FinalWin Prob.pScore
2459%99
73
3041%96
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
85.98589.1
MIA logo MIA
90.78682.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL73
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)73
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)73
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIALasme REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Davis 12' Fadeaway Jumper71
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)71
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
19.2%
74
80.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)71
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q4 - 1:01MILQuinn STEAL (4 STL)71
32.5%
72
67.5%
Q4 - 1:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)71
49.4%
72
50.6%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot71
44.6%
72
55.4%
Q4 - 1:30MILMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)71
37.1%
72
62.9%
Q4 - 1:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)71
52.2%
72
47.8%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot71
48.2%
72
51.8%
Q4 - 2:07MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)71
39.4%
72
60.6%
Q4 - 2:09MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)71
55.7%
72
44.3%
Q4 - 2:13MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
39.3%
72
60.7%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Cook Driving Finger Roll Layup71
50.9%
72
49.1%
Q4 - 2:33MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)71
39.2%
72
60.8%
Q4 - 2:33MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)70
37.8%
72
62.2%
Q4 - 2:42MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
34.1%
72
65.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
29.3%
72
70.7%
Q4 - 3:04MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)69
22.1%
72
77.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q4 - 3:14MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
14.0%
71
86.0%
Q4 - 3:30MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q4 - 3:30MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q4 - 3:53MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q4 - 3:54MILMISS Williams 8' Running Hook Shot64
29.5%
67
70.5%
Q4 - 4:06MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot64
32.5%
67
67.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
26.6%
67
73.4%
Q4 - 4:24MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 264
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q4 - 4:24MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
31.6%
67
68.4%
Q4 - 4:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)63
27.0%
67
73.0%
Q4 - 4:25MILMISS Bogut Layup63
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q4 - 4:34MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Quinn 20' Fadeaway Jumper63
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q4 - 5:01MILRedd Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)63
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIABarron Layup (11 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)61
18.4%
67
81.6%
Q4 - 5:35MILRuffin Dunk (4 PTS)61
23.6%
65
76.4%
Q4 - 5:37MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q4 - 5:39MILMISS Williams Driving Layup59
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q4 - 5:53MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q4 - 6:03MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)59
32.9%
62
67.1%
Q4 - 6:16MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
27.4%
62
72.6%
Q4 - 6:16MIALasme Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
28.9%
61
71.1%
Q4 - 6:24MILRuffin Tip Shot (2 PTS)57
32.8%
60
67.2%
Q4 - 6:27MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q4 - 6:49MIACook 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)55
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q4 - 7:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
35.9%
58
64.1%
Q4 - 7:06MILMISS Bogut 15' Jump Shot55
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q4 - 7:25MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
43.2%
58
56.8%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Lasme Layup55
40.8%
58
59.2%
Q4 - 7:42MILIvey Foul Turnover (P1.T17)55
35.6%
58
64.4%
Q4 - 7:42MILIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q4 - 7:43MILLasme BLOCK (3 BLK)55
37.8%
58
62.2%
Q4 - 7:51MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot55
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q4 - 8:14MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Powell 13' Jump Shot55
42.0%
58
58.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Ahearn 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
42.0%
58
58.0%
Q4 - 8:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q4 - 8:53MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 255
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q4 - 8:53MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 255
42.1%
58
57.9%
Q4 - 9:01MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Ahearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
43.6%
58
56.4%
Q4 - 9:10MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q4 - 9:11MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot55
41.2%
58
58.8%
Q4 - 9:32MIALasme 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST)55
45.4%
58
54.6%
Q4 - 9:48MILRedd Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)55
51.1%
56
48.9%
Q4 - 10:03MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
57.4%
56
42.6%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot55
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q4 - 10:32MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)55
51.4%
56
48.6%
Q4 - 10:52MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
40.5%
56
59.5%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q4 - 11:23MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
35.5%
56
64.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lasme 1 AST)50
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA50
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILDavis STEAL (2 STL)50
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q3 - 0:15.0MILBucks Rebound50
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Quinn 14' Jump Shot50
40.7%
54
59.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
37.2%
54
62.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
38.7%
54
61.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILBucks Rebound50
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot50
38.7%
54
61.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q3 - 1:13MILMason Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)50
48.2%
52
51.8%
Q3 - 1:26MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)48
43.5%
52
56.5%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot48
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 1:32MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
43.5%
52
56.5%
Q3 - 1:34MILMISS Mason Dunk48
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)48
43.4%
52
56.6%
Q3 - 2:11MILRedd 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q3 - 2:38MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)46
44.1%
50
55.9%
Q3 - 2:59MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
53.0%
47
47.0%
Q3 - 3:21MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)43
44.9%
47
55.1%
Q3 - 3:45MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
40.2%
47
59.8%
Q3 - 3:58MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Davis Layup41
34.8%
47
65.2%
Q3 - 4:05MILDavis STEAL (1 STL)41
32.9%
47
67.1%
Q3 - 4:15MIAQuinn Foul Turnover (P2.T9)41
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q3 - 4:35MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q3 - 4:35MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 240
31.8%
47
68.2%
Q3 - 4:50MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
33.4%
47
66.6%
Q3 - 5:00MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
36.7%
45
63.3%
Q3 - 5:03MILMISS Villanueva 6' Turnaround Hook Shot40
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q3 - 5:22MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)40
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 240
41.6%
45
58.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q3 - 5:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q3 - 5:29MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q3 - 5:49MIAQuinn 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)40
46.3%
44
53.7%
Q3 - 6:16MILBlount STEAL (1 STL)40
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q3 - 6:23MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)40
54.9%
42
45.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Barron 4' Jump Shot40
53.6%
42
46.4%
Q3 - 6:38MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q3 - 6:39MILMISS Redd 22' Fadeaway Jumper40
51.9%
42
48.1%
Q3 - 6:55MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)40
54.9%
42
45.1%
Q3 - 7:15MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
50.4%
42
49.6%
Q3 - 7:15MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 239
49.1%
42
50.9%
Q3 - 7:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
51.0%
42
49.0%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot39
49.6%
42
50.4%
Q3 - 7:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
46.6%
42
53.4%
Q3 - 7:42MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot39
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q3 - 8:00MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)39
51.0%
42
49.0%
Q3 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound39
54.9%
40
45.1%
Q3 - 8:17MILBlount BLOCK (3 BLK)39
56.2%
40
43.8%
Q3 - 8:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)39
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q3 - 8:19MILMISS Villanueva 6' Jump Shot39
56.2%
40
43.8%
Q3 - 8:34MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
56.1%
40
43.9%
Q3 - 9:07MIACook Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
59.0%
40
41.0%
Q3 - 9:24MILVillanueva 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q3 - 9:25MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q3 - 9:26MILMISS Bogut 8' Jump Shot37
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q3 - 9:29MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)37
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q3 - 9:30MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot37
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)37
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q3 - 10:05MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q3 - 10:06MILBlount BLOCK (2 BLK)37
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q3 - 10:13MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup37
65.2%
36
34.8%
Q3 - 10:31MILQuinn STEAL (3 STL)37
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q3 - 10:45MIADavis Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)37
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAHEAT Rebound37
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup37
71.3%
34
28.7%
Q3 - 11:07MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)37
69.4%
34
30.6%
Q3 - 11:13MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)37
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q3 - 11:15MILBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)37
70.3%
34
29.7%
Q3 - 11:27MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)37
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
74.9%
32
25.1%
Q3 - 11:43MILMISS Villanueva 6' Hook Shot37
75.8%
32
24.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)37
75.0%
32
25.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAAnthony Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)37
76.8%
32
23.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILQuinn STEAL (2 STL)37
79.7%
30
20.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
81.2%
30
18.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)37
81.8%
29
18.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILBarron STEAL (1 STL)37
83.7%
28
16.3%
Q2 - 1:03MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
84.3%
28
15.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot37
84.0%
28
16.0%
Q2 - 1:23MILWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
83.4%
28
16.6%
Q2 - 1:35MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
80.6%
28
19.4%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 235
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q2 - 1:51MILBogut 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)35
81.5%
27
18.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)33
78.5%
27
21.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
76.4%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 2:17MILCook BLOCK (1 BLK)33
77.1%
27
22.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
78.5%
27
21.5%
Q2 - 2:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
82.6%
24
17.4%
Q2 - 2:50MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)33
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 3:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 3:15MILMISS Williams Layup33
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q2 - 3:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)33
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 233
83.5%
24
16.5%
Q2 - 3:35MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
82.5%
24
17.5%
Q2 - 3:55MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
83.6%
23
16.4%
Q2 - 4:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)31
81.5%
23
18.5%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 4:31MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 4:32MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot31
80.3%
23
19.7%
Q2 - 4:50MIACook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
81.5%
23
18.5%
Q2 - 5:03MILVillanueva Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)31
79.5%
23
20.5%
Q2 - 5:13MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q2 - 5:20MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q2 - 5:21MILMISS Villanueva 7' Hook Shot29
76.2%
23
23.8%
Q2 - 5:36MIABarron Foul Turnover (P2.T4)29
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 5:59MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
75.5%
23
24.5%
Q2 - 6:01MILMISS Villanueva Layup29
76.0%
23
24.0%
Q2 - 6:12MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
77.6%
23
22.4%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Barron Driving Layup29
76.9%
23
23.1%
Q2 - 6:39MILWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)29
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q2 - 7:01MIACook 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q2 - 7:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
78.8%
21
21.2%
Q2 - 7:20MILMISS Sessions 8' Jump Shot29
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q2 - 7:29MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)29
80.6%
21
19.4%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Ahearn 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
80.1%
21
19.9%
Q2 - 7:40MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
78.8%
21
21.2%
Q2 - 7:42MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot29
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q2 - 8:05MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
80.3%
21
19.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot29
79.8%
21
20.2%
Q2 - 8:20MILYi 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)29
78.4%
21
21.6%
Q2 - 8:33MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q2 - 8:35MILMISS Yi 10' Hook Shot27
75.4%
21
24.6%
Q2 - 8:48MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
76.2%
21
23.8%
Q2 - 9:14MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)27
74.5%
21
25.5%
Q2 - 9:38MIACook Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)27
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q2 - 9:52MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
78.1%
19
21.9%
Q2 - 9:52MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
77.8%
19
22.2%
Q2 - 9:59MILBucks Rebound25
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q2 - 10:00MILLasme BLOCK (2 BLK)25
75.1%
19
24.9%
Q2 - 10:04MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
76.2%
19
23.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Lasme 18' Jump Shot25
75.6%
19
24.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
74.2%
19
25.8%
Q2 - 10:16MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot25
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 10:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
76.2%
19
23.8%
Q2 - 10:20MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 10:29MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
76.2%
19
23.8%
Q2 - 10:30MILMISS Yi 6' Jump Shot25
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 10:31MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q2 - 10:32MILMISS Redd 12' Fadeaway Jumper25
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)25
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q2 - 11:14MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q2 - 11:15MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot25
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q2 - 11:24MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Davis 13' Fadeaway Jumper25
78.8%
17
21.2%
Q2 - 11:47MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILLasme BLOCK (1 BLK)25
77.8%
17
22.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Anthony 5' Hook Shot25
78.3%
17
21.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
77.4%
17
22.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
78.3%
17
21.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)25
78.7%
17
21.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
78.3%
17
21.7%
Q1 - 1:04MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)25
77.4%
17
22.6%
Q1 - 1:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)22
73.5%
17
26.5%
Q1 - 1:10MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
72.5%
17
27.5%
Q1 - 1:16MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
73.5%
17
26.5%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Davis Reverse Layup22
73.1%
17
26.9%
Q1 - 1:35MILRedd Driving Layup (7 PTS)22
72.1%
17
27.9%
Q1 - 1:54MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
69.7%
17
30.3%
Q1 - 1:54MIALasme Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 2:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
72.1%
15
27.9%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup20
73.3%
15
26.7%
Q1 - 2:30MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)20
72.1%
15
27.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIALasme Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 2:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 2:54MILMISS Mason Driving Layup17
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 3:06MIAQuinn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 3:30MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)17
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 3:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 3:32MILMISS Villanueva 6' Jump Shot15
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 3:43MIAPowell 12' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 4:05MILWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
65.8%
13
34.2%
Q1 - 4:13MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
64.2%
13
35.8%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
63.5%
13
36.5%
Q1 - 4:22MILLasme STEAL (1 STL)13
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)13
64.2%
13
35.8%
Q1 - 5:01MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
62.1%
13
37.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAPowell Dunk (2 PTS) (Barron 2 AST)11
60.2%
13
39.8%
Q1 - 5:36MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
62.0%
11
38.0%
Q1 - 5:37MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 5:48MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
64.2%
11
35.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Powell 20' Jump Shot11
63.5%
11
36.5%
Q1 - 6:09MILQuinn STEAL (1 STL)11
62.0%
11
38.0%
Q1 - 6:31MIABarron 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
64.0%
11
36.0%
Q1 - 6:45MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
65.8%
9
34.2%
Q1 - 6:45MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
65.5%
9
34.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
64.2%
9
35.8%
Q1 - 7:09MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 7:11MILMISS Williams Driving Layup9
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 7:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Blount 7' Jump Shot9
68.7%
6
31.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot9
68.7%
6
31.3%
Q1 - 7:56MILWilliams 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 8:21MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 8:43MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
67.8%
4
32.2%
Q1 - 8:43MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 26
67.5%
4
32.5%
Q1 - 8:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
68.0%
4
32.0%
Q1 - 8:44MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot6
66.7%
4
33.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)6
68.0%
4
32.0%
Q1 - 9:06MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
69.2%
2
30.8%
Q1 - 9:22MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 9:22MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
71.6%
1
28.4%
Q1 - 9:40MILBogut 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 9:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot4
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 10:07MILBogut Tip Shot (4 PTS)4
69.3%
0
30.7%
Q1 - 10:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 10:10MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot2
66.5%
0
33.5%
Q1 - 10:19MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot2
67.3%
0
32.7%
Q1 - 10:38MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 10:39MILMISS Villanueva 5' Jump Shot2
66.5%
0
33.5%
Q1 - 10:48MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Blount 6' Jump Shot2
67.3%
0
32.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot2
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 11:21MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)2
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 11:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Barron 6' Jump Shot0
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Bogut: Tip to Barron0
62.8%
0
37.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.83 41.5%
MIA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
27
52%
MIA
8
18
44%
Midrange
MIL
9
36
25%
MIA
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIL
15
21
71%
MIA
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2455%12.0 / 22
A. Bogut1647%8.0 / 17
M. Williams1547%7.5 / 16
D. Mason528%2.5 / 9
C. Villanueva521%2.5 / 12
M. Ruffin4100%2.0 / 2
J. Yi217%1.0 / 6
R. Sessions250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Quinn2480%12.0 / 15
E. Barron1146%5.5 / 12
J. Anthony1179%5.5 / 7
R. Davis1033%5.0 / 15
D. Cook1038%5.0 / 13
S. Lasme660%3.0 / 5
K. Powell433%2.0 / 6
M. Blount220%1.0 / 5
B. Ahearn0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
66
+22
-19
88
MIA
75
+9
-11
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.83 41.5%
MIA
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
100.2
MIL 85.9
MIA 90.7 +4.8
Pace
91.2
90.5
MIL 89.1 +7.0
MIA 82.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
MIL 16.2 +1.4
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.2%
MIL 38.2%
MIA 40.6% +2.4%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
MIL 19.0%
MIA 12.1% +6.9%
ORB %
30.1%
22.2%
MIL 40.4% +21.8%
MIA 18.6%
FTrt
29.4
30.0
MIL 27.6
MIA 36.2 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
58.5%
MIL 40.7%
MIA 57.7% +17.0%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
MIL 4.7%
MIA 10.5% +5.8%
BLK %
7.2%
7.1%
MIL 3.7%
MIA 12.7% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
50.6%
MIL 41.5%
MIA 46.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%
54.3%
59.2%
MIL 51.9% +7.5%
MIA 44.4%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.8%
MIL 25.0%
MIA 38.9% +13.9%
3P %
34.4%
35.8%
MIL 30.8% +4.1%
MIA 26.7%
FT %
73.3%
72.7%
MIL 71.4%
MIA 88.0% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
30.2%
MIL 35.5% +9.4%
MIA 26.1%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
48.1%
MIL 47.4% +4.8%
MIA 52.2%
3P Att. %
19.5%
21.7%
MIL 17.1%
MIA 21.7% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points7378
Rebounds5436
Assists1115
Steals49
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals27-7626-69
At-the-Rim FG14-278-18
Midrange FG9-3614-36
2-Point FG23-6322-54
3-Point FG4-134-15
Free Throws15-2122-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
45.9
15
47%
2
5
1
0
7
6
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
40.3
16
47%
17
2
1
0
4
4
7
10
4-6
67%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
40.1
24
55%
3
1
2
1
5
2
1
2
5-5
100%
5-11
45%
3-9
33%
F · 6'5" 222 · 30
38.7
5
28%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
3-6
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
26.1
5
21%
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
24.8
2
17%
9
0
0
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 22
6.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
6.0
4
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
#43 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
42%
54
11
4
2
19
0
19
35
15-21
71%
23-63
37%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.