Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bobcats | 29% | 93 | 105 |
 | 11 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Heat | 20% | 89 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 21% | 86 | 87 | |
 | 9 | Pistons | 79% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 14% | 90 | 110 |
| 5 | Hornets | 86% | 104 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bucks | 52% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 17% | 97 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 38% | 98 | 108 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 62% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | SuperSonics | 23% | 90 | 66 | |
Thursday, April 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 39% | 91 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 65% | 94 | 95 |
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Wednesday, April 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 26% | 95 | 110 |
| 19 | Wizards | 74% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 52% | 96 | 118 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 48% | 95 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 53% | 98 | 120 |
| 18 | Hawks | 47% | 97 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 15% | 92 | 77 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 85% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 78% | 98 | 106 | |
| 29 | Heat | 22% | 88 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 41% | 97 | 114 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 59% | 100 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 15% | 93 | 100 |
| 9 | Jazz | 85% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 28% | 98 | 86 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 72% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 55% | 99 | 102 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 45% | 97 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 94 | 91 |
| 2 | Lakers | 78% | 104 | 104 |
Tuesday, April 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hornets | 48% | 99 | 98 | |
 | 12 | Magic | 52% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 48% | 96 | 108 |
| 21 | Nets | 52% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 39% | 96 | 115 |
| 25 | Bucks | 61% | 100 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 58% | 91 | 94 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 42% | 88 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 96 | 106 |
| 15 | Bulls | 33% | 90 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 38% | 97 | 92 |
| 7 | Spurs | 62% | 101 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 39% | 107 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 58% | 98 | 98 |
| 16 | Kings | 42% | 95 | 99 |
Monday, March 31, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 49% | 96 | 104 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 51% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Heat | 22% | 94 | 85 |
| 23 | Pacers | 78% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 56% | 101 | 116 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 44% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 32% | 98 | 87 |
| 9 | Jazz | 68% | 104 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 40% | 108 | 117 |
| 4 | Suns | 60% | 111 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 59% | 94 | 93 |
| 26 | Clippers | 41% | 91 | 86 |
Sunday, March 30, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 38% | 87 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 91 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 69% | 102 | 103 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 31% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 26% | 93 | 109 |
| 17 | Hawks | 74% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 5% | 80 | 62 |
| 1 | Celtics | 95% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 46% | 96 | 118 | |
| 10 | Raptors | 54% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 41% | 92 | 88 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 59% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 38% | 99 | 104 |
| 9 | Warriors | 62% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 66% | 103 | 120 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 34% | 98 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 30% | 99 | 120 |
| 4 | Lakers | 70% | 106 | 126 |
Saturday, March 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 56% | 105 | 110 |
| 20 | Nets | 44% | 103 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 28% | 87 | 71 |
| 2 | Pistons | 72% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 23% | 92 | 111 |
| 17 | Bulls | 77% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 36% | 107 | 112 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 37% | 92 | 93 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 41% | 96 | 97 |
| 25 | Clippers | 59% | 99 | 110 |
Friday, March 28, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 89 | 95 |
| 11 | Raptors | 84% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 52% | 101 | 107 |
| 16 | 76ers | 48% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 47% | 102 | 115 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 53% | 103 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hornets | 30% | 90 | 92 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 44% | 95 | 103 |
| 19 | Hawks | 56% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 67% | 104 | 103 |
| 26 | Bucks | 33% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 15% | 85 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 85% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 16% | 94 | 101 |
| 3 | Jazz | 84% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 48% | 99 | 114 |
| 18 | Kings | 52% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 12% | 95 | 114 |
| 6 | Lakers | 88% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 65% | 101 | 96 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 35% | 96 | 93 | |
Thursday, March 27, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 7% | 80 | 69 |
| 4 | Pistons | 93% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 31% | 97 | 105 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 69% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 99 | 95 |
| 10 | Warriors | 72% | 106 | 111 |
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 51% | 93 | 82 |
| 11 | Raptors | 49% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 40% | 91 | 96 |
| 28 | Knicks | 60% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 35% | 91 | 99 |
| 16 | 76ers | 65% | 96 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 37% | 96 | 96 |
| 18 | Hawks | 63% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hornets | 45% | 93 | 100 | |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 55% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 29% | 97 | 97 |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 34% | 99 | 117 |
| 19 | Nets | 66% | 104 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 15% | 86 | 86 |
| 6 | Rockets | 85% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 10% | 82 | 88 |
| 3 | Spurs | 90% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 28% | 98 | 106 |
| 21 | Kings | 72% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 66% | 101 | 104 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 34% | 96 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 14% | 93 | 108 |
| 2 | Lakers | 86% | 107 | 95 |
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 49% | 95 | 107 |
| 11 | Magic | 51% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 62% | 102 | 114 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 38% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 42% | 95 | 94 |
| 17 | Bulls | 58% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 22% | 88 | 90 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 78% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 20% | 95 | 106 |
| 5 | Jazz | 80% | 106 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 49% | 95 | 82 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 96 | 102 |
Monday, March 24, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 18% | 86 | 95 |
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 62% | 98 | 106 | |
| 27 | Knicks | 38% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 59% | 99 | 73 |
| 30 | Heat | 41% | 96 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 36% | 97 | 105 |
| 3 | Pistons | 64% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 69% | 108 | 120 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 31% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 22% | 91 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 78% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 100 | 84 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 30% | 94 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 49% | 109 | 123 |
| 10 | Warriors | 51% | 110 | 119 |
Sunday, March 23, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 43% | 90 | 88 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 57% | 93 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 46% | 101 | 109 |
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 59% | 96 | 83 |
| 15 | Wizards | 41% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 33% | 105 | 115 |
| 3 | Lakers | 67% | 111 | 111 |
Saturday, March 22, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 37% | 92 | 87 | |
| 19 | 76ers | 63% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 20% | 89 | 82 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 80% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 49% | 100 | 90 |
| 20 | Hawks | 51% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 58% | 102 | 111 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 42% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 53% | 93 | 106 |
| 9 | Hornets | 47% | 92 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 39% | 93 | 93 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 61% | 96 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 32% | 97 | 108 |
| 18 | Bulls | 68% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 57% | 98 | 98 |
| 24 | Bucks | 43% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 8% | 93 | 101 | |
| 4 | Jazz | 92% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 38% | 98 | 113 |
| 8 | Suns | 62% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 95 | 83 |
| 28 | Clippers | 41% | 92 | 72 |