Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 21, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Magic | 69% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 36% | 99 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Nets | 41% | 101 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Knicks | 60% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Heat | 29% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 40% | 92 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 11% | 94 | 105 | |
 | 2 | Lakers | 89% | 110 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, March 20, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 60% | 93 | 102 |
 | 16 | Bulls | 40% | 90 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 54% | 94 | 94 |
 | 9 | Mavericks | 46% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 43% | 103 | 106 |
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Wednesday, March 19, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 15% | 88 | 54 |
| 14 | Raptors | 85% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 47% | 99 | 113 |
| 18 | 76ers | 53% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 30% | 98 | 87 |
| 7 | Magic | 70% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bobcats | 46% | 101 | 95 |
| 23 | Pacers | 54% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Pistons | 49% | 91 | 73 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 51% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 39% | 90 | 69 |
| 8 | Hornets | 61% | 94 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 39% | 96 | 94 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 61% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | SuperSonics | 29% | 101 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 61% | 104 | 116 |
| 26 | Clippers | 39% | 100 | 100 |
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 31% | 95 | 120 |
| 2 | Pistons | 69% | 102 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Heat | 36% | 95 | 112 |
 | 27 | Bucks | 64% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 41% | 94 | 96 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 59% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 38% | 86 | 94 |
| 5 | Rockets | 62% | 90 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 51% | 101 | 102 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 49% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 53% | 105 | 105 |
| 18 | Kings | 47% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 53% | 101 | 111 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 100 | 98 |
Monday, March 17, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 33% | 94 | 105 |
| 15 | Wizards | 67% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 30% | 95 | 90 |
| 7 | Magic | 70% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 31% | 98 | 98 |
| 23 | Pacers | 69% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 51% | 100 | 80 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 49% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 33% | 92 | 97 |
| 8 | Hornets | 67% | 97 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 43% | 94 | 90 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 57% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 42% | 86 | 93 |
| 1 | Spurs | 58% | 89 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 22% | 95 | 79 |
| 6 | Jazz | 78% | 105 | 96 |
Sunday, March 16, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 75% | 99 | 98 |
| 29 | Heat | 25% | 91 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 52% | 96 | 109 |
| 24 | Knicks | 48% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 33% | 89 | 84 | |
| 1 | Pistons | 67% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 30% | 91 | 91 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 70% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 43% | 96 | 92 |
| 6 | Rockets | 57% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 16% | 97 | 116 | |
| 12 | Nuggets | 84% | 110 | 168 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 53% | 98 | 100 |
| 20 | Kings | 47% | 97 | 106 |
Saturday, March 15, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 60% | 91 | 96 |
| 19 | 76ers | 40% | 87 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 24% | 92 | 109 |
| 17 | Wizards | 76% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 21% | 100 | 111 |
| 7 | Magic | 79% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 60% | 102 | 115 |
| 20 | Nets | 40% | 99 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 99 | 99 |
| 25 | Bucks | 27% | 91 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 28% | 101 | 99 |
| 10 | Suns | 72% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 24% | 90 | 96 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 16% | 100 | 107 |
| 8 | Warriors | 84% | 112 | 110 |
Friday, March 14, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 35% | 95 | 110 |
| 2 | Celtics | 65% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 33% | 92 | 93 |
| 21 | Hawks | 67% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 72% | 103 | 103 |
| 28 | Heat | 28% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 41% | 86 | 80 |
| 4 | Pistons | 59% | 89 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 54% | 101 | 98 |
| 10 | Hornets | 46% | 100 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 45% | 92 | 110 |
| 16 | Bulls | 55% | 93 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 20% | 87 | 80 |
| 6 | Rockets | 80% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 26% | 97 | 97 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 74% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 37% | 99 | 105 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 121 |
| 30 | SuperSonics | 49% | 97 | 116 | |
Thursday, March 13, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 47% | 94 | 99 |
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 97 | 85 |
| 18 | Kings | 55% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 115 |
| 11 | Suns | 63% | 111 | 123 |
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 62% | 95 | 83 |
| 20 | Hawks | 38% | 91 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 19% | 93 | 88 |
| 7 | Magic | 81% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 5% | 84 | 82 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 95% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 58% | 95 | 99 |
| 22 | Nets | 42% | 93 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 46% | 95 | 91 |
| 27 | Heat | 54% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 26% | 85 | 83 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 71% | 105 | 114 |
| 24 | Bucks | 29% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 92 | 75 |
| 10 | Hornets | 48% | 91 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 28% | 93 | 93 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 72% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 13% | 96 | 86 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 87% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 31% | 99 | 106 |
| 8 | Warriors | 69% | 106 | 117 |
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 32% | 95 | 97 |
| 19 | Wizards | 68% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 31% | 99 | 107 | |
| 23 | Pacers | 69% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 95 | 103 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 46% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 60% | 100 | 96 |
| 18 | Bulls | 40% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 16% | 98 | 111 |
| 8 | Suns | 84% | 111 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 24% | 96 | 108 |
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 105 | 117 |
Monday, March 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 69% | 94 | 100 |
| 15 | 76ers | 31% | 87 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 27% | 96 | 112 |
| 8 | Magic | 73% | 103 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 91 | 80 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 66% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 45% | 92 | 99 |
| 25 | Heat | 55% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 19% | 87 | 73 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 81% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 20% | 90 | 79 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 80% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 34% | 94 | 103 |
| 3 | Spurs | 66% | 99 | 107 |
Sunday, March 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | SuperSonics | 18% | 91 | 106 | |
| 14 | Raptors | 82% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 58% | 97 | 119 |
| 25 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 48% | 99 | 87 |
| 7 | Suns | 52% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 27% | 88 | 109 |
| 6 | Pistons | 73% | 96 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 18% | 97 | 114 |
| 2 | Lakers | 82% | 109 | 113 |
Saturday, March 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 28% | 97 | 95 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 72% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 39% | 95 | 100 |
| 21 | Wizards | 61% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 35% | 93 | 94 |
| 18 | Hawks | 65% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 34% | 104 | 104 |
| 11 | Magic | 66% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 96 | 120 |
| 27 | Knicks | 42% | 94 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 100 | 119 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 20% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 30% | 89 | 96 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 20% | 90 | 91 | |
| 8 | Mavericks | 80% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 35% | 102 | 105 |
| 5 | Jazz | 65% | 107 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 40% | 92 | 99 |
| 26 | Clippers | 60% | 95 | 96 |