FinalWin Prob.pScore
2335%98
96
2065%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
104.39295.6
MIL logo MIL
112.99390.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL96
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILBUCKS Rebound96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILWilliams Layup (11 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLWilliams STEAL (2 STL)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot96
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
3.9%
101
96.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 1:03ATLHawks Rebound96
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 1:14MILBogut Layup (21 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)96
5.1%
101
94.9%
Q4 - 1:34MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
9.5%
99
90.5%
Q4 - 1:36ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot96
11.3%
99
88.7%
Q4 - 1:56MILRedd Layup (21 PTS)96
16.5%
99
83.5%
Q4 - 2:16ATLSmith Layup (38 PTS)96
22.6%
97
77.4%
Q4 - 2:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)94
18.6%
97
81.4%
Q4 - 2:37MILBogut Tip Shot (19 PTS)94
18.6%
97
81.4%
Q4 - 2:39MILMISS Redd Layup94
31.8%
95
68.2%
Q4 - 2:58ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T16)94
23.8%
95
76.2%
Q4 - 3:03ATLSmith Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (36 PTS)94
36.1%
95
63.9%
Q4 - 3:03ATLSmith Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (35 PTS)93
33.3%
95
66.7%
Q4 - 3:09MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)92
19.4%
95
80.6%
Q4 - 3:15MILBUCKS Rebound92
23.5%
93
76.5%
Q4 - 3:15MILMISS Bell Layup92
32.0%
93
68.0%
Q4 - 3:31ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)92
26.7%
93
73.3%
Q4 - 3:46MILBogut Foul Turnover (P2.T14)90
20.2%
93
79.8%
Q4 - 4:02ATLChildress Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)90
14.4%
93
85.6%
Q4 - 4:07ATLHawks Rebound88
10.5%
93
89.5%
Q4 - 4:07ATLBogut BLOCK (4 BLK)88
8.2%
93
91.8%
Q4 - 4:24MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)88
10.4%
93
89.6%
Q4 - 4:24MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 288
11.1%
92
88.9%
Q4 - 4:41ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)88
10.2%
92
89.8%
Q4 - 4:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
7.3%
92
92.7%
Q4 - 4:49ATLBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)86
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 5:09MILRedd 5' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 5:22ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (34 PTS)86
11.8%
90
88.2%
Q4 - 5:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 5:32MILMISS Gadzuric 12' Jump Shot83
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q4 - 5:50ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 6:08MILIvey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 8 AST)81
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 6:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 6:24ATLVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)81
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 6:36MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bell 7 AST)81
7.7%
88
92.3%
Q4 - 6:52MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q4 - 6:54ATLMISS Childress 3PT Jump Shot81
10.7%
86
89.3%
Q4 - 7:06ATLHawks Rebound81
14.7%
86
85.3%
Q4 - 7:06MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot81
13.5%
86
86.5%
Q4 - 7:18MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 7:19ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 181
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 7:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
9.0%
86
91.0%
Q4 - 7:19ATLGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)79
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q4 - 7:37MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)79
8.9%
86
91.1%
Q4 - 7:54MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 7:56MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot79
16.9%
83
83.1%
Q4 - 8:13ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T15)79
15.5%
83
84.5%
Q4 - 8:16ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
19.2%
83
80.8%
Q4 - 8:18ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q4 - 8:32MILBell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)79
19.2%
83
80.8%
Q4 - 8:37ATLGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)79
15.4%
83
84.6%
Q4 - 8:50MILVillanueva 3' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bell 6 AST)79
19.2%
83
80.8%
Q4 - 9:06ATLSmith Running Layup (31 PTS)79
23.7%
81
76.3%
Q4 - 9:18MILIvey Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)77
19.8%
81
80.2%
Q4 - 9:21ATLBell STEAL (1 STL)77
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q4 - 9:34MILVillanueva Dunk (15 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)77
19.8%
81
80.2%
Q4 - 9:38ATLIvey STEAL (2 STL)77
23.7%
79
76.3%
Q4 - 9:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
28.6%
79
71.4%
Q4 - 9:43MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q4 - 9:54MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
23.7%
79
76.3%
Q4 - 9:56ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot77
25.1%
79
74.9%
Q4 - 10:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
28.9%
79
71.1%
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Williams Layup77
27.4%
79
72.6%
Q4 - 10:33ATLSmith Layup (29 PTS)77
24.1%
79
75.9%
Q4 - 10:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q4 - 10:36ATLMISS Shel. Williams Dunk75
17.8%
79
82.2%
Q4 - 11:00MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)75
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q4 - 11:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)75
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q4 - 11:14ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)74
27.8%
76
72.2%
Q4 - 11:16ATLHawks Rebound73
24.9%
76
75.1%
Q4 - 11:17ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 173
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q4 - 11:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
17.6%
76
82.4%
Q4 - 11:23MILMISS Gadzuric Hook Shot71
16.7%
76
83.3%
Q4 - 11:42ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)71
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q4 - 11:42ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 270
14.0%
76
86.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
14.7%
76
85.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLChildress 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)70
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)67
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Childress 6' Jump Shot67
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 267
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 267
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot67
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q3 - 1:13MILBogut Dunk (17 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)67
9.5%
76
90.5%
Q3 - 1:31ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)67
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 1:41ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 1:41ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot65
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 2:00MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)65
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 2:16ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)65
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 2:33MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)63
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 2:39MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 2:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:40ATLMISS Horford Dunk63
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 2:42ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot63
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 2:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:58MILMISS Bogut Hook Shot63
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 3:14ATLChildress Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)63
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 3:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q3 - 3:26MILMISS Yi 21' Jump Shot61
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 3:47ATLSmith Layup (23 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)61
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 3:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 4:00MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot59
10.0%
68
90.0%
Q3 - 4:16MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
9.2%
68
90.8%
Q3 - 4:18ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 4:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot59
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 5:00ATLHorford Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 5:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Yi Layup57
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 5:19MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 5:20ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 5:42MILRedd Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)57
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 6:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)57
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 6:02ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 256
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 6:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 6:09MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 6:26ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)56
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 6:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 6:31ATLMISS Smith Layup53
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 6:41MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 6:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)53
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 6:47ATLMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot53
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 7:11MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)53
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 7:11MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)53
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 7:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 7:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 7:25MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot53
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 7:27MILMISS Redd Layup53
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 7:40MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot53
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 7:59MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)53
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 8:08ATLSmith Dunk (17 PTS)53
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 8:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 8:12ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 8:32MILMason 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)51
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 8:36MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 8:38ATLYi BLOCK (1 BLK)51
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 9:03MILBogut Dunk (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)51
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 9:09ATLBogut STEAL (3 STL)51
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 9:12MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 9:12MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)51
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 9:23ATLLue Layup (10 PTS)51
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 9:31MILWilliams Layup (7 PTS)49
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 9:39ATLJohnson Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)49
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 9:55MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 9:55MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 247
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 10:09MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 10:10ATLMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot47
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 10:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 10:28MILMISS Mason Layup47
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 10:41ATLPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)47
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q3 - 10:44MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 10:50MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Pachulia Layup47
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 10:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 10:58ATLBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)47
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 11:12MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T6)47
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 11:22MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 11:23ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 247
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 11:23ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 11:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 11:38MILMISS Mason 13' Hook Shot46
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound46
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot46
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)46
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Childress Layup44
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0MILRedd Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLLue Layup (8 PTS)44
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 1:01MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q2 - 1:19ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 1:38MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)40
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 1:40ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)40
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 1:59MILMason Layup (8 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)40
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 2:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)40
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q2 - 2:05ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 239
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 2:05MILVillanueva Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)39
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q2 - 2:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 2:23ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 2:41MILBell Dunk (2 PTS)39
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 2:46MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot39
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 3:05MILBogut Dunk (12 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)39
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 3:08ATLIvey STEAL (1 STL)39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 3:09ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 3:10MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 3:22ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 3:36MILBogut Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)36
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 3:53ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)36
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 4:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 4:07MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)34
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 4:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 4:08MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot34
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 4:09MILMISS Bogut Layup34
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 4:29ATLLue 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 4:48MILVillanueva 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)32
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 5:07ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)32
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 5:34ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 5:36MILMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot32
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 5:49ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)32
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 6:09MILVillanueva Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)30
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)29
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 6:30MILVillanueva Layup (6 PTS)28
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 6:34ATLVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)28
18.4%
34
81.6%
Q2 - 6:50MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 6:50MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 228
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 7:01MILBUCKS Rebound28
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 7:02MILMISS Simmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 7:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 7:15ATLMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot28
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 7:32MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 7:39ATLHorford 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 7:56MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 7:56MILVillanueva Dunk (4 PTS)26
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 7:57MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 7:57MILMISS Villanueva Tip Shot26
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 7:58MILMISS Villanueva Layup26
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 8:15MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 8:17ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot26
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 8:40MILSimmons 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)26
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q2 - 8:52ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)26
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 9:23MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)24
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q2 - 9:39ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q2 - 9:49MILVillanueva 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)24
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q2 - 10:09ATLChildress Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q2 - 10:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 10:17MILGadzuric Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Villanueva Layup24
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q2 - 10:19MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q2 - 10:20MILMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot24
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q2 - 10:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q2 - 10:44ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 224
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 10:44ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 224
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q2 - 10:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q2 - 10:48MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q2 - 10:58MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
32.3%
23
67.7%
Q2 - 10:59ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot24
33.1%
23
66.9%
Q2 - 11:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 11:33MILMISS Bell Layup24
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams Layup24
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Childress Layup24
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILRedd Layup (8 PTS)24
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS)24
36.4%
21
63.6%
Q1 - 1:03MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)22
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 1:27MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 1:28ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 1:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 1:48MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot22
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 1:59ATLBogut STEAL (2 STL)22
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 2:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 2:08MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot22
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 2:26ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 2:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 2:40MILMISS Simmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 3:02ATLSmith 12' Hook Shot (12 PTS)20
31.5%
19
68.5%
Q1 - 3:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 3:24MILMISS Mason Tip Shot18
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 3:25MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 3:27MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot18
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 3:46MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 118
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 3:49ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 3:50MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 3:50MILMISS Mason Tip Shot16
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 3:52MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 4:11ATLPachulia Layup (4 PTS)16
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 4:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:14ATLMISS Pachulia Layup14
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 4:33MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)14
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot14
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 5:03MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 5:04MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 5:06MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot14
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q1 - 5:08MILBUCKS Rebound14
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 5:08ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot14
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 5:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 5:17MILMISS Yi Layup14
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q1 - 5:33ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 5:49MILMason Running Layup (6 PTS)12
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 6:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 6:09ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot12
27.9%
13
72.1%
Q1 - 6:29MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 6:34ATLBogut STEAL (1 STL)12
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 6:54MILRedd Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)12
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 7:12ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 7:23MILMason 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 7:44ATLWilliams 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 7:59MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 8:23ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)8
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 8:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 8:26ATLMISS Lue Driving Layup6
30.9%
5
69.1%
Q1 - 8:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 8:37MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot6
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 8:55MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.3%
5
69.7%
Q1 - 8:56ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot6
30.9%
5
69.1%
Q1 - 9:19MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 9:23MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.0%
5
70.0%
Q1 - 9:25ATLBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)6
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 9:45MILMason 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 10:15ATLSmith Dunk (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)6
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 10:18MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
31.8%
3
68.2%
Q1 - 10:30ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
30.0%
3
70.0%
Q1 - 10:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 10:46MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)2
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 11:16ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
30.1%
1
69.9%
Q1 - 11:29MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
28.5%
1
71.5%
Q1 - 11:29MILMISS Yi Free Throw 1 of 20
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:44ATLPachulia Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Smith: Tip to Lue0
30.0%
0
70.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.02 51.1%
MIL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
23
39
59%
MIL
28
47
60%
Midrange
ATL
15
32
47%
MIL
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
MIL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
14
23
61%
MIL
10
16
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3870%19.0 / 27
J. Johnson1441%7.0 / 17
M. Williams1031%5.0 / 16
T. Lue1071%5.0 / 7
J. Childress956%4.5 / 8
A. Horford867%4.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia440%2.0 / 5
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
S. Williams150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut2162%10.5 / 17
M. Redd2166%10.5 / 16
C. Villanueva1761%8.5 / 14
M. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
D. Mason1056%5.0 / 9
B. Simmons1050%5.0 / 10
J. Yi536%2.5 / 7
D. Gadzuric550%2.5 / 5
C. Bell338%1.5 / 4
R. Ivey250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+16
-16
92
MIL
79
+16
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.02 51.1%
MIL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.5
ATL 104.3
MIL 112.9 +8.6
Pace
91.4
91.2
ATL 95.6 +4.9
MIL 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
ATL 15.1 +0.8
MIL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.2%
ATL 48.8%
MIL 55.2% +6.4%
TO %
15.5%
15.5%
ATL 15.3%
MIL 13.1% +2.2%
ORB %
29.8%
30.1%
ATL 29.5%
MIL 34.2% +4.7%
FTrt
34.0
29.4
ATL 27.4 +8.8
MIL 18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.2%
ATL 52.5%
MIL 60.0% +7.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
ATL 3.3%
MIL 10.8% +7.5%
BLK %
8.4%
7.2%
ATL 8.1%
MIL 9.9% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.9%
ATL 51.1%
MIL 54.1% +3.0%
Rim FG%
58.6%
54.3%
ATL 59.0%
MIL 59.6% +0.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
41.4%
ATL 46.9% +2.5%
MIL 44.4%
3P %
35.6%
34.4%
ATL 15.4%
MIL 41.7% +26.3%
FT %
77.2%
73.3%
ATL 60.9%
MIL 62.5% +1.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
37.4%
ATL 46.4%
MIL 54.7% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
43.2%
ATL 38.1%
MIL 31.4% +6.7%
3P Att. %
16.5%
19.5%
ATL 15.5% +1.5%
MIL 14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.124.6
Points96105
Rebounds3844
Assists2127
Steals310
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals40-8445-86
At-the-Rim FG23-3928-47
Midrange FG15-3212-27
2-Point FG38-7140-74
3-Point FG2-135-12
Free Throws14-2310-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
40.8
14
41%
0
9
0
0
3
4
0
0
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
39.6
38
70%
7
2
2
3
3
2
3
4
12-16
75%
13-19
68%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
35.3
10
31%
8
1
1
0
2
2
3
5
0-1
0%
5-16
31%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
15.5
10
71%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
14.6
4
40%
6
0
0
0
3
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
37.6
9
56%
3
3
0
0
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21
27.6
8
67%
8
0
0
2
1
2
1
7
0-2
0%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
19.1
2
25%
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
9.2
1
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
#4 · G · 6'3" 202 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
51%
38
21
3
6
16
0
13
25
14-23
61%
38-71
54%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.