FinalWin Prob.pScore
305%80
62
195%101
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
73.88483.1
BOS logo BOS
103.58586.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS62
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAPowell 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot60
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Powell 3 AST)60
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 1:06BOSAllen 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 1:27BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Quinn 6' Jump Shot57
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 1:49BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)57
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 1:52BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIALasme Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45BOSPosey 2' Layup (7 PTS) (House 1 AST)55
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAPosey STEAL (4 STL)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAAhearn Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHeat Rebound55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Ahearn 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Ahearn 11' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Lasme 19' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21BOSMISS Powe Tip Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57BOSPowe Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23BOSMISS Powe 5' Hook Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIADavis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Quinn 8 AST)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52MIAHeat Rebound53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55BOSMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36MIAPosey STEAL (3 STL)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41BOSMISS Powe 18' Jump Shot51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39BOSBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAhearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)51
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18BOSPowe Putback Layup (15 PTS)48
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:19BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 10:21BOSMISS Brown 1' Layup48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 10:36MIAAhearn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Ahearn 20' Jump Shot48
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27BOSCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q4 - 11:27BOSCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
0.2%
69
99.8%
Q4 - 11:28BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 11:29BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 11:31MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q4 - 11:42BOSPowe Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Cassell 39' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)48
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSPosey 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)48
0.3%
68
99.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAPosey STEAL (2 STL)48
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0BOSMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot48
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 1:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 1:06BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 1:36MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 1:37BOSMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 1:44BOSCELTICS Rebound44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 1:45BOSMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 1:55BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Ahearn 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 2:18BOSBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T12)44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 2:22BOSCELTICS Rebound44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 2:23BOSMISS Allen 1' Putback Layup44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 2:25BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 2:25BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.3%
66
99.7%
Q3 - 2:47MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 2:47MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 3:00BOSCassell 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)42
0.2%
66
99.8%
Q3 - 3:16BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)42
0.3%
64
99.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)42
0.3%
64
99.7%
Q3 - 3:34BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)42
0.3%
64
99.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
0.3%
64
99.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
0.2%
64
99.8%
Q3 - 3:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
0.2%
64
99.8%
Q3 - 3:58BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup40
0.2%
64
99.8%
Q3 - 4:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
0.2%
64
99.8%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot40
0.2%
64
99.8%
Q3 - 4:36BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
0.2%
64
99.8%
Q3 - 4:56BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
0.3%
61
99.7%
Q3 - 4:58BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
0.4%
61
99.6%
Q3 - 5:17BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
0.4%
61
99.6%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot40
0.4%
61
99.6%
Q3 - 5:34BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
0.4%
61
99.6%
Q3 - 5:34BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
0.5%
60
99.5%
Q3 - 5:55BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
0.5%
59
99.5%
Q3 - 5:57BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 240
0.6%
59
99.4%
Q3 - 5:57BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 240
0.5%
59
99.5%
Q3 - 6:02MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)40
0.6%
59
99.4%
Q3 - 6:19BOSPerkins 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)40
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 6:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot40
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 6:48MIAHeat Rebound40
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q3 - 6:50BOSMISS Rondo 6' Jump Shot40
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q3 - 7:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 7:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
0.7%
57
99.3%
Q3 - 7:28BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
0.7%
57
99.3%
Q3 - 7:43MIABarron 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)38
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 7:44MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
0.5%
57
99.5%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Blount 1' Layup36
0.5%
57
99.5%
Q3 - 8:04BOSRondo 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)36
0.6%
57
99.4%
Q3 - 8:20BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:26MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
0.8%
55
99.2%
Q3 - 8:27BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:28BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
0.6%
55
99.4%
Q3 - 8:29BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
0.6%
55
99.4%
Q3 - 8:32BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:37BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
0.6%
55
99.4%
Q3 - 8:38MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)36
0.7%
55
99.3%
Q3 - 8:59BOSRondo 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)36
0.8%
55
99.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIAPowell 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)36
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q3 - 9:38BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)34
0.8%
53
99.2%
Q3 - 9:54MIABlount 21' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)34
1.0%
50
99.0%
Q3 - 10:13MIAHeat Rebound32
0.9%
50
99.1%
Q3 - 10:14BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
0.9%
50
99.1%
Q3 - 10:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
0.8%
50
99.2%
Q3 - 10:20BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot32
0.9%
50
99.1%
Q3 - 10:56MIABlount 21' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)32
0.8%
50
99.2%
Q3 - 11:14MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
0.7%
50
99.3%
Q3 - 11:15BOSMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot30
0.7%
50
99.3%
Q3 - 11:40MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)30
0.6%
50
99.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS30
0.7%
50
99.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound30
0.6%
50
99.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Garnett 40' 3PT Jump Shot30
0.7%
50
99.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)30
0.7%
50
99.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)30
0.8%
50
99.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)30
0.7%
50
99.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
0.8%
50
99.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
0.8%
49
99.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)30
0.9%
48
99.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
1.1%
48
98.9%
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
1.0%
48
99.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAQuinn 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
1.0%
48
99.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
0.8%
48
99.2%
Q2 - 1:46BOSMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot28
0.8%
48
99.2%
Q2 - 2:11MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)28
0.8%
48
99.2%
Q2 - 2:19BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)25
0.6%
48
99.4%
Q2 - 2:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
0.6%
48
99.4%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot25
0.6%
48
99.4%
Q2 - 2:56BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)25
0.6%
48
99.4%
Q2 - 3:05BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
0.8%
46
99.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot25
0.8%
46
99.2%
Q2 - 3:29BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
0.9%
46
99.1%
Q2 - 3:29BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
0.9%
45
99.1%
Q2 - 3:40MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)25
1.0%
44
99.0%
Q2 - 3:59BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
0.9%
44
99.1%
Q2 - 3:59BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
0.9%
43
99.1%
Q2 - 4:08MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
1.0%
42
99.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 222
1.0%
42
99.0%
Q2 - 4:16BOSPowe Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)22
1.0%
42
99.0%
Q2 - 4:19BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)22
0.9%
42
99.1%
Q2 - 4:21BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup22
1.0%
42
99.0%
Q2 - 4:33BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
0.9%
42
99.1%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Powell 14' Jump Shot22
0.9%
42
99.1%
Q2 - 4:53BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
1.0%
42
99.0%
Q2 - 4:53BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
1.0%
41
99.0%
Q2 - 5:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
1.1%
40
98.9%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot22
1.2%
40
98.8%
Q2 - 5:19MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
1.3%
40
98.7%
Q2 - 5:21BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
1.2%
40
98.8%
Q2 - 5:42MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
1.1%
40
98.9%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
1.1%
40
98.9%
Q2 - 5:59BOSCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)21
1.1%
40
98.9%
Q2 - 6:03BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
1.5%
37
98.5%
Q2 - 6:04BOSMISS House 20' Jump Shot21
1.6%
37
98.4%
Q2 - 6:29MIAAl. Johnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)21
1.5%
37
98.5%
Q2 - 6:48BOSCassell 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)19
1.3%
37
98.7%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHouse STEAL (1 STL)19
1.5%
35
98.5%
Q2 - 7:10BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
1.8%
35
98.2%
Q2 - 7:10BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 219
1.8%
34
98.2%
Q2 - 7:21BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
1.7%
34
98.3%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
1.8%
34
98.2%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
1.9%
34
98.1%
Q2 - 7:37BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 119
1.9%
34
98.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIAPowell Foul Turnover (P1.T7)19
2.1%
32
97.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
2.4%
32
97.6%
Q2 - 7:59BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
2.3%
32
97.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
2.2%
32
97.8%
Q2 - 8:16MIAPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
2.1%
32
97.9%
Q2 - 8:28MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
2.0%
32
98.0%
Q2 - 8:29BOSMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot17
1.9%
32
98.1%
Q2 - 8:34BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
1.8%
32
98.2%
Q2 - 8:35BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
1.9%
32
98.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
1.8%
32
98.2%
Q2 - 8:57MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
1.7%
32
98.3%
Q2 - 9:12BOSPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)15
1.7%
32
98.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)15
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q2 - 9:25MIAHeat Rebound15
1.6%
32
98.4%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
1.6%
32
98.4%
Q2 - 9:48BOSMISS Powe 19' Jump Shot15
1.6%
32
98.4%
Q2 - 10:06BOSCELTICS Rebound15
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Ahearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
1.6%
32
98.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
1.7%
32
98.3%
Q2 - 10:16BOSMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
1.7%
32
98.3%
Q2 - 10:23MIAPosey STEAL (1 STL)15
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q2 - 10:40BOSHouse Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)15
1.7%
32
98.3%
Q2 - 10:50MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q2 - 10:50MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
1.5%
32
98.5%
Q2 - 11:04MIAHeat Rebound13
1.4%
32
98.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Al. Johnson 18' Jump Shot13
1.3%
32
98.7%
Q2 - 11:29BOSDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
1.4%
32
98.6%
Q2 - 11:47BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
1.3%
32
98.7%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Quinn 3' Jump Shot13
1.3%
32
98.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS13
1.4%
32
98.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
1.3%
32
98.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
1.3%
32
98.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0BOSDavis 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)11
1.2%
32
98.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
1.3%
30
98.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0BOSMISS Posey 2' Reverse Layup11
1.4%
30
98.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
1.3%
30
98.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 211
1.3%
30
98.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
1.4%
30
98.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0BOSPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)10
1.3%
30
98.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
1.6%
27
98.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSMISS Cassell 22' Jump Shot10
1.7%
27
98.3%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAhearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)10
1.6%
27
98.4%
Q1 - 1:09BOSPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
1.3%
27
98.7%
Q1 - 1:31MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
1.2%
27
98.8%
Q1 - 1:44BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)4
1.0%
27
99.0%
Q1 - 1:56BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
1.1%
25
98.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot4
1.1%
25
98.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
1.2%
25
98.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Ahearn 3PT Jump Shot4
1.1%
25
98.9%
Q1 - 2:18BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)4
1.2%
25
98.8%
Q1 - 2:36BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
1.3%
23
98.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot4
1.4%
23
98.6%
Q1 - 2:55BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
1.5%
23
98.5%
Q1 - 2:55BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 24
1.5%
22
98.5%
Q1 - 3:07BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
1.5%
22
98.5%
Q1 - 3:09MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)4
1.6%
22
98.4%
Q1 - 3:18MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
1.7%
22
98.3%
Q1 - 3:19BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
1.6%
22
98.4%
Q1 - 3:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
1.5%
22
98.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot4
1.6%
22
98.4%
Q1 - 3:43BOSRondo 6' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)4
1.7%
22
98.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)4
1.8%
20
98.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
2.0%
20
98.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Lasme 11' Jump Shot4
1.8%
20
98.2%
Q1 - 4:30BOSPowe 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
2.0%
20
98.0%
Q1 - 4:32BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
2.1%
18
97.9%
Q1 - 4:33BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup4
2.3%
18
97.7%
Q1 - 4:50BOSCELTICS Rebound4
2.1%
18
97.9%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot4
2.2%
18
97.8%
Q1 - 5:03BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
2.4%
18
97.6%
Q1 - 5:16BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2.2%
18
97.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
2.2%
18
97.8%
Q1 - 5:39BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)4
2.4%
18
97.6%
Q1 - 5:51BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
2.8%
15
97.2%
Q1 - 5:52BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
3.0%
15
97.0%
Q1 - 5:57BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
2.8%
15
97.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Quinn 3' Layup4
2.8%
15
97.2%
Q1 - 6:13BOSGarnett 3' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)4
3.1%
15
96.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
3.3%
13
96.7%
Q1 - 6:46BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)2
3.1%
13
96.9%
Q1 - 7:03BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
2.9%
13
97.1%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 22
2.9%
13
97.1%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 22
3.1%
13
96.9%
Q1 - 7:19BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)2
3.1%
13
96.9%
Q1 - 7:42BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
3.4%
11
96.6%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
3.4%
11
96.6%
Q1 - 8:04BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
3.5%
11
96.5%
Q1 - 8:10BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
3.8%
9
96.2%
Q1 - 8:11BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot2
4.0%
9
96.0%
Q1 - 8:27MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)2
3.8%
9
96.2%
Q1 - 8:32BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
4.1%
9
95.9%
Q1 - 8:40MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
3.8%
9
96.2%
Q1 - 8:58BOSAllen 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)2
4.1%
9
95.9%
Q1 - 9:05BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4.3%
7
95.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot2
4.4%
7
95.6%
Q1 - 9:30BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
4.7%
7
95.3%
Q1 - 9:42BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
5.3%
4
94.7%
Q1 - 9:43BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
5.7%
4
94.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
5.3%
4
94.7%
Q1 - 9:57MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
5.3%
4
94.7%
Q1 - 10:12BOSGarnett Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)0
5.0%
4
95.0%
Q1 - 10:17BOSCELTICS Rebound0
5.3%
2
94.7%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
5.5%
2
94.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
5.8%
2
94.2%
Q1 - 10:33BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
5.6%
2
94.4%
Q1 - 10:43BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5.3%
2
94.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
5.5%
2
94.5%
Q1 - 10:56MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
5.8%
2
94.2%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot0
5.5%
2
94.5%
Q1 - 11:10BOSGarnett 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)0
5.7%
2
94.3%
Q1 - 11:24MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)0
6.1%
0
93.9%
Q1 - 11:45MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6.5%
0
93.5%
Q1 - 11:46BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot0
6.4%
0
93.6%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Blount: Tip to Pierce0
6.1%
0
93.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 41.9%
BOS
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
4
9
44%
BOS
17
33
52%
Midrange
MIA
9
29
31%
BOS
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
BOS
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
24
29
83%
BOS
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis1447%7.0 / 15
C. Quinn1439%7.0 / 18
B. Ahearn1255%6.0 / 11
K. Powell633%3.0 / 9
M. Blount638%3.0 / 8
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
E. Barron233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
S. Lasme233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Powe1757%8.5 / 15
K. Garnett1260%6.0 / 10
R. Allen1033%5.0 / 15
P. Pierce1056%5.0 / 9
S. Cassell950%4.5 / 9
R. Rondo857%4.0 / 7
J. Posey735%3.5 / 10
K. Perkins4100%2.0 / 2
G. Davis467%2.0 / 3
E. House338%1.5 / 4
T. Allen214%1.0 / 7
P. Brown250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
65
+9
-19
74
BOS
71
+25
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 41.9%
BOS
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
109.6
MIA 73.8 +29.7
BOS 103.5
Pace
90.5
91.5
MIA 83.1
BOS 86.0 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
MIA 17.3
BOS 16.8 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.2%
MIA 32.2%
BOS 42.8% +10.6%
TO %
15.4%
15.7%
MIA 21.8%
BOS 13.1% +8.7%
ORB %
22.2%
26.6%
MIA 15.8%
BOS 46.8% +31.0%
FTrt
30.0
34.6
MIA 49.2 +22.7
BOS 26.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.4%
MIA 70.6%
BOS 71.9% +1.3%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 10.7%
BOS 15.3% +4.6%
BLK %
7.1%
7.9%
MIA 10.7% +0.2%
BOS 10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.1%
MIA 41.9%
BOS 45.4% +3.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.2%
MIA 44.4%
BOS 51.5% +7.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.2%
MIA 31.0%
BOS 34.8% +3.8%
3P %
35.8%
38.1%
MIA 19.0%
BOS 25.9% +6.9%
FT %
72.7%
77.1%
MIA 82.8% +5.5%
BOS 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
37.1%
MIA 15.3%
BOS 39.8% +24.5%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
38.0%
MIA 49.2%
BOS 27.7% +21.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
24.9%
MIA 35.6% +3.1%
BOS 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points6288
Rebounds3154
Assists1223
Steals913
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)22 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)32 (3)
Field Goals17-5932-83
At-the-Rim FG4-917-33
Midrange FG9-298-23
2-Point FG13-3825-56
3-Point FG4-217-27
Free Throws24-2917-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 29
45.6
14
47%
6
1
0
1
7
0
1
5
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
40.0
6
33%
5
3
4
0
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
38.6
14
39%
4
8
3
0
3
0
0
4
7-8
88%
2-8
25%
1-6
17%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
20.1
6
38%
1
0
0
2
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 27
12.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
29.1
2
50%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
20.8
2
33%
2
0
1
2
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
19.7
12
55%
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
0
6-6
100%
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
14.0
4
50%
3
0
0
0
2
4
0
3
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
62
42%
31
12
9
6
19
0
6
25
24-29
83%
13-38
34%
4-21
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.