FinalWin Prob.pScore
2417%88
86
983%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
98.98796.7
HOU logo HOU
109.18880.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU86
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLBogans Layup (7 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)86
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUMobley Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T15)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06HOUYao Layup (16 PTS)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ORLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot84
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47HOUFrancis 18' Jump Shot (31 PTS)84
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 2:01HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)84
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 2:03ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot84
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 2:13HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 2:13HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 284
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 2:14ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)84
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 2:25ORLMagic Rebound84
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 2:27ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot84
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 2:50HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 2:50HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 284
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 2:50ORLLue Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)84
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 2:50HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)83
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 2:51HOUMISS Yao 10' Hook Shot83
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 3:13ORLHunter Layup (15 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)83
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 3:19ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 3:20HOUMISS Mobley 6' Jump Shot81
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 3:32HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 3:34ORLCato BLOCK (1 BLK)81
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 3:44ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot81
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 4:00HOUYao Layup (13 PTS)81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 4:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)81
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 4:18ORLMISS McGrady 7' Jump Shot81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 4:28ORLLue REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 4:28ORLMISS Lue 22' Jump Shot81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 4:28ORLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 4:29ORLFrancis BLOCK (2 BLK)81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 4:53HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)81
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 5:12ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 5:12ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 280
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 5:26ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 5:27HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 280
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 5:27HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 5:40HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 5:42ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot80
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 6:03HOUCato Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)80
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 6:04HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 6:05HOUMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 6:27ORLHoward 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)80
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 6:48HOUFrancis Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T12)78
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 7:06HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:09HOUMISS Cato 6' Turnaround Jump Shot78
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 7:27HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:28HOUMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 7:44HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:46ORLNachbar BLOCK (1 BLK)78
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 7:56ORLMagic Rebound78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 7:57ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 7:57ORLMISS Gooden Tip Shot78
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 7:59ORLMISS Gooden Layup78
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 8:13ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 8:15ORLMISS Gooden 15' Fadeaway Jumper78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 8:36HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 8:36HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 8:47HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 8:49ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot78
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 9:09HOUCato Dunk (8 PTS) (Nachbar 3 AST)78
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 9:27HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 9:28ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot78
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 9:50HOUMobley 10' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nachbar 2 AST)78
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 10:24ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)78
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q4 - 10:39HOUBraggs 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)75
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q4 - 10:39HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 10:40ORLMISS Gooden Layup75
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 11:23HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)75
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q4 - 11:45ORLGooden 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)73
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)73
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUMISS Yao Dunk73
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUMISS Mobley 12' Jump Shot73
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
11.5%
77
88.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOUMISS Nachbar Layup73
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 1:01ORLHunter 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)73
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 1:21HOUMobley 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 1:32HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot71
10.2%
75
89.8%
Q3 - 1:45HOUBraggs Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 2:04ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)71
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q3 - 2:04ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 2:16ORLMagic Rebound67
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q3 - 2:18HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 2:20HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 2:22HOUMISS Francis 9' Fadeaway Jumper67
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 2:31HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 2:34ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q3 - 2:36ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 2:44HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)67
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q3 - 2:59ORLHoward 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)67
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 3:14HOUYao 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)65
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 3:32ORLGooden 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)65
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 3:49HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)63
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 4:11ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P4.T10)63
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 4:27HOUFrancis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)63
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 4:49ORLLue Layup (17 PTS)63
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 4:50HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)61
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 4:52ORLHunter Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)61
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 5:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 5:14HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 5:18HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 5:20HOUMISS Yao 6' Turnaround Jump Shot61
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 5:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS McGrady 3' Running Hook Shot61
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 5:53HOUMobley 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 6:02HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:04ORLMISS Lue 14' Jump Shot61
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 6:18HOUMobley 17' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 6:51ORLHunter 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 6:52ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMISS Howard 13' Running Jump Shot59
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 7:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 7:16HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot59
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 7:39ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (18 PTS)59
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 7:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 7:43ORLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot57
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 7:49ORLLue Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)57
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 8:07HOUMobley Layup (9 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)56
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 8:12ORLJackson STEAL (1 STL)56
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 8:28HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)56
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 8:28HOUROCKETS Rebound56
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 8:29HOUMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot56
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 8:52HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 8:53ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot56
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q3 - 9:11HOUMISS Cato 11' Turnaround Jump Shot56
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 9:35ORLHoward 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)56
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 9:46HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)54
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 9:46HOUFrancis Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)54
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 9:49ORLCato STEAL (1 STL)54
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 10:09HOUFrancis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)54
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 10:20HOUROCKETS Rebound54
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 10:21HOUMISS Cato Tip Shot54
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 10:22HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 10:24HOUMISS Yao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot54
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 10:41ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 10:41ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 10:56ORLLue Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)52
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 11:10HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 11:10HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)51
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 11:17HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q3 - 11:19ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot51
7.7%
57
92.3%
Q3 - 11:39ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 11:41HOUMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot51
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU51
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUYao 6' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)49
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLHunter Dunk (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)49
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot47
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUJackson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)47
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLHoward 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)47
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 1:21ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Mobley 18' Turnaround Jump Shot45
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 244
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 1:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 1:53HOUMISS Cato Reverse Layup44
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q2 - 2:17ORLLue 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)44
5.6%
53
94.4%
Q2 - 2:34HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 2:34HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 2:34HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 2:35HOUMISS Yao Layup42
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 2:50HOUROCKETS Rebound42
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMISS Lue 19' Running Jump Shot42
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:13HOUMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)42
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 3:31HOUROCKETS Rebound42
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 3:33ORLMISS McGrady Jump Shot42
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 3:38ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 3:40HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot42
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q2 - 4:02ORLLue 15' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 4:12HOUFrancis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)40
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 4:21ORLFrancis STEAL (2 STL)40
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)40
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 4:58ORLHoward 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)40
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 5:20ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 5:22HOUMISS Nachbar 16' Jump Shot38
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 5:44ORLMcGrady 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 5:50HOUCato Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q2 - 6:08ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS)36
7.9%
42
92.1%
Q2 - 6:12HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)34
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 6:26HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 6:28ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 6:35ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 6:37HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot34
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 7:07ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 7:08HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot31
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 7:24ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)31
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 7:39HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
4.5%
42
95.5%
Q2 - 7:39HOUMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 229
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 7:52ORLLue Layup (7 PTS)29
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 7:57ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 7:58HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 2 of 227
4.0%
41
96.0%
Q2 - 7:58HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 227
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 8:08ORLBraggs STEAL (1 STL)27
3.7%
41
96.3%
Q2 - 8:13ORLMagic Rebound27
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 8:13ORLPadgett BLOCK (1 BLK)27
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 8:24HOUPadgett Layup (7 PTS)27
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 8:25HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q2 - 8:28HOUMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 8:44ORLHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
4.5%
39
95.5%
Q2 - 8:44ORLMISS Harvey Free Throw 1 of 226
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 9:01HOUNachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)26
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 9:07HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)26
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 9:09ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot26
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 9:20ORLHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMISS Gooden 18' Turnaround Jump Shot26
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 9:43HOUPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)26
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 9:56ORLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
7.4%
33
92.6%
Q2 - 10:11HOUPadgett 22' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
8.3%
33
91.7%
Q2 - 10:30ORLHarvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 10:42HOUBraggs Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 10:46HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)26
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 10:48ORLMISS Pachulia 6' Hook Shot26
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q2 - 11:07HOUFrancis Layup (15 PTS)26
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 11:11ORLFrancis STEAL (1 STL)26
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q2 - 11:27ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q2 - 11:29HOUMISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 11:38HOUROCKETS Rebound26
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q2 - 11:39HOUMISS Braggs Tip Shot26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 11:39HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)26
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q2 - 11:40HOUMISS Jackson 17' Fadeaway Jumper26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU26
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound26
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Jackson 47' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
10.7%
29
89.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLFrancis BLOCK (1 BLK)26
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)26
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)25
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)25
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot25
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.4%
27
87.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0HOUMISS Braggs 17' Jump Shot25
12.2%
27
87.8%
Q1 - 1:05ORLHoward 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)25
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 1:24HOUNachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)23
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 1:45ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 1:45ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 1:55HOUFrancis Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Braggs 1 AST)21
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 2:00HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 2:02HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q1 - 2:16HOUNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 2:17ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 221
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 2:17ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 221
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q1 - 2:17ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 2:18HOUMISS Yao 7' Hook Shot21
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q1 - 2:35ORLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)21
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 2:51HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)18
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:55ORLYao STEAL (1 STL)18
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 3:11HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 3:16HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 3:18HOUMISS Yao 11' Hook Shot18
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 3:29HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
12.3%
19
87.7%
Q1 - 3:31ORLMISS McGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper18
12.6%
19
87.4%
Q1 - 3:45HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 118
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 3:45HOUFrancis Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 3:53HOUBraggs REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Francis Layup18
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 4:11ORLMcGrady 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)18
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 4:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 4:24HOUMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot16
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 4:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot16
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 4:54HOUYao 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 5:10ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)16
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 5:24ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 5:25HOUMISS Mobley 16' Jump Shot14
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 5:38HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 5:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 214
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 5:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 5:54HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 5:54HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 5:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 5:56HOUMISS Yao 4' Hook Shot13
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 5:58HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 6:00HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 6:17ORLHunter Layup (6 PTS)13
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 6:18ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot11
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 6:52HOUFrancis 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 7:12HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 7:14ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot11
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 7:23ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 7:25HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 7:30HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 7:32ORLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)11
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 7:53ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
13.3%
11
86.7%
Q1 - 7:54HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot11
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 8:05HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 8:07ORLMISS McGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 8:26HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 8:49ORLHoward 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)11
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 8:57HOUJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)9
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 9:11ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 9:11ORLHoward 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:20HOUCato 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)6
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 9:33ORLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 9:33ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 9:42HOUYao Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 9:52HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 9:54ORLMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot4
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 10:12ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:14HOUMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot4
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 10:15HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:18HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot4
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 10:35ORLHunter Dunk (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)4
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:51HOUCato Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)2
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 11:04HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:06ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:19HOUFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:40ORLHunter 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:43ORLMISS Hunter 9' Jump Shot0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Hunter: Tip to Howard0
12.7%
0
87.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.3%
HOU
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
16
63%
HOU
11
21
52%
Midrange
ORL
18
54
33%
HOU
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
HOU
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
ORL
18
24
75%
HOU
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2255%11.0 / 20
T. Lue1864%9.0 / 14
S. Hunter1568%7.5 / 11
T. McGrady1430%7.0 / 23
D. Gooden833%4.0 / 12
K. Bogans758%3.5 / 6
S. Williams1-0.0 / 0
D. Harvey125%0.5 / 2
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis3167%15.5 / 23
C. Mobley2170%10.5 / 15
Yao1638%8.0 / 21
K. Cato1056%5.0 / 9
S. Padgett788%3.5 / 4
B. Nachbar643%3.0 / 7
J. Jackson523%2.5 / 11
T. Braggs0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
76
+15
-11
91
HOU
73
+23
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.3%
HOU
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
98.5
ORL 98.9 +10.2
HOU 109.1
Pace
93.1
90.1
ORL 96.7 +16.7
HOU 80.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
ORL 14.9 +3.1
HOU 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
48.4%
ORL 43.0%
HOU 50.6% +7.6%
TO %
13.8%
17.3%
ORL 10.9% +4.2%
HOU 15.1%
ORB %
28.1%
26.4%
ORL 27.3%
HOU 45.2% +17.9%
FTrt
29.6
28.6
ORL 30.4 +2.9
HOU 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.5%
57.7%
ORL 59.4% +1.1%
HOU 58.3%
STL %
7.1%
7.5%
ORL 6.9% +0.1%
HOU 6.8%
BLK %
5.6%
8.6%
ORL 8.6%
HOU 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
50.0%
ORL 47.3%
HOU 50.0% +2.7%
Rim FG%
52.9%
57.1%
ORL 62.5% +10.1%
HOU 52.4%
Mid FG%
40.2%
39.5%
ORL 33.3%
HOU 43.2% +9.9%
3P %
34.4%
36.6%
ORL 44.4% +3.5%
HOU 40.9%
FT %
73.7%
77.3%
ORL 75.0% +6.8%
HOU 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.7%
30.5%
ORL 20.3%
HOU 26.3% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
46.8%
ORL 68.4%
HOU 46.3% +22.1%
3P Att. %
18.4%
22.7%
ORL 11.4%
HOU 27.5% +16.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLHOU
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points8696
Rebounds3551
Assists1921
Steals66
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals32-7936-80
At-the-Rim FG10-1611-21
Midrange FG18-5416-37
2-Point FG28-7027-58
3-Point FG4-99-22
Free Throws18-2415-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
42.0
22
55%
7
3
2
0
0
5
2
5
2-3
67%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 24
41.3
14
30%
6
5
1
1
5
2
1
5
2-3
67%
3-17
18%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
39.6
8
33%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 27
38.0
18
64%
5
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
7-7
100%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
32.3
15
68%
9
1
0
2
1
5
4
5
1-4
25%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23
17.4
7
58%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 201 · 29
13.2
1
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 20
7.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 27
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 23
4.0
1
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 23
C · 6'10" 255 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
35
19
6
5
11
0
12
23
18-24
75%
28-70
40%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.