FinalWin Prob.pScore
2437%96
96
1863%101
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
111.68683.6
ATL logo ATL
130.78890.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILStorey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILStorey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILStorey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 8' Jump Shot95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 294
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Ivey 6' Turnaround Jump Shot94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21ATLMISS Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MILJones STEAL (1 STL)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57ATLMISS Law Free Throw 1 of 194
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MILYi 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MILBucks Rebound92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MILStorey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MILMISS Yi 8' Turnaround Jump Shot92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ATLLaw Running Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MILStorey 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Yi 1 AST)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37ATLChildress Dunk (20 PTS) (Law 3 AST)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MILMISS Ivey Driving Layup90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MILStorey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MILMISS Ivey Driving Layup90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MILMISS Yi 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MILYi Foul Turnover (P2.T18)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MILIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MILMISS Ivey Driving Layup90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MILChildress STEAL (4 STL)90
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 5:20MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot90
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 5:27MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 5:27MILMISS Williams Driving Layup90
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 5:45ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T11)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 6:01ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 6:03MILMISS Williams Running Layup90
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 6:07MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 6:09ATLMISS Childress 10' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 6:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 6:25ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 6:51MILYi 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Storey 1 AST)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 7:09ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Childress 5 AST)88
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 7:16MILChildress STEAL (3 STL)88
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 7:19MILBucks Rebound88
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 7:20MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)88
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 7:47ATLWilliams Dunk (16 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)88
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 7:55ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 7:57MILMISS Storey 17' Fadeaway Jumper88
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 8:16MILStorey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)88
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 8:17MILMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 8:26MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 8:28ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot88
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 8:47MILStorey 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)88
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 9:10ATLChildress Running Dunk (18 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)86
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 9:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 9:15MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)86
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q4 - 9:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 9:34ATLJohnson Putback Layup (25 PTS)86
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot86
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 9:58MILBogut 7' Hook Shot (27 PTS) (Mason 6 AST)86
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 10:17ATLSmith Driving Layup (7 PTS)84
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 10:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 10:34MILMISS Yi 6' Jump Shot84
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 10:55ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Childress 4 AST)84
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 11:16MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)84
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q4 - 11:21MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
7.2%
94
92.8%
Q4 - 11:22ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
6.8%
94
93.2%
Q4 - 11:46MILIvey 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 5 AST)84
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL82
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILChildress STEAL (2 STL)82
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILMISS Redd 17' Fadeaway Jumper82
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)82
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)82
9.5%
90
90.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 281
9.1%
90
90.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
9.5%
90
90.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup81
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MILPachulia STEAL (2 STL)81
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q3 - 1:20ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q3 - 1:20ATLChildress Putback Layup (16 PTS)81
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q3 - 1:22ATLMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot81
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q3 - 1:33MILPachulia STEAL (1 STL)81
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q3 - 1:43MILBucks Rebound81
14.3%
88
85.7%
Q3 - 1:45ATLMISS Childress 5' Running Jump Shot81
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q3 - 1:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q3 - 1:56ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q3 - 2:13MILGadzuric 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)81
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q3 - 2:24MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
14.8%
88
85.2%
Q3 - 2:26ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot81
14.1%
88
85.9%
Q3 - 2:49MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
12.4%
88
87.6%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 280
12.2%
88
87.8%
Q3 - 3:05MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
13.3%
88
86.7%
Q3 - 3:05ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 280
13.0%
88
87.0%
Q3 - 3:05ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 280
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q3 - 3:05ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)80
11.2%
88
88.8%
Q3 - 3:18MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
13.1%
87
86.9%
Q3 - 3:18MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 279
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q3 - 3:27MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
13.2%
87
86.8%
Q3 - 3:29ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Childress Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 279
11.2%
87
88.8%
Q3 - 3:44ATLChildress Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q3 - 3:45ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
13.1%
86
86.9%
Q3 - 3:47MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)79
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q3 - 4:13ATLChildress Putback Layup (13 PTS)79
15.8%
86
84.2%
Q3 - 4:15ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
17.9%
84
82.1%
Q3 - 4:16ATLMISS Childress 8' Jump Shot79
20.0%
84
80.0%
Q3 - 4:41MILVillanueva 15' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)79
17.9%
84
82.1%
Q3 - 4:52ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q3 - 4:52ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q3 - 4:58MILWilliams Running Layup (13 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)77
17.9%
82
82.1%
Q3 - 5:21MILBucks Rebound75
16.3%
82
83.7%
Q3 - 5:21ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot75
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q3 - 5:42MILVillanueva Running Dunk (8 PTS)75
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q3 - 5:47ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)73
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 5:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q3 - 5:54MILMISS Bogut 11' Jump Shot73
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q3 - 6:16MILBucks Rebound73
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q3 - 6:16ATLMISS Horford Layup73
12.1%
82
87.9%
Q3 - 6:22MILBogut Tip Shot (25 PTS)73
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q3 - 6:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)71
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q3 - 6:29MILMISS Bogut Driving Layup71
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 6:52ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)71
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q3 - 7:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q3 - 7:09MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q3 - 7:25ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q3 - 7:36MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T10)71
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q3 - 7:58ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)71
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q3 - 8:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
21.7%
75
78.3%
Q3 - 8:12MILMISS Villanueva Driving Layup71
22.6%
75
77.4%
Q3 - 8:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)71
24.8%
75
75.2%
Q3 - 8:24ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 271
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 8:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
22.5%
75
77.5%
Q3 - 8:31MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)71
24.4%
74
75.6%
Q3 - 8:52ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)69
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q3 - 9:00MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)69
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q3 - 9:23ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)67
24.5%
71
75.5%
Q3 - 9:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
27.3%
69
72.7%
Q3 - 9:46MILMISS Mason 9' Running Jump Shot67
28.2%
69
71.8%
Q3 - 10:05ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)67
30.4%
69
69.6%
Q3 - 10:15MILVillanueva Running Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)67
33.1%
67
66.9%
Q3 - 10:40ATLJohnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)65
30.4%
67
69.6%
Q3 - 10:56MILWilliams Running Layup (7 PTS)65
33.1%
65
66.9%
Q3 - 11:03ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)63
30.1%
65
69.9%
Q3 - 11:25MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)63
27.2%
65
72.8%
Q3 - 11:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q3 - 11:45ATLMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot60
21.4%
65
78.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL60
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)60
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLHAWKS Rebound60
25.4%
63
74.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot60
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLHAWKS Rebound60
25.4%
63
74.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)60
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Jones Dunk60
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q2 - 1:10MILBogut 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)60
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q2 - 1:35ATLChildress 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)58
27.2%
61
72.8%
Q2 - 1:56ATLHAWKS Rebound58
33.9%
58
66.1%
Q2 - 1:56MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q2 - 1:56MILMISS Yi Tip Shot58
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q2 - 1:57MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot58
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q2 - 2:07ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
35.9%
58
64.1%
Q2 - 2:16MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)58
33.3%
58
66.7%
Q2 - 2:30ATLJones Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)55
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q2 - 2:45MILYi Foul Turnover (P1.T8)55
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q2 - 3:03MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
33.1%
56
66.9%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 255
32.7%
56
67.3%
Q2 - 3:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q2 - 3:11MILMason 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
32.8%
55
67.2%
Q2 - 3:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)53
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 3:34ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
29.7%
55
70.3%
Q2 - 3:58MILBogut Putback Dunk (18 PTS)53
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q2 - 4:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)51
25.7%
55
74.3%
Q2 - 4:02MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 251
23.8%
55
76.2%
Q2 - 4:02MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q2 - 4:20ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
23.5%
55
76.5%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 250
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q2 - 4:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q2 - 4:23ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 4:45MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)50
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q2 - 4:45MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)49
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q2 - 4:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)48
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q2 - 4:45MILMISS Redd Driving Layup48
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q2 - 4:56MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q2 - 4:57ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q2 - 5:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q2 - 5:14MILStorey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q2 - 5:14MILMISS Storey Dunk48
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q2 - 5:17MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot48
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q2 - 5:36ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)48
21.7%
54
78.3%
Q2 - 5:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 5:38ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot48
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q2 - 5:53MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)48
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 6:07MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
24.0%
51
76.0%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 246
23.7%
51
76.3%
Q2 - 6:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 6:12MILWilliams STEAL (2 STL)46
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q2 - 6:29ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)46
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q2 - 6:37MILBogut 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q2 - 6:54ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)44
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 7:02MILStorey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)44
26.1%
47
73.9%
Q2 - 7:02MILMISS Storey Free Throw 1 of 243
25.5%
47
74.5%
Q2 - 7:18ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 7:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
28.1%
45
71.9%
Q2 - 7:27MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 8:01ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Law 2 AST)43
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q2 - 8:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
34.7%
42
65.3%
Q2 - 8:28MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot43
35.5%
42
64.5%
Q2 - 8:51ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
37.4%
42
62.6%
Q2 - 8:51ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 9:07MILIvey Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)43
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 9:24ATLLaw 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 9:30MILWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
44.1%
38
55.9%
Q2 - 9:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
41.9%
38
58.1%
Q2 - 9:54ATLPachulia Putback Layup (6 PTS)41
41.9%
38
58.1%
Q2 - 9:56ATLMISS Williams Driving Layup41
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 10:17MILWilliams Backcourt Turnover (P1.T5)41
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 10:40ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)41
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 10:50MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 10:50MILBogut Tip Shot (9 PTS)41
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 10:53MILMISS Williams Driving Layup39
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 11:04ATLChildress 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)39
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 11:19MILMason Running Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)39
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 11:36ATLJohnson 18' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
41.1%
34
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL37
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound37
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Childress 46' 3PT Jump Shot37
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILChildress STEAL (1 STL)37
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Childress Dunk37
44.5%
32
55.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)37
43.3%
32
56.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)36
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLPachulia Dunk (4 PTS) (Law 1 AST)35
40.4%
32
59.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)35
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)34
42.9%
30
57.1%
Q1 - 1:01ATLLaw Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)33
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q1 - 1:06MILWilliams STEAL (1 STL)33
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q1 - 1:16ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)33
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q1 - 1:31MILYi 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)33
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q1 - 1:47ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q1 - 1:47ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q1 - 2:09MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)31
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q1 - 2:28ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q1 - 3:01MILRedd 14' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q1 - 3:14ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 3:14ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
42.8%
21
57.2%
Q1 - 3:25MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)26
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 3:28MILBucks Rebound23
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 3:28MILPachulia BLOCK (2 BLK)23
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 3:34MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 3:35ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 3:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 3:44MILMISS Gadzuric Driving Layup23
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 3:59ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 4:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 4:04MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot23
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 4:17ATLChildress Running Layup (2 PTS)23
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 4:22ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 4:24MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 4:37ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)23
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 4:53MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 5:08ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 5:08ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 5:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 5:13MILPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)21
41.6%
16
58.4%
Q1 - 5:38ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)21
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 5:56MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 6:18ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 6:27ATLHAWKS Rebound18
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 6:29ATLMISS Bibby Driving Layup18
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 6:39MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
44.4%
11
55.6%
Q1 - 6:52ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)15
40.5%
11
59.5%
Q1 - 7:01ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 7:02MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot15
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 7:08MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 7:11ATLMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot15
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 7:30MILMason 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 7:41ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 8:01MILRedd 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 8:13ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 8:21MILMason Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)12
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 8:38ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 8:49MILBogut 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)10
36.0%
7
64.0%
Q1 - 9:08ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)8
34.4%
7
65.6%
Q1 - 9:28MILVillanueva Dunk (4 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)8
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:45MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:47MILMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot6
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:57MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:59ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup6
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 10:12MILRedd Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)6
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 10:21ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:31MILBogut Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:33MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot2
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:34MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot2
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:46ATLWilliams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 11:01MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 11:20ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:38MILVillanueva Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:40MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:42MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bogut: Tip to Villanueva0
32.3%
0
67.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
ATL
1.28 63.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
29
52%
ATL
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIL
19
40
48%
ATL
18
30
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
ATL
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIL
16
23
70%
ATL
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut2768%13.5 / 20
M. Redd2077%10.0 / 13
M. Williams1350%6.5 / 13
D. Mason1056%5.0 / 9
C. Villanueva1056%5.0 / 9
J. Yi633%3.0 / 9
A. Storey550%2.5 / 5
R. Ivey425%2.0 / 8
R. Sessions150%0.5 / 1
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2878%14.0 / 18
J. Childress2071%10.0 / 14
M. Williams1673%8.0 / 11
M. Bibby1667%8.0 / 12
A. Law10125%5.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia990%4.5 / 5
J. Smith732%3.5 / 11
A. Horford758%3.5 / 6
S. Jones250%1.0 / 2
S. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
66
+21
-20
87
ATL
77
+11
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
ATL
1.28 63.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
106.6
MIL 111.6
ATL 130.7 +19.1
Pace
91.2
91.4
MIL 83.6
ATL 90.6 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.6
MIL 17.2
ATL 15.9 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.3%
MIL 50.6%
ATL 62.0% +11.4%
TO %
15.5%
15.5%
MIL 18.3%
ATL 11.1% +7.2%
ORB %
30.1%
29.8%
MIL 48.6% +22.8%
ATL 25.8%
FTrt
29.4
34.0
MIL 29.1
ATL 40.0 +10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
60.6%
MIL 60.5% +2.4%
ATL 58.1%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
MIL 7.0%
ATL 10.2% +3.2%
BLK %
7.2%
8.4%
MIL 8.9% +1.7%
ATL 7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.0%
MIL 53.3%
ATL 63.9% +10.6%
Rim FG%
54.3%
58.6%
MIL 51.7%
ATL 69.2% +17.5%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.5%
MIL 47.5%
ATL 60.0% +12.5%
3P %
34.4%
35.6%
MIL 40.0% +3.2%
ATL 36.8%
FT %
73.3%
77.2%
MIL 69.6%
ATL 73.3% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
36.9%
MIL 36.7% +2.0%
ATL 34.7%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
46.7%
MIL 50.6%
ATL 40.0% +10.6%
3P Att. %
19.5%
16.5%
MIL 12.7%
ATL 25.3% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILATL
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points96115
Rebounds4127
Assists2325
Steals69
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)19 (2)
Field Goals38-7943-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2918-26
Midrange FG19-4018-30
2-Point FG34-6936-56
3-Point FG4-107-19
Free Throws16-2322-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
35.9
13
50%
1
6
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
F · 6'5" 222 · 30
32.9
10
56%
2
6
2
1
3
3
0
2
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
31.0
20
77%
3
3
1
0
3
1
0
3
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
31.0
27
68%
9
4
1
3
3
2
6
3
5-6
83%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
25.5
10
56%
6
2
2
0
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
24.4
6
33%
4
1
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
20.1
4
25%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
15.1
5
50%
6
1
0
0
1
4
4
2
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
9.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 22
7.2
1
50%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
7.1
0
0%
6
0
0
0
1
2
4
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'6" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
41
23
6
5
20
0
18
23
16-23
70%
34-69
49%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.