Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 15, 2003

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Spurs	61%	95	95
	18	Wizards	39%	92	71

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	100.0	95	95.0
WAS	75.5	94	94.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-15

WAS

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.03 51.6%

WAS

0.76 38.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	WAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		95 100%	71 0%
Q4 - 0:08.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0	WAS	MISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0	SAS	MISS Horry 21' Jump Shot	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0	WAS	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0	SAS	MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:07	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:09	WAS	MISS Brown 5' Jump Shot	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	SAS	Horry 15' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:35	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	93 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:37	WAS	MISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 2	93 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:37	WAS	MISS Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 2	93 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:47	SAS	Heal 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	93 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 1:59	WAS	Dixon 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)	91 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 2:02	SAS	Hayes STEAL (3 STL)	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 2:09	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 2:11	SAS	MISS Heal 3PT Jump Shot	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 2:28	SAS	Heal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 2:30	WAS	MISS Blake 14' Jump Shot	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 2:45	SAS	Rose 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Hart 5 AST)	91 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:06	WAS	Brown 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)	89 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 3:24	SAS	Rose 1' Dunk (21 PTS) (Hart 4 AST)	89 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 3:39	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	87 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 3:40	WAS	MISS Jeffries 25' 3PT Jump Shot	87 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 3:57	SAS	Hart 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)	87 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:19	WAS	Jeffries 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)	85 99.9%	67 0.1%
Q4 - 4:21	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	85 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 4:22	WAS	MISS Blake 3' Jump Shot	85 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 4:28	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	85 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 4:30	SAS	Jeffries BLOCK (1 BLK)	85 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 4:59	WAS	Thomas Driving Layup (6 PTS)	85 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 5:16	SAS	Brown 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)	85 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 5:43	WAS	Thomas 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)	83 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 5:55	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	83 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 5:57	WAS	MISS Jeffries 2' Layup	83 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 6:03	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	83 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 6:05	SAS	MISS Rose 21' Jump Shot	83 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 6:23	WAS	Thomas 1' Dunk (2 PTS)	83 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 6:24	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	83 99.9%	59 0.1%
Q4 - 6:26	WAS	MISS Thomas 2' Layup	83 99.9%	59 0.1%
Q4 - 6:41	SAS	Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)	83 99.9%	59 0.1%
Q4 - 6:46	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	80 99.9%	59 0.1%
Q4 - 6:48	SAS	MISS Brown 19' Jump Shot	80 99.9%	59 0.1%
Q4 - 7:00	WAS	Jeffries 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	80 99.9%	59 0.1%
Q4 - 7:10	SAS	Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)	80 99.9%	57 0.1%
Q4 - 7:23	WAS	Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	80 99.9%	57 0.1%
Q4 - 7:23	WAS	Jeffries 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	80 99.9%	56 0.1%
Q4 - 7:40	SAS	Rose 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bowen 5 AST)	80 99.9%	54 0.1%
Q4 - 7:57	SAS	Hart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	78 99.9%	54 0.1%
Q4 - 7:58	SAS	MISS Hart 17' Jump Shot	78 99.9%	54 0.1%
Q4 - 8:02	SAS	Hart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	78 99.9%	54 0.1%
Q4 - 8:04	WAS	MISS Dixon 17' Jump Shot	78 99.9%	54 0.1%
Q4 - 8:20	SAS	Rose Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)	78 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q4 - 8:20	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)	77 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q4 - 8:20	SAS	Rose 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)	76 99.7%	54 0.3%
Q4 - 8:43	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	74 99.7%	54 0.3%
Q4 - 8:45	WAS	MISS Dixon 4' Jump Shot	74 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q4 - 8:59	SAS	Rose 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	74 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q4 - 9:17	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	72 99.3%	54 0.7%
Q4 - 9:19	WAS	MISS Arenas 3PT Jump Shot	72 99.2%	54 0.8%
Q4 - 9:33	SAS	Ginobili Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)	72 99.1%	54 0.9%
Q4 - 9:38	WAS	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)	70 98.9%	54 1.1%
Q4 - 9:44	SAS	Hart Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)	70 98.5%	54 1.5%
Q4 - 9:57	WAS	Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)	70 98.9%	54 1.1%
Q4 - 10:05	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	70 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 10:07	SAS	Thomas BLOCK (3 BLK)	70 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 10:21	WAS	Thomas Foul Turnover (P3.T11)	70 99.3%	51 0.7%
Q4 - 10:32	WAS	Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	70 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 10:34	WAS	MISS Dixon 1' Layup	70 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q4 - 10:53	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	70 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 10:54	SAS	MISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot	70 99.2%	51 0.8%
Q4 - 11:10	WAS	Jeffries Layup (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	70 99.1%	51 0.9%
Q4 - 11:14	WAS	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	70 99.3%	49 0.7%
Q4 - 11:16	SAS	MISS Horry 20' Jump Shot	70 99.3%	49 0.7%
Q4 - 11:33	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	70 99.4%	49 0.6%
Q4 - 11:36	WAS	MISS Blake 21' Jump Shot	70 99.4%	49 0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		70 99.3%	49 0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	70 99.3%	49 0.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0	WAS	MISS Blake 40' 3PT Jump Shot	70 99.2%	49 0.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	70 99.1%	49 0.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0	SAS	MISS Rose 18' Jump Shot	70 99.1%	49 0.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0	WAS	Hayes 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	70 99.3%	49 0.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0	SAS	Rose 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	70 99.4%	47 0.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0	WAS	Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	68 99.3%	47 0.7%
Q3 - 1:07	SAS	Rose 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	68 98.9%	47 1.1%
Q3 - 1:28	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	66 98.7%	47 1.3%
Q3 - 1:30	WAS	MISS Dixon 5' Jump Shot	66 98.6%	47 1.4%
Q3 - 1:37	WAS	Dixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	66 98.4%	47 1.6%
Q3 - 1:39	SAS	MISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot	66 98.5%	47 1.5%
Q3 - 1:51	WAS	Blake Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	66 98.7%	47 1.3%
Q3 - 1:51	WAS	Blake Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	66 98.8%	46 1.2%
Q3 - 1:59	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	66 98.9%	45 1.1%
Q3 - 1:59	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	65 98.9%	45 1.1%
Q3 - 2:11	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	64 98.4%	45 1.6%
Q3 - 2:13	WAS	MISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot	64 98.3%	45 1.7%
Q3 - 2:31	SAS	Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	64 98.1%	45 1.9%
Q3 - 2:31	SAS	MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2	63 97.9%	45 2.1%
Q3 - 2:33	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)	63 98.1%	45 1.9%
Q3 - 2:35	WAS	MISS Arenas 15' Jump Shot	63 98.0%	45 2.0%
Q3 - 2:53	SAS	Bowen 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)	63 97.7%	45 2.3%
Q3 - 3:06	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	61 97.0%	45 3.0%
Q3 - 3:06	WAS	MISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2	61 97.1%	44 2.9%
Q3 - 3:19	SAS	Bowen Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	61 97.0%	44 3.0%
Q3 - 3:22	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)	59 96.4%	44 3.6%
Q3 - 3:24	WAS	MISS Arenas 9' Jump Shot	59 96.2%	44 3.8%
Q3 - 3:44	SAS	Haywood STEAL (2 STL)	59 95.7%	44 4.3%
Q3 - 3:52	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	59 96.4%	44 3.6%
Q3 - 3:54	WAS	MISS Whitney 14' Jump Shot	59 96.2%	44 3.8%
Q3 - 4:24	SAS	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)	59 95.3%	44 4.7%
Q3 - 4:50	WAS	Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	56 93.6%	44 6.4%
Q3 - 4:59	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	56 95.3%	41 4.7%
Q3 - 5:00	SAS	MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot	56 95.6%	41 4.4%
Q3 - 5:10	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	56 95.7%	41 4.3%
Q3 - 5:12	WAS	MISS Brown 12' Jump Shot	56 95.5%	41 4.5%
Q3 - 5:27	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	56 94.9%	41 5.1%
Q3 - 5:27	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	55 94.7%	41 5.3%
Q3 - 5:34	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	54 94.1%	41 5.9%
Q3 - 5:35	WAS	MISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot	54 93.8%	41 6.2%
Q3 - 5:54	SAS	Parker 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	54 93.0%	41 7.0%
Q3 - 6:09	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	52 91.4%	41 8.6%
Q3 - 6:11	SAS	MISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot	52 90.4%	41 9.6%
Q3 - 6:14	SAS	Spurs Rebound	52 91.4%	41 8.6%
Q3 - 6:15	SAS	Haywood BLOCK (5 BLK)	52 90.4%	41 9.6%
Q3 - 6:34	SAS	Spurs Rebound	52 91.4%	41 8.6%
Q3 - 6:35	WAS	MISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot	52 91.0%	41 9.0%
Q3 - 6:41	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52 90.0%	41 10.0%
Q3 - 6:43	SAS	MISS Parker 5' Jump Shot	52 90.5%	41 9.5%
Q3 - 6:47	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	52 91.5%	41 8.5%
Q3 - 6:49	WAS	MISS Haywood 8' Jump Shot	52 91.0%	41 9.0%
Q3 - 7:11	SAS	Duncan 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	52 89.3%	41 10.7%
Q3 - 7:37	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	49 86.2%	41 13.8%
Q3 - 7:37	WAS	MISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2	49 86.6%	40 13.4%
Q3 - 7:50	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	49 86.0%	40 14.0%
Q3 - 7:52	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	49 86.6%	40 13.4%
Q3 - 8:03	WAS	Haywood Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	49 87.8%	40 12.2%
Q3 - 8:16	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)	49 85.8%	40 14.2%
Q3 - 8:19	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	47 84.1%	40 15.9%
Q3 - 8:21	WAS	MISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot	47 83.4%	40 16.6%
Q3 - 8:38	SAS	Parker 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)	47 81.7%	40 18.3%
Q3 - 8:55	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	45 79.6%	40 20.4%
Q3 - 8:55	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	45 80.1%	39 19.9%
Q3 - 9:03	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	45 81.4%	38 18.6%
Q3 - 9:05	SAS	MISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot	45 82.1%	38 17.9%
Q3 - 9:24	WAS	Arenas 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)	45 83.6%	38 16.4%
Q3 - 9:40	SAS	Nesterovic Layup (4 PTS)	45 85.5%	36 14.5%
Q3 - 9:42	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	43 83.7%	36 16.3%
Q3 - 9:44	SAS	MISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot	43 82.2%	36 17.8%
Q3 - 9:54	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	43 83.7%	36 16.3%
Q3 - 9:56	WAS	MISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot	43 83.0%	36 17.0%
Q3 - 10:11	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 81.2%	36 18.8%
Q3 - 10:14	SAS	Haywood BLOCK (4 BLK)	43 82.0%	36 18.0%
Q3 - 10:37	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	43 83.5%	36 16.5%
Q3 - 10:37	WAS	MISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2	43 83.9%	35 16.1%
Q3 - 10:46	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	43 83.3%	35 16.7%
Q3 - 10:46	WAS	MISS Haywood 6' Jump Shot	43 84.8%	35 15.2%
Q3 - 10:47	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	43 83.3%	35 16.7%
Q3 - 10:48	WAS	MISS Hayes 5' Jump Shot	43 84.8%	35 15.2%
Q3 - 10:57	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 83.3%	35 16.7%
Q3 - 10:59	SAS	MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot	43 84.0%	35 16.0%
Q3 - 11:22	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	43 85.2%	35 14.8%
Q3 - 11:24	WAS	MISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43 84.6%	35 15.4%
Q3 - 11:39	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	43 83.3%	35 16.7%
Q3 - 11:41	SAS	MISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot	43 83.9%	35 16.1%
Q3 - 11:42	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 85.2%	35 14.8%
Q3 - 11:45	WAS	MISS Hayes 5' Jump Shot	43 84.7%	35 15.3%
Q3 - 11:52	SAS	Duncan 2' Layup (10 PTS)	43 83.3%	35 16.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS		41 81.4%	35 18.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0	WAS	Dixon Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	41 80.6%	35 19.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T11)	41 79.1%	35 20.9%
Q2 - 0:12.0	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	41 80.6%	35 19.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0	WAS	MISS Arenas 23' Jump Shot	41 80.1%	35 19.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	41 79.1%	35 20.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	40 78.6%	35 21.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	39 76.1%	35 23.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0	SAS	MISS Rose 16' Jump Shot	39 74.9%	35 25.1%
Q2 - 1:00	WAS	Thomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)	39 76.2%	35 23.8%
Q2 - 1:15	SAS	Duncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T10)	39 74.3%	35 25.7%
Q2 - 1:18	WAS	Dixon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	39 75.6%	35 24.4%
Q2 - 1:42	SAS	Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	39 74.4%	35 25.6%
Q2 - 1:42	SAS	Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	38 73.9%	35 26.1%
Q2 - 1:58	WAS	Dixon 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)	37 70.6%	35 29.4%
Q2 - 2:17	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 76.0%	32 24.0%
Q2 - 2:19	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot	37 76.6%	32 23.4%
Q2 - 2:26	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	37 78.0%	32 22.0%
Q2 - 2:28	WAS	MISS Dixon 14' Jump Shot	37 77.4%	32 22.6%
Q2 - 2:53	SAS	Parker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)	37 76.0%	32 24.0%
Q2 - 3:05	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	37 77.9%	32 22.1%
Q2 - 3:06	WAS	MISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 2	37 77.6%	32 22.4%
Q2 - 3:06	WAS	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2	37 76.3%	32 23.7%
Q2 - 3:21	SAS	Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	37 75.5%	32 24.5%
Q2 - 3:21	SAS	MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2	36 74.6%	32 25.4%
Q2 - 3:21	SAS	Turkoglu Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	36 75.8%	32 24.2%
Q2 - 3:21	WAS	Hughes Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)	35 73.5%	32 26.5%
Q2 - 3:25	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	35 70.8%	32 29.2%
Q2 - 3:27	SAS	Haywood BLOCK (3 BLK)	35 71.6%	32 28.4%
Q2 - 3:30	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	35 73.5%	32 26.5%
Q2 - 3:32	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	35 71.6%	32 28.4%
Q2 - 3:43	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	35 73.5%	32 26.5%
Q2 - 3:45	WAS	MISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot	35 72.7%	32 27.3%
Q2 - 3:53	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 70.8%	32 29.2%
Q2 - 3:54	SAS	MISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot	35 71.6%	32 28.4%
Q2 - 4:21	WAS	Arenas Layup (7 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)	35 73.2%	32 26.8%
Q2 - 4:25	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	35 75.5%	30 24.5%
Q2 - 4:25	WAS	MISS Arenas 9' Jump Shot	35 76.9%	30 23.1%
Q2 - 4:41	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	35 75.5%	30 24.5%
Q2 - 4:42	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2	35 75.7%	30 24.3%
Q2 - 4:42	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	35 77.0%	30 23.0%
Q2 - 4:47	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 77.5%	30 22.5%
Q2 - 4:49	WAS	MISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot	35 76.9%	30 23.1%
Q2 - 5:05	SAS	Hart 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	35 75.3%	30 24.7%
Q2 - 5:27	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	33 73.4%	30 26.6%
Q2 - 5:29	WAS	MISS Hughes 13' Jump Shot	33 72.6%	30 27.4%
Q2 - 6:08	SAS	Duncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)	33 70.8%	30 29.2%
Q2 - 6:12	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	31 69.0%	30 31.0%
Q2 - 6:14	WAS	MISS Arenas 2' Layup	31 68.1%	30 31.9%
Q2 - 6:31	SAS	Duncan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)	31 66.1%	30 33.9%
Q2 - 6:42	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	29 64.1%	30 35.9%
Q2 - 6:44	WAS	MISS Hughes 8' Jump Shot	29 63.1%	30 36.9%
Q2 - 6:57	SAS	Duncan Traveling Turnover (P5.T8)	29 61.0%	30 39.0%
Q2 - 7:07	WAS	Brown Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	29 64.1%	30 35.9%
Q2 - 7:07	WAS	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	29 61.5%	30 38.5%
Q2 - 7:09	WAS	MISS Brown 1' Layup	29 63.4%	30 36.6%
Q2 - 7:29	SAS	Hart 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	29 61.5%	30 38.5%
Q2 - 7:50	WAS	Dixon 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	27 59.2%	30 40.8%
Q2 - 8:08	SAS	Hart 17' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	27 61.3%	28 38.7%
Q2 - 8:19	WAS	Hughes Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)	25 59.2%	28 40.8%
Q2 - 8:34	SAS	Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)	25 56.3%	28 43.7%
Q2 - 8:48	WAS	Dixon Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	23 54.1%	28 45.9%
Q2 - 8:52	WAS	Dixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 51.2%	28 48.8%
Q2 - 8:53	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 2' Layup	23 52.1%	28 47.9%
Q2 - 8:54	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 54.1%	28 45.9%
Q2 - 8:57	SAS	Thomas BLOCK (2 BLK)	23 52.1%	28 47.9%
Q2 - 9:23	WAS	Brown 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	23 54.4%	28 45.6%
Q2 - 9:49	SAS	Hart 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)	23 56.6%	26 43.4%
Q2 - 9:55	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	21 54.4%	26 45.6%
Q2 - 9:57	WAS	MISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot	21 53.6%	26 46.4%
Q2 - 10:14	SAS	Bowen Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)	21 51.6%	26 48.4%
Q2 - 10:23	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	19 49.4%	26 50.6%
Q2 - 10:25	WAS	MISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot	19 48.6%	26 51.4%
Q2 - 10:34	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	19 46.7%	26 53.3%
Q2 - 10:36	SAS	MISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot	19 47.5%	26 52.5%
Q2 - 10:47	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	19 49.5%	26 50.5%
Q2 - 10:49	WAS	MISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot	19 48.6%	26 51.4%
Q2 - 11:05	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	19 47.4%	26 52.6%
Q2 - 11:07	SAS	MISS Rose 17' Jump Shot	19 48.1%	26 51.9%
Q2 - 11:22	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 49.7%	26 50.3%
Q2 - 11:24	WAS	MISS Hayes 16' Jump Shot	19 49.0%	26 51.0%
Q2 - 11:40	SAS	Rose 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)	19 47.3%	26 52.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS		17 44.9%	26 55.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	17 44.9%	26 55.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0	WAS	MISS Dixon 13' Jump Shot	17 44.4%	26 55.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0	SAS	Rose Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)	17 43.1%	26 56.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 44.9%	26 55.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0	WAS	MISS Dixon 21' Jump Shot	17 44.4%	26 55.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0	SAS	Arenas STEAL (1 STL)	17 43.1%	26 56.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0	WAS	Brown 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	17 44.9%	26 55.1%
Q1 - 1:13	SAS	Hart 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)	17 48.0%	24 52.0%
Q1 - 1:32	WAS	Dixon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	15 45.1%	24 54.9%
Q1 - 1:37	WAS	Arenas 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	15 47.5%	23 52.5%
Q1 - 1:49	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	15 50.4%	21 49.6%
Q1 - 1:51	SAS	MISS Parker 3' Layup	15 50.9%	21 49.1%
Q1 - 1:57	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	15 52.2%	21 47.8%
Q1 - 1:59	WAS	MISS Thomas 3' Layup	15 51.6%	21 48.4%
Q1 - 2:13	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 50.6%	21 49.4%
Q1 - 2:15	SAS	MISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot	15 51.3%	21 48.7%
Q1 - 2:30	WAS	Hayes 7' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)	15 52.8%	21 47.2%
Q1 - 2:43	SAS	Brown STEAL (1 STL)	15 55.3%	19 44.7%
Q1 - 2:52	SAS	Spurs Rebound	15 57.4%	19 42.6%
Q1 - 2:53	SAS	Thomas BLOCK (1 BLK)	15 55.9%	19 44.1%
Q1 - 3:01	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 58.0%	19 42.0%
Q1 - 3:03	WAS	MISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	15 57.2%	19 42.8%
Q1 - 3:07	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	15 55.5%	19 44.5%
Q1 - 3:10	SAS	Arenas BLOCK (1 BLK)	15 56.3%	19 43.7%
Q1 - 3:18	WAS	Hughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	15 58.0%	19 42.0%
Q1 - 3:32	SAS	Rose 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	15 55.5%	19 44.5%
Q1 - 3:43	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	13 53.5%	19 46.5%
Q1 - 3:45	WAS	MISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot	13 52.7%	19 47.3%
Q1 - 3:59	SAS	Rose 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)	13 51.0%	19 49.0%
Q1 - 4:12	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	11 49.7%	19 50.3%
Q1 - 4:14	WAS	MISS Brown 6' Jump Shot	11 48.9%	19 51.1%
Q1 - 4:28	SAS	Duncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)	11 47.0%	19 53.0%
Q1 - 4:53	SAS	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 49.7%	19 50.3%
Q1 - 4:55	WAS	MISS Hayes 11' Jump Shot	11 48.9%	19 51.1%
Q1 - 5:12	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 48.2%	19 51.8%
Q1 - 5:14	SAS	Haywood BLOCK (2 BLK)	11 48.9%	19 51.1%
Q1 - 5:15	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 50.5%	19 49.5%
Q1 - 5:16	SAS	MISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot	11 48.9%	19 51.1%
Q1 - 5:26	WAS	Haywood Tip Shot (2 PTS)	11 50.5%	19 49.5%
Q1 - 5:27	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 52.4%	17 47.6%
Q1 - 5:34	WAS	MISS Brown 7' Jump Shot	11 54.0%	17 46.0%
Q1 - 5:58	SAS	Parker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	11 52.4%	17 47.6%
Q1 - 6:14	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 49.0%	17 51.0%
Q1 - 6:15	WAS	MISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 2	8 48.7%	17 51.3%
Q1 - 6:15	WAS	Hughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	8 47.4%	17 52.6%
Q1 - 6:15	WAS	Hughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	8 48.9%	16 51.1%
Q1 - 6:15	WAS	MISS Arenas 3' Layup	8 50.4%	16 49.6%
Q1 - 6:20	SAS	Hayes STEAL (2 STL)	8 48.9%	16 51.1%
Q1 - 6:35	WAS	Hughes 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	8 51.0%	16 49.0%
Q1 - 6:40	WAS	Hughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 52.9%	14 47.1%
Q1 - 6:42	SAS	Haywood BLOCK (1 BLK)	8 53.6%	14 46.4%
Q1 - 6:54	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 55.0%	14 45.0%
Q1 - 6:56	WAS	MISS Brown 11' Jump Shot	8 54.4%	14 45.6%
Q1 - 7:07	SAS	Hayes STEAL (1 STL)	8 53.9%	14 46.1%
Q1 - 7:22	WAS	Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)	8 56.0%	14 44.0%
Q1 - 7:27	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 59.5%	11 40.5%
Q1 - 7:29	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot	8 60.1%	11 39.9%
Q1 - 7:37	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 61.5%	11 38.5%
Q1 - 7:40	WAS	MISS Arenas 7' Jump Shot	8 60.9%	11 39.1%
Q1 - 7:53	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 59.4%	11 40.6%
Q1 - 7:54	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	8 60.1%	11 39.9%
Q1 - 8:11	WAS	Hayes 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 62.1%	11 37.9%
Q1 - 8:28	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	8 63.6%	9 36.4%
Q1 - 8:28	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	7 63.3%	9 36.7%
Q1 - 8:46	WAS	Brown 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)	6 62.0%	9 38.0%
Q1 - 9:05	SAS	Duncan 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	6 63.3%	7 36.7%
Q1 - 9:21	WAS	Hughes Tip Shot (4 PTS)	4 62.1%	7 37.9%
Q1 - 9:23	WAS	Hughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 63.3%	5 36.7%
Q1 - 9:25	WAS	MISS Hayes 3' Jump Shot	4 64.9%	5 35.1%
Q1 - 9:30	SAS	Haywood STEAL (1 STL)	4 63.4%	5 36.6%
Q1 - 9:46	WAS	Hughes 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	4 65.6%	5 34.4%
Q1 - 10:08	SAS	Nesterovic 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	4 66.9%	3 33.1%
Q1 - 10:24	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 65.4%	3 34.6%
Q1 - 10:26	WAS	MISS Haywood 5' Jump Shot	2 64.8%	3 35.2%
Q1 - 10:47	SAS	Ginobili 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	2 63.4%	3 36.6%
Q1 - 10:50	SAS	Spurs Rebound	0 62.0%	3 38.0%
Q1 - 10:50	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 60.5%	3 39.5%
Q1 - 11:11	WAS	Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	0 61.9%	3 38.1%
Q1 - 11:25	WAS	Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 65.4%	0 34.6%
Q1 - 11:27	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot	0 65.9%	0 34.1%
Q1 - 11:35	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 66.9%	0 33.1%
Q1 - 11:40	WAS	MISS Haywood 5' Jump Shot	0 66.5%	0 33.5%
Q1 - 12:00	WAS	Jump Ball Brown vs. Duncan: Tip to Arenas	0 65.4%	0 34.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.03 51.6%

WAS

0.76 38.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

63%

WAS

37%

Midrange

SAS

44%

WAS

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

6.0

40%

60%

WAS

7.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

SAS

79%

WAS

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Rose	23	68%	11.5 / 17
T. Duncan	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Hart	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Parker	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Ginobili	9	35%	4.5 / 13
B. Bowen	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Horry	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Nesterovic	4	29%	2.0 / 7
H. Turkoglu	3	19%	1.5 / 8
D. Brown	2	33%	1.0 / 3
S. Heal	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Arenas	14	30%	7.0 / 23
J. Dixon	11	50%	5.5 / 11
L. Hughes	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Jeffries	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Brown	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Hayes	6	30%	3.0 / 10
E. Thomas	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Whitney	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Haywood	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Blake	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-15

WAS

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.03 51.6%

WAS

0.76 38.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	100.0 95.6	SAS 100.0 WAS 75.5 +24.5
Pace	91.3 95.4	SAS 95.0 +1.0 WAS 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time	16.0 14.8	SAS 15.2 +0.2 WAS 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.3% 45.4%	SAS 50.0% +13.3% WAS 36.7%
TO %	15.4% 17.4%	SAS 14.5% WAS 12.5% +2.0%
ORB %	29.5% 30.7%	SAS 23.1% +4.6% WAS 18.5%
FTrt	32.2 33.7	SAS 23.8 +2.1 WAS 21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.0% 55.7%	SAS 73.7% +27.3% WAS 46.4%
STL %	8.8% 9.3%	SAS 4.2% WAS 7.4% +3.2%
BLK %	9.9% 7.4%	SAS 12.9% WAS 14.3% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	48.6% 47.4%	SAS 51.6% +13.4% WAS 38.2%
Rim FG%	57.6% 54.8%	SAS 62.5% +25.5% WAS 37.0%
Mid FG%	37.0% 34.5%	SAS 44.4% +14.2% WAS 30.2%
3P %	35.8% 34.2%	SAS 40.0% +1.5% WAS 38.5%
FT %	68.1% 71.4%	SAS 78.9% +23.3% WAS 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.9% 37.6%	SAS 20.0% WAS 32.5% +12.5%
Mid Att. %	46.4% 43.0%	SAS 67.5% WAS 51.8% +15.7%
3P Att. %	17.7% 19.4%	SAS 12.5% WAS 15.7% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.

Game Totals	SAS	WAS
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	95	71
Rebounds	53	40
Assists	28	13
Steals	4	7
Blocks	9	10
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (2)	30 (1)
Field Goals	38-80	28-83
At-the-Rim FG	10-16	10-27
Midrange FG	24-54	13-43
2-Point FG	34-70	23-70
3-Point FG	4-10	5-13
Free Throws	15-19	10-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 32	32.5	8	67%	9	5	1	0	0	2	1	8	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 28	29.5	17	61%	13	2	0	3	7	2	1	12	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 26	24.8	9	35%	4	3	2	2	0	3	1	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 27	24.0	4	29%	5	1	0	3	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 21	22.7	10	63%	0	3	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 25	28.3	3	19%	10	5	0	0	1	2	0	10	1-1	100%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
Malik Rose F · 6'7" 255 · 29	26.7	23	68%	8	2	0	1	3	0	3	5	3-3	100%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 26	25.3	12	86%	2	5	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33	13.8	5	63%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 25	7.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Shane Heal G · 6'0" 180 · 33	4.7	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kevin Willis C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	52%	53	28	4	9	15	0	9	44	15-19	79%	34-70	49%	4-10	40%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 32	32.5	8	67%	9	5	1	0	0	2	1	8	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 28	29.5	17	61%	13	2	0	3	7	2	1	12	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 26	24.8	9	35%	4	3	2	2	0	3	1	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 27	24.0	4	29%	5	1	0	3	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 21	22.7	10	63%	0	3	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 25	28.3	3	19%	10	5	0	0	1	2	0	10	1-1	100%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
Malik Rose F · 6'7" 255 · 29	26.7	23	68%	8	2	0	1	3	0	3	5	3-3	100%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 26	25.3	12	86%	2	5	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33	13.8	5	63%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 25	7.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Shane Heal G · 6'0" 180 · 33	4.7	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kevin Willis C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	52%	53	28	4	9	15	0	9	44	15-19	79%	34-70	49%	4-10	40%

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18 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarvis Hayes F · 6'8" 228 · 22	42.6	6	30%	8	1	3	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 22	35.4	14	30%	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	4	5-8	63%	3-14	21%	1-5	20%
Kwame Brown F · 6'11" 290 · 22	34.1	8	36%	4	3	1	0	1	4	1	3	0-2	0%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 24	21.9	2	20%	8	0	2	5	1	3	3	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Larry Hughes G · 6'5" 185 · 25	17.6	10	56%	3	0	0	0	3	3	2	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-1	100%
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 25	22.6	11	50%	3	0	0	0	3	2	1	2	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	2-2	100%
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 26	21.9	6	43%	6	2	0	3	3	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Jared Jeffries F · 6'11" 240 · 22	19.9	9	56%	3	0	0	1	0	2	2	1	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 24	14.0	2	20%	1	4	0	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Whitney G · 6'0" 175 · 32	10.0	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Christian Laettner F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34
Brevin Knight G · 5'10" 166 · 28
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	71	38%	40	13	7	10	13	0	10	30	10-18	56%	23-70	33%	5-13	38%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE