Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 14, 2003

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	27	Raptors	20%	89	64
	1	Kings	80%	100	94

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
TOR	73.6	87	82.5
SAC	108.0	87	93.1

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+12

-14

SAC

+12

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.74 36.8%

SAC

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC		64 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	TOR	Brunson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)	64 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:16.0	SAC	Peeler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:22.0	SAC	KINGS Rebound	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:22.0	TOR	MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:34.0	TOR	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:36.0	SAC	MISS Buford 24' 3PT Jump Shot	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:49.0	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:50.0	TOR	MISS Brunson Driving Layup	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 1:05	SAC	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	62 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 1:05	SAC	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	62 0%	93 100%
Q4 - 1:24	TOR	Bosh 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)	62 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 1:46	SAC	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	60 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 1:46	SAC	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 1:50	TOR	Songaila STEAL (3 STL)	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:03	TOR	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:05	SAC	MISS Peeler 3PT Jump Shot	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:13	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:14	TOR	MISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:21	SAC	Songaila Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:32	TOR	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	60 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:32	TOR	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	59 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 2:50	SAC	Songaila 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Peeler 2 AST)	58 0%	91 100%
Q4 - 3:16	TOR	Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brunson 1 AST)	58 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:23	SAC	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)	55 0%	89 100%
Q4 - 3:28	SAC	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	55 0%	89 100%
Q4 - 3:30	TOR	Songaila BLOCK (1 BLK)	55 0%	89 100%
Q4 - 3:49	TOR	Peterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	55 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 3:51	SAC	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	55 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 4:07	SAC	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 4:08	TOR	MISS Carter 14' Fadeaway Jumper	55 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 4:34	SAC	Wallace 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Songaila 5 AST)	55 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 4:36	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	55 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 4:38	SAC	MISS Smith 3' Layup	55 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 4:44	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	55 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 4:46	TOR	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	55 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 5:03	SAC	Buford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 4 AST)	55 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 5:15	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	55 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 5:17	TOR	MISS Carter 21' Jump Shot	55 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 5:28	SAC	Songaila Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	55 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 5:31	TOR	Songaila STEAL (2 STL)	55 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 5:53	SAC	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST)	55 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 5:59	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	55 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 6:00	TOR	MISS Palacio Layup	55 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 6:23	SAC	Songaila 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)	55 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 6:42	SAC	KINGS Rebound	55 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:43	TOR	MISS Carter 10' Jump Shot	55 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 7:11	SAC	Songaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	55 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 7:11	SAC	Songaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	55 0.1%	79 99.9%
Q4 - 7:15	TOR	Jackson STEAL (2 STL)	55 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 7:39	SAC	Miller 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)	55 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 7:53	TOR	Murray Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)	55 0.1%	76 99.9%
Q4 - 8:13	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (17 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)	55 0.2%	76 99.8%
Q4 - 8:18	TOR	Palacio Layup (10 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)	55 0.2%	74 99.8%
Q4 - 8:23	SAC	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	53 0.2%	74 99.8%
Q4 - 8:26	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	53 0.1%	74 99.9%
Q4 - 8:27	TOR	MISS Murray 18' Jump Shot	53 0.1%	74 99.9%
Q4 - 8:48	SAC	Songaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	53 0.2%	74 99.8%
Q4 - 8:48	SAC	Songaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	53 0.2%	73 99.8%
Q4 - 9:09	TOR	Palacio Driving Layup (8 PTS)	53 0.3%	72 99.7%
Q4 - 9:21	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	51 0.2%	72 99.8%
Q4 - 9:23	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 6' Jump Shot	51 0.2%	72 99.8%
Q4 - 9:41	TOR	Davis Reverse Layup (7 PTS)	51 0.2%	72 99.8%
Q4 - 10:15	SAC	Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	49 0.2%	72 99.8%
Q4 - 10:27	TOR	Murray 19' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)	49 0.3%	69 99.7%
Q4 - 10:50	SAC	Miller 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)	47 0.2%	69 99.8%
Q4 - 10:56	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	47 0.3%	67 99.7%
Q4 - 10:58	SAC	MISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot	47 0.3%	67 99.7%
Q4 - 11:00	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	47 0.3%	67 99.7%
Q4 - 11:01	SAC	MISS Miller 3' Hook Shot	47 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:03	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	47 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:04	SAC	MISS Songaila 9' Jump Shot	47 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:27	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:27	TOR	MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2	47 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:27	TOR	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	47 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:45	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q4 - 11:46	SAC	MISS Peeler 20' Jump Shot	46 0.3%	67 99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	TOR		46 0.3%	67 99.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0	TOR	Murray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0	SAC	MISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0	TOR	MISS Davis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0	SAC	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 1:04	SAC	KINGS Rebound	46 0.4%	67 99.6%
Q3 - 1:05	TOR	MISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	46 0.5%	67 99.5%
Q3 - 1:34	SAC	Jackson Layup (10 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)	46 0.5%	67 99.5%
Q3 - 1:41	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	46 0.6%	65 99.4%
Q3 - 1:43	TOR	MISS Williams Layup	46 0.7%	65 99.3%
Q3 - 1:58	TOR	Peterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	46 0.8%	65 99.2%
Q3 - 2:00	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	46 0.7%	65 99.3%
Q3 - 2:15	TOR	Murray 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	46 0.7%	65 99.3%
Q3 - 2:45	SAC	Christie 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	44 0.6%	65 99.4%
Q3 - 2:48	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	44 0.7%	63 99.3%
Q3 - 2:50	SAC	MISS Divac 6' Jump Shot	44 0.8%	63 99.2%
Q3 - 3:01	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	44 0.8%	63 99.2%
Q3 - 3:03	TOR	MISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot	44 0.9%	63 99.1%
Q3 - 3:23	SAC	Stojakovic Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	44 1.0%	63 99.0%
Q3 - 3:27	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	44 1.2%	61 98.8%
Q3 - 3:29	TOR	Christie BLOCK (1 BLK)	44 1.3%	61 98.7%
Q3 - 3:53	SAC	Miller 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Divac 6 AST)	44 1.4%	61 98.6%
Q3 - 4:10	TOR	Bosh 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	44 1.8%	59 98.2%
Q3 - 4:22	TOR	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	42 1.6%	59 98.4%
Q3 - 4:23	SAC	MISS Christie 6' Running Jump Shot	42 1.5%	59 98.5%
Q3 - 4:25	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	42 1.3%	59 98.7%
Q3 - 4:27	SAC	MISS Christie 20' Jump Shot	42 1.5%	59 98.5%
Q3 - 4:42	SAC	KINGS Rebound	42 1.3%	59 98.7%
Q3 - 4:43	TOR	MISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot	42 1.4%	59 98.6%
Q3 - 5:06	SAC	Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Divac 5 AST)	42 1.7%	59 98.3%
Q3 - 5:24	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	42 2.0%	57 98.0%
Q3 - 5:26	TOR	Divac BLOCK (3 BLK)	42 2.1%	57 97.9%
Q3 - 5:48	SAC	Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)	42 2.4%	57 97.6%
Q3 - 5:56	TOR	Christie STEAL (1 STL)	42 2.7%	55 97.3%
Q3 - 6:15	SAC	Bibby 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Divac 4 AST)	42 3.4%	55 96.6%
Q3 - 6:25	TOR	Curry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)	42 4.0%	53 96.0%
Q3 - 6:44	SAC	Christie 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Divac 3 AST)	40 3.4%	53 96.6%
Q3 - 7:04	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	40 4.8%	50 95.2%
Q3 - 7:06	TOR	Miller BLOCK (4 BLK)	40 5.1%	50 94.9%
Q3 - 7:25	SAC	Bibby Driving Layup (6 PTS)	40 5.7%	50 94.3%
Q3 - 7:35	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	40 6.4%	48 93.6%
Q3 - 7:37	TOR	Miller BLOCK (3 BLK)	40 6.7%	48 93.3%
Q3 - 7:59	SAC	Divac Foul Turnover (P3.T11)	40 7.6%	48 92.4%
Q3 - 8:13	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	40 6.5%	48 93.5%
Q3 - 8:14	TOR	MISS Davis 17' Fadeaway Jumper	40 6.9%	48 93.1%
Q3 - 8:35	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	40 7.7%	48 92.3%
Q3 - 8:36	TOR	MISS Carter 17' Fadeaway Jumper	40 6.9%	48 93.1%
Q3 - 8:50	SAC	Christie Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)	40 7.7%	48 92.3%
Q3 - 8:58	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	40 6.5%	48 93.5%
Q3 - 8:59	TOR	MISS Davis 4' Jump Shot	40 6.9%	48 93.1%
Q3 - 9:11	TOR	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 7.6%	48 92.4%
Q3 - 9:13	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	40 7.2%	48 92.8%
Q3 - 9:15	SAC	KINGS Rebound	40 6.6%	48 93.4%
Q3 - 9:16	SAC	MISS Divac 8' Jump Shot	40 7.2%	48 92.8%
Q3 - 9:27	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	40 6.6%	48 93.4%
Q3 - 9:29	TOR	MISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot	40 6.9%	48 93.1%
Q3 - 9:51	SAC	Divac 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	40 7.6%	48 92.4%
Q3 - 9:54	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	40 8.6%	46 91.4%
Q3 - 9:57	SAC	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	40 9.5%	46 90.5%
Q3 - 10:25	TOR	Carter 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	40 8.5%	46 91.5%
Q3 - 10:47	SAC	Stojakovic 7' Hook Bank Shot (9 PTS)	38 7.6%	46 92.4%
Q3 - 10:57	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 8.5%	44 91.5%
Q3 - 10:59	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	38 9.8%	44 90.2%
Q3 - 10:59	TOR	MISS Davis Follow Up Dunk	38 8.9%	44 91.1%
Q3 - 11:01	TOR	MISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot	38 8.8%	44 91.2%
Q3 - 11:24	SAC	Miller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Divac 2 AST)	38 9.7%	44 90.3%
Q3 - 11:39	TOR	Carter 8' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)	38 10.9%	42 89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC		36 9.7%	42 90.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	KINGS Rebound	36 8.5%	42 91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot	36 9.3%	42 90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	TOR	Carter Backcourt Turnover (P3.T9)	36 8.5%	42 91.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0	SAC	KINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	36 9.7%	42 90.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0	TOR	Williams Layup (6 PTS)	36 8.9%	42 91.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0	TOR	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	34 7.6%	42 92.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0	TOR	MISS Williams 5' Jump Shot	34 7.2%	42 92.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0	TOR	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34 7.6%	42 92.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0	SAC	MISS Bibby Driving Layup	34 7.4%	42 92.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0	SAC	KINGS Rebound	34 7.0%	42 93.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0	TOR	MISS Carter 10' Jump Shot	34 7.2%	42 92.8%
Q2 - 1:20	TOR	Raptors Rebound	34 7.8%	42 92.2%
Q2 - 1:21	SAC	MISS Divac 9' Jump Shot	34 7.6%	42 92.4%
Q2 - 1:47	TOR	Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)	34 7.3%	42 92.7%
Q2 - 2:07	TOR	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	31 5.7%	42 94.3%
Q2 - 2:08	SAC	MISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot	31 5.5%	42 94.5%
Q2 - 2:14	TOR	Palacio Driving Layup (6 PTS)	31 5.1%	42 94.9%
Q2 - 2:18	SAC	Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	29 4.5%	42 95.5%
Q2 - 2:27	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	29 4.0%	42 96.0%
Q2 - 2:29	TOR	Divac BLOCK (2 BLK)	29 4.2%	42 95.8%
Q2 - 2:44	TOR	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 4.5%	42 95.5%
Q2 - 2:46	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 4' Driving Layup	29 4.3%	42 95.7%
Q2 - 3:04	TOR	Palacio Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)	29 4.2%	42 95.8%
Q2 - 3:05	SAC	Divac Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	29 4.7%	42 95.3%
Q2 - 3:26	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 4.2%	42 95.8%
Q2 - 3:28	TOR	Divac BLOCK (1 BLK)	29 4.3%	42 95.7%
Q2 - 3:38	SAC	Divac Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	29 4.7%	42 95.3%
Q2 - 3:43	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	29 4.2%	42 95.8%
Q2 - 3:45	TOR	MISS Palacio 17' Jump Shot	29 4.3%	42 95.7%
Q2 - 4:04	SAC	Bibby Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	29 4.8%	42 95.2%
Q2 - 4:22	TOR	Palacio Layup (4 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)	29 4.3%	42 95.7%
Q2 - 4:34	SAC	Jackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	27 3.9%	42 96.1%
Q2 - 4:48	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	27 3.5%	42 96.5%
Q2 - 4:49	TOR	MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot	27 3.6%	42 96.4%
Q2 - 5:03	SAC	Songaila Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	27 4.0%	42 96.0%
Q2 - 5:17	TOR	Divac STEAL (1 STL)	27 3.5%	42 96.5%
Q2 - 5:42	SAC	Peeler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)	27 3.9%	42 96.1%
Q2 - 5:52	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	27 4.4%	40 95.6%
Q2 - 5:53	TOR	MISS Davis 5' Running Hook Shot	27 4.5%	40 95.5%
Q2 - 6:14	TOR	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	27 5.1%	40 94.9%
Q2 - 6:15	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	27 4.5%	40 95.5%
Q2 - 6:15	SAC	MISS Jackson Tip Shot	27 4.9%	40 95.1%
Q2 - 6:17	SAC	MISS Songaila 7' Jump Shot	27 4.9%	40 95.1%
Q2 - 6:31	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	27 4.5%	40 95.5%
Q2 - 6:33	TOR	MISS Murray 20' Jump Shot	27 4.6%	40 95.4%
Q2 - 6:54	SAC	Jackson Driving Layup (8 PTS)	27 5.1%	40 94.9%
Q2 - 6:59	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 5.5%	38 94.5%
Q2 - 7:00	TOR	MISS Palacio Layup	27 5.7%	38 94.3%
Q2 - 7:06	TOR	Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 6.4%	38 93.6%
Q2 - 7:08	SAC	MISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot	27 6.2%	38 93.8%
Q2 - 7:13	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 5.8%	38 94.2%
Q2 - 7:14	SAC	MISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot	27 6.2%	38 93.8%
Q2 - 7:23	TOR	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	27 5.8%	38 94.2%
Q2 - 7:35	TOR	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 6.4%	38 93.6%
Q2 - 7:36	TOR	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27 6.0%	38 94.0%
Q2 - 7:42	TOR	Peterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 6.4%	38 93.6%
Q2 - 7:43	TOR	MISS Peterson Layup	27 6.0%	38 94.0%
Q2 - 8:02	SAC	Songaila 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	27 6.5%	38 93.5%
Q2 - 8:12	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 7.1%	36 92.9%
Q2 - 8:14	TOR	MISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27 7.3%	36 92.7%
Q2 - 8:31	TOR	Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 7.9%	36 92.1%
Q2 - 8:32	SAC	MISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot	27 7.6%	36 92.4%
Q2 - 8:45	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 7.1%	36 92.9%
Q2 - 8:46	TOR	MISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot	27 7.3%	36 92.7%
Q2 - 9:14	SAC	Songaila 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	27 7.9%	36 92.1%
Q2 - 9:34	TOR	Murray Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)	27 8.6%	34 91.4%
Q2 - 9:54	SAC	Divac Finger Roll (9 PTS)	25 7.9%	34 92.1%
Q2 - 10:12	TOR	Bateer 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	25 8.8%	32 91.2%
Q2 - 10:34	TOR	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	23 8.1%	32 91.9%
Q2 - 10:35	SAC	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	23 7.8%	32 92.2%
Q2 - 10:43	TOR	Peeler STEAL (1 STL)	23 7.3%	32 92.7%
Q2 - 11:00	TOR	Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 8.1%	32 91.9%
Q2 - 11:02	TOR	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 7.5%	32 92.5%
Q2 - 11:29	SAC	Wallace 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Massenburg 1 AST)	23 8.0%	32 92.0%
Q2 - 11:44	TOR	Murray 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	23 8.7%	30 91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	TOR		20 7.3%	30 92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)	20 7.3%	30 92.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0	TOR	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	20 8.9%	27 91.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0	TOR	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	19 8.6%	27 91.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0	TOR	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 8.0%	27 92.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0	TOR	MISS Bateer Layup	18 7.6%	27 92.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0	TOR	Bateer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	18 7.9%	27 92.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0	TOR	MISS Murray 19' Jump Shot	18 7.6%	27 92.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0	SAC	Massenburg Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	18 7.9%	27 92.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0	TOR	MISS Carter 7' Jump Shot	18 7.6%	27 92.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0	TOR	Bateer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18 7.4%	27 92.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0	TOR	MISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 1	18 7.5%	27 92.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0	TOR	Murray 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	18 7.4%	27 92.6%
Q1 - 1:02	SAC	Songaila 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	16 6.7%	27 93.3%
Q1 - 1:20	TOR	Murray 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	16 7.5%	25 92.5%
Q1 - 1:27	TOR	Bateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 6.7%	25 93.3%
Q1 - 1:28	SAC	MISS Wallace Reverse Layup	14 6.6%	25 93.4%
Q1 - 1:34	TOR	Songaila STEAL (1 STL)	14 6.3%	25 93.7%
Q1 - 1:43	SAC	Christie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	14 6.7%	25 93.3%
Q1 - 1:43	SAC	Christie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	14 6.8%	24 93.2%
Q1 - 1:54	TOR	Carter Driving Dunk (6 PTS)	14 7.5%	23 92.5%
Q1 - 2:17	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	12 6.8%	23 93.2%
Q1 - 2:17	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	12 6.8%	22 93.2%
Q1 - 2:20	TOR	Jackson STEAL (1 STL)	12 7.4%	21 92.6%
Q1 - 2:36	SAC	Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)	12 8.1%	21 91.9%
Q1 - 2:47	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 9.6%	18 90.4%
Q1 - 2:48	TOR	MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot	12 9.9%	18 90.1%
Q1 - 2:58	TOR	Raptors Rebound	12 10.4%	18 89.6%
Q1 - 2:59	TOR	MISS Curry 20' Jump Shot	12 9.9%	18 90.1%
Q1 - 3:17	SAC	Divac Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	12 10.5%	18 89.5%
Q1 - 3:26	TOR	Williams 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	12 11.3%	16 88.7%
Q1 - 3:55	SAC	Miller Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	10 10.5%	16 89.5%
Q1 - 4:07	TOR	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	10 11.1%	14 88.9%
Q1 - 4:07	TOR	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	9 10.9%	14 89.1%
Q1 - 4:23	SAC	Christie Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	8 10.4%	14 89.6%
Q1 - 4:31	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 9.5%	14 90.5%
Q1 - 4:32	TOR	MISS Williams 16' Jump Shot	8 9.7%	14 90.3%
Q1 - 4:42	TOR	Raptors Rebound	8 10.4%	14 89.6%
Q1 - 4:44	TOR	MISS Davis 13' Jump Shot	8 9.7%	14 90.3%
Q1 - 5:03	SAC	Divac Layup (5 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)	8 10.3%	14 89.7%
Q1 - 5:16	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 11.0%	12 89.0%
Q1 - 5:18	TOR	MISS Williams 10' Fadeaway Jumper	8 11.3%	12 88.7%
Q1 - 5:39	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	8 12.0%	12 88.0%
Q1 - 5:40	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	8 11.7%	12 88.3%
Q1 - 6:00	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 11.0%	12 89.0%
Q1 - 6:02	TOR	MISS Carter 22' Jump Shot	8 11.3%	12 88.7%
Q1 - 6:25	SAC	Bibby Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)	8 11.9%	12 88.1%
Q1 - 6:36	TOR	Bosh Foul Turnover (P2.T2)	8 12.8%	10 87.2%
Q1 - 6:53	SAC	Bibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	8 13.7%	10 86.3%
Q1 - 6:59	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)	8 14.7%	8 85.3%
Q1 - 7:15	TOR	Bosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	8 15.4%	7 84.6%
Q1 - 7:25	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	8 16.5%	7 83.5%
Q1 - 7:27	SAC	MISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot	8 16.1%	7 83.9%
Q1 - 7:39	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 15.4%	7 84.6%
Q1 - 7:41	TOR	Miller BLOCK (2 BLK)	8 15.7%	7 84.3%
Q1 - 8:01	SAC	Stojakovic Finger Roll (4 PTS)	8 16.2%	7 83.8%
Q1 - 8:03	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8 17.2%	5 82.8%
Q1 - 8:05	SAC	MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot	8 18.0%	5 82.0%
Q1 - 8:20	TOR	Davis 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	8 17.2%	5 82.8%
Q1 - 8:32	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	6 16.3%	5 83.7%
Q1 - 8:33	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 4' Jump Shot	6 15.9%	5 84.1%
Q1 - 8:43	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 15.1%	5 84.9%
Q1 - 8:45	TOR	MISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot	6 15.5%	5 84.5%
Q1 - 8:58	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 16.3%	5 83.7%
Q1 - 9:00	SAC	MISS Christie 20' Jump Shot	6 15.9%	5 84.1%
Q1 - 9:17	TOR	Carter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)	6 14.9%	5 85.1%
Q1 - 9:26	TOR	Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 14.2%	5 85.8%
Q1 - 9:28	TOR	MISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot	4 13.4%	5 86.6%
Q1 - 9:38	TOR	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 14.2%	5 85.8%
Q1 - 9:40	SAC	MISS Miller 6' Jump Shot	4 13.9%	5 86.1%
Q1 - 10:01	TOR	Davis 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 13.1%	5 86.9%
Q1 - 10:18	SAC	Divac Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	2 12.4%	5 87.6%
Q1 - 10:18	SAC	Divac Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	2 13.2%	4 86.8%
Q1 - 10:26	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 14.0%	2 86.0%
Q1 - 10:28	TOR	Miller BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 14.3%	2 85.7%
Q1 - 10:41	TOR	Raptors Rebound	2 15.0%	2 85.0%
Q1 - 10:43	SAC	MISS Divac 8' Running Hook Shot	2 14.7%	2 85.3%
Q1 - 10:54	TOR	Palacio Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	2 14.0%	2 86.0%
Q1 - 11:16	SAC	Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0 13.1%	2 86.9%
Q1 - 11:24	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 14.0%	0 86.0%
Q1 - 11:26	TOR	MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot	0 14.3%	0 85.7%
Q1 - 11:42	TOR	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 14.9%	0 85.1%
Q1 - 11:43	SAC	MISS Divac 6' Hook Shot	0 14.6%	0 85.4%
Q1 - 12:00	SAC	Jump Ball Divac vs. Bosh: Tip to Miller	0 14.0%	0 86.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.74 36.8%

SAC

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

36%

SAC

67%

Midrange

TOR

35%

SAC

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

4.5

25%

38%

SAC

7.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

TOR

78%

SAC

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Carter	13	30%	6.5 / 22
L. Murray	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Palacio	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Davis	7	27%	3.5 / 13
C. Bosh	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Williams	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Peterson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Curry	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Bateer	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Brunson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. Songaila	14	70%	7.0 / 10
B. Jackson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
V. Divac	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Miller	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Bibby	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Christie	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Peeler	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Wallace	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Smith	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Buford	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+12

-14

SAC

+12

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.74 36.8%

SAC

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	94.5 107.1	TOR 73.6 +34.5 SAC 108.0
Pace	89.2 95.6	TOR 82.5 SAC 93.1 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16.7 14.2	TOR 17.5 SAC 15.5 +2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	45.4% 50.7%	TOR 35.6% SAC 53.3% +17.7%
TO %	14.7% 14.1%	TOR 14.3% +2.0% SAC 16.3%
ORB %	23.9% 26.1%	TOR 20.8% SAC 29.4% +8.6%
FTrt	26.0 30.4	TOR 11.3 SAC 18.4 +7.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.3% 69.4%	TOR 37.0% SAC 76.3% +39.3%
STL %	8.1% 9.0%	TOR 9.2% SAC 10.3% +1.1%
BLK %	7.3% 5.7%	TOR 9.5% SAC 14.7% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	47.0% 52.9%	TOR 36.8% SAC 54.7% +17.9%
Rim FG%	56.0% 59.2%	TOR 35.7% SAC 66.7% +31.0%
Mid FG%	36.6% 40.0%	TOR 35.0% SAC 45.2% +10.2%
3P %	35.6% 40.1%	TOR 25.0% SAC 38.5% +13.5%
FT %	75.0% 79.5%	TOR 77.8% SAC 92.9% +15.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28.0% 32.4%	TOR 35.0% +7.4% SAC 27.6%
Mid Att. %	51.6% 45.3%	TOR 50.0% +5.3% SAC 55.3%
3P Att. %	20.4% 22.3%	TOR 15.0% SAC 17.1% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Game Totals	TOR	SAC
Possessions	87	87
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.4
Points	64	94
Rebounds	34	48
Assists	10	29
Steals	8	9
Blocks	6	10
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (2)	38 (5)
Field Goals	27-80	38-76
At-the-Rim FG	10-28	14-21
Midrange FG	14-40	19-42
2-Point FG	24-68	33-63
3-Point FG	3-12	5-13
Free Throws	7-9	13-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 20	31.8	6	33%	6	1	0	3	3	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Antonio Davis C · 6'9" 245 · 35	30.6	7	27%	10	0	1	0	1	5	2	8	1-2	50%	3-12	25%	0-0	-
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 26	30.4	10	56%	1	2	3	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Vince Carter G · 6'6" 220 · 27	29.9	13	30%	3	1	0	2	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-17	24%	1-4	25%
Michael Curry F · 6'5" 210 · 35	15.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 26	28.4	3	25%	5	2	1	1	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jerome Williams F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31	18.9	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Lamond Murray F · 6'7" 235 · 31	18.4	13	59%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Alvin Williams G · 6'5" 195 · 29	17.6	0	0%	1	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Mengke Bateer C · 6'11" 290 · 28	14.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 31	4.1	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jerome Moiso F · 6'10" 260 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	64	37%	34	10	8	6	14	0	10	24	7-9	78%	24-68	35%	3-12	25%

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 20	31.8	6	33%	6	1	0	3	3	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Antonio Davis C · 6'9" 245 · 35	30.6	7	27%	10	0	1	0	1	5	2	8	1-2	50%	3-12	25%	0-0	-
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 26	30.4	10	56%	1	2	3	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Vince Carter G · 6'6" 220 · 27	29.9	13	30%	3	1	0	2	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-17	24%	1-4	25%
Michael Curry F · 6'5" 210 · 35	15.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 26	28.4	3	25%	5	2	1	1	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jerome Williams F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31	18.9	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Lamond Murray F · 6'7" 235 · 31	18.4	13	59%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Alvin Williams G · 6'5" 195 · 29	17.6	0	0%	1	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Mengke Bateer C · 6'11" 290 · 28	14.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 31	4.1	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jerome Moiso F · 6'10" 260 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	64	37%	34	10	8	6	14	0	10	24	7-9	78%	24-68	35%	3-12	25%

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1 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brad Miller F · 7'0" 261 · 28	31.9	10	63%	12	2	0	4	0	4	2	10	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 26	31.5	17	57%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 36	28.2	11	50%	7	6	1	3	3	1	1	6	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 34	25.8	7	58%	3	3	1	1	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 26	22.6	8	44%	4	4	0	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Darius Songaila F · 6'9" 248 · 26	25.8	14	70%	7	5	3	1	3	2	2	5	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Anthony Peeler G · 6'4" 208 · 34	22.2	5	50%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 31	19.7	13	72%	6	6	2	0	2	0	2	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 21	16.5	5	50%	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith C · 6'11" 250 · 27	5.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Rodney Buford F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26	5.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tony Massenburg F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36	4.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	55%	48	29	9	10	15	0	10	38	13-14	93%	33-63	52%	5-13	38%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE