FinalWin Prob.pScore
2912%92
93
288%106
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.99489.5
DAL logo DAL
108.495100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL93
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem Layup (20 PTS)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Odom 22' Jump Shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P5.T18)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:14DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:19MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)91
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:30DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:30DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:52MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)89
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:11MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:13DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:39MIAHaslem Layup (18 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:00DALMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAGrant Dunk (13 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)84
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:18DALWalker Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)82
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:35MIAGrant Layup (11 PTS)82
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 4:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot80
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 5:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)80
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)80
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 5:14MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)80
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:27DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)80
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAWallace 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 6:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 6:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 6:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 6:03DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot78
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 6:06DALDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIADelk BLOCK (1 BLK)78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 6:13DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)78
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 6:21DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 6:35DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)78
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 6:47MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)78
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 7:06DALJamison Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)75
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 7:10DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot75
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:24DALNajera 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)75
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 7:38DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 275
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:39MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)74
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot74
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 8:00DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 8:00DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWallace 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 8:38DALDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)72
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 8:49MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)72
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)72
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 272
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 9:00DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q4 - 9:00DALNash Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)72
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q4 - 9:12MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)72
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 9:18MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 9:20DALMISS Jamison 5' Hook Shot70
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAWallace 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 9:46DALJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAColes 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 10:19DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)66
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T15)66
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 11:02DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWallace 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot64
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 49' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 264
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)63
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T14)63
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 1:03DALNowitzki 23' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)63
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 1:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot63
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 1:31DALFinley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 1:47MIAAllen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)63
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 2:04DALBest Driving Layup (2 PTS)63
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q3 - 2:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot63
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q3 - 2:45DALWalker Driving Layup (11 PTS)63
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)63
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 3:16DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Best 3 AST)61
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 3:33MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIAPenney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 3:43DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot59
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 4:01MIAHaslem Driving Layup (15 PTS)59
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 4:19DALWalker Layup (9 PTS)57
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 4:20DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q3 - 4:22DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 4:30DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot57
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 4:52DALNajera Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)57
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 4:57MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)57
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 5:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 5:05DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot57
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q3 - 5:23MIAAlston 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 5:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Odom 14' Jump Shot55
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 5:49DALNash Foul Turnover (P2.T7)55
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 5:59DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Odom 10' Fadeaway Jumper55
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 6:23DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)55
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q3 - 6:46MIAAlston 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)53
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 6:52DALMISS Nowitzki Layup53
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)53
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 7:20DALMISS Walker Driving Layup53
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q3 - 7:31DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS Coles 22' Jump Shot53
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 7:59DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)53
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 8:21DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 253
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q3 - 8:22MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q3 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q3 - 8:43DALMISS Walker Driving Layup52
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q3 - 8:48DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot52
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 9:12DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)52
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q3 - 9:15DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q3 - 9:17MIAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)52
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q3 - 9:34MIAHeat Rebound52
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q3 - 9:36DALMISS Walker Layup52
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHaslem Tip Shot (13 PTS)52
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup50
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q3 - 10:05DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q3 - 10:29DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q3 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Haslem Layup50
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Coles 19' Jump Shot50
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q3 - 11:11DALNowitzki Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)50
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q3 - 11:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot50
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 11:45DALMISS Nash 10' Fadeaway Jumper50
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL50
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)50
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALNash 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)48
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)48
16.1%
46
83.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIANajera BLOCK (1 BLK)45
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALDelk Layup (14 PTS)45
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot45
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)45
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 1:02DALMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)45
14.5%
44
85.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot42
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 2:05DALJamison 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)42
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 2:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 2:35DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)42
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 2:47MIAWallace 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 3:08DALDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)40
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 3:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 3:29DALMISS Best 18' Jump Shot38
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIAWallace 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 4:05DALMISS Jamison 7' Jump Hook Shot36
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 4:07DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 4:09DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot36
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 4:31MIAWallace Layup (2 PTS)36
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot34
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 4:53DALJamison 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)34
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)34
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 5:27DALJamison 12' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)34
11.7%
35
88.3%
Q2 - 5:49MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)34
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 6:06DALMISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot32
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIAOdom 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 6:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 6:42DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot30
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:03MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 7:20DALFinley Slam Dunk (7 PTS)30
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)30
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAHeat Rebound30
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 7:38DALMISS Best 14' Jump Shot30
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 8:00DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Coles 17' Jump Shot30
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 8:16DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)30
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 8:21DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Penney 21' Jump Shot30
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 8:43DALJamison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)30
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 8:55DALBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Penney 3PT Jump Shot30
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q2 - 9:03DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIAPenney Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)30
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q2 - 9:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q2 - 9:23DALMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot30
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q2 - 9:41MIAColes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Penney 1 AST)30
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q2 - 9:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Penney 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAHeat Rebound28
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q2 - 10:13DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot28
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 10:27DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot28
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:43DALWalker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q2 - 11:01DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.1%
25
85.9%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Alston 11' Jump Shot28
14.5%
25
85.5%
Q2 - 11:08DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)28
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q2 - 11:19MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)28
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q2 - 11:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
13.0%
25
87.0%
Q2 - 11:35DALMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot26
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q2 - 11:41DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup26
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q2 - 11:49DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)23
9.9%
25
90.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot23
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALMISS Nash Layup23
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 1:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound23
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Penney 19' Jump Shot23
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 1:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 1:26DALMISS Walker Layup23
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 1:46MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)23
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 1:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 1:52DALMISS Nash 7' Fadeaway Jumper21
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:00DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Penney 23' Jump Shot21
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound21
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot21
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIANash STEAL (2 STL)21
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 2:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:23DALMISS Finley Driving Layup21
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 2:30DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup21
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q1 - 2:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:46DALMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)21
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 3:30DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)19
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)19
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 3:47DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
8.8%
20
91.2%
Q1 - 4:02MIAPenney 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)17
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 4:16DALDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 4:16DALDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
7.1%
19
92.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIADelk STEAL (1 STL)14
7.4%
18
92.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 4:25DALMISS Finley Reverse Layup14
8.0%
18
92.0%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)14
7.4%
18
92.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 4:38DALMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot14
8.0%
18
92.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAOdom 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
7.4%
18
92.6%
Q1 - 5:14DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
6.8%
18
93.2%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)12
6.3%
18
93.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 5:44DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot10
5.7%
18
94.3%
Q1 - 5:50MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)10
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 6:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
5.9%
18
94.1%
Q1 - 6:06DALMISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot10
5.7%
18
94.3%
Q1 - 6:24MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)10
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 6:42DALDelk 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)7
4.7%
18
95.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)7
5.4%
15
94.6%
Q1 - 7:20DALWalker Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
5.2%
15
94.8%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)5
5.5%
13
94.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 24
5.4%
13
94.6%
Q1 - 7:47DALDelk 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
5.5%
13
94.5%
Q1 - 7:56DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
5.9%
11
94.1%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot4
6.0%
11
94.0%
Q1 - 8:10DALWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
6.3%
11
93.7%
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
5.8%
11
94.2%
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
5.7%
11
94.3%
Q1 - 8:45DALWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)2
5.4%
11
94.6%
Q1 - 8:52DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
6.2%
8
93.8%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot2
6.4%
8
93.6%
Q1 - 9:12DALNash 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
6.7%
8
93.3%
Q1 - 9:17DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7.0%
6
93.0%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 9:30DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 9:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7.0%
6
93.0%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Coles 22' Jump Shot2
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 10:02DALDelk 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
7.6%
6
92.4%
Q1 - 10:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.1%
4
91.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot2
8.3%
4
91.7%
Q1 - 10:31DALFinley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 10:35MIANash STEAL (1 STL)2
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 10:51DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
10.0%
2
90.0%
Q1 - 11:05DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.6%
0
89.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Coles 18' Jump Shot2
10.8%
0
89.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:18DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot2
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 11:35MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)2
10.6%
0
89.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Grant: Tip to Alston0
9.9%
0
90.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
DAL
1.16 57.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
18
67%
DAL
10
20
50%
Midrange
MIA
20
51
39%
DAL
20
38
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
DAL
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
8
12
67%
DAL
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
U. Haslem2067%10.0 / 15
J. Wallace1968%9.5 / 14
L. Odom1743%8.5 / 20
R. Alston1550%7.5 / 15
B. Grant1365%6.5 / 10
B. Coles429%2.0 / 7
K. Penney325%1.5 / 6
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3063%15.0 / 24
S. Nash1875%9.0 / 12
T. Delk1785%8.5 / 10
A. Walker1346%6.5 / 14
M. Finley1150%5.5 / 11
A. Jamison1050%5.0 / 10
E. Najera2100%1.0 / 1
T. Best233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+13
-18
89
DAL
84
+4
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
DAL
1.16 57.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
109.8
MIA 98.9 +9.5
DAL 108.4
Pace
90.6
95.3
MIA 89.5
DAL 100.1 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
MIA 16.1
DAL 14.4 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.5%
MIA 51.2%
DAL 56.5% +5.3%
TO %
14.4%
12.3%
MIA 16.9%
DAL 12.4% +4.5%
ORB %
27.5%
31.4%
MIA 27.3% +15.9%
DAL 11.4%
FTrt
29.8
25.6
MIA 14.5
DAL 22.1 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
59.1%
MIA 48.7%
DAL 64.1% +15.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
MIA 7.4%
DAL 8.4% +1.0%
BLK %
6.3%
8.2%
MIA 1.7%
DAL 5.8% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
51.4%
MIA 51.7%
DAL 57.9% +6.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
59.0%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
41.4%
MIA 39.2%
DAL 52.6% +13.4%
3P %
35.7%
34.8%
MIA 50.0% +2.6%
DAL 47.4%
FT %
76.2%
79.6%
MIA 66.7%
DAL 94.1% +27.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
33.5%
MIA 21.7%
DAL 26.0% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
46.4%
MIA 61.4%
DAL 49.4% +12.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
20.1%
MIA 16.9%
DAL 24.7% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points93103
Rebounds4336
Assists1925
Steals78
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals39-8339-77
At-the-Rim FG12-1810-20
Midrange FG20-5120-38
2-Point FG32-6930-58
3-Point FG7-149-19
Free Throws8-1216-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
44.6
17
43%
6
9
0
0
2
3
1
5
1-2
50%
5-16
31%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
40.5
13
65%
12
2
1
0
1
3
2
10
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
39.9
15
50%
5
4
2
0
3
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
38%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
36.6
20
67%
12
1
0
1
5
1
5
7
4-6
67%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
25.5
4
29%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
23.3
19
68%
1
1
2
0
2
2
1
0
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 220 · 23
13.4
3
25%
1
1
1
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
11.4
2
50%
6
0
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
43
19
7
1
18
0
12
31
8-12
67%
32-69
46%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.