FinalWin Prob.pScore
2944%93
83
2856%94
88
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
90.29287.3
MIA logo MIA
96.79196.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0CLEJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)83
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0CLECavaliers Rebound83
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0CLEMISS Boozer 9' Jump Bank Shot83
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)83
15.8%
86
84.2%
Q4 - 1:22CLEBoozer 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)83
10.7%
86
89.3%
Q4 - 1:25CLECavaliers Rebound81
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 1:25CLEHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)81
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 1:28CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)81
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup81
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot81
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q4 - 2:08CLEJames Foul Turnover (P3.T16)81
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 2:27CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot81
8.8%
86
91.2%
Q4 - 2:48CLEGrant STEAL (3 STL)81
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 2:52MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)81
11.8%
86
88.2%
Q4 - 3:08CLEIlgauskas Dunk (20 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)81
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 3:20CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)79
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 279
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 279
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 3:38CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 3:38CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 3:38CLECavaliers Rebound77
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 4:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 4:02CLEMISS Miles 12' Jump Shot77
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 4:26MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)77
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 4:45CLEIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)77
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q4 - 5:01MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)77
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q4 - 5:20CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 5:20CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 276
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T13)76
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound76
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Jones Layup76
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 5:51CLEDavis Foul Turnover (P5.T13)76
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWoods Layup (4 PTS)76
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Haslem Layup76
16.2%
81
83.8%
Q4 - 6:30MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 6:32CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 276
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 6:32CLEMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
15.9%
81
84.1%
Q4 - 6:38CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 6:41CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup75
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q4 - 7:00MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)75
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 7:25CLEIlgauskas Layup (17 PTS)75
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q4 - 7:26CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 7:28CLEMISS Ilgauskas 5' Jump Shot73
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q4 - 7:50MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 10 AST)73
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q4 - 7:57CLEGrant STEAL (2 STL)73
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 8:16MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)73
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 8:40CLEMihm 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)73
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 8:56MIAWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)71
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q4 - 9:17MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q4 - 9:18CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 271
18.3%
76
81.7%
Q4 - 9:18CLEMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q4 - 9:30CLECavaliers Rebound70
18.0%
76
82.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot70
16.9%
76
83.1%
Q4 - 9:36CLEButler STEAL (3 STL)70
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q4 - 9:58MIAAlston 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
17.9%
76
82.1%
Q4 - 10:07CLEWoods STEAL (2 STL)70
22.4%
74
77.6%
Q4 - 10:22CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
27.0%
74
73.0%
Q4 - 10:24CLEMISS Boozer 20' Jump Shot70
23.7%
74
76.3%
Q4 - 10:40MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
26.9%
74
73.1%
Q4 - 11:03CLEOllie 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST)70
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q4 - 11:20CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)68
27.5%
72
72.5%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot68
26.1%
72
73.9%
Q4 - 11:41CLEOllie Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)68
23.2%
72
76.8%
Q4 - 11:41CLEOllie Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
19.5%
72
80.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 265
13.9%
72
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 6' Jump Shot64
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)64
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot64
13.9%
72
86.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0CLEMISS Miles 15' Jump Shot64
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS)64
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot64
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 1:18CLEOdom STEAL (2 STL)64
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 1:21CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)64
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup64
20.5%
70
79.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
20.5%
70
79.5%
Q3 - 2:06CLEWoods STEAL (1 STL)64
18.9%
70
81.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWoods 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)64
22.2%
70
77.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup64
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHEAT Rebound64
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot64
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 2:52CLEJames Layup (16 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)64
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 2:57CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade 20' Turnaround Jump Shot62
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 3:18MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 3:20CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 3:33MIAOdom Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)62
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 3:55CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 262
20.0%
68
80.0%
Q3 - 3:55CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 262
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 4:14MIAOdom 6' Finger Roll (14 PTS)62
23.4%
68
76.6%
Q3 - 4:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 4:30CLEMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 262
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q3 - 4:30CLEMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 4:33CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Odom 8' Running Jump Shot61
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 4:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q3 - 4:44CLEMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot61
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 5:07MIAHaslem Layup (7 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)61
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 5:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q3 - 5:13CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)61
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q3 - 5:17CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
34.2%
64
65.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup61
32.9%
64
67.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 5:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Jump Shot61
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q3 - 5:50MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)61
34.2%
64
65.8%
Q3 - 6:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
37.8%
62
62.2%
Q3 - 6:09CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
39.0%
62
61.0%
Q3 - 6:36MIAJones Dunk (22 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)61
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 6:53CLEMiles Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
45.6%
60
54.4%
Q3 - 6:57MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)59
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q3 - 7:21CLEIlgauskas Dunk (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)59
37.5%
60
62.5%
Q3 - 7:28CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
34.4%
60
65.6%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
31.8%
60
68.2%
Q3 - 7:49CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)57
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 8:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 8:20CLEMiles 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)55
37.7%
56
62.3%
Q3 - 8:36MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)53
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 8:44CLEMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot53
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q3 - 8:58CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 9:08MIAOdom Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAOdom Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
32.1%
55
67.9%
Q3 - 9:22CLEMiles 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)53
37.8%
54
62.2%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
34.5%
54
65.5%
Q3 - 10:06CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)51
37.7%
52
62.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)48
31.7%
52
68.3%
Q3 - 10:50CLEMiles Dunk (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)48
34.4%
50
65.6%
Q3 - 11:03CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup46
30.9%
50
69.1%
Q3 - 11:23CLEGrant STEAL (1 STL)46
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS)46
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q3 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup46
37.1%
48
62.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE46
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound46
38.1%
48
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Newble 20' Jump Shot46
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
37.8%
48
62.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Odom 9' Hook Shot46
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
35.7%
48
64.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
37.8%
48
62.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
35.6%
48
64.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot46
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
35.6%
48
64.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0CLEMISS Boozer 5' Running Jump Shot46
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWade Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)46
37.7%
48
62.3%
Q2 - 1:29CLEButler STEAL (2 STL)46
42.3%
46
57.7%
Q2 - 1:38CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
44.0%
46
56.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot46
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 1:57CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
42.3%
46
57.7%
Q2 - 1:57CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 245
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 2:00CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
40.8%
46
59.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup45
40.6%
46
59.4%
Q2 - 2:10MIAJones Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)45
38.6%
46
61.4%
Q2 - 2:23CLEJames 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q2 - 2:45CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup43
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 2:59MIAHEAT Rebound43
35.8%
45
64.2%
Q2 - 2:59CLEMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot43
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q2 - 3:14MIAOdom 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)43
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
41.3%
43
58.7%
Q2 - 3:31CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot43
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 3:36CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot43
43.6%
43
56.4%
Q2 - 3:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
41.3%
43
58.7%
Q2 - 3:50CLEMISS Davis 7' Jump Shot43
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 4:10MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
44.6%
42
55.4%
Q2 - 4:25CLEMiles Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)43
47.1%
41
52.9%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)41
44.2%
41
55.8%
Q2 - 4:47CLEDavis Tip Shot (9 PTS)41
41.4%
41
58.6%
Q2 - 4:48CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
38.6%
41
61.4%
Q2 - 4:49CLEMISS Davis Layup39
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)39
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 5:22CLEDavis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
41.3%
39
58.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)37
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 5:56CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)37
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)37
44.4%
37
55.6%
Q2 - 6:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 6:33CLEMISS Newble 16' Jump Shot37
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 6:38CLENewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
49.9%
35
50.1%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup37
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 6:57CLEDiop Tip Shot (2 PTS)37
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 6:58CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
44.4%
35
55.6%
Q2 - 6:59CLEMISS Bremer 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
42.2%
35
57.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)35
44.2%
35
55.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 7:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 7:45CLEMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot35
47.5%
33
52.5%
Q2 - 7:58CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 235
48.9%
33
51.1%
Q2 - 8:03MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
47.0%
33
53.0%
Q2 - 8:19CLEMihm Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)35
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 8:41MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
46.7%
32
53.3%
Q2 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q2 - 8:46CLEMISS Ollie Finger Roll33
49.8%
30
50.2%
Q2 - 8:52CLEOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
51.9%
30
48.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot33
51.0%
30
49.0%
Q2 - 9:05CLEOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
48.7%
30
51.3%
Q2 - 9:05CLEOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
48.2%
30
51.8%
Q2 - 9:13CLEBremer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot31
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 9:23CLEMISS Bremer 19' Jump Shot31
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWallace Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)31
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 9:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 9:57CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 231
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 9:57CLEMihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 9:57CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 10:00CLEMISS James 13' Jump Shot30
42.0%
30
58.0%
Q2 - 10:05MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 10:09MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 10:10CLEMISS Diop 19' Jump Shot30
42.0%
30
58.0%
Q2 - 10:29MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 10:45CLEMihm Layup (4 PTS)30
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 10:46CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
46.3%
27
53.7%
Q2 - 10:48CLEMISS Diop 16' Jump Shot28
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q2 - 11:10CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
45.8%
27
54.2%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot28
45.1%
27
54.9%
Q2 - 11:32CLEMihm 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Diop 2 AST)28
43.4%
27
56.6%
Q2 - 11:43MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE26
38.7%
27
61.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot26
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.9%
27
61.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0CLEMISS Diop 16' Jump Shot26
39.4%
27
60.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Odom Layup26
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 1:10CLEJames Layup (8 PTS) (Mihm 1 AST)26
38.9%
27
61.1%
Q1 - 1:28MIAOdom 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q1 - 1:49CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)24
38.9%
25
61.1%
Q1 - 2:14MIAButler Running Dunk (4 PTS)21
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 2:18CLEButler STEAL (1 STL)21
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 2:26MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
38.8%
23
61.2%
Q1 - 2:26MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q1 - 2:35MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q1 - 2:37CLEMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
41.8%
21
58.2%
Q1 - 2:57CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot21
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAHEAT Rebound21
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 3:15CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Hook Shot21
41.6%
21
58.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWallace Running Dunk (2 PTS)21
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 3:51CLEIlgauskas Dunk (11 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)21
45.3%
19
54.7%
Q1 - 4:10MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
43.3%
19
56.7%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 4:16CLEGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)19
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 4:29CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade Layup19
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 4:45CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot19
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 5:06MIAOdom 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 5:22CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
49.0%
15
51.0%
Q1 - 5:22CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 218
48.5%
15
51.5%
Q1 - 5:24CLECavaliers Rebound18
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 5:25CLEMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot18
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)18
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 6:08CLEDavis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)18
52.6%
12
47.4%
Q1 - 6:16CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
50.0%
12
50.0%
Q1 - 6:30CLEDavis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 6:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 6:54CLEMISS Boozer 8' Jump Shot14
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 6:58CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
52.7%
9
47.3%
Q1 - 7:00CLEMISS Miles Reverse Layup14
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
52.0%
9
48.0%
Q1 - 7:27CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 7:27CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)13
53.3%
7
46.7%
Q1 - 7:27CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
52.0%
7
48.0%
Q1 - 7:29CLEMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 7:36CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
52.0%
7
48.0%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Odom 4' Jump Shot12
51.4%
7
48.6%
Q1 - 7:58CLEDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
49.9%
7
50.1%
Q1 - 8:14CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
52.1%
7
47.9%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup12
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 8:35CLEMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 112
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 8:35CLEBoozer 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
48.3%
7
51.7%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 8:54CLEIlgauskas 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 9:12CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 9:13CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 28
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 9:13CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
49.3%
4
50.7%
Q1 - 9:18CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot7
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 9:47CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
45.9%
4
54.1%
Q1 - 10:03MIAWade Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot5
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 10:11CLEOdom STEAL (1 STL)5
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 10:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Jump Shot5
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:42MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:56CLEIlgauskas 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)5
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 11:14MIAOdom Finger Roll (2 PTS)3
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 11:30CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:30CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 22
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:48CLEIlgauskas Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Miles0
42.2%
0
57.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
18
27
67%
MIA
16
33
48%
Midrange
CLE
12
36
33%
MIA
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
CLE
17
30
57%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Ilgauskas2059%10.0 / 17
L. James1850%9.0 / 18
D. Miles1146%5.5 / 12
C. Mihm1179%5.5 / 7
R. Davis945%4.5 / 10
K. Ollie770%3.5 / 5
C. Boozer525%2.5 / 10
D. Diop225%1.0 / 4
I. Newble0-0.0 / 2
J. Bremer0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2563%12.5 / 20
L. Odom1437%7.0 / 19
D. Wade1435%7.0 / 20
R. Alston10100%5.0 / 5
U. Haslem750%3.5 / 7
B. Grant650%3.0 / 6
C. Butler660%3.0 / 5
L. Woods4100%2.0 / 2
J. Wallace2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
75
+14
-17
89
MIA
76
+11
-15
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.3
CLE 90.2
MIA 96.7 +6.5
Pace
92.8
90.6
CLE 87.3
MIA 96.2 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
CLE 16.5
MIA 15.0 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.1%
46.3%
CLE 46.5%
MIA 48.7% +2.2%
TO %
15.2%
14.4%
CLE 16.8%
MIA 15.9% +0.9%
ORB %
31.1%
27.5%
CLE 26.2% +3.7%
MIA 22.5%
FTrt
30.1
29.8
CLE 42.3 +20.2
MIA 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
57.3%
CLE 65.6% +5.6%
MIA 60.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
CLE 9.8%
MIA 11.0% +1.2%
BLK %
9.6%
6.3%
CLE 10.9% +6.1%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.5%
48.3%
CLE 46.6%
MIA 50.0% +3.4%
Rim FG%
54.3%
53.9%
CLE 66.7% +18.2%
MIA 48.5%
Mid FG%
37.5%
36.9%
CLE 33.3%
MIA 45.2% +11.9%
3P %
31.4%
35.7%
CLE 25.0%
MIA 38.5% +13.5%
FT %
75.3%
76.2%
CLE 56.7%
MIA 76.5% +19.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.5%
34.4%
CLE 38.0%
MIA 42.9% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
49.8%
44.5%
CLE 50.7%
MIA 40.3% +10.4%
3P Att. %
11.6%
21.1%
CLE 11.3%
MIA 16.9% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points8388
Rebounds4240
Assists2121
Steals910
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals32-7135-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2716-33
Midrange FG12-3614-31
2-Point FG30-6330-64
3-Point FG2-85-13
Free Throws17-3013-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 250 · 19
42.7
18
50%
3
7
2
1
4
3
1
2
4-6
67%
4-10
40%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 195 · 24
39.3
9
45%
3
4
2
0
6
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 258 · 22
36.1
5
25%
16
3
3
1
2
0
3
13
1-3
33%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 28
33.9
20
59%
6
1
0
1
3
3
2
4
4-8
50%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
29.8
11
46%
4
2
1
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 24
14.1
11
79%
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2
3-6
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
12.8
7
70%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 22
11.4
2
25%
2
2
0
2
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 23
C · 7'2" 260 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
42
21
9
7
17
0
11
31
17-30
57%
30-63
48%
2-8
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.