FinalWin Prob.pScore
2248%103
105
2452%104
101
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
105.010099.0
MIL logo MIL
101.0100101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL105
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot105
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)105
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)105
97.4%
101
2.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2105
97.7%
101
2.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)105
98.9%
101
1.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILRedd Layup (28 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)104
97.6%
101
2.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILMISS Sessions Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2104
98.6%
99
1.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILSessions Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
97.0%
99
3.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)104
99.2%
98
0.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)103
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILSessions Layup (10 PTS)102
98.3%
98
1.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)102
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)101
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILSessions Layup (8 PTS)100
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDSessions STEAL (1 STL)100
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)100
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)100
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
98.9%
93
1.1%
Q4 - 1:11MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)100
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 1:11MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)100
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 1:22INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 1:22INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
98.8%
91
1.2%
Q4 - 1:44INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)98
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 1:46MILMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot98
97.0%
91
3.0%
Q4 - 1:53MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
95.7%
91
4.3%
Q4 - 1:54INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
96.3%
91
3.7%
Q4 - 2:13MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)98
97.4%
91
2.6%
Q4 - 2:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)98
95.0%
91
5.0%
Q4 - 2:17INDMISS Murphy 3PT Jump Shot98
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 2:43MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)98
97.4%
91
2.6%
Q4 - 2:43MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)98
97.6%
90
2.4%
Q4 - 2:54INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
97.2%
89
2.8%
Q4 - 2:54INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 297
97.0%
89
3.0%
Q4 - 3:04MILSessions Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P3.T18)97
97.5%
89
2.5%
Q4 - 3:16INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)97
95.7%
89
4.3%
Q4 - 3:19MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)94
91.9%
89
8.1%
Q4 - 3:35INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
83.2%
89
16.8%
Q4 - 3:35INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
81.4%
89
18.6%
Q4 - 3:54MILVillanueva 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)92
78.2%
89
21.8%
Q4 - 4:02MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
83.7%
87
16.3%
Q4 - 4:03INDMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot92
85.3%
87
14.7%
Q4 - 4:17MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)92
88.6%
87
11.4%
Q4 - 4:36INDDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murphy 6 AST)92
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 5:03MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
81.1%
85
18.9%
Q4 - 5:03MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 289
82.8%
84
17.2%
Q4 - 5:19INDMurphy Dunk (15 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)89
81.0%
84
19.0%
Q4 - 5:36MILBogut Tip Shot (18 PTS)87
75.7%
84
24.3%
Q4 - 5:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)87
81.1%
82
18.9%
Q4 - 5:38MILMISS Sessions Layup87
84.6%
82
15.4%
Q4 - 5:52INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)87
81.2%
82
18.8%
Q4 - 5:58INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
69.1%
82
30.9%
Q4 - 5:59INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
63.7%
82
36.3%
Q4 - 6:25MILSimmons Layup (11 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)84
67.5%
82
32.5%
Q4 - 6:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
73.0%
80
27.0%
Q4 - 6:33INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 184
73.9%
80
26.1%
Q4 - 7:01MILIvey 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)82
66.1%
80
33.9%
Q4 - 7:14MILBUCKS Rebound82
71.4%
78
28.6%
Q4 - 7:14INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot82
73.3%
78
26.7%
Q4 - 7:29MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
77.3%
78
22.7%
Q4 - 7:29MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
78.2%
77
21.8%
Q4 - 7:41MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)82
81.3%
76
18.7%
Q4 - 7:42INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot82
82.7%
76
17.3%
Q4 - 8:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)82
83.4%
76
16.6%
Q4 - 8:08MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 282
82.9%
76
17.1%
Q4 - 8:08MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
81.5%
76
18.5%
Q4 - 8:09MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)82
83.4%
75
16.6%
Q4 - 8:10MILMISS Sessions Layup82
85.7%
75
14.3%
Q4 - 8:25INDO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)82
83.5%
75
16.5%
Q4 - 8:43MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P1.T16)80
79.8%
75
20.2%
Q4 - 9:07INDDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST)80
73.8%
75
26.2%
Q4 - 9:31MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
63.8%
75
36.2%
Q4 - 9:31MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
64.7%
74
35.3%
Q4 - 9:39MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)77
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q4 - 9:40MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot77
72.6%
73
27.4%
Q4 - 9:56INDIvey STEAL (3 STL)77
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q4 - 10:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
72.7%
73
27.3%
Q4 - 10:02MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot77
71.2%
73
28.8%
Q4 - 10:15INDSimmons STEAL (2 STL)77
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q4 - 10:45MILIvey 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
72.9%
73
27.1%
Q4 - 10:57MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
76.8%
71
23.2%
Q4 - 10:57MILMISS Sessions 7' Jump Shot77
79.7%
71
20.3%
Q4 - 11:17INDSimmons STEAL (1 STL)77
75.6%
71
24.4%
Q4 - 11:25MILIvey Layup (2 PTS)77
79.5%
71
20.5%
Q4 - 11:30INDIvey STEAL (2 STL)77
82.7%
69
17.3%
Q4 - 11:38MILRuffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)77
85.7%
69
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND77
82.7%
69
17.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
85.8%
69
14.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 11' Jump Shot77
84.9%
69
15.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
81.7%
69
18.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot77
82.6%
69
17.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
87.1%
67
12.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILRedd Foul Turnover (P2.T14)75
84.6%
67
15.4%
Q3 - 1:22INDDiener 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)75
80.4%
67
19.6%
Q3 - 1:43MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)72
73.7%
67
26.3%
Q3 - 2:08INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
68.1%
67
31.9%
Q3 - 2:08INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
67.1%
67
32.9%
Q3 - 2:14MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)70
64.3%
67
35.7%
Q3 - 2:23MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
68.2%
65
31.8%
Q3 - 2:25INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
69.5%
65
30.5%
Q3 - 2:40INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
72.4%
65
27.6%
Q3 - 2:41MILMISS Redd Layup70
71.2%
65
28.8%
Q3 - 3:09INDDiener 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)70
67.7%
65
32.3%
Q3 - 3:15INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
63.9%
65
36.1%
Q3 - 3:16INDMISS Granger Reverse Layup68
60.8%
65
39.2%
Q3 - 3:27INDPacers Rebound68
63.9%
65
36.1%
Q3 - 3:27INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot68
60.8%
65
39.2%
Q3 - 3:48MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)68
63.9%
65
36.1%
Q3 - 4:03INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)68
70.4%
62
29.6%
Q3 - 4:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
67.3%
62
32.7%
Q3 - 4:17MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot66
65.9%
62
34.1%
Q3 - 4:24MILBUCKS Rebound66
62.8%
62
37.2%
Q3 - 4:24MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot66
65.9%
62
34.1%
Q3 - 4:39MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
62.8%
62
37.2%
Q3 - 4:40INDMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
64.2%
62
35.8%
Q3 - 4:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)66
67.3%
62
32.7%
Q3 - 4:50MILMISS Redd 8' Jump Shot66
66.0%
62
34.0%
Q3 - 5:03MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 5:04INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot66
63.7%
62
36.3%
Q3 - 5:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 5:26MILMISS Mason 13' Turnaround Jump Shot66
65.3%
62
34.7%
Q3 - 5:36MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
62.4%
62
37.6%
Q3 - 5:39INDBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)66
63.7%
62
36.3%
Q3 - 5:55INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)66
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 166
66.1%
62
33.9%
Q3 - 6:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)66
69.0%
60
31.0%
Q3 - 6:16INDMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 266
69.5%
60
30.5%
Q3 - 6:16INDMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 266
71.6%
60
28.4%
Q3 - 6:26INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
72.6%
60
27.4%
Q3 - 6:27MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 266
72.2%
60
27.8%
Q3 - 6:27MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)66
70.5%
60
29.5%
Q3 - 6:31MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
72.4%
59
27.6%
Q3 - 6:32INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot66
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q3 - 6:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)66
75.7%
59
24.3%
Q3 - 6:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
72.4%
59
27.6%
Q3 - 6:41MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot66
74.7%
59
25.3%
Q3 - 6:42MILMISS Redd Layup66
74.7%
59
25.3%
Q3 - 6:57INDMurphy 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
72.4%
59
27.6%
Q3 - 7:12MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)64
68.5%
59
31.5%
Q3 - 7:12MILBUCKS Rebound64
64.5%
59
35.5%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Bogut Layup64
67.3%
59
32.7%
Q3 - 7:21INDMurray Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)64
64.5%
59
35.5%
Q3 - 7:30MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P2.T11)64
68.5%
59
31.5%
Q3 - 7:45INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
64.6%
59
35.4%
Q3 - 7:45INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
64.1%
59
35.9%
Q3 - 7:57MILBogut Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)62
61.5%
59
38.5%
Q3 - 8:13INDDunleavy Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T15)62
64.3%
57
35.7%
Q3 - 8:21MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 8:21MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 262
68.8%
56
31.2%
Q3 - 8:23MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
67.7%
56
32.3%
Q3 - 8:25INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
68.9%
56
31.1%
Q3 - 8:37MILBogut Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)62
71.4%
56
28.6%
Q3 - 8:46MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
74.0%
54
26.0%
Q3 - 8:47INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot62
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 8:59MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)62
77.2%
54
22.8%
Q3 - 9:03INDRedd STEAL (1 STL)62
80.9%
51
19.1%
Q3 - 9:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)62
83.1%
51
16.9%
Q3 - 9:09MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot62
82.5%
51
17.5%
Q3 - 9:28INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)62
81.0%
51
19.0%
Q3 - 9:45MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)59
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q3 - 10:11INDMurphy Layup (11 PTS)59
72.5%
51
27.5%
Q3 - 10:34MILMason Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)57
70.0%
51
30.0%
Q3 - 10:37INDVillanueva STEAL (2 STL)57
72.6%
49
27.4%
Q3 - 10:45MILBogut Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)57
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q3 - 10:51MILRedd Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)57
77.9%
47
22.1%
Q3 - 11:09INDGranger 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
79.7%
46
20.3%
Q3 - 11:18MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)55
77.5%
46
22.5%
Q3 - 11:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)55
74.9%
46
25.1%
Q3 - 11:37INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 3 of 355
75.2%
46
24.8%
Q3 - 11:37INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)55
77.0%
46
23.0%
Q3 - 11:37INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)54
76.6%
46
23.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND53
72.3%
46
27.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
72.3%
46
27.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot53
71.4%
46
28.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0INDMurphy 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)53
69.1%
46
30.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMason Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
65.4%
46
34.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDDiener Foul Turnover (P1.T12)51
69.1%
44
30.9%
Q2 - 1:05MILVillanueva Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)51
70.3%
44
29.7%
Q2 - 1:13MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
74.1%
42
25.9%
Q2 - 1:14MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot51
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q2 - 1:28MILBUCKS Rebound51
74.1%
42
25.9%
Q2 - 1:30INDMISS Diener 15' Jump Shot51
74.5%
42
25.5%
Q2 - 1:38MILRedd Layup (11 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)51
75.4%
42
24.6%
Q2 - 1:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
78.8%
40
21.2%
Q2 - 1:59INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot51
79.1%
40
20.9%
Q2 - 2:15INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 2:16MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.9%
40
21.1%
Q2 - 2:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
77.5%
40
22.5%
Q2 - 2:23INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q2 - 2:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)51
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 2:35MILMISS Ivey 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.9%
40
21.1%
Q2 - 2:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
77.6%
40
22.4%
Q2 - 2:43INDMISS Foster 12' Jump Shot51
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q2 - 2:52INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q2 - 2:54MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot51
78.9%
40
21.1%
Q2 - 3:00INDBogut STEAL (1 STL)51
77.6%
40
22.4%
Q2 - 3:15MILBogut Dunk (7 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)51
78.6%
40
21.4%
Q2 - 3:30INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)51
80.4%
38
19.6%
Q2 - 3:47MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T8)48
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 3:55INDDunleavy Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)48
74.1%
38
25.9%
Q2 - 3:58INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 3:59MILMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot48
75.9%
38
24.1%
Q2 - 4:11INDFoster Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)48
73.4%
38
26.6%
Q2 - 4:21MILRuffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
75.6%
38
24.4%
Q2 - 4:21MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 248
76.6%
37
23.4%
Q2 - 4:22MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
75.6%
37
24.4%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot48
77.0%
37
23.0%
Q2 - 4:33MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
75.6%
37
24.4%
Q2 - 4:35INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot48
76.2%
37
23.8%
Q2 - 4:55MILIvey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 5:14INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)48
75.1%
37
24.9%
Q2 - 5:32MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
70.8%
37
29.2%
Q2 - 5:51INDDunleavy 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)45
72.9%
35
27.1%
Q2 - 5:56INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
70.8%
35
29.2%
Q2 - 5:57MILMISS Ivey 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
70.0%
35
30.0%
Q2 - 6:14INDDiener 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)43
67.6%
35
32.4%
Q2 - 6:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)40
63.2%
35
36.8%
Q2 - 6:23INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot40
61.0%
35
39.0%
Q2 - 6:37MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
63.2%
35
36.8%
Q2 - 6:55INDDaniels Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)40
65.2%
33
34.8%
Q2 - 7:05MILSessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)38
62.4%
33
37.6%
Q2 - 7:21INDRuffin STEAL (3 STL)38
67.1%
30
32.9%
Q2 - 7:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
69.6%
30
30.4%
Q2 - 7:34MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
68.8%
30
31.2%
Q2 - 7:40INDRuffin STEAL (2 STL)38
67.1%
30
32.9%
Q2 - 7:51MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)38
69.6%
30
30.4%
Q2 - 8:02MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
71.0%
28
29.0%
Q2 - 8:04INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 8:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
73.4%
28
26.6%
Q2 - 8:15MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 238
73.1%
28
26.9%
Q2 - 8:15MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
72.3%
28
27.7%
Q2 - 8:17INDIvey STEAL (1 STL)38
73.1%
27
26.9%
Q2 - 8:32INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
75.4%
27
24.6%
Q2 - 8:34MILMISS Bogut Layup38
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 8:49INDDunleavy Layup (5 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)38
73.1%
27
26.9%
Q2 - 8:53INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
71.3%
27
28.7%
Q2 - 8:54MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot36
70.6%
27
29.4%
Q2 - 9:13INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)36
68.3%
27
31.7%
Q2 - 9:27MILSessions Foul Turnover (P2.T6)36
70.7%
27
29.3%
Q2 - 9:33INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
68.3%
27
31.7%
Q2 - 9:33INDDaniels Tip Shot (2 PTS)36
68.3%
27
31.7%
Q2 - 9:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
66.4%
27
33.6%
Q2 - 9:35INDMISS Foster Tip Shot34
64.6%
27
35.4%
Q2 - 9:36INDMISS Daniels Layup34
64.6%
27
35.4%
Q2 - 9:50MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)34
66.4%
27
33.6%
Q2 - 10:02INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)34
70.0%
24
30.0%
Q2 - 10:24MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
68.2%
24
31.8%
Q2 - 10:24MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
68.6%
23
31.4%
Q2 - 10:49INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q2 - 11:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
67.4%
22
32.6%
Q2 - 11:05MILMISS Sessions 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
66.8%
22
33.2%
Q2 - 11:31INDRuffin STEAL (1 STL)30
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q2 - 11:32MILVillanueva Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
67.5%
22
32.5%
Q2 - 11:34MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q2 - 11:35INDMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot30
66.0%
22
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND30
67.5%
22
32.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)30
66.7%
22
33.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
65.1%
22
34.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDMurray Layup (6 PTS)27
62.9%
20
37.1%
Q1 - 1:01MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)25
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 1:17INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T3)25
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 1:27MILMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)25
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 1:28MILBUCKS Rebound25
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 1:29MILMISS Mason Layup25
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 1:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 1:34INDBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)25
63.3%
18
36.7%
Q1 - 1:50MILBogut 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)25
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 2:15INDMurphy 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)25
67.0%
16
33.0%
Q1 - 2:32MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)23
64.7%
16
35.3%
Q1 - 2:52INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
67.0%
14
33.0%
Q1 - 3:11MILMason Layup (2 PTS)20
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 3:12MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
63.9%
12
36.1%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot20
65.5%
12
34.5%
Q1 - 3:33INDVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)20
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 3:39MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
66.3%
12
33.7%
Q1 - 3:54INDGranger Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)20
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 4:10MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)18
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 4:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
63.5%
10
36.5%
Q1 - 4:15MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot18
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 4:33INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)18
63.5%
10
36.5%
Q1 - 4:40INDPacers Rebound16
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 4:40INDMISS Dunleavy Layup16
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 4:42INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 4:43INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot16
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 4:59MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 4:59MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 5:05MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 5:07INDMason BLOCK (1 BLK)16
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 5:16INDMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
64.9%
8
35.1%
Q1 - 5:17MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 5:36INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 5:36INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
62.5%
8
37.5%
Q1 - 5:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 5:51MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot14
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 6:08INDMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
58.2%
8
41.8%
Q1 - 6:08INDMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
57.7%
8
42.3%
Q1 - 6:13INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 6:14MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot12
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 6:28MILBUCKS Rebound12
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 6:28INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot12
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 6:45MILVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
56.4%
8
43.6%
Q1 - 6:54MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 6:55INDMISS Foster 11' Jump Shot12
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 7:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
59.5%
6
40.5%
Q1 - 7:07MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot12
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 7:20INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)12
57.5%
6
42.5%
Q1 - 7:31INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
54.0%
6
46.0%
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot9
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 7:54INDFoster Layup (5 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)9
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 7:59INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 8:02MILMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot7
49.8%
6
50.2%
Q1 - 8:08INDMason STEAL (1 STL)7
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 8:19MILRedd Layup (3 PTS)7
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 8:39MILRedd Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
52.1%
4
47.9%
Q1 - 8:39MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
54.0%
3
46.0%
Q1 - 8:40INDBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)7
54.6%
3
45.4%
Q1 - 8:46INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 8:47MILMISS Redd Layup7
55.4%
3
44.6%
Q1 - 8:51MILBUCKS Rebound7
54.0%
3
46.0%
Q1 - 8:51MILMISS Bogut Layup7
55.4%
3
44.6%
Q1 - 9:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
53.6%
3
46.4%
Q1 - 9:04INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
54.4%
3
45.6%
Q1 - 9:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
56.0%
3
44.0%
Q1 - 9:11MILMISS Williams Layup7
55.3%
3
44.7%
Q1 - 9:21INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
53.7%
3
46.3%
Q1 - 9:31INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.4%
3
49.6%
Q1 - 9:32MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot4
49.7%
3
50.3%
Q1 - 9:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
48.0%
3
52.0%
Q1 - 9:40INDMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot4
48.7%
3
51.3%
Q1 - 9:53MILMason Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)4
50.4%
3
49.6%
Q1 - 10:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
48.0%
3
52.0%
Q1 - 10:01INDMISS Murray 3' Jump Shot4
48.7%
3
51.3%
Q1 - 10:09MILWilliams Layup (2 PTS)4
50.1%
3
49.9%
Q1 - 10:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.8%
1
48.2%
Q1 - 10:15INDMISS Murphy 11' Jump Shot4
52.4%
1
47.6%
Q1 - 10:33INDMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
53.9%
1
46.1%
Q1 - 10:34MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot4
53.2%
1
46.8%
Q1 - 10:57INDGranger 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
51.8%
1
48.2%
Q1 - 11:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.9%
1
50.1%
Q1 - 11:21MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 22
49.7%
1
50.3%
Q1 - 11:21MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
48.7%
1
51.3%
Q1 - 11:37INDMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:37INDMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 11:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:40MILMISS Redd Layup0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 11:44MILMISS Mason Layup0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Foster: Tip to Williams0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.18 59.0%
MIL
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
21
57%
MIL
21
39
54%
Midrange
IND
14
32
44%
MIL
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIL
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
IND
29
35
83%
MIL
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2768%13.5 / 20
T. Murphy1750%8.5 / 17
D. Granger1372%6.5 / 9
T. Diener1161%5.5 / 9
M. Daniels1161%5.5 / 9
J. O'Neal1179%5.5 / 7
J. Foster956%4.5 / 8
R. Murray643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2856%14.0 / 25
A. Bogut2150%10.5 / 21
C. Villanueva1161%5.5 / 9
R. Sessions1161%5.5 / 9
B. Simmons1161%5.5 / 9
D. Mason836%4.0 / 11
R. Ivey650%3.0 / 6
M. Ruffin350%1.5 / 3
M. Williams220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+8
-21
87
MIL
84
+19
-16
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.18 59.0%
MIL
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
105.5
IND 105.0 +4.0
MIL 101.0
Pace
98.0
91.2
IND 99.0
MIL 101.1 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
16.0
IND 14.6
MIL 14.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
48.2%
IND 52.8% +8.6%
MIL 44.2%
TO %
15.0%
15.5%
IND 19.4%
MIL 15.8% +3.6%
ORB %
24.4%
30.1%
IND 16.2%
MIL 28.0% +11.8%
FTrt
29.2
29.4
IND 48.6 +7.9
MIL 40.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.2%
IND 67.6% +5.4%
MIL 62.2%
STL %
7.7%
7.2%
IND 7.0%
MIL 14.0% +7.0%
BLK %
7.9%
7.2%
IND 3.9%
MIL 7.5% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.9%
IND 59.0% +10.4%
MIL 48.6%
Rim FG%
58.0%
54.3%
IND 57.1% +3.3%
MIL 53.8%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.4%
IND 43.8% +6.0%
MIL 37.8%
3P %
37.4%
34.4%
IND 42.1% +22.1%
MIL 20.0%
FT %
76.8%
73.3%
IND 82.9% +11.5%
MIL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
37.4%
IND 29.2%
MIL 45.3% +16.2%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
43.2%
IND 44.4%
MIL 43.0% +1.4%
3P Att. %
28.9%
19.5%
IND 26.4% +14.8%
MIL 11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes24.323.8
Points105101
Rebounds4245
Assists2323
Steals714
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)16 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)31 (3)
Field Goals34-7237-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2121-39
Midrange FG14-3214-37
2-Point FG26-5335-76
3-Point FG8-192-10
Free Throws29-3525-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 230 · 28
45.0
27
68%
11
4
3
0
5
4
1
10
7-10
70%
4-11
36%
4-6
67%
G · 6'9" 222 · 25
38.5
13
72%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 245 · 28
36.6
17
50%
3
6
0
0
2
2
0
3
5-5
100%
6-11
55%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 31
32.6
9
56%
16
1
0
3
1
6
2
14
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
22.1
6
43%
2
4
0
0
3
2
0
2
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
25.9
11
61%
2
5
2
0
2
4
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
20.0
11
61%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
19.4
11
79%
3
0
1
0
6
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
C · 7'0" 280 · 26
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
#23 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
59%
42
23
7
3
21
0
6
36
29-35
83%
26-53
49%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.