 / 20
D. Harris1953%9.5 / 18
B. Bass1169%5.5 / 8
J. Terry1045%5.0 / 11
J. Stackhouse744%3.5 / 8
D. Diop675%3.0 / 4
E. Dampier550%2.5 / 5
M. Ager233%1.0 / 3
T. Hassell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
83
+14
-18
97
DAL
87
+16
-14
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.07 53.6%
DAL
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
110.6
MEM 104.0
DAL 106.9 +3.0
Pace
95.5
90.6
MEM 93.4
DAL 110.0 +16.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.4
MEM 15.4
DAL 13.1 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.2%
MEM 50.6% +1.8%
DAL 48.8%
TO %
15.4%
13.3%
MEM 17.5%
DAL 13.1% +4.4%
ORB %
23.8%
26.8%
MEM 25.6%
DAL 32.6% +7.0%
FTrt
31.1
31.8
MEM 27.4
DAL 48.8 +21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
56.9%
MEM 56.4% +7.7%
DAL 48.7%
STL %
6.4%
6.6%
MEM 6.9%
DAL 9.9% +3.0%
BLK %
7.1%
7.5%
MEM 6.8%
DAL 9.2% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.9%
MEM 53.6% +1.7%
DAL 51.9%
Rim FG%
59.4%
58.5%
MEM 65.4% +9.8%
DAL 55.6%
Mid FG%
39.4%
44.3%
MEM 38.5%
DAL 44.7% +6.2%
3P %
34.9%
35.2%
MEM 36.8% +11.8%
DAL 25.0%
FT %
72.3%
81.4%
MEM 87.0% +17.0%
DAL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
28.9%
MEM 31.0%
DAL 43.9% +13.0%
Mid Att. %
37.5%
49.6%
MEM 46.4%
DAL 46.3% +0.1%
3P Att. %
26.4%
21.5%
MEM 22.6% +12.9%
DAL 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMEMDAL
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points105108
Rebounds4046
Assists2219
Steals710
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)32 (1)
Field Goals39-8439-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2620-36
Midrange FG15-3917-38
2-Point FG32-6537-74
3-Point FG7-192-8
Free Throws20-2328-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 28
36.7
23
82%
7
2
0
1
4
3
0
7
3-4
75%
7-11
64%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 250 · 27
33.4
15
39%
6
0
1
1
3
1
1
5
3-3
100%
6-18
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 170 · 27
31.8
14
70%
4
4
1
0
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 230 · 21
25.4
9
35%
4
1
3
0
2
5
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-6
17%
G · 5'10" 171 · 34
15.2
2
25%
1
5
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 196 · 22
27.6
7
70%
3
7
1
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 219 · 25
26.8
17
71%
5
0
1
0
2
3
3
2
3-4
75%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28
17.7
9
50%
6
1
0
2
2
1
3
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 189 · 24
14.3
7
70%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
6.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 20
5.1
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
#31 · C · 7'0" 275 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
40
22
7
5
18
0
11
29
20-23
87%
32-65
49%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.