FinalWin Prob.pScore
449%95
107
1151%96
97
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
117.69185.4
ORL logo ORL
107.89096.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS107
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Bogans 14' Jump Shot107
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)107
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)106
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLArroyo 12' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)105
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLArroyo Driving Layup (15 PTS)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)104
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)104
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)100
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)100
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 1:23ORLHoward Layup (24 PTS)100
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 1:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)100
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 1:30SASDuncan Driving Layup (19 PTS)100
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 1:52ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 1:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 298
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 2:05ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Lewis 5' Jump Shot98
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 2:25SASLewis STEAL (1 STL)98
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 2:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMISS Arroyo 11' Fadeaway Jumper98
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 2:57SASGinobili Driving Layup (24 PTS)98
98.2%
88
1.8%
Q4 - 3:12ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)96
97.6%
88
2.4%
Q4 - 3:12ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 296
97.8%
87
2.2%
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
97.0%
87
3.0%
Q4 - 3:26SASSpurs Rebound94
96.5%
87
3.5%
Q4 - 3:26ORLMISS Dooling Layup94
95.8%
87
4.2%
Q4 - 3:38SASGinobili Driving Layup (22 PTS)94
91.4%
87
8.6%
Q4 - 3:50ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P2.T10)92
88.5%
87
11.5%
Q4 - 4:02SASFinley 19' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)92
84.1%
87
15.9%
Q4 - 4:24ORLLewis 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)90
79.0%
87
21.0%
Q4 - 4:49SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)90
84.4%
85
15.6%
Q4 - 5:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)87
69.5%
85
30.5%
Q4 - 5:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)87
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot87
67.2%
85
32.8%
Q4 - 5:07ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup87
67.2%
85
32.8%
Q4 - 5:14ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 5:15SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot87
64.2%
85
35.8%
Q4 - 5:33ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)87
69.7%
85
30.3%
Q4 - 5:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)87
61.8%
85
38.2%
Q4 - 5:38SASMISS Ginobili 13' Running Jump Shot87
64.3%
85
35.7%
Q4 - 5:58SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
69.7%
85
30.3%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
67.4%
85
32.6%
Q4 - 6:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)87
60.2%
85
39.8%
Q4 - 6:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 287
61.3%
85
38.7%
Q4 - 6:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 287
65.6%
85
34.4%
Q4 - 6:34ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)87
68.2%
85
31.8%
Q4 - 6:55SASParker 10' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)87
79.1%
82
20.9%
Q4 - 7:16ORLHoward Layup (21 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)85
72.7%
82
27.3%
Q4 - 7:27ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
77.3%
80
22.7%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot85
78.9%
80
21.1%
Q4 - 7:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
82.4%
80
17.6%
Q4 - 7:48ORLMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot85
80.9%
80
19.1%
Q4 - 8:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)85
75.7%
80
24.3%
Q4 - 8:11SASMISS Duncan 13' Fadeaway Jumper85
77.1%
80
22.9%
Q4 - 8:35ORLArroyo 10' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)85
80.2%
80
19.8%
Q4 - 8:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)85
84.0%
78
16.0%
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Udoka 20' Jump Shot85
85.0%
78
15.0%
Q4 - 9:14ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)85
85.8%
78
14.2%
Q4 - 9:38SASGinobili Driving Layup (20 PTS)85
82.6%
78
17.4%
Q4 - 9:58ORLArroyo Driving Layup (9 PTS)83
79.0%
78
21.0%
Q4 - 10:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)83
81.0%
76
19.0%
Q4 - 10:10SASMISS Udoka 19' Jump Shot83
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q4 - 10:29SASSpurs Rebound83
84.6%
76
15.4%
Q4 - 10:30SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot83
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q4 - 10:54ORLDooling 11' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)83
84.6%
76
15.4%
Q4 - 11:13SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)83
86.0%
74
14.0%
Q4 - 11:26ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 11:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 280
81.2%
73
18.8%
Q4 - 11:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)80
79.9%
73
20.1%
Q4 - 11:31ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
82.3%
73
17.7%
Q4 - 11:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
79.9%
73
20.1%
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot80
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL80
83.4%
73
16.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
80.0%
73
20.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
79.9%
73
20.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
82.1%
73
17.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Howard Layup80
81.2%
73
18.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASBowen Foul Turnover (P3.T8)80
78.9%
73
21.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)80
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
79.0%
73
21.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot80
81.2%
73
18.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
79.0%
73
21.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
78.0%
73
22.0%
Q3 - 1:04ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q3 - 1:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 278
75.6%
72
24.4%
Q3 - 1:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
74.2%
72
25.8%
Q3 - 1:05ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup78
76.8%
72
23.2%
Q3 - 1:18SASVaughn 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)78
74.2%
72
25.8%
Q3 - 1:37ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)76
70.5%
72
29.5%
Q3 - 1:51ORLMAGIC Rebound76
77.8%
69
22.2%
Q3 - 1:52SASMISS Parker Driving Layup76
78.9%
69
21.1%
Q3 - 1:59SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
81.1%
69
18.9%
Q3 - 1:59ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot76
80.2%
69
19.8%
Q3 - 2:14SASFinley 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)76
76.3%
69
23.7%
Q3 - 2:22SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
73.1%
69
26.9%
Q3 - 2:24ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot74
71.9%
69
28.1%
Q3 - 2:47SASDuncan 9' Hook Shot (13 PTS)74
69.0%
69
31.0%
Q3 - 3:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
64.7%
69
35.3%
Q3 - 3:07ORLMISS Redick 16' Jump Shot72
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMAGIC Rebound72
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup72
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 3:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 3:24SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot72
61.7%
69
38.3%
Q3 - 3:32SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
64.7%
69
35.3%
Q3 - 3:33ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Bank Shot72
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 3:59SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)72
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 4:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)69
51.6%
69
48.4%
Q3 - 4:18ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
50.1%
69
49.9%
Q3 - 4:32SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)69
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q3 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)66
38.9%
69
61.1%
Q3 - 4:48SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot66
35.6%
69
64.4%
Q3 - 4:57ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)66
38.9%
69
61.1%
Q3 - 5:23SASGinobili Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)66
34.9%
69
65.1%
Q3 - 5:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
31.5%
69
68.5%
Q3 - 5:43ORLMISS Lewis 18' Turnaround Jump Shot64
30.3%
69
69.7%
Q3 - 6:04SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)64
28.5%
69
71.5%
Q3 - 6:17SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q3 - 6:18ORLMISS Evans Layup61
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q3 - 6:25SASBogans STEAL (1 STL)61
19.7%
69
80.3%
Q3 - 6:49SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q3 - 6:50ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 3 of 361
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 6:50ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 361
20.5%
69
79.5%
Q3 - 6:50ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 361
18.6%
69
81.4%
Q3 - 6:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
19.7%
69
80.3%
Q3 - 7:00SASMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot61
20.5%
69
79.5%
Q3 - 7:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
23.1%
69
76.9%
Q3 - 7:14ORLMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot61
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q3 - 7:25ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 7:27ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 7:45ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 7:46SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q3 - 8:06ORLDooling 16' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q3 - 8:12SASDooling STEAL (4 STL)61
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q3 - 8:29ORLEvans Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)61
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 8:33ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
26.1%
67
73.9%
Q3 - 8:34SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot61
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q3 - 8:49ORLLewis 9' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 9:08SASFinley 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 9:22ORLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)59
29.8%
65
70.2%
Q3 - 9:29SASDooling STEAL (3 STL)59
36.2%
62
63.8%
Q3 - 9:52ORLHoward Dunk (17 PTS) (Evans 7 AST)59
39.8%
62
60.2%
Q3 - 10:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 10:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 259
43.9%
60
56.1%
Q3 - 10:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 10:46ORLDooling Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
43.7%
60
56.3%
Q3 - 10:50ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 10:53SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)58
48.1%
58
51.9%
Q3 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)58
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
48.0%
58
52.0%
Q3 - 11:25ORLLewis Layup (14 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)58
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 11:30SASDooling STEAL (2 STL)58
54.1%
56
45.9%
Q3 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)58
57.7%
56
42.3%
Q3 - 11:39ORLMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot58
56.6%
56
43.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL58
54.1%
56
45.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)58
54.6%
56
45.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)55
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
54.6%
53
45.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot55
55.3%
53
44.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)55
56.9%
53
43.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
57.4%
52
42.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
61.0%
51
39.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
61.7%
51
38.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
63.3%
51
36.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot55
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
61.0%
51
39.0%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Ginobili 14' Fadeaway Jumper55
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q2 - 1:15SASSpurs Rebound55
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 1:17SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot55
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q2 - 1:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 1:21SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)55
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q2 - 1:37ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 1:37ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
63.1%
50
36.9%
Q2 - 1:52SASOberto Layup (2 PTS)55
67.0%
49
33.0%
Q2 - 1:53SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
62.6%
49
37.4%
Q2 - 1:54SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot53
61.5%
49
38.5%
Q2 - 2:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q2 - 2:03ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot53
61.9%
49
38.1%
Q2 - 2:23SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)53
60.0%
49
40.0%
Q2 - 2:40SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)51
56.7%
49
43.3%
Q2 - 2:40ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)50
53.6%
49
46.4%
Q2 - 3:02SASBowen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)50
50.4%
49
49.6%
Q2 - 3:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q2 - 3:09ORLMISS Redick 5' Jump Shot48
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q2 - 3:29SASGinobili Driving Layup (12 PTS)48
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 3:42ORLHoward Layup (15 PTS)46
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q2 - 4:04SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q2 - 4:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)44
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q2 - 4:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
39.1%
47
60.9%
Q2 - 4:14ORLMISS Howard Putback Layup44
41.0%
47
59.0%
Q2 - 4:16ORLMISS Arroyo 4' Running Jump Shot44
41.0%
47
59.0%
Q2 - 4:26SASParker 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)44
39.1%
47
60.9%
Q2 - 4:42ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)42
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q2 - 4:57SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q2 - 4:57SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 5:11ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 5:30SASGinobili Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
34.0%
45
66.0%
Q2 - 5:49ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Evans 5 AST)38
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 6:12ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Udoka 16' Jump Shot38
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 6:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
37.3%
43
62.7%
Q2 - 6:36ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot38
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q2 - 6:47SASDooling STEAL (1 STL)38
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 7:03ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 7:03ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
38.1%
42
61.9%
Q2 - 7:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
40.1%
41
59.9%
Q2 - 7:12ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 238
42.5%
41
57.5%
Q2 - 7:12ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
40.6%
41
59.4%
Q2 - 7:21ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)38
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 7:40SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)38
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 7:56ORLFoyle 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)38
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q2 - 8:08SASDuncan 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)38
45.0%
39
55.0%
Q2 - 8:34ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 9:00SASVaughn Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
47.7%
36
52.3%
Q2 - 9:21ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)34
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 9:48SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
47.6%
34
52.4%
Q2 - 9:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 9:59ORLMISS Foyle Reverse Layup32
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 10:14ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 10:15SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 10:31ORLDooling 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 10:49SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 11:07ORLDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)30
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 11:22SASGinobili 20' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)30
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q2 - 11:40ORLDooling Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)28
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL28
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASVaughn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)28
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
42.4%
29
57.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T1)26
47.1%
27
52.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMAGIC Rebound26
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot26
46.6%
27
53.4%
Q1 - 1:21SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q1 - 1:21SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
45.0%
27
55.0%
Q1 - 1:37ORLDooling 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q1 - 1:51SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q1 - 1:51SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
44.8%
25
55.2%
Q1 - 2:05SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q1 - 2:06ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot22
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q1 - 2:20ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
40.8%
25
59.2%
Q1 - 2:21SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot22
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 2:32ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)22
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q1 - 2:50SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)22
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 3:08ORLHoward Layup (9 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)19
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q1 - 3:16ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 3:18SASMISS Udoka 17' Jump Shot19
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 3:36ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)19
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 3:44ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 3:45SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 4:10ORLDooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 4:18ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 4:20ORLMISS Evans Driving Layup19
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 4:47SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)19
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 4:55SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
52.2%
15
47.8%
Q1 - 4:57ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 5:11SASThomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)16
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 5:31ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
47.7%
15
52.3%
Q1 - 5:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 214
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 5:31ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)14
47.4%
14
52.6%
Q1 - 5:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 5:40SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot14
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 5:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
51.9%
13
48.1%
Q1 - 5:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Running Jump Shot14
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 5:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 6:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 6:18ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup14
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 6:33SASDuncan 6' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)14
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 6:53ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)12
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 7:02SASTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)12
49.3%
11
50.7%
Q1 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 7:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot12
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 7:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 7:40ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup12
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 7:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 7:52SASMISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot12
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 8:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 8:01ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot12
54.8%
9
45.2%
Q1 - 8:19SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
53.3%
9
46.7%
Q1 - 8:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMISS Howard Layup10
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 9:04SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
49.2%
9
50.8%
Q1 - 9:22ORLNelson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
47.8%
9
52.2%
Q1 - 9:34SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 9:50ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
47.8%
7
52.2%
Q1 - 9:50ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)6
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 10:08SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 10:22ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 10:22ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 24
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 10:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.4%
4
52.6%
Q1 - 10:31SASMISS Bowen 22' Jump Shot4
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 10:50ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS)4
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 11:04SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
51.3%
2
48.7%
Q1 - 11:19ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)2
49.3%
2
50.7%
Q1 - 11:39SASFinley 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Oberto0
49.3%
0
50.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.23 61.5%
ORL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
11
13
85%
ORL
15
32
47%
Midrange
SAS
22
43
51%
ORL
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
ORL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
SAS
20
26
77%
ORL
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2864%14.0 / 22
M. Finley2480%12.0 / 15
T. Duncan1973%9.5 / 13
B. Bowen1179%5.5 / 7
T. Parker1137%5.5 / 15
J. Vaughn788%3.5 / 4
I. Udoka321%1.5 / 7
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
K. Thomas2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis2480%12.0 / 15
D. Howard2455%12.0 / 22
K. Dooling1968%9.5 / 14
C. Arroyo1757%8.5 / 15
K. Bogans440%2.0 / 5
M. Evans330%1.5 / 5
H. Turkoglu225%1.0 / 4
J. Nelson250%1.0 / 2
J. Redick217%1.0 / 6
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 1
B. Cook0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+6
-10
87
ORL
79
+12
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.23 61.5%
ORL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
111.2
SAS 117.6 +9.8
ORL 107.8
Pace
89.5
93.5
SAS 85.4
ORL 96.3 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
SAS 16.9
ORL 15.0 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
53.7%
SAS 58.8% +8.8%
ORL 50.0%
TO %
13.4%
14.7%
SAS 10.5% +0.4%
ORL 10.9%
ORB %
23.4%
23.4%
SAS 11.4%
ORL 24.4% +13.0%
FTrt
27.6
35.5
SAS 35.1
ORL 39.0 +3.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.8%
SAS 50.0% +7.1%
ORL 42.9%
STL %
7.1%
6.8%
SAS 3.3%
ORL 8.9% +5.6%
BLK %
6.5%
6.2%
SAS 6.6% +3.0%
ORL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.9%
SAS 61.5% +9.3%
ORL 52.2%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.5%
SAS 84.6% +37.7%
ORL 46.9%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.8%
SAS 51.2% +6.4%
ORL 44.8%
3P %
36.9%
38.6%
SAS 38.9%
ORL 43.8% +4.9%
FT %
76.1%
72.1%
SAS 76.9% +10.2%
ORL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
35.5%
SAS 17.6%
ORL 41.6% +24.0%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
32.3%
SAS 58.1%
ORL 37.7% +20.4%
3P Att. %
25.1%
32.2%
SAS 24.3% +3.5%
ORL 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points10797
Rebounds3541
Assists2015
Steals38
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals40-7435-77
At-the-Rim FG11-1315-32
Midrange FG22-4313-29
2-Point FG33-5628-61
3-Point FG7-187-16
Free Throws20-2620-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
42.1
11
79%
2
1
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
38.9
24
80%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
7-9
78%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
34.8
11
37%
6
9
0
0
1
0
0
6
3-5
60%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
34.5
19
73%
15
3
0
4
2
4
2
13
5-6
83%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
11.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
33.3
28
64%
2
5
0
0
3
2
1
1
7-7
100%
9-14
64%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
23.9
3
21%
4
0
2
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
13.2
7
88%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 35
7.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 38
G · 5'10" 171 · 35
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'7" 210 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
62%
35
20
3
4
10
0
4
31
20-26
77%
33-56
59%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.