FinalWin Prob.pScore
2224%96
95
1076%105
100
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
97.99789.2
MIL logo MIL
101.099108.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL95
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0UTABell 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)92
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0UTABell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAMISS Bell 3' Layup90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 290
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0UTAMISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0UTAHarpring Layup (19 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILThomas 4' Jump Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T23)85
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15MILJones Foul Turnover (P1.T14)85
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 1:18UTAKirilenko 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)85
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:35UTAJazz Rebound83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:40UTAMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:52MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)83
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:10MILBUCKS Rebound83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:11UTAGadzuric BLOCK (7 BLK)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 2:21MILMISS Thomas Layup83
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:38UTABell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55MILBUCKS Rebound80
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55UTAMISS Harpring 4' Jump Shot80
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:16MILRedd Foul Turnover (P2.T12)80
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 3:28UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:28UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 3:47MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)78
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02UTAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harpring 3 AST)78
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 4:17MILThomas Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)76
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 4:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39UTAMISS Kirilenko 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:03MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)76
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 5:18MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 5:20MILMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot76
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 5:26MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 5:28UTAMISS Bell 13' Jump Shot76
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:30UTABell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 5:32UTAMISS Bell 14' Jump Shot76
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:41UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 5:44UTAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)76
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 6:00MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 6:14UTABell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T22)76
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q4 - 6:35MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)76
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 6:54MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 6:56UTAGadzuric BLOCK (6 BLK)76
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q4 - 7:19MILJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q4 - 7:31MILBUCKS Rebound76
12.3%
79
87.7%
Q4 - 7:34UTAMISS Borchardt 19' Jump Shot76
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q4 - 7:55MILMason Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q4 - 8:10UTALopez 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)76
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q4 - 8:24MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q4 - 8:24MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 274
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q4 - 8:44UTALopez 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)74
16.4%
76
83.6%
Q4 - 8:47UTAJazz Rebound72
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q4 - 8:48UTAGadzuric BLOCK (5 BLK)72
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q4 - 9:07UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 9:09MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q4 - 9:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 9:18UTAGadzuric BLOCK (4 BLK)72
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q4 - 9:38UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
13.6%
76
86.4%
Q4 - 9:40MILMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot72
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q4 - 9:51UTAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)72
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q4 - 10:03MILJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
14.1%
76
85.9%
Q4 - 10:03MILMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 272
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q4 - 10:18UTABorchardt Layup (8 PTS)72
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q4 - 10:19UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q4 - 10:22UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 10:38MILMason 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)70
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q4 - 10:43MILBUCKS Rebound70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q4 - 10:44MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q4 - 11:00UTALopez 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q4 - 11:12UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q4 - 11:13UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 268
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q4 - 11:13UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)68
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 11:21UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q4 - 11:23MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q4 - 11:44UTABorchardt Layup (6 PTS) (Lopez 5 AST)67
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA65
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Lopez Layup65
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0UTACollins Layup (3 PTS) (Lopez 4 AST)65
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)63
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 1:05UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 1:05UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 262
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 1:26MILMason Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)62
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 1:40UTAKirilenko Dunk (9 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)62
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 1:57MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 1:57MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
9.2%
66
90.8%
Q3 - 2:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 2:20UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (7 PTS)60
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 2:22UTAMISS Stevenson Layup58
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 2:27UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 2:29MILMISS Redd Dunk58
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 2:34UTAMason STEAL (1 STL)58
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 2:37UTAJazz Rebound58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 2:37UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 2:37UTAMISS Ostertag Layup58
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 2:39UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 2:39UTAMISS Ostertag Tip Shot58
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 2:40UTAMISS Collins Layup58
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 3:00UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 3:02MILMISS Ford Layup58
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 3:19UTAArroyo Foul Turnover (P3.T19)58
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 3:23MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)58
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 3:30MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 3:31UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup58
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 3:36UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Ford 4' Jump Shot58
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 3:53UTAArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T18)58
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 4:01UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 4:03MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 4:10MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 4:12UTAMISS Stevenson 14' Jump Shot58
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 4:39MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)58
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 4:55UTAStevenson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ostertag 4 AST)58
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 5:13MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 5:13MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 5:25UTAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 5:25UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 5:42MILRedd 10' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)54
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 5:53UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 5:53UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 253
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 6:12MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)53
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q3 - 6:12MILSantiago Layup (12 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)53
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 6:35UTAHarpring 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)53
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 7:01MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)51
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 7:06MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 7:08UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot51
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q3 - 7:16UTAJazz Rebound51
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 7:17UTAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot51
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q3 - 7:30UTAJazz Rebound51
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 7:31MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot51
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q3 - 7:46UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 7:46UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 250
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 7:55UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 7:57MILMISS Ford 10' Jump Shot50
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 8:04MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 8:07UTAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot50
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 8:22MILThomas 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)50
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 8:43MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 8:45UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:10MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 9:10MILSantiago Dunk (10 PTS)50
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 9:11MILMISS Redd Layup50
18.4%
52
81.6%
Q3 - 9:21UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q3 - 9:21UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS)50
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q3 - 9:26UTAMISS Ostertag Layup48
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q3 - 9:59UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot48
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q3 - 10:15UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P2.T17)48
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q3 - 10:38MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)48
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 10:45MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
18.6%
49
81.4%
Q3 - 10:46UTAMISS Harpring Layup48
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q3 - 10:47UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q3 - 10:49UTAMISS Harpring Layup48
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q3 - 10:52UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q3 - 10:54MILMISS Santiago Layup48
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 11:13UTAArroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)48
18.3%
49
81.7%
Q3 - 11:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q3 - 11:22MILMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot45
14.0%
49
86.0%
Q3 - 11:37UTAArroyo 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q3 - 11:44UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q3 - 11:46MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot43
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Pavlovic 17' Jump Shot43
10.9%
49
89.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILFord 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)43
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 242
13.0%
47
87.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot42
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0UTAStevenson Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)42
11.9%
47
88.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILSantiago Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)42
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0UTAFord STEAL (1 STL)42
11.9%
47
88.1%
Q2 - 1:17MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)42
13.0%
47
87.0%
Q2 - 1:30UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)42
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q2 - 1:30UTAHarpring 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)41
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 1:50MILSantiago Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 1:50MILSantiago Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 2:04UTAHarpring Layup (12 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)39
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q2 - 2:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 2:08UTAMISS Ostertag 11' Jump Shot37
9.0%
45
91.0%
Q2 - 2:27MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 2:27MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 2:40UTAHarpring Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)37
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 2:45MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 2:50MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 2:52UTAMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot35
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 3:05UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 3:07MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 235
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 3:07MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 3:23UTABorchardt Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 3:23UTABorchardt Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 3:23UTAJazz Rebound33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Gadzuric 9' Jump Shot33
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 3:23MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 3:24MILMISS Smith 2' Layup33
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 3:41UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)33
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 3:41UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 3:41UTAGadzuric BLOCK (3 BLK)33
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 4:05MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 133
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q2 - 4:05MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)33
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 4:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 4:11UTAMISS Harpring 15' Jump Shot33
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 4:26MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)33
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 4:31UTAThomas STEAL (1 STL)33
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 4:37UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 4:40MILMISS Ford Layup33
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 4:57UTAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 5:19MILMason Foul Turnover (P2.T6)31
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 5:39UTABorchardt 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)31
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 6:03MILMason 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 6:21UTABell Foul Turnover (P1.T12)29
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 6:58MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 7:00MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 129
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 7:00MILKukoc Layup (6 PTS)29
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 7:14UTALopez Layup (7 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)29
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 7:28UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 7:31MILMISS Gadzuric Dunk27
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 7:36UTAJones STEAL (1 STL)27
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q2 - 7:54MILKukoc Dunk (4 PTS)27
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 7:58UTAKukoc STEAL (1 STL)27
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q2 - 8:10MILGadzuric 2' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 8:24UTALopez Layup (5 PTS)27
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 8:29UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 8:30MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot25
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 8:39MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q2 - 8:41UTAMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot25
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 9:02MILKukoc 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q2 - 9:19UTALopez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q2 - 9:34MILJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q2 - 9:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q2 - 9:40UTAMISS Harpring 13' Jump Shot22
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 9:55MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q2 - 9:57MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q2 - 9:59UTAMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot22
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 10:15UTABorchardt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q2 - 10:16MILMISS Mason Layup22
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q2 - 10:29UTALopez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)22
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q2 - 10:41UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q2 - 10:43MILMISS Gadzuric 10' Jump Shot22
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q2 - 11:01MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 11:03UTAMISS Lopez 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q2 - 11:28UTAJazz Rebound22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 11:29UTAMISS Collins 4' Hook Shot22
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q2 - 11:44UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA22
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)22
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)22
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 0:10.0UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0UTAMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot22
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0UTAJazz Rebound22
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot22
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P1.T8)22
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILMason Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 1:04UTAKirilenko Dunk (2 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)22
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 1:15MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 1:15MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 1:32UTAStevenson Layup (5 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)20
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 1:37UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 1:39MILMISS Redd Layup18
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 1:44UTARedd STEAL (1 STL)18
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 1:51UTAJazz Rebound18
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 1:51UTAMISS Kirilenko 19' Jump Shot18
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 2:09MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 2:13MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.6%
22
86.4%
Q1 - 2:15UTAMISS Harpring 14' Jump Shot18
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 2:33MILSantiago Layup (6 PTS)18
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 2:52UTAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:58UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 3:00MILMISS Ford 10' Jump Shot16
14.4%
20
85.6%
Q1 - 3:21UTAStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 3:41MILSantiago 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)16
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 3:57UTASantiago STEAL (2 STL)16
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 4:00UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 4:02MILMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot16
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 4:16UTAHarpring Layup (8 PTS) (Ostertag 3 AST)16
13.4%
20
86.6%
Q1 - 4:36MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)14
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 4:58UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)14
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 5:20MILThomas 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)12
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 5:21MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 5:23MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot12
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 5:40UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)12
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 6:09MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Santiago 1 AST)12
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 6:24UTAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)12
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 6:47UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 6:49MILMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot9
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 7:02UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)9
14.3%
12
85.7%
Q1 - 7:26MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 7:26MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 7:26MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:27MILMISS Ford Layup9
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 7:32MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:34UTAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot9
16.6%
10
83.4%
Q1 - 7:37MILSantiago Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 7:37UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:37UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 28
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 7:59UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 8:00MILMISS Thomas Layup8
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:06UTASantiago STEAL (1 STL)8
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 8:24MILThomas 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 8:40UTAStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)8
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 8:58MILSantiago 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)6
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 9:17UTAArroyo 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 9:23UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 9:25MILMISS Ford 7' Jump Shot4
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 9:30MILSantiago REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:32UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 9:43UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 9:45MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot4
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 10:05UTAHarpring 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 10:25MILSmith 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 10:37UTAOstertag Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 10:51MILSmith 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)2
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 10:59MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 11:01UTAMISS Kirilenko 15' Jump Shot2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 11:22MILSantiago 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)2
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 11:43UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)2
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Santiago vs. Ostertag: Tip to Arroyo0
17.9%
0
82.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.94 47.0%
MIL
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
16
34
47%
MIL
13
26
50%
Midrange
UTA
16
38
42%
MIL
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIL
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
UTA
16
23
70%
MIL
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Arroyo2166%10.5 / 16
M. Harpring1956%9.5 / 17
R. Lopez1381%6.5 / 8
A. Kirilenko1235%6.0 / 17
D. Stevenson956%4.5 / 8
R. Bell941%4.5 / 11
C. Borchardt867%4.0 / 6
J. Collins425%2.0 / 8
G. Ostertag0-0.0 / 4
S. Pavlovic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2560%12.5 / 21
T. Thomas1771%8.5 / 12
D. Santiago1381%6.5 / 8
D. Mason1365%6.5 / 10
J. Smith850%4.0 / 8
D. Jones857%4.0 / 7
T. Kukoc850%4.0 / 8
D. Gadzuric643%3.0 / 7
T. Ford211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
77
+23
-20
100
MIL
84
+7
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.94 47.0%
MIL
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
103.6
UTA 97.9 +3.1
MIL 101.0
Pace
88.8
94.2
UTA 89.2
MIL 108.5 +19.3
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
15.0
UTA 16.1
MIL 13.3 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
47.7%
UTA 47.0%
MIL 52.1% +5.1%
TO %
17.2%
13.7%
UTA 19.6%
MIL 14.8% +4.8%
ORB %
34.1%
27.6%
UTA 41.0% +24.8%
MIL 16.2%
FTrt
35.6
33.0
UTA 27.4
MIL 42.5 +15.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
63.0%
UTA 62.2% +1.1%
MIL 61.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
UTA 6.2%
MIL 9.1% +2.9%
BLK %
10.6%
7.1%
UTA 9.4%
MIL 11.1% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
50.3%
UTA 47.0%
MIL 54.3% +7.3%
Rim FG%
53.4%
55.7%
UTA 47.1%
MIL 50.0% +2.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.4%
UTA 42.1%
MIL 50.0% +7.9%
3P %
32.1%
35.0%
UTA 41.7%
MIL 44.4% +2.7%
FT %
74.6%
77.5%
UTA 69.6%
MIL 77.4% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
36.8%
UTA 40.5% +4.9%
MIL 35.6%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
46.0%
UTA 45.2% +6.8%
MIL 52.1%
3P Att. %
12.7%
17.2%
UTA 14.3% +2.0%
MIL 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIL
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points95100
Rebounds4729
Assists2322
Steals69
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)20 (3)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (7)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)23 (3)
Field Goals37-8436-73
At-the-Rim FG16-3413-26
Midrange FG16-3819-38
2-Point FG32-7232-64
3-Point FG5-124-9
Free Throws16-2324-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
37.6
12
35%
11
6
3
3
2
3
5
6
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
35.2
19
56%
8
3
1
0
2
5
2
6
1-1
100%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
31.2
21
66%
3
3
2
0
3
5
1
2
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 218 · 23
26.0
9
56%
2
1
0
0
3
2
0
2
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 31
24.7
0
0%
7
4
0
1
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 242 · 23
23.3
8
67%
4
0
0
2
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 249 · 25
22.8
4
25%
7
0
0
0
2
4
1
6
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
22.0
9
41%
4
1
0
0
2
6
3
1
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
16.8
13
81%
1
5
0
0
4
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 21
C · 6'10" 240 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
47%
47
23
6
6
20
0
16
31
16-23
70%
32-72
44%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.