Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 4, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	15	76ers	45%	95	109
	16	Hawks	55%	97	104

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
PHI	117.2	93	96.7
ATL	114.3	91	87.7

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-10

ATL

+12

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.18 59.2%

ATL

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	ATL
Q4 - 0:00.0	PHI		109 100%	104 0%
Q4 - 0:05.0	ATL	Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS)	109 99.9%	104 0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)	109 99.9%	102 0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)	108 99.8%	102 0.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0	PHI	76ers Rebound	107 99.6%	102 0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	107 99.4%	102 0.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	107 98.5%	102 1.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)	106 98.2%	102 1.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0	ATL	Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Bibby 11 AST)	105 95.6%	102 4.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	105 97.0%	100 3.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0	PHI	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	105 97.7%	100 2.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	105 96.9%	100 3.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)	105 97.2%	99 2.8%
Q4 - 1:02	PHI	Iguodala 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	105 97.8%	98 2.2%
Q4 - 1:21	ATL	Johnson Layup (26 PTS) (Bibby 10 AST)	103 94.9%	98 5.1%
Q4 - 1:31	PHI	Iguodala Running Layup (24 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	103 96.1%	96 3.9%
Q4 - 1:36	ATL	Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)	101 93.7%	96 6.3%
Q4 - 1:44	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	101 88.8%	96 11.2%
Q4 - 1:44	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	100 87.7%	96 12.3%
Q4 - 1:59	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)	99 83.3%	96 16.7%
Q4 - 2:13	PHI	Williams Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)	99 91.4%	93 8.6%
Q4 - 2:32	ATL	Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)	99 95.5%	93 4.5%
Q4 - 2:50	PHI	Miller 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	99 96.3%	91 3.7%
Q4 - 2:55	PHI	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	97 93.8%	91 6.2%
Q4 - 2:57	ATL	MISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot	97 92.7%	91 7.3%
Q4 - 3:13	PHI	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	97 89.5%	91 10.5%
Q4 - 3:13	PHI	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	96 88.7%	91 11.3%
Q4 - 3:17	PHI	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	95 86.9%	91 13.1%
Q4 - 3:19	ATL	MISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	95 84.7%	91 15.3%
Q4 - 3:36	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	95 75.5%	91 24.5%
Q4 - 3:36	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	94 74.1%	91 25.9%
Q4 - 3:53	ATL	Childress Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	93 68.9%	91 31.1%
Q4 - 3:53	ATL	MISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 2	93 70.3%	90 29.7%
Q4 - 4:12	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	93 68.7%	90 31.3%
Q4 - 4:13	PHI	MISS Carney 27' 3PT Jump Shot	93 71.3%	90 28.7%
Q4 - 4:25	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	93 76.7%	90 23.3%
Q4 - 4:26	PHI	MISS Miller 14' Jump Shot	93 71.4%	90 28.6%
Q4 - 4:33	PHI	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	93 76.7%	90 23.3%
Q4 - 4:34	ATL	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	93 74.5%	90 25.5%
Q4 - 5:00	PHI	Miller 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	93 68.9%	90 31.1%
Q4 - 5:23	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	91 58.7%	90 41.3%
Q4 - 5:23	ATL	Childress Putback Dunk (19 PTS)	91 58.7%	90 41.3%
Q4 - 5:25	ATL	MISS Johnson Driving Layup	91 71.4%	88 28.6%
Q4 - 5:48	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	91 66.3%	88 33.7%
Q4 - 5:48	PHI	MISS Williams Free Throw Technical	90 66.6%	88 33.4%
Q4 - 5:52	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	88 50.4%	88 49.6%
Q4 - 5:54	ATL	MISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot	88 47.7%	88 52.3%
Q4 - 6:00	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	88 41.7%	88 58.3%
Q4 - 6:02	PHI	MISS Iguodala 28' 3PT Jump Shot	88 44.0%	88 56.0%
Q4 - 6:26	ATL	Childress Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)	88 50.0%	88 50.0%
Q4 - 6:40	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	88 56.5%	86 43.5%
Q4 - 6:42	PHI	MISS Dalembert 17' Jump Shot	88 59.1%	86 40.9%
Q4 - 7:09	ATL	Johnson 4' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)	88 63.2%	86 36.8%
Q4 - 7:20	PHI	Carney 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 10 AST)	88 68.7%	84 31.3%
Q4 - 7:34	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	85 56.7%	84 43.3%
Q4 - 7:34	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	85 57.8%	83 42.2%
Q4 - 7:56	PHI	Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	85 55.8%	83 44.2%
Q4 - 7:56	PHI	Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	84 54.2%	83 45.8%
Q4 - 8:14	ATL	Smith Putback Layup (12 PTS)	83 48.9%	83 51.1%
Q4 - 8:14	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	83 55.2%	81 44.8%
Q4 - 8:14	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	83 55.2%	81 44.8%
Q4 - 8:14	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	83 59.6%	81 40.4%
Q4 - 8:16	ATL	MISS Bibby Layup	83 59.6%	81 40.4%
Q4 - 8:31	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	83 55.2%	81 44.8%
Q4 - 8:33	PHI	MISS Williams 18' Fadeaway Jumper	83 57.2%	81 42.8%
Q4 - 8:59	ATL	Childress 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	83 61.6%	81 38.4%
Q4 - 9:10	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	83 65.9%	79 34.1%
Q4 - 9:10	PHI	MISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot	83 67.7%	79 32.3%
Q4 - 9:31	PHI	76ers Rebound	83 71.4%	79 28.6%
Q4 - 9:33	ATL	MISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot	83 69.8%	79 30.2%
Q4 - 9:39	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	83 66.0%	79 34.0%
Q4 - 9:40	PHI	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	83 67.7%	79 32.3%
Q4 - 10:00	ATL	Smith Putback Layup (10 PTS)	83 71.4%	79 28.6%
Q4 - 10:01	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	83 74.2%	77 25.8%
Q4 - 10:02	ATL	MISS Smith 8' Jump Shot	83 77.3%	77 22.7%
Q4 - 10:22	PHI	Williams Running Layup (9 PTS) (Young 2 AST)	83 74.3%	77 25.7%
Q4 - 10:27	ATL	Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)	81 70.1%	77 29.9%
Q4 - 10:53	PHI	Miller 11' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Iguodala 9 AST)	81 64.7%	77 35.3%
Q4 - 11:16	ATL	Childress 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)	79 58.8%	77 41.2%
Q4 - 11:41	PHI	Miller Putback Layup (15 PTS)	79 68.6%	74 31.4%
Q4 - 11:44	PHI	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	77 64.0%	74 36.0%
Q4 - 11:46	PHI	MISS Iguodala 17' Turnaround Jump Shot	77 60.3%	74 39.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL		77 64.0%	74 36.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHI	Iguodala 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)	77 58.6%	74 41.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0	ATL	Childress Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	74 47.9%	74 52.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0	PHI	Miller 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)	74 58.1%	71 41.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	72 53.0%	71 47.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0	PHI	MISS Miller Running Layup	72 49.5%	71 50.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0	ATL	Pachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	72 53.0%	71 47.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	72 47.9%	71 52.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0	ATL	MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot	72 51.5%	71 48.5%
Q3 - 1:05	PHI	Miller Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	72 47.6%	71 52.4%
Q3 - 1:22	ATL	Horford 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Law 2 AST)	72 52.7%	71 47.3%
Q3 - 1:53	PHI	Dalembert Dunk (13 PTS)	72 57.4%	69 42.6%
Q3 - 2:18	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	70 51.9%	69 48.1%
Q3 - 2:18	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	70 52.6%	68 47.4%
Q3 - 2:30	PHI	Young 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Iguodala 8 AST)	70 56.2%	67 43.8%
Q3 - 2:45	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	68 52.0%	67 48.0%
Q3 - 2:49	ATL	MISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot	68 50.4%	67 49.6%
Q3 - 3:09	PHI	Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	68 47.0%	67 53.0%
Q3 - 3:22	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	65 38.5%	67 61.5%
Q3 - 3:22	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	65 39.1%	66 60.9%
Q3 - 3:25	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	65 42.5%	65 57.5%
Q3 - 3:26	PHI	Childress BLOCK (2 BLK)	65 44.0%	65 56.0%
Q3 - 3:32	PHI	76ers Rebound	65 47.2%	65 52.8%
Q3 - 3:33	PHI	MISS Miller 7' Jump Shot	65 44.0%	65 56.0%
Q3 - 3:59	ATL	Law Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	65 47.2%	65 52.8%
Q3 - 4:12	PHI	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	65 50.7%	63 49.3%
Q3 - 4:12	PHI	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	64 49.9%	63 50.1%
Q3 - 4:31	ATL	Williams 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)	63 47.1%	63 52.9%
Q3 - 4:46	PHI	Young 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)	63 50.8%	61 49.2%
Q3 - 5:07	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	61 46.8%	61 53.2%
Q3 - 5:07	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1	61 46.2%	61 53.8%
Q3 - 5:09	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	61 50.7%	59 49.3%
Q3 - 5:11	PHI	MISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot	61 52.1%	59 47.9%
Q3 - 5:37	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	61 55.2%	59 44.8%
Q3 - 5:39	ATL	MISS Smith 7' Jump Shot	61 53.8%	59 46.2%
Q3 - 5:56	PHI	Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	61 50.7%	59 49.3%
Q3 - 5:56	PHI	MISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2	60 49.8%	59 50.2%
Q3 - 5:58	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	60 51.0%	59 49.0%
Q3 - 6:01	ATL	MISS Horford 8' Jump Shot	60 49.2%	59 50.8%
Q3 - 6:17	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	60 46.3%	59 53.7%
Q3 - 6:18	PHI	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	60 47.6%	59 52.4%
Q3 - 6:41	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	60 50.6%	59 49.4%
Q3 - 6:41	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	60 51.2%	58 48.8%
Q3 - 7:04	PHI	Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)	60 49.5%	58 50.5%
Q3 - 7:24	ATL	Johnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)	57 42.4%	58 57.6%
Q3 - 7:49	PHI	Young 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)	57 49.6%	55 50.4%
Q3 - 8:06	ATL	Johnson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)	55 46.3%	55 53.7%
Q3 - 8:18	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	55 49.6%	53 50.4%
Q3 - 8:19	PHI	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	55 50.9%	53 49.1%
Q3 - 8:41	ATL	Johnson 6' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)	55 53.9%	53 46.1%
Q3 - 8:56	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	55 57.1%	51 42.9%
Q3 - 8:58	PHI	MISS Green 7' Turnaround Hook Shot	55 58.4%	51 41.6%
Q3 - 9:16	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	55 60.2%	51 39.8%
Q3 - 9:16	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	55 60.8%	50 39.2%
Q3 - 9:25	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	55 60.2%	50 39.8%
Q3 - 9:27	PHI	MISS Iguodala 18' Turnaround Jump Shot	55 61.3%	50 38.7%
Q3 - 9:45	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	55 63.8%	50 36.2%
Q3 - 10:13	PHI	Green Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	55 59.5%	50 40.5%
Q3 - 10:28	ATL	Williams Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	53 56.4%	50 43.6%
Q3 - 10:37	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	53 59.5%	48 40.5%
Q3 - 10:39	PHI	MISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot	53 60.7%	48 39.3%
Q3 - 11:01	ATL	Williams 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)	53 62.6%	48 37.4%
Q3 - 11:23	PHI	Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	53 65.7%	46 34.3%
Q3 - 11:23	PHI	Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	52 65.0%	46 35.0%
Q3 - 11:33	PHI	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	51 62.6%	46 37.4%
Q3 - 11:34	ATL	MISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot	51 61.6%	46 38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		51 59.2%	46 40.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	51 59.2%	46 40.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	PHI	MISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2	50 58.5%	46 41.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	50 58.3%	46 41.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0	ATL	Smith Putback Dunk (8 PTS)	50 58.3%	46 41.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0	ATL	MISS Childress Layup	50 63.9%	44 36.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0	PHI	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	50 62.4%	44 37.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	50 64.6%	44 35.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0	PHI	Horford BLOCK (2 BLK)	50 63.1%	44 36.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0	ATL	Childress Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	50 64.6%	44 35.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0	ATL	Childress Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	50 65.1%	43 34.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0	PHI	Green 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	50 68.4%	42 31.6%
Q2 - 1:05	PHI	76ers Rebound	48 63.7%	42 36.3%
Q2 - 1:06	ATL	MISS Bibby Driving Layup	48 63.3%	42 36.7%
Q2 - 1:13	PHI	Smith STEAL (1 STL)	48 62.2%	42 37.8%
Q2 - 1:15	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	48 63.7%	42 36.3%
Q2 - 1:16	PHI	MISS Miller 17' Jump Shot	48 62.7%	42 37.3%
Q2 - 1:36	ATL	Childress 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	48 63.8%	42 36.2%
Q2 - 1:54	PHI	Evans Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)	48 70.8%	39 29.2%
Q2 - 1:58	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	48 72.2%	39 27.8%
Q2 - 2:00	ATL	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	48 71.8%	39 28.2%
Q2 - 2:18	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	48 69.4%	39 30.6%
Q2 - 2:20	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	48 71.8%	39 28.2%
Q2 - 2:22	ATL	MISS Smith 8' Jump Shot	48 71.1%	39 28.9%
Q2 - 2:43	PHI	Williams Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	48 69.5%	39 30.5%
Q2 - 2:46	PHI	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	46 66.5%	39 33.5%
Q2 - 2:48	ATL	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	46 65.8%	39 34.2%
Q2 - 3:05	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	46 62.7%	39 37.3%
Q2 - 3:06	PHI	MISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot	46 63.6%	39 36.4%
Q2 - 3:18	ATL	Williams 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)	46 65.8%	39 34.2%
Q2 - 3:37	PHI	Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	46 68.2%	37 31.8%
Q2 - 3:53	ATL	Horford 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	43 63.1%	37 36.9%
Q2 - 4:16	PHI	Iguodala 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	43 64.8%	35 35.2%
Q2 - 4:33	ATL	Smith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)	41 62.1%	35 37.9%
Q2 - 4:58	PHI	Evans Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)	41 64.8%	33 35.2%
Q2 - 5:25	ATL	Smith Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	41 67.0%	33 33.0%
Q2 - 5:30	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	41 69.3%	31 30.7%
Q2 - 5:32	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	41 71.1%	31 28.9%
Q2 - 5:49	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 69.3%	31 30.7%
Q2 - 5:52	PHI	MISS Carney 21' Jump Shot	41 70.1%	31 29.9%
Q2 - 6:07	PHI	Carney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 71.3%	31 28.7%
Q2 - 6:08	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	41 70.5%	31 29.5%
Q2 - 6:15	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	41 68.5%	31 31.5%
Q2 - 6:16	PHI	MISS Dalembert 19' Jump Shot	41 69.4%	31 30.6%
Q2 - 6:36	ATL	Pachulia Dunk (6 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)	41 71.3%	31 28.7%
Q2 - 6:39	PHI	Childress STEAL (1 STL)	41 73.1%	29 26.9%
Q2 - 6:41	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	41 75.6%	29 24.4%
Q2 - 6:52	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	41 73.1%	29 26.9%
Q2 - 6:54	PHI	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	41 73.9%	29 26.1%
Q2 - 7:00	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 75.7%	29 24.3%
Q2 - 7:02	ATL	MISS Smith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	41 73.7%	29 26.3%
Q2 - 7:15	PHI	Bibby STEAL (1 STL)	41 72.2%	29 27.8%
Q2 - 7:19	ATL	Pachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	41 74.4%	29 25.6%
Q2 - 7:33	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 72.3%	29 27.7%
Q2 - 7:34	PHI	MISS Evans 17' Jump Shot	41 73.0%	29 27.0%
Q2 - 8:01	ATL	Pachulia 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	41 74.0%	29 26.0%
Q2 - 8:22	PHI	Young 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)	41 75.7%	27 24.3%
Q2 - 8:31	PHI	76ers Rebound	39 74.0%	27 26.0%
Q2 - 8:31	PHI	Childress BLOCK (1 BLK)	39 72.4%	27 27.6%
Q2 - 8:36	ATL	Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	39 74.0%	27 26.0%
Q2 - 8:41	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	39 71.6%	27 28.4%
Q2 - 8:41	PHI	MISS Williams 9' Jump Shot	39 72.4%	27 27.6%
Q2 - 8:55	ATL	Childress Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	39 74.0%	27 26.0%
Q2 - 9:04	PHI	Carney Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	39 74.9%	25 25.1%
Q2 - 9:04	PHI	Carney Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	38 74.3%	25 25.7%
Q2 - 9:08	PHI	Carney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 73.1%	25 26.9%
Q2 - 9:09	ATL	MISS Williams 4' Jump Shot	37 72.5%	25 27.5%
Q2 - 9:32	PHI	Iguodala Running Dunk (9 PTS)	37 70.9%	25 29.1%
Q2 - 9:36	ATL	Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	35 69.1%	25 30.9%
Q2 - 9:54	PHI	Williams Driving Layup (5 PTS)	35 66.6%	25 33.4%
Q2 - 10:06	ATL	Pachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)	33 64.2%	25 35.8%
Q2 - 10:23	PHI	Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	33 66.2%	23 33.8%
Q2 - 10:26	PHI	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 61.9%	23 38.1%
Q2 - 10:27	ATL	MISS Law 11' Jump Shot	30 61.1%	23 38.9%
Q2 - 10:44	PHI	Young Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	30 59.2%	23 40.8%
Q2 - 11:04	ATL	Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	28 56.3%	23 43.7%
Q2 - 11:14	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 58.8%	21 41.2%
Q2 - 11:16	PHI	MISS Evans Layup	28 59.5%	21 40.5%
Q2 - 11:36	ATL	Johnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)	28 61.1%	21 38.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHI		28 63.4%	19 36.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	28 65.7%	19 34.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Law 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28 64.2%	19 35.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0	PHI	Miller Driving Layup (6 PTS)	28 63.1%	19 36.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 60.3%	19 39.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0	ATL	MISS Horford 3' Jump Shot	26 59.8%	19 40.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0	PHI	Miller 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	26 58.6%	19 41.4%
Q1 - 1:01	ATL	Williams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	24 55.7%	19 44.3%
Q1 - 1:21	PHI	Dalembert Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)	24 58.5%	17 41.5%
Q1 - 1:40	ATL	Williams 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	22 55.6%	17 44.4%
Q1 - 1:53	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 58.5%	15 41.5%
Q1 - 1:55	PHI	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	22 59.0%	15 41.0%
Q1 - 2:09	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	22 60.4%	15 39.6%
Q1 - 2:09	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 60.8%	14 39.2%
Q1 - 2:14	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	22 62.8%	13 37.2%
Q1 - 2:17	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper	22 64.2%	13 35.8%
Q1 - 2:34	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	22 62.8%	13 37.2%
Q1 - 2:34	ATL	MISS Childress 8' Jump Shot	22 64.2%	13 35.8%
Q1 - 2:38	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	22 62.8%	13 37.2%
Q1 - 2:40	PHI	MISS Green Driving Layup	22 63.4%	13 36.6%
Q1 - 2:58	ATL	Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	22 64.8%	13 35.2%
Q1 - 3:03	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 61.7%	13 38.3%
Q1 - 3:07	PHI	Smith BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 62.4%	13 37.6%
Q1 - 3:12	PHI	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 64.1%	13 35.9%
Q1 - 3:13	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	22 63.3%	13 36.7%
Q1 - 3:23	PHI	Miller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	22 61.7%	13 38.3%
Q1 - 3:23	ATL	Childress Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	22 64.1%	13 35.9%
Q1 - 3:33	PHI	Dalembert 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	22 61.8%	13 38.2%
Q1 - 3:56	ATL	Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	20 59.9%	13 40.1%
Q1 - 4:00	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	20 63.9%	10 36.1%
Q1 - 4:02	ATL	MISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	20 64.9%	10 35.1%
Q1 - 4:11	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	20 63.2%	10 36.8%
Q1 - 4:13	PHI	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	20 64.0%	10 36.0%
Q1 - 4:23	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	20 65.7%	10 34.3%
Q1 - 4:24	ATL	MISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot	20 65.0%	10 35.0%
Q1 - 4:52	PHI	Green Running Layup (5 PTS)	20 63.2%	10 36.8%
Q1 - 4:56	ATL	Childress Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	18 61.6%	10 38.4%
Q1 - 4:59	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 59.1%	10 40.9%
Q1 - 5:00	ATL	MISS Horford 6' Jump Shot	18 60.8%	10 39.2%
Q1 - 5:15	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	18 58.2%	10 41.8%
Q1 - 5:19	PHI	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 54.3%	10 45.7%
Q1 - 5:20	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	15 53.6%	10 46.4%
Q1 - 5:39	PHI	76ers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)	15 52.0%	10 48.0%
Q1 - 5:39	PHI	76ers Rebound	15 54.4%	10 45.6%
Q1 - 5:40	PHI	Horford BLOCK (1 BLK)	15 52.7%	10 47.3%
Q1 - 6:08	ATL	Horford Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	15 53.6%	10 46.4%
Q1 - 6:18	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	15 55.5%	8 44.5%
Q1 - 6:19	PHI	MISS Green 14' Jump Shot	15 56.2%	8 43.8%
Q1 - 6:27	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 57.6%	8 42.4%
Q1 - 6:28	ATL	MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot	15 57.0%	8 43.0%
Q1 - 6:48	PHI	Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	15 55.6%	8 44.4%
Q1 - 6:57	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 51.6%	8 48.4%
Q1 - 6:58	ATL	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	12 51.0%	8 49.0%
Q1 - 7:15	PHI	Dalembert 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)	12 48.9%	8 51.1%
Q1 - 7:35	ATL	Smith 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	10 47.3%	8 52.7%
Q1 - 7:48	PHI	Miller 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 49.0%	6 51.0%
Q1 - 7:57	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 47.3%	6 52.7%
Q1 - 7:59	ATL	MISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot	8 46.6%	6 53.4%
Q1 - 8:15	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 45.3%	6 54.7%
Q1 - 8:16	PHI	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	8 45.9%	6 54.1%
Q1 - 8:39	ATL	Smith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)	8 47.4%	6 52.6%
Q1 - 8:55	PHI	Iguodala Running Dunk (4 PTS)	8 45.3%	6 54.7%
Q1 - 8:58	ATL	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	6 43.6%	6 56.4%
Q1 - 9:17	PHI	Dalembert Dunk (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)	6 41.2%	6 58.8%
Q1 - 9:35	ATL	Horford Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	4 39.9%	6 60.1%
Q1 - 9:53	PHI	Young 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)	4 41.3%	4 58.7%
Q1 - 10:11	ATL	Horford Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	2 39.7%	4 60.3%
Q1 - 10:24	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 41.3%	2 58.7%
Q1 - 10:25	PHI	MISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 41.9%	2 58.1%
Q1 - 10:44	ATL	Williams 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	2 43.4%	2 56.6%
Q1 - 10:58	PHI	Iguodala Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	2 45.0%	0 55.0%
Q1 - 11:15	PHI	76ers Rebound	0 43.1%	0 56.9%
Q1 - 11:15	ATL	MISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot	0 42.6%	0 57.4%
Q1 - 11:18	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	0 41.5%	0 58.5%
Q1 - 11:20	ATL	MISS Johnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper	0 42.6%	0 57.4%
Q1 - 11:45	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 41.5%	0 58.5%
Q1 - 11:46	PHI	MISS Green 19' Jump Shot	0 42.0%	0 58.0%
Q1 - 12:00	ATL	Jump Ball Smith vs. Dalembert: Tip to Miller	0 43.2%	0 56.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.18 59.2%

ATL

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

74%

ATL

69%

Midrange

PHI

41%

ATL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

6.0

33%

50%

ATL

6.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

PHI

89%

ATL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Iguodala	30	75%	15.0 / 20
A. Miller	23	50%	11.5 / 23
S. Dalembert	15	68%	7.5 / 11
W. Green	15	58%	7.5 / 13
T. Young	12	86%	6.0 / 7
L. Williams	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Carney	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Evans	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	32	67%	16.0 / 24
J. Childress	20	83%	10.0 / 12
M. Williams	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Smith	12	43%	6.0 / 14
A. Horford	10	63%	5.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Bibby	3	14%	1.5 / 11
A. Law	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-10

ATL

+12

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.18 59.2%

ATL

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.4 106.6	PHI 117.2 +2.9 ATL 114.3
Pace	90.6 91.4	PHI 96.7 +9.0 ATL 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time	15.5 15.6	PHI 14.9 +1.5 ATL 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.2% 48.3%	PHI 53.8% ATL 54.3% +0.5%
TO %	14.9% 15.5%	PHI 10.9% +1.7% ATL 12.6%
ORB %	32.0% 29.8%	PHI 15.6% ATL 33.3% +17.7%
FTrt	32.1 34.0	PHI 35.9 +10.0 ATL 25.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	54.7% 60.6%	PHI 55.0% ATL 78.6% +23.6%
STL %	9.6% 7.9%	PHI 11.8% +7.4% ATL 4.4%
BLK %	8.1% 8.4%	PHI 5.9% ATL 7.6% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.7% 52.0%	PHI 59.2% +3.3% ATL 55.9%
Rim FG%	59.4% 58.6%	PHI 74.1% +4.9% ATL 69.2%
Mid FG%	39.3% 38.5%	PHI 41.0% ATL 47.6% +6.6%
3P %	31.7% 35.6%	PHI 33.3% +2.5% ATL 30.8%
FT %	70.6% 77.2%	PHI 89.3% +13.1% ATL 76.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	38.5% 36.9%	PHI 34.6% +2.5% ATL 32.1%
Mid Att. %	47.1% 46.7%	PHI 50.0% +1.9% ATL 51.9%
3P Att. %	14.3% 16.5%	PHI 15.4% ATL 16.0% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Game Totals	PHI	ATL
Possessions	93	91
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	109	104
Rebounds	29	39
Assists	22	33
Steals	11	4
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (4)	27 (2)
Field Goals	40-78	42-81
At-the-Rim FG	20-27	18-26
Midrange FG	16-39	20-42
2-Point FG	36-66	38-68
3-Point FG	4-12	4-13
Free Throws	25-28	16-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Iguodala F · 6'6" 215 · 24	44.9	30	75%	3	10	1	1	1	5	0	3	11-12	92%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 28	42.6	15	68%	10	0	0	2	2	2	4	6	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 20	40.6	12	86%	5	2	3	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 32	39.7	23	50%	5	6	2	0	2	4	1	4	5-5	100%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 27	20.6	15	58%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 21	26.0	9	50%	1	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Rodney Carney F · 6'7" 205 · 24	14.7	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Reggie Evans C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28	8.3	0	0%	0	0	3	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Ollie G · 6'2" 195 · 35
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 32
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 25
Shavlik Randolph #42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Herbert Hill #35 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	29	22	11	4	10	0	5	24	25-28	89%	36-66	55%	4-12	33%

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15 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Iguodala F · 6'6" 215 · 24	44.9	30	75%	3	10	1	1	1	5	0	3	11-12	92%	8-10	80%	1-5	20%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 28	42.6	15	68%	10	0	0	2	2	2	4	6	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 20	40.6	12	86%	5	2	3	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 32	39.7	23	50%	5	6	2	0	2	4	1	4	5-5	100%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 27	20.6	15	58%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 21	26.0	9	50%	1	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Rodney Carney F · 6'7" 205 · 24	14.7	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Reggie Evans C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28	8.3	0	0%	0	0	3	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Ollie G · 6'2" 195 · 35
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 32
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 25
Shavlik Randolph #42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Herbert Hill #35 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	29	22	11	4	10	0	5	24	25-28	89%	36-66	55%	4-12	33%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 30	39.8	3	14%	3	11	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-7	0%	1-4	25%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 22	39.2	12	43%	8	5	1	1	2	5	4	4	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 22	38.6	19	73%	6	2	1	0	2	1	1	5	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 27	34.7	32	67%	6	8	0	0	4	5	0	6	7-10	70%	11-17	65%	1-3	33%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 22	31.5	10	63%	7	3	0	2	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25	31.8	20	83%	4	2	1	2	2	0	2	2	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 24	17.1	6	60%	5	0	0	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 23	7.2	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 25
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 24
Jeremy Richardson G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	56%	39	33	4	5	12	0	12	27	16-21	76%	38-68	56%	4-13	31%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE