FinalWin Prob.pScore
638%87
88
262%91
109
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
102.38686.7
SAS logo SAS
126.78685.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASVaughn 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUHarris Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS)88
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUWoods 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Head 5 AST)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04HOUHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07SASMISS Stoudamire 9' Jump Bank Shot84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32HOUWoods 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Head 4 AST)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HOUUdoka BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36HOUMISS Woods 7' Jump Shot82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00SASStoudamire 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 5 AST)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14HOUMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27SASParker 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Oberto 4 AST)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Bonner 17' Jump Shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38SASThomas Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38SASThomas Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40HOUThomas STEAL (1 STL)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56SASBowen 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:04HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:11HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:12SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot80
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:34HOUJackson 9' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:46SASParker 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:19HOURockets Rebound76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:19SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46HOULandry 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15HOUMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 174
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:17HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:19HOUOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:04HOUScola 11' Pullup Bank Shot (20 PTS)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 8:17SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)70
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38HOULandry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 3 AST)70
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 8:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:56SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot68
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:08HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:08HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 267
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:08HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:08HOUMISS Jackson 4' Driving Layup67
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:27HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:28SASMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot67
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:39HOULandry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)67
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 9:43SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:03HOUJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)67
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 10:10SASOberto 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)67
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 10:21HOUJackson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Head 2 AST)67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 10:37HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 10:38SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot65
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 10:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 10:47HOUMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot65
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 11:11SASUdoka Foul Turnover (P1.T5)65
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 11:19SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 11:21HOUMISS Scola 14' Jump Shot65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 11:33HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 11:34HOUMISS Battier Layup65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU65
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound65
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Alston 32' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUGinobili BLOCK (2 BLK)65
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot65
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot65
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 1:00HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot65
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 1:29HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)65
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 1:39SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 2:08HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 2:14SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)60
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 2:22SASSPURS Rebound60
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot60
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 2:43HOUMutombo 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 2:43HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 2:45HOUMISS Alston 11' Floating Jump Shot58
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 3:04SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)58
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 3:08SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:10SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup58
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 3:37SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:38HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:47HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 3:48SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot58
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 3:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:57HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot58
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 4:06HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 4:07SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot58
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:10SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 4:11SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot58
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:34HOUMcGrady 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)58
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 4:50SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)56
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 4:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 5:19SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)56
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 5:33SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 5:34HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot56
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 5:55SASOberto 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)56
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 6:07SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 6:08SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot56
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 6:26HOUAlston 1' Layup (13 PTS)56
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 6:32SASParker 13' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)54
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 6:46HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 6:46HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 6:52SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)52
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 7:04SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot52
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 7:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 7:21HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 252
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 7:21HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 252
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 7:41SASParker 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 7:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 7:45SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot52
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 8:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 8:03HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot52
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 8:30SASBowen 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)52
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 8:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 8:52HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot52
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 9:11HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot52
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 9:31HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 9:31HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 251
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 9:44SASOberto 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)51
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 10:08HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 10:08HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 250
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 10:10HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Finley 13' Pullup Bank Shot50
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 10:33SASSPURS Rebound50
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 10:33HOUMISS McGrady Layup50
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 10:47HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Finley 7' Jump Shot50
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 10:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 10:52HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 11:07SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 11:23HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Head 1 AST)50
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 11:40HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 11:42SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot48
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU48
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASVaughn 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)48
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUAlston 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)44
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q2 - 1:03HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q2 - 1:03HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q2 - 1:06HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q2 - 1:08HOUMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot42
5.3%
60
94.7%
Q2 - 1:29SASParker 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q2 - 1:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 1:50HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot42
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 2:07SASFinley 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)42
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 2:25HOUAlston Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)42
8.6%
56
91.4%
Q2 - 2:25HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)41
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 2:25HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)40
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q2 - 2:33HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 2:35HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 2:39HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 2:41HOUMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot39
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 2:51SASDuncan 3' Layup (9 PTS)39
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 3:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q2 - 3:09HOUMISS McGrady Layup39
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q2 - 3:25SASFinley 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)39
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 3:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 3:33HOUMISS Scola 2' Layup39
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q2 - 3:52SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 239
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 3:58SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 3:59HOUMISS McGrady 2' Alley Oop Dunk39
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q2 - 4:09SASFinley 13' Pullup Bank Shot (12 PTS)39
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 4:33HOUJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)39
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 4:48HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q2 - 4:49SASMISS Udoka 1' Tip Shot36
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 4:50SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q2 - 4:51SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot36
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 5:05SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 5:07HOUMISS Battier 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 5:27SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)36
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 5:47HOUBattier 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 6:06HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 6:07HOUMISS Alston Layup34
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 6:14HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot34
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 6:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 6:30HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot34
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 6:55SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 6:55SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 7:09SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 7:10HOUMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot34
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 7:34SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)34
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 7:54HOUHead 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)34
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 8:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 8:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 232
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 8:27SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 8:28HOUMISS Alston 3' Driving Layup32
17.5%
41
82.5%
Q2 - 8:43HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.7%
41
81.3%
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot32
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 9:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 9:07HOUMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot32
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 9:23HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 9:26SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 9:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 9:42HOUMISS McGrady 5' Driving Jump Shot32
17.7%
41
82.3%
Q2 - 9:54HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 9:57SASMISS Thomas 5' Turnaround Jump Shot32
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 10:11HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)32
17.5%
41
82.5%
Q2 - 10:34SASFinley Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)29
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 10:34SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)29
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 10:34SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)29
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 10:52HOUJackson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 11:09HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 11:09HOUBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)27
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 11:09HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Thomas 4' Jump Shot27
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 11:13SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 11:15SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot27
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 11:31HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)27
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 11:46SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)24
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU24
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASThomas 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)24
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 223
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOURockets Rebound23
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)23
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASUdoka 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q1 - 1:07HOUScola 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)23
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q1 - 1:27SASThomas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)21
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q1 - 1:40SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q1 - 1:41HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot21
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 2:06SASOberto 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 2:06SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 2:08SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 221
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q1 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 2:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q1 - 2:21HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot21
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q1 - 2:37SASParker 16' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)21
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 3:00HOUBattier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q1 - 3:14HOURockets Rebound21
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q1 - 3:15SASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot21
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q1 - 3:27HOUMcGrady 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)21
27.9%
24
72.1%
Q1 - 3:44SASGinobili 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot (2 PTS)19
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 3:59SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 4:00HOUMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot19
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q1 - 4:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 4:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 4:22SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 4:23HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot19
32.1%
20
67.9%
Q1 - 4:34HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot19
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 4:56HOUAlston 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 5:18HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 5:20SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot17
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 5:43HOUMcGrady 1' Dunk (2 PTS)17
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 5:57SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS)15
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 5:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup15
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 6:16HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 6:16HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 6:31SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 6:56HOUHead 1' Layup (5 PTS)13
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 7:00SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 7:04HOUBowen STEAL (1 STL)11
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 7:06HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 7:07HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Bank Shot11
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 7:19SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 7:33HOUScola 1' Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)11
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 7:50SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 8:02SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 8:03HOUMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot9
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 8:25SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
31.5%
11
68.5%
Q1 - 8:39HOUAlston Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)9
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 8:44SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 9:00HOUScola 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)9
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)7
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 9:36HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 9:48SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
38.3%
5
61.7%
Q1 - 9:48SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 27
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 10:00HOUScola 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 10:02HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 10:03HOUMISS Alston 1' Layup5
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:10HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 10:12SASMISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot5
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 10:34HOUAlston Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 10:48SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)3
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 10:57SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot3
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:14HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 11:31SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:43SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:44HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mutombo: Tip to Alston0
34.3%
0
65.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.91 45.4%
SAS
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
30
53%
SAS
12
20
60%
Midrange
HOU
13
39
33%
SAS
28
54
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
SAS
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
HOU
18
25
72%
SAS
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola2467%12.0 / 18
T. McGrady1326%6.5 / 25
R. Alston1336%6.5 / 18
L. Head1083%5.0 / 6
B. Jackson945%4.5 / 10
C. Landry660%3.0 / 5
S. Battier542%2.5 / 6
L. Woods467%2.0 / 3
D. Mutombo2100%1.0 / 1
M. Harris2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley2279%11.0 / 14
T. Parker2269%11.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1458%7.0 / 12
T. Duncan1350%6.5 / 13
K. Thomas1056%5.0 / 9
B. Bowen956%4.5 / 8
F. Oberto8100%4.0 / 4
I. Udoka563%2.5 / 4
J. Vaughn425%2.0 / 8
D. Stoudamire250%1.0 / 2
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+15
-6
95
SAS
81
+11
-5
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.91 45.4%
SAS
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
106.5
HOU 102.3
SAS 126.7 +24.4
Pace
90.7
89.5
HOU 86.7 +1.4
SAS 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
HOU 16.6 +0.3
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.4%
HOU 42.7%
SAS 55.4% +12.7%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
HOU 6.1%
SAS 5.1% +1.0%
ORB %
29.1%
23.4%
HOU 27.1% +0.1%
SAS 27.0%
FTrt
27.6
27.6
HOU 30.5 +5.2
SAS 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
HOU 36.4%
SAS 47.7% +11.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.1%
HOU 3.5% +1.2%
SAS 2.3%
BLK %
7.8%
6.5%
HOU 6.8%
SAS 7.2% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
52.8%
HOU 45.4%
SAS 59.2% +13.8%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.6%
HOU 53.3%
SAS 60.0% +6.7%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.4%
HOU 33.3%
SAS 51.9% +18.6%
3P %
34.2%
36.9%
HOU 30.8%
SAS 44.4% +13.6%
FT %
72.6%
76.1%
HOU 72.0%
SAS 81.0% +9.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
30.8%
HOU 36.6% +12.5%
SAS 24.1%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
44.1%
HOU 47.6% +17.5%
SAS 65.1%
3P Att. %
25.5%
25.1%
HOU 15.9% +5.0%
SAS 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points88109
Rebounds4045
Assists1221
Steals32
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals33-8244-83
At-the-Rim FG16-3012-20
Midrange FG13-3928-54
2-Point FG29-6940-74
3-Point FG4-134-9
Free Throws18-2517-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 29
36.8
13
26%
5
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-7
43%
5-20
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 241 · 28
35.2
24
67%
7
0
0
0
0
4
4
3
10-12
83%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
33.0
13
36%
4
1
0
1
2
3
0
4
5-5
100%
4-12
33%
0-4
0%
F · 6'3" 185 · 25
26.5
10
83%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
C · 7'2" 260 · 42
20.8
2
100%
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 30
32.6
5
42%
5
0
0
0
1
5
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 248 · 25
19.1
6
60%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 35
17.9
9
45%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25
8.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 242 · 25
3.2
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 25
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 30
3.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#3 · G · 6'3" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'0" 161 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
45%
40
12
3
5
6
0
13
27
18-25
72%
29-69
42%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.