FinalWin Prob.pScore
2149%93
101
2951%94
105
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
94.410797.3
MIA logo MIA
101.010493.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0WAS101
0%
105
100%
OT1 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.4%
105
99.6%
OT1 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)101
0.5%
104
99.5%
OT1 - 0:04.0WASArenas Driving Layup (27 PTS)101
2.2%
103
97.8%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
2.4%
103
97.6%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 299
2.8%
102
97.2%
OT1 - 0:10.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
2.4%
102
97.6%
OT1 - 0:12.0WASMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot99
3.8%
102
96.2%
OT1 - 0:18.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)99
9.3%
102
90.7%
OT1 - 0:18.0MIAGrant Tip Shot (10 PTS)99
9.3%
102
90.7%
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade Layup99
32.8%
100
67.2%
OT1 - 0:20.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)99
18.0%
100
82.0%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup99
33.4%
100
66.6%
OT1 - 0:39.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)99
23.3%
100
76.7%
OT1 - 0:41.0WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
28.8%
100
71.2%
OT1 - 0:50.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
42.7%
100
57.3%
OT1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 299
40.4%
100
59.6%
OT1 - 0:52.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
31.4%
100
68.6%
OT1 - 0:58.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)99
40.8%
99
59.2%
OT1 - 1:00WASMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot99
45.9%
99
54.1%
OT1 - 1:20WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
57.0%
99
43.0%
OT1 - 1:22MIAMISS Butler Layup99
52.3%
99
47.7%
OT1 - 1:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)99
41.7%
99
58.3%
OT1 - 1:30WASOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)99
46.5%
99
53.5%
OT1 - 1:36WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
56.8%
99
43.2%
OT1 - 1:38MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Bank Shot99
52.4%
99
47.6%
OT1 - 1:57WASLaettner Dunk (12 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)99
43.2%
99
56.8%
OT1 - 2:11WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
35.7%
99
64.3%
OT1 - 2:13MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot97
31.2%
99
68.8%
OT1 - 2:29WASHughes 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)97
22.0%
99
78.0%
OT1 - 2:48MIAGrant 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)95
18.5%
99
81.5%
OT1 - 2:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)95
23.8%
97
76.2%
OT1 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
31.8%
97
68.2%
OT1 - 3:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
23.6%
97
76.4%
OT1 - 3:08WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
27.0%
97
73.0%
OT1 - 3:12WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
36.3%
97
63.7%
OT1 - 3:14WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
27.0%
97
73.0%
OT1 - 3:30MIAJones 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)95
36.6%
97
63.4%
OT1 - 3:49MIAHEAT Rebound95
44.6%
95
55.4%
OT1 - 3:50WASMISS Hayes Layup95
47.5%
95
52.5%
OT1 - 3:57WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
54.3%
95
45.7%
OT1 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot95
51.3%
95
48.7%
OT1 - 4:17WASThomas 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)95
44.4%
95
55.6%
OT1 - 4:42MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)93
35.7%
95
64.3%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Thomas: Tip to Wade93
44.3%
93
55.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0WASHughes Driving Layup (20 PTS)93
35.6%
93
64.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
17.3%
93
82.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 291
19.6%
92
80.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0WASHughes Driving Layup (18 PTS)91
16.5%
92
83.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)89
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 289
10.8%
91
89.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)89
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0WASMISS Hughes Driving Layup89
10.5%
91
89.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASMISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot89
10.6%
91
89.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)89
22.4%
91
77.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHEAT Rebound89
9.0%
91
91.0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Odom 32' 3PT Jump Shot89
17.2%
91
82.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHEAT Rebound89
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup89
18.0%
91
82.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0WASMISS Thomas Layup89
18.5%
91
81.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
15.9%
91
84.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 189
17.4%
91
82.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0WASThomas Layup (11 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)89
16.1%
91
83.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)87
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q4 - 1:29WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
29.7%
88
70.3%
Q4 - 1:29WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
27.4%
88
72.6%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)85
22.0%
88
78.0%
Q4 - 1:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
14.3%
88
85.7%
Q4 - 1:42WASMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
16.7%
88
83.3%
Q4 - 2:00WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
22.8%
88
77.2%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot85
21.8%
88
78.2%
Q4 - 2:21WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 185
16.2%
88
83.8%
Q4 - 2:21WASArenas Driving Layup (25 PTS)85
15.0%
88
85.0%
Q4 - 2:31WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
12.4%
88
87.6%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
10.2%
88
89.8%
Q4 - 2:47WASWade STEAL (3 STL)83
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAOdom Driving Layup (21 PTS)83
13.5%
88
86.5%
Q4 - 3:28WASHayes Layup (17 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)83
16.5%
86
83.5%
Q4 - 3:47MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)81
15.7%
86
84.3%
Q4 - 4:06WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 4:06WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 4:11WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot79
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 4:31WASLaettner 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 5:07WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 5:07WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 5:11WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot75
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 5:31WASArenas 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 5:32WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 5:35WASMISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot73
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 5:40MIAWoods Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)73
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 5:50WASArenas Foul Turnover (P7.T14)73
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 6:06MIAOdom 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)73
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 6:19WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)73
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q4 - 6:19WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 6:38WASGrant STEAL (1 STL)71
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 6:51MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
9.2%
79
90.8%
Q4 - 6:51MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q4 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound71
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Woods 15' Jump Shot71
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q4 - 7:08WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 171
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q4 - 7:08WASHughes 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q4 - 7:14WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 7:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q4 - 7:40WASMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot69
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 7:49WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot69
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 8:03WASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)69
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q4 - 8:23WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot69
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q4 - 8:34MIAHEAT Rebound69
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q4 - 8:52MIAJump Ball Woods vs. Thomas: Tip to Alston69
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q4 - 8:52WASMISS Hayes Layup69
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q4 - 8:55WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup69
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q4 - 9:09WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)69
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q4 - 9:42WASArenas 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)69
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q4 - 9:56WASDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot67
13.0%
75
87.0%
Q4 - 10:12WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q4 - 10:12WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 266
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 266
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q4 - 10:38MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
12.2%
74
87.8%
Q4 - 10:42WASMISS Dixon 6' Hook Shot66
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q4 - 11:05MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q4 - 11:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q4 - 11:17WASMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot66
23.7%
71
76.3%
Q4 - 11:34WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot66
25.3%
71
74.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS66
22.4%
71
77.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound66
26.6%
71
73.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASMISS Arenas 14' Jump Shot66
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)66
27.7%
71
72.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
23.8%
71
76.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0WASMISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot66
24.9%
71
75.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
27.6%
71
72.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot66
26.4%
71
73.6%
Q3 - 1:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
24.8%
71
75.2%
Q3 - 1:02WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 266
25.3%
71
74.7%
Q3 - 1:02WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
27.9%
71
72.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWoods Dunk (4 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)65
24.9%
71
75.1%
Q3 - 1:22WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q3 - 1:22WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 264
27.4%
69
72.6%
Q3 - 1:22WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
28.7%
69
71.3%
Q3 - 1:23WASMISS Thomas Layup64
25.9%
69
74.1%
Q3 - 1:45MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
28.7%
69
71.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
29.8%
68
70.2%
Q3 - 2:02WASHayes 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 2:21MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)62
29.3%
67
70.7%
Q3 - 2:25WASOdom STEAL (1 STL)62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 2:41WASWizards Rebound62
37.6%
65
62.4%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot62
36.1%
65
63.9%
Q3 - 2:50WASArenas Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T10)62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWoods Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)62
37.6%
65
62.4%
Q3 - 2:56WASWoods STEAL (1 STL)62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJones 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
38.1%
65
61.9%
Q3 - 3:30WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 3:30WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
40.8%
63
59.2%
Q3 - 3:30WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
38.1%
63
61.9%
Q3 - 3:33WASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot60
35.0%
63
65.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
38.0%
63
62.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
46.2%
60
53.8%
Q3 - 4:03WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
47.8%
60
52.2%
Q3 - 4:13WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
51.2%
60
48.8%
Q3 - 4:15WASMISS Laettner 17' Jump Shot60
47.8%
60
52.2%
Q3 - 4:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)60
51.3%
60
48.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
59.2%
57
40.8%
Q3 - 4:47WASMISS Jeffries 7' Jump Shot60
60.6%
57
39.4%
Q3 - 5:04MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
63.2%
57
36.8%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 260
63.8%
56
36.2%
Q3 - 5:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
62.9%
56
37.1%
Q3 - 5:12WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot60
64.2%
56
35.8%
Q3 - 5:30WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
67.0%
56
33.0%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot60
65.8%
56
34.2%
Q3 - 5:42WASBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T8)60
62.9%
56
37.1%
Q3 - 5:55MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
67.0%
56
33.0%
Q3 - 5:55MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 6:05WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)60
69.4%
54
30.6%
Q3 - 6:24WASWizards Rebound60
73.0%
54
27.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot60
72.0%
54
28.0%
Q3 - 6:40MIAHEAT Rebound60
69.5%
54
30.5%
Q3 - 6:42WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
70.6%
54
29.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)60
72.1%
54
27.9%
Q3 - 7:12MIAJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)60
74.7%
52
25.3%
Q3 - 7:31WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q3 - 7:39WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
72.2%
51
27.8%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot57
71.1%
51
28.9%
Q3 - 8:00WASHayes Layup (13 PTS)57
68.5%
51
31.5%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
65.3%
51
34.7%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot55
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 8:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup55
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 8:36WASLaettner Layup (8 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)55
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 8:52MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)53
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q3 - 8:53WASWade STEAL (2 STL)53
53.9%
51
46.1%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 153
57.0%
51
43.0%
Q3 - 9:15MIAOdom Layup (13 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)53
57.5%
51
42.5%
Q3 - 9:34WASHayes 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)53
60.9%
49
39.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)51
57.5%
49
42.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
53.5%
49
46.5%
Q3 - 10:04WASMISS Hughes 8' Jump Shot51
54.7%
49
45.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q3 - 10:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
53.5%
49
46.5%
Q3 - 10:28WASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 251
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q3 - 10:28WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q3 - 10:46MIAOdom Layup (11 PTS)50
53.9%
49
46.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Odom 5' Hook Shot50
59.7%
47
40.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIAHEAT Rebound50
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Wade Layup50
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q3 - 11:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q3 - 11:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Grant Layup50
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q3 - 11:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q3 - 11:37WASMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot50
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS50
60.6%
47
39.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASHayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)50
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0WASWizards Rebound47
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Odom 4' Hook Shot47
49.1%
47
50.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
47.5%
47
52.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0WASHughes Layup (11 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)46
44.2%
47
55.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0WASMISS Arenas 8' Jump Shot44
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0WASMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot44
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 1:10WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup44
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 1:28WASLaettner 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)44
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q2 - 1:50MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q2 - 2:18WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 242
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 2:18WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
40.1%
45
59.9%
Q2 - 2:26MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 2:44WASArenas Running Dunk (11 PTS)41
41.1%
43
58.9%
Q2 - 2:48MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)39
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 3:03WASArenas Driving Layup (9 PTS)39
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIAWade Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)37
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 3:41MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
35.4%
41
64.6%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot37
37.5%
41
62.5%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
35.4%
41
64.6%
Q2 - 3:53WASGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)37
36.3%
41
63.7%
Q2 - 3:58WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Odom Layup37
37.5%
41
62.5%
Q2 - 4:16WASArenas Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAOdom 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
38.7%
41
61.3%
Q2 - 4:42WASLaettner 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWallace Tip Shot (4 PTS)35
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Wallace Dunk35
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 5:11WASWade STEAL (1 STL)35
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q2 - 5:27WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Grant Layup35
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 5:44WASHughes 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)35
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q2 - 6:01WASWizards Rebound33
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot33
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 6:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 6:38WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
37.3%
37
62.7%
Q2 - 6:58MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
42.2%
35
57.8%
Q2 - 7:06WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 7:12WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
44.9%
35
55.1%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot33
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 7:29WASBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T3)33
42.1%
35
57.9%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWallace 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)33
44.9%
35
55.1%
Q2 - 7:54WASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)33
47.3%
33
52.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
50.1%
33
49.9%
Q2 - 8:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
52.3%
31
47.7%
Q2 - 8:29WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 233
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 8:29WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
54.1%
31
45.9%
Q2 - 8:42WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot32
51.8%
31
48.2%
Q2 - 9:02WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q2 - 9:24WASWizards Rebound29
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot29
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 9:44WASThomas 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)29
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 9:54WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 9:56WASMISS Blake 21' Jump Shot27
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)27
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 10:35WASThomas 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)27
44.6%
28
55.4%
Q2 - 10:42WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot25
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 11:09MIAHEAT Rebound25
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q2 - 11:10WASMISS Jeffries 6' Jump Shot25
40.6%
28
59.4%
Q2 - 11:29MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)25
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 11:41WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
47.0%
25
53.0%
Q2 - 11:41WASBrown Dunk (4 PTS)25
47.0%
25
53.0%
Q2 - 11:43WASMISS Blake Driving Layup23
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
44.6%
25
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom 9' Hook Shot23
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0WASBlake 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)23
42.5%
25
57.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAButler Layup (3 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)21
39.6%
25
60.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.5%
23
57.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0WASMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAWoods Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)21
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0WASMISS Brown Layup21
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 1:05WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 221
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q1 - 1:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 1:12WASMISS Hayes 7' Jump Shot21
50.1%
20
49.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
51.4%
20
48.6%
Q1 - 1:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 1:27WASMISS Laettner 6' Hook Shot21
50.1%
20
49.9%
Q1 - 1:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)21
51.4%
20
48.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound21
56.5%
17
43.5%
Q1 - 2:08WASMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot21
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 2:54WASArenas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
56.5%
17
43.5%
Q1 - 2:58WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot19
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 3:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.4%
17
48.6%
Q1 - 3:09WASMISS Arenas Layup19
52.2%
17
47.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAOdom 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
54.0%
17
46.0%
Q1 - 3:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot19
57.7%
15
42.3%
Q1 - 4:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 4:08WASMISS Hayes Layup19
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 4:12WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Grant Layup19
57.5%
15
42.5%
Q1 - 4:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 4:20WASMISS Arenas 12' Jump Shot19
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
58.8%
14
41.2%
Q1 - 5:00WASArenas Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
57.8%
14
42.2%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWade 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:38WASHayes Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)17
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 5:42MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
55.6%
12
44.4%
Q1 - 6:00WASHayes 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJones 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 6:42WASArenas Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
52.9%
10
47.1%
Q1 - 6:46WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup13
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 7:12WASLaettner 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)13
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)11
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 7:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot11
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 7:57WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 7:57WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
52.1%
8
47.9%
Q1 - 8:01WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
50.5%
8
49.5%
Q1 - 8:21WASHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)9
49.0%
8
51.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 9:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 9:07WASMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot6
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 9:17MIAOdom 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 9:33WASHayes 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)6
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 9:45WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 9:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.8%
4
53.2%
Q1 - 9:55WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 10:14MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)4
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 10:30WASBrown 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 10:32WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 10:34WASMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot2
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:46WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 10:47WASMISS Hughes 11' Jump Shot2
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:52WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup2
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 11:21WASHughes 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Brown: Tip to Odom0
47.0%
0
53.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.95 47.6%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
20
31
65%
MIA
21
40
53%
Midrange
WAS
15
42
36%
MIA
9
33
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
WAS
19
28
68%
MIA
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas2748%13.5 / 28
L. Hughes2250%11.0 / 22
J. Hayes1761%8.5 / 14
E. Thomas1350%6.5 / 13
C. Laettner1255%6.0 / 11
K. Brown850%4.0 / 8
S. Blake233%1.0 / 3
J. Jeffries0-0.0 / 2
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2752%13.5 / 26
L. Odom2648%13.0 / 27
R. Alston12100%6.0 / 6
B. Grant1042%5.0 / 12
D. Wade732%3.5 / 11
J. Wallace744%3.5 / 8
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
C. Butler630%3.0 / 10
L. Woods467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
92
+12
-15
104
MIA
89
+21
-15
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.95 47.6%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
95.6
99.3
WAS 94.4 +6.6
MIA 101.0
Pace
95.4
90.6
WAS 97.3 +3.6
MIA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.0
WAS 14.8 +0.6
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.4%
46.3%
WAS 47.1% +1.9%
MIA 45.2%
TO %
17.4%
14.4%
WAS 13.1%
MIA 13.1%
ORB %
30.7%
27.5%
WAS 22.4%
MIA 31.9% +9.5%
FTrt
33.7
29.8
WAS 32.2
MIA 32.3 +0.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
57.3%
WAS 41.0%
MIA 50.0% +9.0%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
WAS 10.3% +4.5%
MIA 5.8%
BLK %
7.4%
6.3%
WAS 8.2% +4.1%
MIA 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.4%
48.3%
WAS 47.6% +0.3%
MIA 47.3%
Rim FG%
54.8%
53.9%
WAS 64.5% +12.0%
MIA 52.5%
Mid FG%
34.5%
36.9%
WAS 35.7% +8.4%
MIA 27.3%
3P %
34.2%
35.7%
WAS 28.6%
MIA 40.0% +11.4%
FT %
71.4%
76.2%
WAS 67.9%
MIA 70.0% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
34.4%
WAS 35.6%
MIA 43.0% +7.4%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
44.5%
WAS 48.3%
MIA 35.5% +12.8%
3P Att. %
19.4%
21.1%
WAS 16.1%
MIA 21.5% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions107104
Possession Minutes26.426.6
Points101105
Rebounds4353
Assists1619
Steals116
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)38 (5)
Field Goals39-8738-93
At-the-Rim FG20-3121-40
Midrange FG15-429-33
2-Point FG35-7330-73
3-Point FG4-148-20
Free Throws19-2821-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
50.3
27
48%
7
7
3
0
8
5
2
5
5-7
71%
8-15
53%
2-9
22%
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
41.5
17
61%
4
2
4
0
2
5
0
4
0-0
-
7-12
58%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 185 · 25
39.5
22
50%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
5-6
83%
7-15
47%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
38.5
12
55%
8
2
2
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 290 · 22
32.8
8
50%
10
0
1
1
4
3
2
8
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 26
31.7
13
50%
7
2
0
4
0
5
2
5
5-9
56%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 22
14.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 172 · 24
8.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 25
7.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
C · 7'0" 263 · 24
G · 5'10" 166 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
101
48%
43
16
11
6
15
0
11
32
19-28
68%
35-73
48%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.