| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | 23% | 90 | 66 | ||
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 92.9 | 85 | 79.2 |
SEA | 79.5 | 83 | 89.5 |
Scoring Opportunities
HOU
73
+16
-12
89
SEA
65
+25
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
0.89 44.4%
SEA
0.73 36.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | HOU | SEA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 79 100% | 66 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | HOU | Head REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 79 99.9% | 66 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | HOU | MISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 99.9% | 66 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | SEA | Ridnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 79 99.9% | 66 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | SEA | Ridnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 79 99.9% | 65 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | SEA | Dupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | HOU | MISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | HOU | Brooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | HOU | MISS Brooks 19' Jump Shot | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | SEA | Griffin Foul Turnover (P3.T18) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | HOU | Head Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | SEA | MISS Dupree 22' Jump Shot | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | HOU | Marshall STEAL (2 STL) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | SEA | Ridnour 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Durant 4 AST) | 79 99.9% | 64 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | HOU | Petro STEAL (2 STL) | 79 99.9% | 62 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 79 99.9% | 62 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | HOU | MISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 99.9% | 62 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | HOU | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 79 99.9% | 62 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | SEA | MISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 99.9% | 62 0.1% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | HOU | Head 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST) | 79 99.9% | 62 0.1% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | SEA | Marshall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17) | 76 99.8% | 62 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | SEA | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 99.7% | 62 0.3% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | HOU | MISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 99.8% | 62 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 76 99.8% | 62 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:50 | SEA | MISS Griffin 18' Jump Shot | 76 99.8% | 62 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | SEA | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 76 99.7% | 62 0.3% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | HOU | MISS McGrady 5' Jump Shot | 76 99.8% | 62 0.2% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 76 99.7% | 62 0.3% |
| Q4 - 5:15 | SEA | MISS Ridnour 7' Floating Jump Shot | 76 99.7% | 62 0.3% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | SEA | Griffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 76 99.6% | 62 0.4% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | HOU | MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot | 76 99.6% | 62 0.4% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | SEA | Ridnour Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16) | 76 99.7% | 62 0.3% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | HOU | Griffin STEAL (2 STL) | 76 99.6% | 62 0.4% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | SEA | Griffin 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 76 99.6% | 62 0.4% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 76 99.7% | 60 0.3% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | HOU | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 99.7% | 60 0.3% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 76 99.8% | 60 0.2% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | SEA | MISS Durant 16' Jump Shot | 76 99.7% | 60 0.3% |
| Q4 - 7:08 | HOU | Brooks 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST) | 76 99.5% | 60 0.5% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | SEA | Marshall Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 73 99.2% | 60 0.8% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | HOU | Marshall STEAL (1 STL) | 73 99.4% | 58 0.6% |
| Q4 - 7:55 | SEA | Elson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Durant 3 AST) | 73 99.6% | 58 0.4% |
| Q4 - 8:02 | SEA | Durant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 73 99.5% | 56 0.5% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | HOU | MISS Landry 19' Jump Shot | 73 99.5% | 56 0.5% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 73 99.6% | 56 0.4% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | HOU | MISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot | 73 99.5% | 56 0.5% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 73 99.6% | 56 0.4% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | SEA | MISS Durant 6' Jump Shot | 73 99.6% | 56 0.4% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | SEA | Durant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 73 99.5% | 56 0.5% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | SEA | MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 99.6% | 56 0.4% |
| Q4 - 8:52 | HOU | Landry 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST) | 73 99.5% | 56 0.5% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | SEA | Collison Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Watson 4 AST) | 71 99.2% | 56 0.8% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 71 99.4% | 54 0.6% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | HOU | MISS McGrady Layup | 71 99.4% | 54 0.6% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | HOU | Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 71 99.5% | 54 0.5% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | SEA | MISS Durant 14' Jump Shot | 71 99.5% | 54 0.5% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | HOU | Head Foul Turnover (P2.T8) | 71 99.4% | 54 0.6% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | HOU | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 71 99.4% | 54 0.6% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | SEA | MISS Green 19' Jump Shot | 71 99.3% | 54 0.7% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 71 99.2% | 54 0.8% |
| Q4 - 10:31 | HOU | MISS Hayes 12' Jump Shot | 71 99.3% | 54 0.7% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | SEA | Elson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15) | 71 99.4% | 54 0.6% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | HOU | Brooks Reverse Layup (7 PTS) | 71 99.1% | 54 0.9% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 69 98.8% | 54 1.2% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | SEA | MISS Elson 15' Jump Shot | 69 98.8% | 54 1.2% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | SEA | Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 98.6% | 54 1.4% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | HOU | MISS Landry 19' Jump Shot | 69 98.7% | 54 1.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SEA | 69 98.9% | 54 1.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 69 98.6% | 54 1.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SEA | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 98.8% | 54 1.2% |
| Q3 - 0:19.0 | SEA | Watson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 69 98.4% | 54 1.6% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | HOU | Watson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 69 98.5% | 54 1.5% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | SEA | Petro Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14) | 69 98.7% | 54 1.3% |
| Q3 - 0:38.0 | HOU | McGrady 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 69 98.4% | 54 1.6% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | HOU | Brooks Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 67 98.0% | 54 2.0% |
| Q3 - 1:09 | SEA | MISS Watson Jump Shot | 66 97.2% | 54 2.8% |
| Q3 - 1:09 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 66 97.4% | 54 2.6% |
| Q3 - 1:19 | HOU | McGrady 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 66 96.8% | 54 3.2% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 64 96.2% | 54 3.8% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | SEA | MISS Petro 17' Jump Shot | 64 95.9% | 54 4.1% |
| Q3 - 1:59 | HOU | McGrady Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 64 95.4% | 54 4.6% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | HOU | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 94.0% | 54 6.0% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | SEA | MISS Watson 16' Jump Shot | 62 93.6% | 54 6.4% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | HOU | McGrady 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 62 92.8% | 54 7.2% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | SEA | Durant Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13) | 60 91.6% | 54 8.4% |
| Q3 - 2:57 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 60 89.9% | 54 10.1% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | HOU | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 90.4% | 54 9.6% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | SEA | Durant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 60 91.3% | 54 8.7% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | SEA | Durant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 60 89.7% | 54 10.3% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | HOU | MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot | 60 90.2% | 54 9.8% |
| Q3 - 4:05 | SEA | Watson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 60 91.2% | 54 8.8% |
| Q3 - 4:18 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 60 92.3% | 52 7.7% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | HOU | MISS Battier 17' Jump Shot | 60 92.7% | 52 7.3% |
| Q3 - 4:39 | SEA | Durant 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 60 93.6% | 52 6.4% |
| Q3 - 4:42 | SEA | Durant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 60 94.4% | 50 5.6% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | SEA | MISS Petro Layup | 60 95.1% | 50 4.9% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9) | 60 94.4% | 50 5.6% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | HOU | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 94.8% | 50 5.2% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | SEA | Petro Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 60 95.1% | 50 4.9% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | SEA | MISS Petro Free Throw 1 of 2 | 60 95.3% | 49 4.7% |
| Q3 - 5:20 | HOU | McGrady Layup (17 PTS) | 60 95.1% | 49 4.9% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 94.3% | 49 5.7% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | HOU | MISS McGrady 8' Jump Shot | 58 93.6% | 49 6.4% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 58 94.3% | 49 5.7% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | HOU | MISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 93.6% | 49 6.4% |
| Q3 - 5:46 | SEA | Green Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11) | 58 94.3% | 49 5.7% |
| Q3 - 5:57 | HOU | Mutombo Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST) | 58 93.2% | 49 6.8% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | SEA | Petro 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Durant 2 AST) | 56 92.0% | 49 8.0% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 56 93.0% | 47 7.0% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | HOU | Jackson Tip Shot (13 PTS) | 56 93.0% | 47 7.0% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | HOU | MISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 91.1% | 47 8.9% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 54 91.6% | 47 8.4% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | SEA | MISS Watson 22' Jump Shot | 54 91.1% | 47 8.9% |
| Q3 - 7:22 | HOU | McGrady 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST) | 54 90.1% | 47 9.9% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | SEA | Durant Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 52 88.9% | 47 11.1% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | SEA | Durant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 52 87.0% | 47 13.0% |
| Q3 - 7:47 | SEA | MISS Petro 14' Jump Shot | 52 88.4% | 47 11.6% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | HOU | Battier 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST) | 52 87.2% | 47 12.8% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 49 83.6% | 47 16.4% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | SEA | Collison Tip Shot (13 PTS) | 49 83.6% | 47 16.4% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | SEA | MISS Green Layup | 49 86.8% | 45 13.2% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | HOU | Green STEAL (1 STL) | 49 85.3% | 45 14.7% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 49 87.4% | 45 12.6% |
| Q3 - 8:58 | SEA | MISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 86.8% | 45 13.2% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | HOU | Scola Layup (7 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST) | 49 85.6% | 45 14.4% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 47 83.7% | 45 16.3% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | HOU | MISS McGrady Dunk | 47 82.2% | 45 17.8% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | SEA | Watson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 47 83.7% | 45 16.3% |
| Q3 - 9:40 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8) | 47 81.6% | 45 18.4% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | SEA | MISS Petro 9' Jump Shot | 47 83.1% | 45 16.9% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | HOU | McGrady 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 47 82.0% | 45 18.0% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 80.1% | 45 19.9% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | SEA | MISS Collison 20' Jump Shot | 45 79.3% | 45 20.7% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | HOU | McGrady 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST) | 45 77.4% | 45 22.6% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 43 75.1% | 45 24.9% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | SEA | MISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 1 | 43 74.7% | 45 25.3% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | HOU | McGrady 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 43 78.4% | 43 21.6% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | SEA | Collison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 41 76.0% | 43 24.0% |
| Q3 - 11:24 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 41 73.3% | 43 26.7% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | SEA | MISS Petro 19' Jump Shot | 41 75.2% | 43 24.8% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8) | 41 73.2% | 43 26.8% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | HOU | MISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 | 41 73.6% | 43 26.4% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | HOU | Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 41 75.2% | 43 24.8% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | HOU | Mutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 40 73.4% | 43 26.6% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | HOU | MISS Battier Layup | 40 71.4% | 43 28.6% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | SEA | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 40 73.4% | 43 26.6% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | SEA | Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 74.0% | 42 26.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 40 75.8% | 41 24.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 40 78.4% | 41 21.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | HOU | MISS Head 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 76.6% | 41 23.4% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | SEA | Collison 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 3 AST) | 40 78.3% | 41 21.7% |
| Q2 - 0:19.0 | SEA | Dupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 40 81.1% | 39 18.9% |
| Q2 - 0:21.0 | HOU | MISS Scola 6' Jump Shot | 40 81.5% | 39 18.5% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | SEA | Dupree Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 40 82.5% | 39 17.5% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | SEA | Dupree Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 40 83.3% | 38 16.7% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | SEA | Dupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 40 84.8% | 37 15.2% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | SEA | MISS Petro 18' Jump Shot | 40 85.7% | 37 14.3% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | HOU | Head Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 40 84.8% | 37 15.2% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | HOU | MISS Head Free Throw 1 of 2 | 39 84.5% | 37 15.5% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | SEA | Griffin Layup (7 PTS) | 39 84.4% | 37 15.6% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | SEA | Griffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 39 86.5% | 35 13.5% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | SEA | MISS Watson Layup | 39 87.2% | 35 12.8% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | HOU | Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Head 1 AST) | 39 86.5% | 35 13.5% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | SEA | Petro 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 36 82.3% | 35 17.7% |
| Q2 - 1:14 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7) | 36 84.9% | 33 15.1% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | SEA | MISS Durant 6' Jump Shot | 36 85.5% | 33 14.5% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 36 84.9% | 33 15.1% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | HOU | MISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot | 36 85.1% | 33 14.9% |
| Q2 - 1:43 | SEA | Watson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST) | 36 85.7% | 33 14.3% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 36 87.9% | 31 12.1% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | SEA | MISS Griffin Layup | 36 88.4% | 31 11.6% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | HOU | Scola Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T6) | 36 87.5% | 31 12.5% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 36 88.7% | 31 11.3% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | SEA | MISS Petro 4' Jump Shot | 36 88.3% | 31 11.7% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 36 87.5% | 31 12.5% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | SEA | MISS Collison 10' Jump Shot | 36 88.3% | 31 11.7% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | HOU | Battier 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST) | 36 87.5% | 31 12.5% |
| Q2 - 2:44 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 34 85.9% | 31 14.1% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | SEA | MISS Petro 6' Hook Shot | 34 85.5% | 31 14.5% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | SEA | Watson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 84.5% | 31 15.5% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | HOU | MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot | 34 85.0% | 31 15.0% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | SEA | Collison Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 34 86.1% | 31 13.9% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | HOU | McGrady Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 34 84.5% | 31 15.5% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | SEA | Ridnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 32 83.0% | 31 17.0% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | HOU | Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scola 1 AST) | 32 81.0% | 31 19.0% |
| Q2 - 4:18 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 29 77.8% | 31 22.2% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | SEA | MISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 77.2% | 31 22.8% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 29 75.7% | 31 24.3% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | HOU | MISS Landry 5' Jump Shot | 29 76.3% | 31 23.7% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | HOU | Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 77.8% | 31 22.2% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | HOU | MISS Scola 7' Jump Shot | 29 76.3% | 31 23.7% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 29 77.7% | 31 22.3% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | HOU | MISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot | 29 76.3% | 31 23.7% |
| Q2 - 5:03 | HOU | Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 78.2% | 31 21.8% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | SEA | MISS Petro Layup | 29 77.6% | 31 22.4% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 29 76.1% | 31 23.9% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | SEA | MISS Durant Layup | 29 77.6% | 31 22.4% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 29 76.0% | 31 24.0% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | SEA | MISS Collison 6' Jump Shot | 29 77.6% | 31 22.4% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | SEA | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 29 76.0% | 31 24.0% |
| Q2 - 5:29 | HOU | Collison BLOCK (2 BLK) | 29 76.7% | 31 23.3% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | SEA | Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 29 78.2% | 31 21.8% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | SEA | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 29 81.7% | 28 18.3% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | HOU | MISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot | 29 82.2% | 28 17.8% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 29 83.7% | 28 16.3% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | SEA | MISS Elson 18' Jump Shot | 29 83.2% | 28 16.8% |
| Q2 - 6:33 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 29 81.8% | 28 18.2% |
| Q2 - 6:34 | HOU | MISS Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 | 29 82.1% | 28 17.9% |
| Q2 - 6:34 | HOU | MISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 29 83.0% | 28 17.0% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | HOU | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 83.7% | 28 16.3% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | SEA | MISS Green Layup | 29 83.2% | 28 16.8% |
| Q2 - 6:49 | HOU | Griffin STEAL (1 STL) | 29 81.8% | 28 18.2% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | SEA | Green Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5) | 29 83.7% | 28 16.3% |
| Q2 - 7:20 | SEA | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 29 82.1% | 28 17.9% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | HOU | MISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 82.6% | 28 17.4% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | SEA | Collison Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 29 83.7% | 28 16.3% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | SEA | Collison Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 29 84.0% | 27 16.0% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | HOU | Landry Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 29 85.0% | 26 15.0% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | SEA | Griffin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4) | 29 86.3% | 26 13.7% |
| Q2 - 8:20 | SEA | Griffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 29 84.8% | 26 15.2% |
| Q2 - 8:21 | HOU | MISS Landry 18' Jump Shot | 29 85.3% | 26 14.7% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | SEA | Elson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST) | 29 86.3% | 26 13.7% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | SEA | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 29 87.3% | 24 12.7% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | SEA | MISS Collison Layup | 29 88.2% | 24 11.8% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 29 87.3% | 24 12.7% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | SEA | MISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot | 29 88.2% | 24 11.8% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | HOU | Brooks 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 29 87.3% | 24 12.7% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | SEA | Elson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 27 86.3% | 24 13.7% |
| Q2 - 9:53 | SEA | Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 87.3% | 22 12.7% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | HOU | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 87.7% | 22 12.3% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | SEA | Griffin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 27 88.3% | 22 11.7% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | HOU | Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST) | 27 90.1% | 19 9.9% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | SEA | Green 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 24 88.3% | 19 11.7% |
| Q2 - 11:09 | SEA | Griffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 24 89.2% | 17 10.8% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | SEA | MISS Elson 16' Jump Shot | 24 89.8% | 17 10.2% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | HOU | Landry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST) | 24 89.2% | 17 10.8% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | HOU | Landry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 88.2% | 17 11.8% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | SEA | MISS Green 8' Jump Shot | 22 87.9% | 17 12.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | 22 87.2% | 17 12.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | Rockets Rebound | 22 88.2% | 17 11.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | HOU | MISS McGrady 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 87.5% | 17 12.5% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | SEA | Griffin Layup (2 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST) | 22 87.9% | 17 12.1% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 22 89.1% | 15 10.9% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | HOU | MISS Scola 18' Jump Shot | 22 89.4% | 15 10.6% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | HOU | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 89.8% | 15 10.2% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | SEA | MISS Griffin Layup | 22 89.6% | 15 10.4% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | HOU | Brooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 22 89.1% | 15 10.9% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | HOU | Brooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 89.0% | 15 11.0% |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 20 88.0% | 15 12.0% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | SEA | MISS Durant 7' Jump Shot | 20 87.7% | 15 12.3% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | HOU | Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 20 87.2% | 15 12.8% |
| Q1 - 1:33 | SEA | Durant Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST) | 20 88.0% | 15 12.0% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | SEA | Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 20 89.1% | 13 10.9% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | HOU | MISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot | 20 89.4% | 13 10.6% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 20 89.8% | 13 10.2% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | HOU | MISS McGrady Layup | 20 89.4% | 13 10.6% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | SEA | Griffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 20 90.0% | 13 10.0% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | SEA | Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 20 89.2% | 13 10.8% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | SEA | MISS Durant 9' Jump Shot | 20 89.8% | 13 10.2% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 20 89.2% | 13 10.8% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | HOU | MISS McGrady 5' Jump Shot | 20 89.5% | 13 10.5% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | HOU | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 90.0% | 13 10.0% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | SEA | MISS Durant 5' Jump Shot | 20 89.8% | 13 10.2% |
| Q1 - 2:42 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 20 89.2% | 13 10.8% |
| Q1 - 2:44 | SEA | MISS Durant 16' Jump Shot | 20 89.8% | 13 10.2% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | HOU | Scola Layup (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST) | 20 89.0% | 13 11.0% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | SEA | Collison Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 18 88.2% | 13 11.8% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 18 89.8% | 10 10.2% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | SEA | MISS Petro 15' Jump Shot | 18 90.4% | 10 9.6% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 18 89.8% | 10 10.2% |
| Q1 - 3:43 | HOU | MISS Hayes 7' Jump Shot | 18 90.1% | 10 9.9% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | HOU | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 90.7% | 10 9.3% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | SEA | MISS Collison 5' Jump Shot | 18 90.5% | 10 9.5% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 18 89.9% | 10 10.1% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | SEA | MISS Petro 19' Jump Shot | 18 90.5% | 10 9.5% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 18 89.9% | 10 10.1% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 17 89.7% | 10 10.3% |
| Q1 - 4:32 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 89.2% | 10 10.8% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | SEA | MISS Watson 20' Jump Shot | 16 88.9% | 10 11.1% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | HOU | Collison STEAL (1 STL) | 16 88.1% | 10 11.9% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | SEA | Petro 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 2 AST) | 16 89.2% | 10 10.8% |
| Q1 - 5:08 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 16 89.8% | 8 10.2% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | HOU | MISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot | 16 90.1% | 8 9.9% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | HOU | Mutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 90.6% | 8 9.4% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | SEA | MISS Durant 10' Jump Shot | 16 90.4% | 8 9.6% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | HOU | McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 16 89.8% | 8 10.2% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | HOU | MISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 89.7% | 8 10.3% |
| Q1 - 5:41 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 89.9% | 8 10.1% |
| Q1 - 5:43 | SEA | MISS Durant 17' Jump Shot | 15 89.7% | 8 10.3% |
| Q1 - 5:58 | HOU | Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 15 89.0% | 8 11.0% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | HOU | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 87.2% | 8 12.8% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | SEA | MISS Collison 18' Jump Shot | 12 86.9% | 8 13.1% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | HOU | Mutombo Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 12 86.2% | 8 13.8% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | HOU | Mutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 85.3% | 8 14.7% |
| Q1 - 6:43 | HOU | Collison BLOCK (1 BLK) | 10 84.5% | 8 15.5% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | SEA | Petro 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST) | 10 85.3% | 8 14.7% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | SEA | SUPERSONICS Rebound | 10 86.2% | 6 13.8% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | HOU | MISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot | 10 86.5% | 6 13.5% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 87.2% | 6 12.8% |
| Q1 - 7:20 | SEA | MISS Green 14' Jump Shot | 10 86.9% | 6 13.1% |
| Q1 - 7:34 | HOU | Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST) | 10 86.2% | 6 13.8% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | HOU | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 84.4% | 6 15.6% |
| Q1 - 7:47 | SEA | MISS Durant 16' Jump Shot | 7 84.1% | 6 15.9% |
| Q1 - 7:58 | SEA | Watson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 7 83.3% | 6 16.7% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | SEA | MISS Collison 18' Jump Shot | 7 84.1% | 6 15.9% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | HOU | McGrady 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 7 83.8% | 6 16.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | SEA | Green Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 5 82.9% | 6 17.1% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | SEA | Green Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 5 83.1% | 5 16.9% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | SEA | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 5 83.8% | 4 16.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | SEA | MISS Durant 8' Jump Shot | 5 84.6% | 4 15.4% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 5 83.8% | 4 16.2% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | HOU | MISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot | 5 84.1% | 4 15.9% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | SEA | Petro 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 84.9% | 4 15.1% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 5 85.6% | 2 14.4% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | SEA | MISS Green 17' Jump Shot | 5 86.4% | 2 13.6% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | HOU | Scola 6' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 5 85.6% | 2 14.4% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | SEA | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 3 84.9% | 2 15.1% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 3 83.7% | 2 16.3% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | HOU | MISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 2 | 3 83.9% | 2 16.1% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | HOU | Scola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 84.4% | 2 15.6% |
| Q1 - 9:56 | HOU | Mutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 84.0% | 2 16.0% |
| Q1 - 9:57 | SEA | MISS Durant 16' Jump Shot | 2 83.6% | 2 16.4% |
| Q1 - 10:03 | HOU | Petro STEAL (1 STL) | 2 82.7% | 2 17.3% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | HOU | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 83.9% | 2 16.1% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | HOU | MISS Scola 7' Jump Shot | 2 83.1% | 2 16.9% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | SEA | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 83.9% | 2 16.1% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | SEA | Petro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 82.7% | 2 17.3% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | HOU | MISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot | 2 83.0% | 2 17.0% |
| Q1 - 11:09 | SEA | Collison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 83.8% | 2 16.2% |
| Q1 - 11:09 | SEA | Collison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 2 84.0% | 1 16.0% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | SEA | Collison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 84.9% | 0 15.1% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | SEA | MISS Petro 13' Jump Shot | 2 85.5% | 0 14.5% |
| Q1 - 11:45 | HOU | Jackson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST) | 2 84.9% | 0 15.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | SEA | Jump Ball Petro vs. Mutombo: Tip to Scola | 0 83.8% | 0 16.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
0.89 44.4%
SEA
0.73 36.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
9
19
47%
SEA
8
21
38%
Midrange
HOU
14
36
39%
SEA
16
56
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
SEA
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
Free Throws
HOU
9
15
60%
SEA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Rockets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McGrady | 25 | 43% | 12.5 / 29 | |
| B. Jackson | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| S. Battier | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| A. Brooks | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| L. Scola | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
| D. Mutombo | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| L. Head | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| C. Landry | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| C. Hayes | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| S. Novak | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| SuperSonics
| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collison | 15 | 54% | 7.5 / 14 | |
| J. Petro | 11 | 31% | 5.5 / 18 | |
| A. Griffin | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| L. Ridnour | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| J. Green | 6 | 30% | 3.0 / 10 | |
| F. Elson | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| K. Durant | 4 | 12% | 2.0 / 17 | |
| E. Watson | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| D. Marshall | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| R. Dupree | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
HOU
73
+16
-12
89
SEA
65
+25
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
HOU
0.89 44.4%
SEA
0.73 36.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.4 100.6 | HOU 92.9 +13.4 SEA 79.5 |
| Pace | 90.7 96.3 | HOU 79.2 SEA 89.5 +10.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 14.5 | HOU 18.2 SEA 16.1 +2.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.2% 46.7% | HOU 44.9% +14.2% SEA 30.7% |
| TO % | 14.4% 15.7% | HOU 13.3% +3.3% SEA 16.6% |
| ORB % | 29.1% 26.9% | HOU 27.9% SEA 41.2% +13.3% |
| FTrt | 27.6 26.5 | HOU 19.2 SEA 20.5 +1.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.5% 55.9% | HOU 58.1% +6.1% SEA 52.0% |
| STL % | 8.0% 6.7% | HOU 8.2% SEA 9.6% +1.4% |
| BLK % | 7.8% 7.2% | HOU 5.2% SEA 5.5% +0.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.2% 49.7% | HOU 44.4% +8.1% SEA 36.3% |
| Rim FG% | 57.9% 56.7% | HOU 47.4% +9.3% SEA 38.1% |
| Mid FG% | 40.6% 39.5% | HOU 38.9% +10.3% SEA 28.6% |
| 3P % | 34.2% 33.3% | HOU 34.8% +18.1% SEA 16.7% |
| FT % | 72.6% 77.0% | HOU 60.0% SEA 88.2% +28.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 33.9% 33.4% | HOU 24.4% SEA 25.3% +0.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 40.6% 53.2% | HOU 46.2% +21.3% SEA 67.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 25.5% 13.4% | HOU 29.5% +22.3% SEA 7.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.
| Game Totals | HOU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 83 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.8 | 22.3 |
| Points | 79 | 66 |
| Rebounds | 42 | 52 |
| Assists | 18 | 13 |
| Steals | 7 | 8 |
| Blocks | 4 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (1) | 18 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (4) | 21 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (5) | 31 (3) |
| Field Goals | 31-78 | 25-83 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-19 | 8-21 |
| Midrange FG | 14-36 | 16-56 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-55 | 24-77 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-23 | 1-6 |
| Free Throws | 9-15 | 15-17 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.