FinalWin Prob.pScore
1230%92
99
470%99
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
103.19697.7
DET logo DET
107.19896.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET99
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)99
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILMISS Redd Layup99
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)99
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)99
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
4.0%
102
96.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)99
8.7%
101
91.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)98
7.8%
101
92.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
5.5%
101
94.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot97
4.6%
101
95.4%
Q4 - 1:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)97
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 1:12MILWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)97
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 1:29MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
8.6%
101
91.4%
Q4 - 1:29DETMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 297
8.0%
101
92.0%
Q4 - 1:29DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)97
6.0%
101
94.0%
Q4 - 1:45MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)97
9.1%
100
90.9%
Q4 - 1:45MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
8.2%
100
91.8%
Q4 - 1:48MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
6.2%
100
93.8%
Q4 - 1:51DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot95
5.4%
100
94.6%
Q4 - 2:10MILThomas Foul Turnover (P4.T11)95
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q4 - 2:14MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
7.0%
100
93.0%
Q4 - 2:16MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
4.5%
100
95.5%
Q4 - 2:34DETBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)95
7.1%
100
92.9%
Q4 - 2:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)95
3.6%
100
96.4%
Q4 - 2:38MILMISS Redd Layup95
4.4%
100
95.6%
Q4 - 2:40MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
7.1%
100
92.9%
Q4 - 2:42MILMISS Ford Layup95
4.4%
100
95.6%
Q4 - 3:02DETHamilton 13' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)95
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 3:13DETOkur REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)95
10.1%
98
89.9%
Q4 - 3:16MILMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot95
11.9%
98
88.1%
Q4 - 3:34DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Okur 3 AST)95
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 3:58MILKukoc 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)95
23.5%
96
76.5%
Q4 - 4:07MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
17.7%
96
82.3%
Q4 - 4:08DETMISS Billups Layup93
16.0%
96
84.0%
Q4 - 4:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)93
12.5%
96
87.5%
Q4 - 4:24MILMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot93
13.9%
96
86.1%
Q4 - 4:31MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
17.6%
96
82.4%
Q4 - 4:32DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot93
15.9%
96
84.1%
Q4 - 4:52MILFord Layup (8 PTS)93
12.4%
96
87.6%
Q4 - 4:55MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 4:57DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot91
8.1%
96
91.9%
Q4 - 5:18MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)91
7.6%
96
92.4%
Q4 - 5:18MILRedd Layup (25 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)90
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 5:19MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 5:21MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 5:31MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 5:33DETMISS Okur 9' Jump Shot88
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 5:50MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)88
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 6:05DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
5.0%
96
95.0%
Q4 - 6:05DETMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 288
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 6:27MILJones 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)88
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 6:39MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)86
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot86
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 6:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 6:45DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 6:50MILPrince STEAL (2 STL)86
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 7:06DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 7:21DETPISTONS Rebound86
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 7:24MILMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 286
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q4 - 7:24MILMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 286
6.9%
93
93.1%
Q4 - 7:33MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
7.6%
93
92.4%
Q4 - 7:35MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot86
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 7:53DETWilliamson 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)86
7.5%
93
92.5%
Q4 - 8:09MILFord 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
10.6%
91
89.4%
Q4 - 8:32DETWallace Driving Layup (10 PTS)84
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 8:42DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q4 - 8:43DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
12.4%
89
87.6%
Q4 - 8:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q4 - 8:52MILMISS Gadzuric Layup84
11.3%
89
88.7%
Q4 - 8:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)84
13.3%
89
86.7%
Q4 - 8:59DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot84
12.4%
89
87.6%
Q4 - 9:13MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
11.1%
89
88.9%
Q4 - 9:13MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
10.6%
89
89.4%
Q4 - 9:38DETWilliamson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)82
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 9:41DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
11.1%
87
88.9%
Q4 - 9:44DETMISS Atkins 11' Running Jump Shot82
13.0%
87
87.0%
Q4 - 10:01MILRedd Layup (23 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)82
11.8%
87
88.2%
Q4 - 10:08MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 10:10DETMISS Okur 15' Jump Shot80
9.1%
87
90.9%
Q4 - 10:25DETOkur REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)80
7.8%
87
92.2%
Q4 - 10:27DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot80
9.1%
87
90.9%
Q4 - 10:42MILGadzuric Tip Shot (5 PTS)80
7.8%
87
92.2%
Q4 - 10:43MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)78
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 10:45MILMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 10:47MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 10:49MILOkur BLOCK (4 BLK)78
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 11:11DETWilliamson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)78
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 11:23DETOkur REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)78
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 11:26MILOkur BLOCK (3 BLK)78
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 11:45DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET78
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
8.8%
85
91.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)76
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)76
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 276
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMISS Williamson 11' Jump Shot75
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q3 - 1:00MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 1:00MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q3 - 1:14DETOkur Layup (10 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)73
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q3 - 1:21DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 1:23MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q3 - 1:27DETOkur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)73
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q3 - 1:41MILJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 1:41MILJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 1:57DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)71
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 2:08DETOkur REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)71
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 2:10MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 2:25DETOkur Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)71
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 2:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 2:33MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot71
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q3 - 2:52DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 2:52DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 271
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 2:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q3 - 2:55MILMISS Gadzuric 11' Jump Shot71
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 3:04MILBucks Rebound71
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 3:05MILWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)71
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q3 - 3:18DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 3:32MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
14.1%
76
85.9%
Q3 - 3:32MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q3 - 3:34MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q3 - 3:35MILMISS Redd Layup69
10.8%
76
89.2%
Q3 - 3:55DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q3 - 4:09MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)69
14.1%
74
85.9%
Q3 - 4:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 4:28DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot67
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 4:50MILJones 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)67
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 5:05MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 5:08DETMISS Okur 7' Hook Shot65
9.0%
74
91.0%
Q3 - 5:09DETOkur REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)65
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 5:11DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot65
9.0%
74
91.0%
Q3 - 5:29MILJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)65
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 5:38MILBucks Rebound63
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 5:40DETMISS Wallace 7' Hook Shot63
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 6:00MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)63
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 6:12DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)61
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 6:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot61
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 6:22MILBillups STEAL (2 STL)61
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 6:40DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 6:40DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 6:49MILThomas 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 7:03DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)59
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 7:19MILSantiago 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)59
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 7:30DETCampbell Foul Turnover (P2.T7)57
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 7:41MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 7:41MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 7:44DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)55
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 7:59MILRedd 8' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)55
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 8:18DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)53
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 8:29MILFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)53
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q3 - 8:34DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 8:34DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 8:50MILThomas 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 9:11DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)51
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 9:16MILHamilton STEAL (1 STL)51
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 9:27MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 9:29DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot51
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 9:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 9:43MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 9:49DETCampbell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 9:57DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 9:59MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot51
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 10:08DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)51
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 10:23MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)51
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 10:39DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 11:05MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)48
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 11:10MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 11:11DETMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot45
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 11:34DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q3 - 11:37MILMISS Thomas Layup45
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET45
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILJones Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 143
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETBillups Driving Layup (14 PTS)43
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILMISS Redd 11' Running Jump Shot43
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot43
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)43
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 1:00MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:02DETMISS Okur Tip Shot41
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 1:05DETOkur REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)41
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:07DETMISS Okur Tip Shot41
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 1:08DETOkur REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)41
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:12DETMISS Wallace 7' Hook Shot41
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 1:26MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:26MILMason Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 1:43DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q2 - 1:43DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 238
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 1:47DETOkur REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 1:49MILWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)38
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 1:50MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 1:52MILMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot38
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 2:10DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 2:10DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q2 - 2:24MILMason 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)38
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 2:36DETOkur Layup (6 PTS)36
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 2:37DETOkur REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)36
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Prince Tip Shot36
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 2:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 2:42DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot36
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 2:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 2:50MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)36
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:10DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 3:10DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 3:34MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)36
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 3:58DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)34
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 4:01DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 4:04MILOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)34
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 4:09MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 4:12DETMISS Okur 17' Jump Shot34
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 4:20DETOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 4:21DETMISS Williamson 18' Jump Shot34
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 4:28DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 4:31MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot34
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 4:42DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 4:42DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 4:53MILKukoc Tip Shot (4 PTS)34
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 4:55MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 4:57MILOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)32
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 5:16MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 5:18DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot32
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 5:31DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 5:33MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)32
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 5:50DETJump Ball Williamson vs. Smith: Tip to Kukoc32
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 5:50DETPISTONS Rebound32
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 5:51DETMISS Williamson Layup32
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 5:59MILOkur STEAL (1 STL)32
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 6:18DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)32
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 6:34DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 6:36MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 6:45MILBucks Rebound32
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 232
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 6:46DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 7:03MILThomas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)32
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 7:26DETWilliamson Layup (4 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)30
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 7:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 7:31MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 7:31MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 7:32MILMISS Thomas Layup30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 7:45DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 7:45DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 8:08MILKukoc Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)30
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 8:13MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 8:15DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 8:37MILGadzuric Tip Shot (3 PTS)28
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 8:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 8:40MILMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot26
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 8:48MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 8:51DETMISS Williamson 10' Hook Shot26
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 9:00DETPISTONS Rebound26
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 9:00DETMISS Hamilton Tip Shot26
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 9:01DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:01DETMISS Okur Tip Shot26
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:02DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:02DETMISS Okur Tip Shot26
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:03DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:04DETMISS Milicic Layup26
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:13DETPISTONS Rebound26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:14DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot26
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:23DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:25MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 9:29MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:30MILMISS Thomas Layup26
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 9:43DETMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:46DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot26
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 9:50MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:53MILMISS Jones 9' Running Jump Shot26
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 10:12DETWilliamson 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)26
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 10:29DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 10:31MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 226
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 10:31MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 10:31MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 10:32MILMISS Mason Layup25
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 10:53DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)25
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 11:14MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 11:24MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 11:25DETMISS Milicic Layup25
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 11:45MILMason Reverse Layup (6 PTS)25
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET23
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound23
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wallace 37' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.0%
34
89.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)23
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)22
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)21
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot20
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILJones 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
8.1%
32
91.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMISS Campbell 16' Jump Shot18
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q1 - 1:03MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)18
8.2%
32
91.8%
Q1 - 1:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot16
7.2%
32
92.8%
Q1 - 1:21DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
6.8%
32
93.2%
Q1 - 1:22MILMISS Redd Layup16
7.0%
32
93.0%
Q1 - 1:23MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 1:24MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot16
7.0%
32
93.0%
Q1 - 1:43DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 2:02MILSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
8.2%
30
91.8%
Q1 - 2:21DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 2:31MILMason 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)14
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q1 - 2:42DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)12
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q1 - 3:06MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)12
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 3:20DETHamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)10
6.6%
28
93.4%
Q1 - 3:41MILRedd 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Santiago 1 AST)10
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q1 - 3:59DETHamilton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q1 - 4:08DETPISTONS Rebound8
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 4:10MILMISS Smith Tip Shot8
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 4:11MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 4:12MILMISS Redd 9' Running Hook Shot8
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 4:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 4:27DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot8
7.7%
24
92.3%
Q1 - 4:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 4:38MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot8
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 4:49DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)8
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 4:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
8.5%
22
91.5%
Q1 - 4:57MILMISS Ford Layup8
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 5:06DETBillups 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)8
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 5:19MILSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)8
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 5:39DETCampbell Layup (9 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)6
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 5:56MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 5:56MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 6:09MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 6:12DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot4
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 6:30DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 6:32MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 6:55DETPrince 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)4
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 7:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 7:19MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot4
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 7:42DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)4
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 8:00MILSantiago Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 8:15DETCampbell Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)2
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 8:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 8:38MILMISS Redd 10' Running Jump Shot2
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 8:57DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS)2
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 9:01MILPrince STEAL (1 STL)2
15.1%
9
84.9%
Q1 - 9:10DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 9:10DETCampbell Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)2
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 9:21MILBillups STEAL (1 STL)2
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 9:25MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.7%
6
80.3%
Q1 - 9:27DETMISS Prince Layup2
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 9:33MILCampbell STEAL (1 STL)2
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 9:54DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
19.7%
6
80.3%
Q1 - 9:58DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:00MILMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot2
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 10:17MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 10:18DETMISS Wallace Layup2
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 10:35MILThomas 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 11:02DETCampbell 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 11:15DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:16MILMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot0
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 11:38DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:51DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 11:53DETMISS Hamilton Layup0
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Santiago: Tip to Campbell0
23.3%
0
76.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 49.0%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
18
40
45%
DET
15
29
52%
Midrange
MIL
16
35
46%
DET
19
48
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
DET
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
25
29
86%
DET
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2854%14.0 / 26
D. Jones1568%7.5 / 11
T. Kukoc1250%6.0 / 12
D. Mason1139%5.5 / 14
T. Ford840%4.0 / 10
T. Thomas833%4.0 / 12
J. Smith857%4.0 / 7
D. Gadzuric536%2.5 / 7
D. Santiago4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2764%13.5 / 21
R. Hamilton2457%12.0 / 21
T. Prince1558%7.5 / 13
M. Okur1240%6.0 / 15
B. Wallace1036%5.0 / 14
E. Campbell975%4.5 / 6
C. Williamson850%4.0 / 8
C. Atkins0-0.0 / 2
D. Milicic0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
84
+17
-12
101
DET
86
+20
-12
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 49.0%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
99.1
MIL 103.1
DET 107.1 +4.0
Pace
94.2
90.5
MIL 97.7 +1.3
DET 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.9
MIL 14.7 +0.2
DET 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.1%
MIL 43.0%
DET 47.7% +4.7%
TO %
13.7%
15.8%
MIL 10.8%
DET 10.8%
ORB %
27.6%
30.2%
MIL 32.0%
DET 35.6% +3.6%
FTrt
33.0
32.8
MIL 33.7 +1.5
DET 32.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.0%
62.0%
MIL 58.3%
DET 59.0% +0.7%
STL %
7.1%
8.9%
MIL 8.3% +0.1%
DET 8.2%
BLK %
7.1%
11.0%
MIL 1.3%
DET 12.0% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
48.5%
MIL 49.0%
DET 49.5% +0.5%
Rim FG%
55.7%
54.7%
MIL 45.0%
DET 51.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
39.4%
37.6%
MIL 45.7% +6.1%
DET 39.6%
3P %
35.0%
34.4%
MIL 18.2%
DET 50.0% +31.8%
FT %
77.5%
75.3%
MIL 86.2% +7.6%
DET 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
37.4%
MIL 46.5% +13.2%
DET 33.3%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
47.3%
MIL 40.7% +14.5%
DET 55.2%
3P Att. %
17.2%
15.3%
MIL 12.8% +1.3%
DET 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points99105
Rebounds4550
Assists2123
Steals88
Blocks19
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals36-8639-87
At-the-Rim FG18-4015-29
Midrange FG16-3519-48
2-Point FG34-7534-77
3-Point FG2-115-10
Free Throws25-2922-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
39.5
28
54%
7
3
2
0
2
1
2
5
8-9
89%
7-18
39%
2-3
67%
G · 6'0" 165 · 21
29.5
8
40%
4
5
1
0
3
5
2
2
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
27.1
8
33%
7
1
0
0
5
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
26.2
8
57%
5
2
2
1
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 256 · 27
18.3
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 222 · 26
31.6
11
39%
5
2
0
0
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
26.9
12
50%
4
4
2
0
1
2
2
2
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
22.3
15
68%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
5-7
71%
5-6
83%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
16.8
5
36%
9
0
0
0
0
4
5
4
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 245 · 24
G · 6'3" 218 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
49%
45
21
8
1
12
0
16
29
25-29
86%
34-75
45%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.