FinalWin Prob.pScore
2614%93
77
186%106
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
75.5102101.6
LAL logo LAL
93.4106106.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Rebound75
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0LALMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Beasley Layup75
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)75
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0LALWalton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0LALRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Woods 6' Jump Shot75
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02LALMISS Walton 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25LALMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50LALRussell 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56LALSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Butler Layup73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18LALRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18LALRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWoods Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53LALSampson Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31LALSampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44LALMISS Walton 15' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05LALLAKERS Rebound71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18LALMISS Fisher 10' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28LALMISS Walton 17' Jump Shot67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50LALRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 267
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03LALMISS Fisher 15' Jump Shot66
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIAOdom Driving Dunk (18 PTS)66
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38LALRush Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57LALMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30LALMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIARush BLOCK (1 BLK)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02LALRush 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24MIAGrant Layup (9 PTS)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37LALMISS Fisher 18' Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52MIAOdom 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T19)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12LALBryant 15' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29MIAWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T18)58
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54LALGrant Layup (7 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)58
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:06LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot58
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 10:23LALGrant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)58
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 10:29LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 10:48LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)58
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 10:48LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)58
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 10:52LALGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 11:15LALBryant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)58
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 11:29MIAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)58
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 11:33LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot58
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIABryant STEAL (2 STL)58
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 11:47LALWalton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)58
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL58
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound58
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALMISS Fisher 10' Jump Shot58
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)58
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)57
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0LALMalone Layup (11 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)56
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 255
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0LALRussell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)55
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 1:01LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)55
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 255
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 1:02MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 1:11LALGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 1:11LALGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 253
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 1:36MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 1:37LALMISS Rush 23' Jump Shot53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 1:55MIAAlston Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)53
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHeat Rebound53
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 2:14LALMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot53
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot51
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 2:44LALMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot51
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 2:52MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)51
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 2:52MIAOdom Layup (15 PTS)50
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 3:05LALMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 248
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 3:05LALMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q3 - 3:16LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 248
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 3:28LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 3:28LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 3:28LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 3:29LALMISS George 20' Jump Shot48
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAOdom Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)48
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 4:03MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 4:05LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot46
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)46
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWallace Driving Layup (2 PTS)45
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 4:27MIAHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 4:30LALMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 4:54MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 4:54MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 5:11LALO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)41
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 5:22LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
0.3%
65
99.7%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 241
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 241
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q3 - 5:42LALGeorge Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)41
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q3 - 5:57MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)41
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound41
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMalone BLOCK (1 BLK)41
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 6:28LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)41
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 6:52LALLAKERS Rebound41
0.7%
61
99.3%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
0.8%
61
99.2%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot41
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q3 - 7:32LALGeorge Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)41
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 7:36LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot41
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 7:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 7:47LALMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 8:03LALLAKERS Rebound41
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Woods 7' Jump Shot41
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 8:28LALMalone Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)41
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q3 - 8:43MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)41
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Woods 17' Jump Shot39
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 9:00LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 9:07MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)39
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 9:22LALBryant Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)39
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 9:22LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)39
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q3 - 9:22LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)39
1.1%
57
98.9%
Q3 - 9:45LALJump Ball Malone vs. Wade: Tip to George39
1.4%
56
98.6%
Q3 - 10:13LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)39
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 10:16LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 10:23LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)39
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 10:39LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 239
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q3 - 10:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Odom Layup38
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 10:46MIAHeat Rebound38
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot38
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 11:04LALMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 11:04LALMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 238
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q3 - 11:09LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot38
2.0%
53
98.0%
Q3 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q3 - 11:20LALMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIAGrant Layup (7 PTS)38
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q3 - 11:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Grant Layup36
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Fisher 14' Jump Shot36
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wallace 23' Jump Shot36
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0LALGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0LALMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 236
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0LALMISS Grant Tip Shot36
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALMISS Malone 17' Jump Shot36
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot36
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 1:20LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 1:20LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)36
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS)36
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Hill Layup34
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 1:40MIAHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 2:03LALGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)34
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 2:23LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 234
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 234
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 2:35LALPayton Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)34
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 2:37LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)34
3.5%
46
96.5%
Q2 - 2:57LALMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 2:57LALMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 234
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 3:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)34
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot34
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 3:25LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 134
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 3:25LALO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)34
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 3:49LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)32
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 4:01LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 232
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 4:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot31
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 4:26LALFisher 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)31
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 4:33LALPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 4:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 4:42LALMISS Malone 17' Jump Shot31
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P2.T9)31
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 5:01LALO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)31
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 5:17LALLAKERS Rebound31
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot31
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 5:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 5:26LALMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot31
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 230
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 6:05LALFisher Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)30
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 6:10LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 6:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 6:29LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 230
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 6:29LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 230
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T8)30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 6:52LALO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)30
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 6:53LALLAKERS Rebound30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 6:55LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 230
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 6:55LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)30
5.8%
38
94.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 7:17LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 228
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 7:17LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 228
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 7:17LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 7:18LALMISS Fisher 23' Jump Shot28
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 7:35LALLAKERS Rebound28
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 7:36LALMISS Fisher 10' Jump Shot28
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 7:50MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)28
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIAHeat Rebound28
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Woods 7' Jump Shot28
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 8:04LALRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)28
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 8:17MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)28
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 8:26LALWalton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)26
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 8:30LALLAKERS Rebound26
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 8:31LALMISS Fisher 22' Jump Shot26
4.2%
38
95.8%
Q2 - 8:43LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot26
4.0%
38
96.0%
Q2 - 9:06LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 9:08LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
4.0%
38
96.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot26
4.1%
38
95.9%
Q2 - 9:22LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)26
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 9:22LALBryant 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
4.9%
37
95.1%
Q2 - 9:45MIAJones 16' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
5.3%
35
94.7%
Q2 - 9:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 9:54LALMISS George 20' Jump Shot24
4.7%
35
95.3%
Q2 - 10:09MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (2 PTS)24
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 10:23LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 10:23LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
4.2%
34
95.8%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 221
4.4%
33
95.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 10:49LALMISS George Layup21
4.4%
33
95.6%
Q2 - 10:50LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 10:53LALMISS Russell Layup21
4.4%
33
95.6%
Q2 - 11:04LALLAKERS Rebound21
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
4.2%
33
95.8%
Q2 - 11:24LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
4.5%
33
95.5%
Q2 - 11:42MIAGeorge STEAL (2 STL)21
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot21
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0LALMISS Russell 14' Jump Shot21
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAOdom Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)21
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
4.5%
31
95.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0LALMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
4.4%
31
95.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0LALGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot19
4.3%
31
95.7%
Q1 - 1:02LALO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T6)19
4.5%
31
95.5%
Q1 - 1:21MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 1:28MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Alston 12' Jump Shot17
3.6%
31
96.4%
Q1 - 1:35LALO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q1 - 1:49MIAAlston 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)17
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q1 - 2:11LALRush 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 2:33MIAGrant Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)15
3.5%
29
96.5%
Q1 - 2:38LALMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
3.2%
29
96.8%
Q1 - 2:39LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
2.9%
29
97.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot13
3.0%
29
97.0%
Q1 - 2:52LALRussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
3.2%
29
96.8%
Q1 - 2:52LALRussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
3.2%
28
96.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIARussell STEAL (1 STL)13
3.5%
27
96.5%
Q1 - 3:01LALPayton Driving Layup (11 PTS)13
4.0%
27
96.0%
Q1 - 3:06MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)13
4.3%
25
95.7%
Q1 - 3:26LALMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
3.9%
25
96.1%
Q1 - 3:26LALMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
4.0%
24
96.0%
Q1 - 3:26LALMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
4.3%
23
95.7%
Q1 - 3:27LALMISS Payton Layup11
4.5%
23
95.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)11
4.2%
23
95.8%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 3:54LALMISS George 7' Jump Shot9
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 4:07LALRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
3.5%
23
96.5%
Q1 - 4:09LALMISS George 28' 3PT Jump Shot9
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 4:15LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
3.5%
23
96.5%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot9
3.7%
23
96.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 4:42LALMISS Rush Free Throw 2 of 29
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 4:42LALMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 29
3.7%
23
96.3%
Q1 - 4:42LALRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
3.6%
23
96.4%
Q1 - 4:43LALMISS George 21' Jump Shot9
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 4:52LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
3.6%
23
96.4%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
3.7%
23
96.3%
Q1 - 5:09LALPayton 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)9
4.0%
23
96.0%
Q1 - 5:23MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)9
4.3%
21
95.7%
Q1 - 5:36LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)9
4.7%
21
95.3%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJones 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)9
5.0%
19
95.0%
Q1 - 5:59LALMalone Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)7
4.7%
19
95.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIAPayton STEAL (1 STL)7
5.2%
17
94.8%
Q1 - 6:31LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
5.6%
17
94.4%
Q1 - 6:31LALO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)7
6.0%
16
94.0%
Q1 - 6:45MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
6.5%
14
93.5%
Q1 - 6:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 6:59LALPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)5
6.0%
14
94.0%
Q1 - 6:59LALPayton 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)5
6.5%
13
93.5%
Q1 - 7:15MIAOdom Driving Layup (5 PTS)5
7.0%
11
93.0%
Q1 - 7:29LALPayton 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)3
6.6%
11
93.4%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMalone STEAL (1 STL)3
7.0%
9
93.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAHeat Rebound3
7.6%
9
92.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot3
7.2%
9
92.8%
Q1 - 8:18LALPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
7.4%
9
92.6%
Q1 - 8:27MIAOdom 5' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)3
7.9%
7
92.1%
Q1 - 8:39LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)1
7.4%
7
92.6%
Q1 - 8:39LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 21
7.5%
6
92.5%
Q1 - 8:52LALLAKERS Rebound1
7.4%
6
92.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade Finger Roll1
7.6%
6
92.4%
Q1 - 8:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
8.0%
6
92.0%
Q1 - 8:59LALMISS Payton Driving Finger Roll1
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 9:09LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)1
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot1
7.4%
6
92.6%
Q1 - 9:33LALMalone 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)1
7.9%
6
92.1%
Q1 - 9:42LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
8.3%
4
91.7%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Odom Layup1
8.6%
4
91.4%
Q1 - 9:58LALPayton Foul Turnover (P2.T3)1
9.1%
4
90.9%
Q1 - 10:05MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 20
8.2%
4
91.8%
Q1 - 10:22LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:22LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
8.5%
3
91.5%
Q1 - 10:34LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
2
91.1%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Odom Layup0
9.2%
2
90.8%
Q1 - 10:52LALBryant Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
9.7%
2
90.3%
Q1 - 10:55MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)0
8.9%
2
91.1%
Q1 - 11:11LALBryant 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)0
9.5%
2
90.5%
Q1 - 11:17LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.2%
0
89.8%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot0
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:29LALPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:33LALMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.2%
0
89.8%
Q1 - 11:34MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:44LALMISS O'Neal 3' Layup0
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball O'Neal vs. Grant: Tip to Payton0
10.2%
0
89.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.76 38.1%
LAL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
30
60%
LAL
19
25
76%
Midrange
MIA
11
38
29%
LAL
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
0%
LAL
9
0%
Free Throws
MIA
19
34
56%
LAL
33
46
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom1847%9.0 / 19
E. Jones1238%6.0 / 16
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
D. Wade1042%5.0 / 12
B. Grant941%4.5 / 11
R. Alston630%3.0 / 10
J. Wallace650%3.0 / 6
C. Butler321%1.5 / 7
L. Woods220%1.0 / 5
T. Hill125%0.5 / 2
J. Beasley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2775%13.5 / 18
S. O'Neal1454%7.0 / 13
G. Payton1354%6.5 / 12
K. Malone1161%5.5 / 9
K. Rush840%4.0 / 10
H. Grant758%3.5 / 6
D. Fisher625%3.0 / 12
D. George422%2.0 / 9
B. Russell450%2.0 / 4
L. Walton330%1.5 / 5
J. Sampson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+17
-19
100
LAL
89
+12
-17
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.76 38.1%
LAL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
102.4
MIA 75.5
LAL 93.4 +17.9
Pace
90.6
95.1
MIA 101.6
LAL 106.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.1
MIA 14.2
LAL 13.5 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
48.1%
MIA 36.3%
LAL 44.6% +8.3%
TO %
14.4%
13.9%
MIA 17.4%
LAL 15.3% +2.1%
ORB %
27.5%
28.1%
MIA 25.5% +6.0%
LAL 19.5%
FTrt
29.8
35.2
MIA 42.5
LAL 62.2 +19.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
64.3%
MIA 34.5%
LAL 66.7% +32.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
MIA 9.8% +0.4%
LAL 9.4%
BLK %
6.3%
7.0%
MIA 4.6%
LAL 5.9% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.6%
MIA 38.1%
LAL 49.0% +10.9%
Rim FG%
53.9%
61.1%
MIA 60.0%
LAL 76.0% +16.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.7%
MIA 28.9%
LAL 35.0% +6.1%
3P %
35.7%
32.7%
MIA 0.0%
LAL 0.0%
FT %
76.2%
69.3%
MIA 55.9%
LAL 71.7% +15.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
36.2%
MIA 37.5% +3.7%
LAL 33.8%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
47.1%
MIA 47.5% +6.6%
LAL 54.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
16.7%
MIA 15.0% +2.8%
LAL 12.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions102106
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points7799
Rebounds4543
Assists1022
Steals1010
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)35 (6)
Field Goals29-8033-74
At-the-Rim FG18-3019-25
Midrange FG11-3814-40
2-Point FG29-6833-65
3-Point FG0-120-9
Free Throws19-3433-46
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
36.4
10
63%
10
0
0
0
1
3
3
7
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
35.3
18
47%
9
1
1
1
3
3
2
7
4-7
57%
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
27.4
12
38%
4
1
4
0
3
4
0
4
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-5
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
25.1
10
42%
1
1
1
1
5
4
0
1
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
22.6
9
41%
7
2
0
0
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
28.8
6
30%
2
4
2
1
1
3
1
1
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
27.1
3
21%
0
1
2
0
2
5
0
0
3-4
75%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 25
13.5
2
20%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 36
12.0
1
25%
4
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
8.9
6
50%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
0.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
38%
45
10
10
3
19
0
12
33
19-34
56%
29-68
43%
0-12
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.