| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 79.5 | 88 | 92.4 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+21
-14
95
HOU
72
+10
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.73 36.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | HOU |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 70 0% | 90 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | HOU | Braggs REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 0% | 90 100% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | MIA | MISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot | 70 0% | 90 100% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | HOU | Ford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T17) | 70 0% | 90 100% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | HOU | Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 70 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Ford BLOCK (1 BLK) | 70 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 70 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:06 | HOU | MISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 70 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 69 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Butler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | HOU | Braggs 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nachbar 3 AST) | 68 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | MIA | Alston Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 68 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | MIA | MISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 2 | 67 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | HOU | MISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 1 | 67 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:12 | HOU | Yao Dunk (16 PTS) (Braggs 1 AST) | 67 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:28 | HOU | Braggs REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 67 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:30 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 67 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 67 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 67 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | MIA | Butler Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 5 AST) | 67 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS) | 65 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS) | 65 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | MIA | Odom Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 65 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 63 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | HOU | MISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 63 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 63 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 63 0.1% | 81 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 62 0.1% | 81 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | HOU | Yao 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 7 AST) | 62 0.1% | 81 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 62 0.1% | 79 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 0.1% | 79 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | HOU | Yao Dunk (10 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST) | 61 0.1% | 79 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | MIA | Odom 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) | 61 0.2% | 77 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | HOU | Norris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 6 AST) | 59 0.2% | 77 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 59 0.3% | 74 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 0.4% | 74 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:43 | HOU | Yao Foul Turnover (P2.T16) | 59 0.5% | 74 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 59 0.3% | 74 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | HOU | MISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 0.4% | 74 99.6% |
| Q4 - 7:16 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 59 0.5% | 74 99.5% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (7 BLK) | 59 0.5% | 74 99.5% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 59 0.7% | 74 99.3% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | HOU | MISS Mobley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 59 0.6% | 74 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | Butler Foul Turnover (P3.T17) | 59 0.5% | 74 99.5% |
| Q4 - 7:58 | HOU | Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Francis 5 AST) | 59 0.7% | 74 99.3% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | HOU | Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 59 1.4% | 71 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 59 1.6% | 71 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 59 1.9% | 71 98.1% |
| Q4 - 8:27 | HOU | MISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 1.7% | 71 98.3% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS) | 59 1.4% | 71 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | MIA | Jones 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 58 1.1% | 71 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | MIA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 56 0.9% | 71 99.1% |
| Q4 - 8:59 | HOU | MISS Norris 8' Jump Shot | 56 0.8% | 71 99.2% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | HOU | Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 56 0.8% | 71 99.2% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | MIA | MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot | 56 0.9% | 71 99.1% |
| Q4 - 9:18 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 1.1% | 71 98.9% |
| Q4 - 9:20 | HOU | MISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 1.0% | 71 99.0% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 56 0.8% | 71 99.2% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 56 0.9% | 71 99.1% |
| Q4 - 9:50 | HOU | Nachbar Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15) | 56 1.0% | 71 99.0% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16) | 56 1.0% | 71 99.0% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 1.3% | 71 98.7% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | MISS Haslem 3PT Jump Shot | 56 1.1% | 71 98.9% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | HOU | Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nachbar 2 AST) | 56 1.3% | 71 98.7% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 56 1.9% | 68 98.1% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | MIA | MISS Alston 21' Jump Shot | 56 2.1% | 68 97.9% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 56 2.8% | 68 97.2% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | HOU | Yao Tip Shot (8 PTS) | 56 2.8% | 68 97.2% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | HOU | MISS Mobley Driving Layup | 56 4.0% | 66 96.0% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | HOU | Mobley Free Throw Technical (25 PTS) | 56 3.4% | 66 96.6% |
| Q4 - 11:39 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 56 4.2% | 65 95.8% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | MIA | MISS Odom 10' Jump Shot | 56 4.5% | 65 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 56 5.2% | 65 94.8% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 5.2% | 65 94.8% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | HOU | MISS Cato 15' Jump Shot | 56 5.2% | 65 94.8% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 56 4.6% | 65 95.4% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | HOU | MISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 5.2% | 65 94.8% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | MIA | Jones Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 56 4.5% | 65 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 54 3.7% | 65 96.3% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | HOU | MISS Francis Driving Layup | 54 3.5% | 65 96.5% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Odom Reverse Layup (8 PTS) | 54 3.1% | 65 96.9% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | HOU | Padgett 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST) | 52 2.5% | 65 97.5% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 52 3.3% | 63 96.7% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 3.5% | 63 96.5% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 52 4.0% | 63 96.0% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | HOU | MISS Jackson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 52 3.8% | 63 96.2% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 52 3.3% | 63 96.7% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | HOU | ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 49 2.5% | 63 97.5% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 49 2.1% | 63 97.9% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | HOU | MISS Francis Reverse Layup | 49 2.4% | 63 97.6% |
| Q3 - 2:26 | MIA | Wallace Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 49 2.1% | 63 97.9% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | MIA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 2.5% | 63 97.5% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | HOU | MISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 2.4% | 63 97.6% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | MIA | Wallace 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 49 2.0% | 63 98.0% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | HOU | Padgett Foul Turnover (P4.T13) | 47 1.9% | 63 98.1% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 47 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 3:11 | MIA | Cato BLOCK (1 BLK) | 47 1.7% | 63 98.3% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | HOU | Mobley 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 47 1.9% | 63 98.1% |
| Q3 - 3:54 | MIA | Butler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14) | 47 2.3% | 61 97.7% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | HOU | Padgett Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST) | 47 2.9% | 61 97.1% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | Jackson STEAL (1 STL) | 47 3.3% | 59 96.7% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | HOU | Padgett Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 47 4.1% | 59 95.9% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 47 3.3% | 59 96.7% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | HOU | MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot | 47 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | MIA | Odom Foul Turnover (P3.T12) | 47 3.6% | 59 96.4% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 47 4.3% | 59 95.7% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | HOU | MISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot | 47 4.1% | 59 95.9% |
| Q3 - 5:31 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 47 3.6% | 59 96.4% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot | 47 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 47 4.3% | 59 95.7% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (6 BLK) | 47 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 47 4.3% | 59 95.7% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | MISS Odom Layup | 47 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 6:06 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 47 4.5% | 59 95.5% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | HOU | MISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot | 47 4.3% | 59 95.7% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 47 3.8% | 59 96.2% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 | 47 3.9% | 59 96.1% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 47 4.3% | 59 95.7% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | HOU | Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Francis 4 AST) | 47 4.5% | 59 95.5% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | MIA | Grant 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 47 6.0% | 56 94.0% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | HOU | Francis Traveling Turnover (P3.T11) | 45 5.5% | 56 94.5% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 45 4.6% | 56 95.4% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | MIA | Jones Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 44 4.0% | 56 96.0% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | HOU | Jackson Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 3 AST) | 42 3.5% | 56 96.5% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 42 4.0% | 54 96.0% |
| Q3 - 8:11 | MIA | Jones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS) | 40 3.6% | 54 96.4% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | HOU | Francis Layup (13 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST) | 39 3.1% | 54 96.9% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | MIA | Mobley STEAL (3 STL) | 39 3.6% | 52 96.4% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 39 4.2% | 52 95.8% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 39 4.4% | 51 95.6% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 39 4.8% | 50 95.2% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | HOU | MISS Mobley Layup | 39 5.3% | 50 94.7% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10) | 39 4.8% | 50 95.2% |
| Q3 - 9:23 | HOU | Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Yao 1 AST) | 39 5.6% | 50 94.4% |
| Q3 - 9:36 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 39 7.4% | 47 92.6% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | MIA | MISS Jones 17' Jump Shot | 39 7.7% | 47 92.3% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | HOU | MISS Mobley 6' Running Jump Shot | 39 8.1% | 47 91.9% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 39 8.5% | 47 91.5% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 39 7.4% | 47 92.6% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 7.1% | 47 92.9% |
| Q3 - 10:22 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 38 7.5% | 47 92.5% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | HOU | MISS Francis 21' Jump Shot | 38 7.1% | 47 92.9% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | HOU | Francis Free Throw Technical (11 PTS) | 38 6.4% | 47 93.6% |
| Q3 - 10:42 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 38 7.4% | 46 92.6% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 38 7.7% | 46 92.3% |
| Q3 - 10:49 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 38 8.5% | 46 91.5% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | HOU | MISS Yao 7' Hook Shot | 38 8.1% | 46 91.9% |
| Q3 - 11:13 | MIA | Grant Layup (6 PTS) | 38 7.4% | 46 92.6% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 36 6.6% | 46 93.4% |
| Q3 - 11:15 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (5 BLK) | 36 6.0% | 46 94.0% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 36 6.6% | 46 93.4% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | MIA | MISS Grant 21' Jump Shot | 36 6.0% | 46 94.0% |
| Q3 - 11:48 | HOU | Mobley 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST) | 36 6.6% | 46 93.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 36 8.4% | 43 91.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Francis 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST) | 36 9.6% | 43 90.4% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 36 11.3% | 41 88.7% |
| Q2 - 0:29.0 | HOU | Nachbar Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 36 12.3% | 41 87.7% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 36 11.3% | 41 88.7% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | HOU | Padgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 36 11.3% | 41 88.7% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | HOU | MISS Padgett Tip Shot | 36 12.0% | 41 88.0% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | HOU | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 12.0% | 41 88.0% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 36 11.3% | 41 88.7% |
| Q2 - 0:51.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 9' Jump Shot | 36 11.6% | 41 88.4% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 36 12.3% | 41 87.7% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 36 11.8% | 41 88.2% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | HOU | Yao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9) | 36 12.3% | 41 87.7% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | MIA | Wade Layup (10 PTS) | 36 11.6% | 41 88.4% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | HOU | Yao 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 2 AST) | 34 10.2% | 41 89.8% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 11.5% | 39 88.5% |
| Q2 - 2:18 | MIA | MISS Grant 19' Jump Shot | 34 11.9% | 39 88.1% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | HOU | Francis Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 34 12.7% | 39 87.3% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | MIA | Mobley STEAL (2 STL) | 34 14.3% | 37 85.7% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 34 15.7% | 37 84.3% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 34 15.7% | 37 84.3% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS Haslem Tip Shot | 34 14.7% | 37 85.3% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | MIA | Francis BLOCK (1 BLK) | 34 14.7% | 37 85.3% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 34 15.8% | 37 84.2% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | HOU | MISS Norris 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 15.3% | 37 84.7% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | Haslem Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 4 AST) | 34 14.1% | 37 85.9% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 32 12.9% | 37 87.1% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | HOU | MISS Braggs Layup | 32 12.4% | 37 87.6% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | Grant 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 32 11.5% | 37 88.5% |
| Q2 - 4:26 | HOU | Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 1 AST) | 30 10.4% | 37 89.6% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | Odom Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 30 12.7% | 34 87.3% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | HOU | Norris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 28 11.5% | 34 88.5% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | HOU | Norris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 28 11.8% | 33 88.2% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | MIA | Wade 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 28 12.6% | 32 87.4% |
| Q2 - 5:23 | HOU | Padgett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 26 11.5% | 32 88.5% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 10.3% | 32 89.7% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 10.7% | 32 89.3% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 26 11.5% | 32 88.5% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | HOU | MISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 11.2% | 32 88.8% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | MIA | Braggs STEAL (2 STL) | 26 10.4% | 32 89.6% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | HOU | Francis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) | 26 11.7% | 32 88.3% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | HOU | Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 12.6% | 30 87.4% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIA | MISS Jones 16' Jump Shot | 26 13.0% | 30 87.0% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 26 14.1% | 30 85.9% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | MISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot | 26 13.0% | 30 87.0% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 14.2% | 30 85.8% |
| Q2 - 7:07 | HOU | MISS Mobley 23' Jump Shot | 26 13.8% | 30 86.2% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | MIA | Jones Foul Turnover (P3.T6) | 26 12.9% | 30 87.1% |
| Q2 - 7:39 | HOU | Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Norris 2 AST) | 26 14.2% | 30 85.8% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | MIA | Braggs STEAL (1 STL) | 26 16.8% | 27 83.2% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | HOU | Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Norris 1 AST) | 26 18.4% | 27 81.6% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MIA | Jones 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 26 21.5% | 24 78.5% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 24 20.0% | 24 80.0% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | MIA | Braggs BLOCK (1 BLK) | 24 18.8% | 24 81.2% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | Woods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 24 20.0% | 24 80.0% |
| Q2 - 8:36 | MIA | Nachbar BLOCK (1 BLK) | 24 18.8% | 24 81.2% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | HOU | Mobley 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 24 20.0% | 24 80.0% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | MIA | Jones 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 24 21.2% | 22 78.8% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | HOU | Mobley 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 22 19.8% | 22 80.2% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Woods Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 22 21.2% | 20 78.8% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Woods Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 21 20.8% | 20 79.2% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIA | Woods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 20 19.8% | 20 80.2% |
| Q2 - 9:49 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 20 18.5% | 20 81.5% |
| Q2 - 10:06 | HOU | Mobley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 20 19.8% | 20 80.2% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 20 21.2% | 18 78.8% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 19 21.0% | 18 79.0% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | HOU | Nachbar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 18 19.8% | 18 80.2% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | HOU | Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 18.1% | 18 81.9% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIA | MISS Jones 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 18 18.6% | 18 81.4% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | HOU | Mobley Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 18 19.2% | 18 80.8% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 18 20.8% | 16 79.2% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | HOU | MISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 22.0% | 16 78.0% |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | Woods 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 3 AST) | 18 20.9% | 16 79.1% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | HOU | Padgett Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 16 19.3% | 16 80.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 16 17.8% | 16 82.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 16 19.3% | 16 80.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 18.3% | 16 81.7% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | HOU | Mobley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 16 19.0% | 16 81.0% |
| Q1 - 0:19.0 | MIA | Jones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 16 20.8% | 14 79.2% |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Woods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 22.0% | 14 78.0% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | HOU | MISS Francis Layup | 16 21.7% | 14 78.3% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Mobley STEAL (1 STL) | 16 20.8% | 14 79.2% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 16 22.1% | 14 77.9% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | MISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 2 | 16 21.0% | 14 79.0% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Woods Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 16 22.0% | 14 78.0% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Woods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 20.5% | 14 79.5% |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | HOU | MISS Yao 8' Hook Shot | 15 20.1% | 14 79.9% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 15 19.3% | 14 80.7% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | MIA | MISS Odom 20' Jump Shot | 15 19.6% | 14 80.4% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 15 20.4% | 14 79.6% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 15 20.7% | 13 79.3% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | MIA | Odom 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 15 22.4% | 12 77.6% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 13 20.4% | 12 79.6% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Odom 14' Jump Shot | 13 19.6% | 12 80.4% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | HOU | Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST) | 13 20.5% | 12 79.5% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | MIA | Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST) | 13 23.8% | 9 76.2% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 11 22.1% | 9 77.9% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | HOU | MISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 21.6% | 9 78.4% |
| Q1 - 2:50 | MIA | Odom Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 11 20.6% | 9 79.4% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | HOU | Francis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 11 21.8% | 9 78.2% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 11 23.2% | 7 76.8% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 | 11 23.4% | 7 76.6% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 11 24.5% | 7 75.5% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 11 25.0% | 7 75.0% |
| Q1 - 3:21 | HOU | MISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot | 11 24.4% | 7 75.6% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | HOU | ROCKETS Rebound | 11 23.2% | 7 76.8% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | MIA | MISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 23.8% | 7 76.2% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 11 25.1% | 7 74.9% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | HOU | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 11 25.4% | 6 74.6% |
| Q1 - 3:55 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 11 26.6% | 5 73.4% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (4 BLK) | 11 27.2% | 5 72.8% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | HOU | Braggs 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5) | 11 27.9% | 5 72.1% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 25.8% | 5 74.2% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | MIA | MISS Odom Layup | 11 26.5% | 5 73.5% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 11 28.0% | 5 72.0% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (3 BLK) | 11 26.5% | 5 73.5% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 28.0% | 5 72.0% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | HOU | MISS Francis Driving Layup | 11 27.3% | 5 72.7% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 11 25.0% | 5 75.0% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | MIA | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 26.8% | 5 73.2% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | MIA | MISS Jones 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 11 25.6% | 5 74.4% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | HOU | Francis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 11 26.9% | 5 73.1% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 11 24.4% | 5 75.6% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MIA | Jones Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST) | 10 23.0% | 5 77.0% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | HOU | Cato Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 8 21.7% | 5 78.3% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | HOU | Cato 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 8 23.1% | 4 76.9% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | HOU | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 8 24.5% | 2 75.5% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | HOU | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 25.6% | 2 74.4% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | HOU | Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 24.5% | 2 75.5% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (2 BLK) | 8 24.9% | 2 75.1% |
| Q1 - 7:00 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 26.1% | 2 73.9% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | MIA | Yao BLOCK (1 BLK) | 8 24.0% | 2 76.0% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 8 25.1% | 2 74.9% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | MISS Odom 8' Jump Shot | 8 24.0% | 2 76.0% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 25.1% | 2 74.9% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | HOU | Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 25.4% | 1 74.6% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 26.5% | 0 73.5% |
| Q1 - 7:37 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 8 27.0% | 0 73.0% |
| Q1 - 7:44 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 28.2% | 0 71.8% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | HOU | MISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot | 8 27.6% | 0 72.4% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 26.1% | 0 73.9% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | MIA | MISS Grant 8' Jump Shot | 8 26.6% | 0 73.4% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 27.7% | 0 72.3% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | HOU | MISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot | 8 27.2% | 0 72.8% |
| Q1 - 8:35 | MIA | Grant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 8 26.1% | 0 73.9% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | HOU | ROCKETS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#3) | 6 24.8% | 0 75.2% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | MIA | Wade 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 6 23.3% | 0 76.7% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 22.0% | 0 78.0% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | HOU | MISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot | 4 21.5% | 0 78.5% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 20.4% | 0 79.6% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | MIA | MISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 20.9% | 0 79.1% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | MIA | Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 22.0% | 0 78.0% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | HOU | MISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 21.5% | 0 78.5% |
| Q1 - 9:56 | HOU | Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 20.4% | 0 79.6% |
| Q1 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 | 4 20.6% | 0 79.4% |
| Q1 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 | 4 21.4% | 0 78.6% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | HOU | Jackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 21.8% | 0 78.2% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | MIA | Odom Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 4 20.4% | 0 79.6% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 19.3% | 0 80.7% |
| Q1 - 10:59 | HOU | MISS Cato 19' Jump Shot | 2 18.9% | 0 81.1% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 18.0% | 0 82.0% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 17.8% | 0 82.2% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | HOU | Francis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 16.9% | 0 83.1% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | HOU | Francis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 16.0% | 0 84.0% |
| Q1 - 11:33 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 0 16.2% | 0 83.8% |
| Q1 - 11:34 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 16.9% | 0 83.1% |
| Q1 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 0 16.2% | 0 83.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | HOU | Jump Ball Yao vs. Grant: Tip to Wade | 0 16.9% | 0 83.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.73 36.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
HOU
9
17
53%
Midrange
MIA
12
42
29%
HOU
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
HOU
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
28
61%
HOU
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Jones | 21 | 58% | 10.5 / 18 | |
| L. Odom | 14 | 37% | 7.0 / 19 | |
| D. Wade | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| B. Grant | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| L. Woods | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| C. Butler | 4 | 25% | 2.0 / 8 | |
| U. Haslem | 2 | 8% | 1.0 / 12 | |
| J. Wallace | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| T. Hill | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| R. Alston | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Rockets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mobley | 30 | 68% | 15.0 / 22 | |
| Yao | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| S. Francis | 14 | 44% | 7.0 / 16 | |
| S. Padgett | 13 | 93% | 6.5 / 7 | |
| K. Cato | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| M. Norris | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| B. Nachbar | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| J. Jackson | 2 | 13% | 1.0 / 8 | |
| T. Braggs | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+21
-14
95
HOU
72
+10
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.73 36.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 99.3 98.5 | MIA 79.5 +23.9 HOU 103.4 |
| Pace | 90.6 90.1 | MIA 92.4 +9.4 HOU 83.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.0 16.7 | MIA 15.6 +1.8 HOU 17.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 46.3% 48.4% | MIA 35.3% HOU 52.2% +16.9% |
| TO % | 14.4% 17.3% | MIA 16.3% +1.6% HOU 17.9% |
| ORB % | 27.5% 26.4% | MIA 32.6% +12.6% HOU 20.0% |
| FTrt | 29.8 28.6 | MIA 37.3 +8.3 HOU 29.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.3% 57.7% | MIA 57.7% HOU 67.7% +10.0% |
| STL % | 7.9% 7.5% | MIA 6.8% HOU 6.9% +0.1% |
| BLK % | 6.3% 8.6% | MIA 4.4% HOU 17.9% +13.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 48.3% 50.0% | MIA 36.5% HOU 54.9% +18.4% |
| Rim FG% | 53.9% 57.1% | MIA 52.0% HOU 52.9% +0.9% |
| Mid FG% | 36.9% 39.5% | MIA 28.6% HOU 42.9% +14.3% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 36.6% | MIA 12.5% HOU 41.7% +29.2% |
| FT % | 76.2% 77.3% | MIA 60.7% HOU 90.0% +29.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.4% 30.5% | MIA 33.3% +8.7% HOU 24.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.5% 46.8% | MIA 56.0% HOU 40.6% +15.4% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.1% 22.7% | MIA 10.7% HOU 34.8% +24.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.9 | 25.1 |
| Points | 70 | 90 |
| Rebounds | 42 | 36 |
| Assists | 15 | 21 |
| Steals | 6 | 6 |
| Blocks | 2 | 12 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (3) | 15 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 14 (7) | 7 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (3) | 29 (3) |
| Field Goals | 26-75 | 31-69 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 13-25 | 9-17 |
| Midrange FG | 12-42 | 12-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 25-67 | 21-45 |
| 3-Point FG | 1-8 | 10-24 |
| Free Throws | 17-28 | 18-20 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.