Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, November 16, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Heat | 14% | 93 | 77 |
 | 1 | Lakers | 86% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Raptors | 37% | 85 | 101 |
Saturday, November 15, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Hornets | 67% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 48% | 92 | 100 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Knicks | 47% | 90 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Mavericks | 52% | 104 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 47% | 98 | 98 | |
 | 28 | Bulls | 53% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Bucks | 76% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Pistons | 44% | 95 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Magic | 41% | 103 | 92 |
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Friday, November 14, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 29% | 91 | 82 |
 | 20 | Celtics | 71% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 28% | 88 | 80 |
| 5 | Nets | 72% | 95 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 49% | 93 | 101 |
| 29 | Heat | 51% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 33% | 89 | 78 | |
| 6 | Pacers | 67% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 53% | 91 | 96 |
| 13 | 76ers | 47% | 90 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 30% | 89 | 85 |
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 70% | 95 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 20% | 89 | 64 |
| 1 | Kings | 80% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 95 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 29% | 98 | 89 |
| 2 | Lakers | 71% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 36% | 102 | 104 |
| 24 | Warriors | 64% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 39% | 92 | 85 |
| 11 | Rockets | 61% | 95 | 90 |
Thursday, November 13, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 57% | 101 | 110 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 65% | 97 | 92 |
| 29 | Bulls | 35% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 33% | 95 | 86 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 67% | 101 | 97 |
Wednesday, November 12, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 51% | 100 | 107 |
| 25 | Magic | 49% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 28% | 92 | 89 |
| 17 | Celtics | 72% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 44% | 88 | 85 |
| 6 | Nets | 56% | 90 | 71 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 44% | 93 | 83 |
| 28 | Heat | 56% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 30% | 92 | 89 |
| 8 | Hornets | 70% | 99 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 28% | 93 | 99 |
| 15 | Suns | 72% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 51% | 99 | 85 |
| 22 | Warriors | 49% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 12% | 88 | 79 |
| 1 | Lakers | 88% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 30% | 98 | 104 | |
| 10 | Bucks | 70% | 105 | 99 |
Tuesday, November 11, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 23% | 85 | 70 |
| 11 | Rockets | 77% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 48% | 93 | 112 |
| 21 | Wizards | 52% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 30% | 86 | 78 |
| 6 | Pacers | 70% | 93 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 36% | 94 | 89 | |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 64% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 32% | 99 | 97 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 105 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 34% | 96 | 91 |
| 2 | Kings | 66% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 33% | 87 | 80 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 28 | Clippers | 49% | 101 | 115 |
Monday, November 10, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 55% | 98 | 80 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 45% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 49% | 99 | 99 |
| 22 | Warriors | 51% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 24% | 86 | 78 |
| 9 | Spurs | 76% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 42% | 96 | 105 |
| 29 | Bulls | 58% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 57% | 104 | 95 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 43% | 102 | 105 |
Sunday, November 9, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 25% | 94 | 91 |
| 13 | SuperSonics | 75% | 103 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 41% | 89 | 84 | |
| 4 | Pistons | 59% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 43% | 89 | 85 |
| 10 | 76ers | 57% | 91 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 57% | 100 | 82 |
| 18 | Celtics | 43% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 45% | 90 | 76 |
| 28 | Raptors | 55% | 91 | 89 |
Saturday, November 8, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 17% | 88 | 86 |
| 9 | Rockets | 83% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 47% | 89 | 88 |
| 25 | Heat | 53% | 90 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 95 | 98 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 47% | 94 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 17% | 91 | 109 |
| 7 | Hornets | 83% | 102 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 32% | 97 | 87 |
| 12 | Bucks | 68% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 44% | 96 | 81 |
| 10 | Spurs | 56% | 98 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 47% | 95 | 89 |
| 22 | Jazz | 53% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 38% | 94 | 83 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 98 | 90 |
Friday, November 7, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 43% | 90 | 94 | |
| 14 | Celtics | 57% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 30% | 85 | 60 |
| 20 | Wizards | 70% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 61% | 101 | 111 |
| 17 | Knicks | 39% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 21% | 87 | 90 |
| 6 | Pacers | 79% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 48% | 95 | 100 |
| 22 | Magic | 52% | 96 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 49% | 102 | 95 |
| 10 | Hornets | 51% | 103 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 60% | 97 | 106 |
| 29 | Bulls | 40% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 34% | 101 | 104 |
| 26 | Nuggets | 66% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 42% | 97 | 88 |
| 16 | Suns | 58% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 41% | 93 | 89 |
| 23 | Warriors | 59% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 99 | 82 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 57% | 102 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 30% | 92 | 99 |
| 4 | Pistons | 70% | 99 | 105 |
Thursday, November 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 57% | 99 | 120 |
| 11 | Spurs | 43% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 57% | 97 | 71 |
| 27 | Raptors | 43% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 37% | 85 | 87 |
| 5 | Nets | 63% | 89 | 81 | |
Wednesday, November 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 31% | 88 | 88 |
| 4 | Pistons | 69% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 42% | 92 | 106 | |
| 10 | 76ers | 58% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 66% | 103 | 90 |
| 22 | Wizards | 34% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 28% | 96 | 106 |
| 19 | Magic | 72% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 37% | 95 | 106 |
| 17 | Knicks | 63% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nuggets | 44% | 96 | 93 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 56% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 59% | 96 | 125 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 41% | 93 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 52% | 96 | 80 |
| 23 | Jazz | 48% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 46% | 95 | 72 |
| 25 | Warriors | 54% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 39% | 97 | 87 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 100 | 93 |
Tuesday, November 4, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 16% | 83 | 73 |
| 6 | Spurs | 84% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 60% | 105 | 113 |
| 11 | Bucks | 40% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 24% | 85 | 86 |
| 4 | Nets | 76% | 94 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 27% | 90 | 60 |
| 9 | Pacers | 73% | 98 | 71 |
Monday, November 3, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 36% | 96 | 75 |
| 18 | Magic | 64% | 100 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 40% | 93 | 94 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 60% | 92 | 88 |
| 24 | Jazz | 40% | 89 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 12% | 92 | 93 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 88% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 53% | 97 | 98 |
| 27 | Bulls | 47% | 96 | 66 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 52% | 95 | 80 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 48% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 51% | 97 | 80 | |
| 21 | Hawks | 49% | 96 | 90 |