FinalWin Prob.pScore
2922%94
85
2378%104
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.49184.5
IND logo IND
112.993100.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND85
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 2 of 285
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIALasme Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIALasme REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDMISS Diogu 2' Layup84
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIARush STEAL (3 STL)84
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAHeat Rebound84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31INDDiener 3' Layup (10 PTS)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIADiener STEAL (3 STL)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45INDGraham 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Barron 1' Layup83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12INDDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)83
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIARush STEAL (2 STL)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50INDMISS Diogu Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02INDMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAAhearn 13' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29INDMISS Granger 12' Turnaround Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIALasme REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Lasme 4' Finger Roll Layup77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Anthony 4' Layup77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54INDMISS Dunleavy 3' Driving Layup77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Ahearn 18' Floating Jump Shot77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIALasme REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25INDMISS Granger 2' Driving Layup77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:38MIADaniels STEAL (3 STL)77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIALasme REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHeat Rebound77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:00INDMISS Granger 3' Layup77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:08INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:48MIAAhearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 7:03INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 7:03INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 7:15MIACook 16' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST)74
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:25INDDunleavy 2' Layup (16 PTS)72
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 172
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 7:52INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)70
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:18MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)70
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 8:40INDDiener 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:52MIALasme Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T18)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:12INDDaniels 1' Layup (13 PTS)67
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 9:14INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 9:15INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot67
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T17)67
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 9:56INDDunleavy 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)67
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 10:02INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 10:03MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)67
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 10:18INDDaniels 13' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 10:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Lasme 17' Jump Shot67
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 10:46INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)67
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 10:58MIADiener STEAL (2 STL)67
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHeat Rebound67
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 11:15INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 11:37MIAPowell 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)67
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 11:50INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)65
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIALasme 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)65
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Lasme 7' Jump Shot63
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:11MIAHeat Rebound63
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Lasme 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot63
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 1:34MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 1:36INDMISS Daniels 3' Layup63
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 1:43MIACook 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)63
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:58INDDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)60
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 2:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:03INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot60
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 2:18MIAPowell Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)60
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 2:38INDRush 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)57
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 2:51MIAPowell 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 3:18INDO'Neal 3' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)55
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 3:28MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 254
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 3:47MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 3:48INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 4:05INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot54
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 4:16INDMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)54
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 4:36MIALasme Foul Turnover (P1.T14)54
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 4:58INDMurray 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)54
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 5:02INDMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 5:03INDMISS Dunleavy 5' Jump Shot54
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 5:19INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot54
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 5:37INDGranger 5' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)54
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 5:54INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Powell 16' Floating Jump Shot54
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 6:15MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 6:16INDMISS Dunleavy 16' Turnaround Jump Shot54
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 6:32MIADavis 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)54
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 7:00INDFoster 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)52
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 7:12INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot52
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q3 - 7:25INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)52
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)52
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 7:52INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)52
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 8:06MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)52
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 8:24INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 8:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 250
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 250
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 8:46INDMurphy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)50
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 9:08INDMISS Murphy 4' Driving Layup48
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIAQuinn Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T12)48
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 9:31MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 9:32INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot48
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 9:43INDPACERS Rebound48
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot48
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 9:59INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)48
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 10:11MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 10:11MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q3 - 10:30INDFoster Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)46
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q3 - 10:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Powell 18' Pullup Jump Shot46
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 11:05INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)46
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q3 - 11:25MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)46
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q3 - 11:29MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot43
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q3 - 11:44MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot43
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)43
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0INDDiogu 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)40
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMISS Foster 3' Layup40
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q2 - 1:22INDDaniels 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)38
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 1:37INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)38
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)38
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 1:52INDMISS Dunleavy 6' Running Hook Shot38
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 1:58INDPACERS Rebound38
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 1:58INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Driving Layup38
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 2:11MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 2:11MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound36
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 2:12INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 2:23INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot36
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 2:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)36
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Barron 13' Turnaround Jump Shot36
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 3:08INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)36
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 3:22MIAPowell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)36
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 3:39MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 3:40INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot33
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 3:48INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)33
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 3:49INDMISS Foster 3' Jump Shot33
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 4:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 233
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 233
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 4:01MIAHeat Rebound33
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot33
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 4:25INDRush Foul Turnover (P2.T7)33
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 4:45INDPACERS Rebound33
5.8%
44
94.2%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Ahearn 13' Pullup Jump Shot33
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 5:00INDMurray 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)33
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 5:11MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)33
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 5:31INDMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 5:31INDMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 5:57INDMurray 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 6:11MIAPowell 11' Pullup Bank Shot (5 PTS)31
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 6:27INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 6:27INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 6:34INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 6:35INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q2 - 6:38INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 6:41INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q2 - 6:58MIAAl. Johnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)29
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 7:16INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIADaniels STEAL (2 STL)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:27INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 7:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:32INDMISS Murphy 3' Jump Shot29
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 7:46MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:57MIAHeat Rebound29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 7:57INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot29
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIAPowell 11' Driving Hook Shot (3 PTS)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 8:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 8:40INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 8:40INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 8:41INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 8:42INDMISS Rush 1' Layup27
9.1%
35
90.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIADiener STEAL (1 STL)27
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 8:50INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)27
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 9:09INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 9:09INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 9:14INDPACERS Rebound27
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 9:15INDMISS Daniels 4' Pullup Jump Shot27
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q2 - 9:20INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q2 - 9:55INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)27
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIARush STEAL (1 STL)27
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)27
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Cook 8' Jump Shot27
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 10:21INDO'Neal 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 10:35INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:38MIAGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)27
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 11:00INDDaniels 2' Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:14INDPACERS Rebound27
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 11:34INDO'Neal 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)27
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 11:46MIALasme 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)27
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND25
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot25
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot25
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)25
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)25
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)23
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:03MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)23
18.5%
22
81.5%
Q1 - 1:26MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 1:27INDMISS Murphy 3PT Jump Shot23
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 1:41MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)23
18.5%
22
81.5%
Q1 - 2:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 2:15INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 2:15INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 2:16INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 2:17INDMISS Diener 3' Layup23
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMurphy STEAL (2 STL)23
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 2:39INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 2:39INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 2:39INDPACERS Rebound23
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 2:39INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 2:51MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 3:03INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:17INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot21
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 3:36INDMISS Murphy 3' Layup21
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMurphy STEAL (1 STL)21
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 3:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 3:54INDMISS Murray 4' Layup21
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 4:17MIAQuinn 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 4:33INDFoster 1' Layup (4 PTS)19
19.1%
18
80.9%
Q1 - 4:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS Foster 5' Jump Shot19
21.5%
16
78.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Quinn 5' Jump Shot16
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 5:02INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 5:02INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)16
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 5:52INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)13
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 5:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 5:57INDMISS Granger 4' Driving Layup13
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:02INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Blount 14' Jump Shot13
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 6:15MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:16INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
19.0%
11
81.0%
Q1 - 6:33MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)13
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 6:57INDFoster 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)10
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 7:15MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)10
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 7:34INDMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 7:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 7:44INDMISS Murphy 3' Dunk7
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIADavis 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 8:26INDDunleavy 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)5
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 8:36MIAPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.5%
7
86.5%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Powell Free Throw 1 of 24
13.3%
7
86.7%
Q1 - 8:43MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 8:45INDMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot4
13.3%
7
86.7%
Q1 - 8:55INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.7%
7
87.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot4
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 9:08INDMurray 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIABlount 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)4
14.2%
5
85.8%
Q1 - 9:44MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 9:45INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)2
12.5%
5
87.5%
Q1 - 10:13MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 10:14INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot0
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Barron 2' Reverse Layup0
11.2%
5
88.8%
Q1 - 10:40INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)0
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 10:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:03INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Reverse Layup0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Powell 9' Driving Jump Shot0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:41INDGranger 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Blount: Tip to Murray0
15.2%
0
84.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
IND
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
18
50%
IND
16
36
44%
Midrange
MIA
10
32
31%
IND
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
IND
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
20
30
67%
IND
23
25
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cook1673%8.0 / 11
C. Quinn1575%7.5 / 10
K. Powell1568%7.5 / 11
B. Ahearn880%4.0 / 5
R. Davis739%3.5 / 9
M. Blount638%3.0 / 8
S. Lasme630%3.0 / 10
J. Anthony550%2.5 / 5
A. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
E. Barron317%1.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2361%11.5 / 19
M. Dunleavy1847%9.0 / 19
M. Daniels1381%6.5 / 8
R. Murray1063%5.0 / 8
T. Diener1083%5.0 / 6
J. O'Neal975%4.5 / 6
T. Murphy735%3.5 / 10
J. Foster650%3.0 / 6
K. Rush433%2.0 / 6
I. Diogu350%1.5 / 3
S. Graham250%1.0 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+12
-21
82
IND
79
+17
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
IND
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
105.8
MIA 93.4 +19.5
IND 112.9
Pace
90.5
98.0
MIA 84.5
IND 100.8 +16.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.1
MIA 17.0
IND 14.3 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.8%
MIA 48.5%
IND 50.0% +1.5%
TO %
15.4%
15.0%
MIA 21.5%
IND 13.1% +8.4%
ORB %
22.2%
24.4%
MIA 25.6%
IND 35.0% +9.4%
FTrt
30.0
29.2
MIA 44.8 +14.3
IND 30.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.1%
MIA 53.6%
IND 58.3% +4.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.7%
MIA 8.8%
IND 12.9% +4.1%
BLK %
7.1%
7.9%
MIA 15.5% +9.5%
IND 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.8%
MIA 51.2%
IND 54.7% +3.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.0%
MIA 50.0% +5.6%
IND 44.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.9%
MIA 31.3%
IND 45.5% +14.2%
3P %
35.8%
37.4%
MIA 52.9% +11.2%
IND 41.7%
FT %
72.7%
76.8%
MIA 66.7%
IND 92.0% +25.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
31.0%
MIA 26.9%
IND 43.9% +17.0%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
40.1%
MIA 47.8%
IND 26.8% +20.9%
3P Att. %
21.7%
28.9%
MIA 25.4%
IND 29.3% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points85105
Rebounds3643
Assists1521
Steals812
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)29 (3)
Field Goals28-6736-82
At-the-Rim FG9-1816-36
Midrange FG10-3210-22
2-Point FG19-5026-58
3-Point FG9-1710-24
Free Throws20-3023-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 29
34.1
7
39%
1
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
32.7
15
75%
4
6
2
0
1
2
0
4
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
32.6
15
68%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
F · 7'0" 250 · 27
21.5
3
17%
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
14.3
6
38%
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
30.9
5
50%
9
0
3
6
3
3
5
4
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
29.2
16
73%
6
0
0
1
6
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
22.9
6
30%
7
0
0
0
2
4
3
4
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
15.3
8
80%
0
1
0
0
3
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
6.4
4
100%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
51%
36
15
8
9
21
0
10
26
20-30
67%
19-50
38%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.