FinalWin Prob.pScore
1234%94
103
366%99
107
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
105.198105.6
SAS logo SAS
111.59689.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS103
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Iverson 2' Driving Reverse Layup100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASSPURS Rebound100
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)100
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)100
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)100
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Martin 6' Running Jump Shot100
1.9%
104
98.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
6.4%
104
93.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
4.0%
104
96.0%
Q4 - 1:00SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)100
7.5%
104
92.5%
Q4 - 1:18SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
13.3%
102
86.7%
Q4 - 1:18DENMISS Iverson 11' Jump Shot100
15.7%
102
84.3%
Q4 - 1:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)100
23.4%
102
76.6%
Q4 - 1:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)100
26.0%
101
74.0%
Q4 - 1:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)100
33.0%
100
67.0%
Q4 - 1:49SASMISS Bowen 7' Jump Shot100
41.5%
100
58.5%
Q4 - 1:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)100
33.0%
100
67.0%
Q4 - 1:58SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot100
41.5%
100
58.5%
Q4 - 2:18DENMartin 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)100
31.1%
100
68.9%
Q4 - 2:36SASParker 1' Layup (16 PTS)98
26.1%
100
73.9%
Q4 - 2:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)98
30.8%
98
69.2%
Q4 - 2:43DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot98
35.5%
98
64.5%
Q4 - 3:05SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)98
45.8%
98
54.2%
Q4 - 3:27DENSmith 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)98
51.8%
96
48.2%
Q4 - 3:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)96
42.6%
96
57.4%
Q4 - 3:43SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot96
39.8%
96
60.2%
Q4 - 4:00DENIverson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)96
33.5%
96
66.5%
Q4 - 4:15SASDuncan 2' Dunk (21 PTS) (Ginobili 14 AST)96
42.9%
96
57.1%
Q4 - 4:28DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
51.8%
94
48.2%
Q4 - 4:28DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
50.2%
94
49.8%
Q4 - 4:44DENNuggets Rebound94
43.0%
94
57.0%
Q4 - 4:45SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot94
40.0%
94
60.0%
Q4 - 5:01DENBowen STEAL (2 STL)94
33.1%
94
66.9%
Q4 - 5:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)94
41.3%
94
58.7%
Q4 - 5:11SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot94
38.7%
94
61.3%
Q4 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)94
33.2%
94
66.8%
Q4 - 5:30SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 294
40.2%
94
59.8%
Q4 - 5:30SASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
35.0%
94
65.0%
Q4 - 5:30SASSPURS Rebound94
41.0%
93
59.0%
Q4 - 5:30DENMISS Iverson 17' Fadeaway Bank Shot94
43.6%
93
56.4%
Q4 - 5:51SASUdoka 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)94
49.7%
93
50.3%
Q4 - 6:12DENIverson 15' Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
54.3%
91
45.7%
Q4 - 6:31SASUdoka 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)92
47.9%
91
52.1%
Q4 - 6:51DENNajera 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)92
54.5%
89
45.5%
Q4 - 7:05SASUdoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)90
46.4%
89
53.6%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Udoka Free Throw 1 of 290
47.8%
88
52.2%
Q4 - 7:25DENSmith 3' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)90
45.6%
88
54.4%
Q4 - 7:32DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
39.7%
88
60.3%
Q4 - 7:34DENBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)88
34.6%
88
65.4%
Q4 - 7:48SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
39.7%
88
60.3%
Q4 - 7:48SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
41.2%
87
58.8%
Q4 - 7:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
45.6%
86
54.4%
Q4 - 7:54DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
48.0%
86
52.0%
Q4 - 8:03DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
51.4%
86
48.6%
Q4 - 8:06SASMISS Udoka 2' Layup88
49.5%
86
50.5%
Q4 - 8:27DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)88
45.0%
86
55.0%
Q4 - 8:27DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)87
44.0%
86
56.0%
Q4 - 8:34SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)86
39.0%
86
61.0%
Q4 - 8:56DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
32.9%
86
67.1%
Q4 - 8:56DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
31.5%
86
68.5%
Q4 - 9:01DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
27.9%
86
72.1%
Q4 - 9:02SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot84
26.3%
86
73.7%
Q4 - 9:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
23.1%
86
76.9%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot84
24.5%
86
75.5%
Q4 - 9:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
27.8%
86
72.2%
Q4 - 9:29SASMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot84
26.3%
86
73.7%
Q4 - 9:41SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
23.1%
86
76.9%
Q4 - 9:42DENMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
24.5%
86
75.5%
Q4 - 9:54DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
27.8%
86
72.2%
Q4 - 9:55SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot84
26.3%
86
73.7%
Q4 - 10:05SASSPURS Rebound84
23.4%
86
76.6%
Q4 - 10:05SASMISS Thomas 2' Layup84
26.6%
86
73.4%
Q4 - 10:09SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
23.4%
86
76.6%
Q4 - 10:10DENBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)84
24.8%
86
75.2%
Q4 - 10:25SASThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)84
28.1%
86
71.9%
Q4 - 10:48DENIverson 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)84
23.4%
86
76.6%
Q4 - 11:03SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)82
20.5%
86
79.5%
Q4 - 11:25DENIverson 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
17.0%
86
83.0%
Q4 - 11:38DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q4 - 11:39SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 180
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN80
16.9%
84
83.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound80
20.4%
84
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 42' 3PT Jump Shot80
17.9%
84
82.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
17.7%
84
82.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 279
17.1%
84
82.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 2 of 279
17.2%
84
82.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
15.2%
84
84.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)79
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)79
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q3 - 1:01DENSmith Driving Dunk (14 PTS)79
28.3%
80
71.7%
Q3 - 1:08DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
24.7%
80
75.3%
Q3 - 1:08SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot77
23.5%
80
76.5%
Q3 - 1:16SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
21.1%
80
78.9%
Q3 - 1:17DENMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot77
22.2%
80
77.8%
Q3 - 1:37SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)77
24.7%
80
75.3%
Q3 - 1:54SASSPURS Rebound77
32.5%
77
67.5%
Q3 - 1:55DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)77
33.9%
77
66.1%
Q3 - 2:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
36.4%
77
63.6%
Q3 - 2:08SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
35.0%
77
65.0%
Q3 - 2:26DENAnthony 3' Running Bank Shot (16 PTS)77
31.9%
77
68.1%
Q3 - 2:35DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Bonner 5' Jump Shot75
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q3 - 2:51SASFinley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)75
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q3 - 2:51DENAnthony Backcourt Turnover (P2.T13)75
28.0%
76
72.0%
Q3 - 2:59SASBonner 2' Layup (6 PTS)75
32.3%
76
67.7%
Q3 - 3:00SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
36.1%
74
63.9%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup75
39.2%
74
60.8%
Q3 - 3:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)75
36.1%
74
63.9%
Q3 - 3:06DENMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot75
37.5%
74
62.5%
Q3 - 3:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
40.6%
74
59.4%
Q3 - 3:32SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
41.6%
73
58.4%
Q3 - 3:37SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
44.7%
72
55.3%
Q3 - 3:37DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 275
45.3%
72
54.7%
Q3 - 3:37DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 275
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 3:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
49.5%
72
50.5%
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Parker 2' Layup75
48.0%
72
52.0%
Q3 - 4:09DENSmith Inbound Turnover (P3.T12)75
43.5%
72
56.5%
Q3 - 4:22SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)75
48.5%
72
51.5%
Q3 - 4:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
52.3%
70
47.8%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Iverson 11' Jump Shot75
53.8%
70
46.2%
Q3 - 4:55SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 12 AST)75
57.2%
70
42.8%
Q3 - 5:23DENIverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)75
59.8%
68
40.2%
Q3 - 5:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)72
51.9%
68
48.1%
Q3 - 5:37SASDuncan 2' Layup (19 PTS)72
51.9%
68
48.1%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Parker 3' Layup72
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q3 - 5:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
55.7%
66
44.3%
Q3 - 5:46DENMISS Camby 3' Layup72
57.1%
66
42.9%
Q3 - 5:47DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
60.1%
66
39.9%
Q3 - 5:48DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot72
57.1%
66
42.9%
Q3 - 6:00DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
60.1%
66
39.9%
Q3 - 6:01SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
57.3%
66
42.7%
Q3 - 6:13SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)72
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 6:13DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)72
58.4%
65
41.6%
Q3 - 6:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
59.6%
65
40.4%
Q3 - 6:20DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 6:21DENMISS Martin 5' Jump Shot72
59.7%
65
40.3%
Q3 - 6:36DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
62.6%
65
37.4%
Q3 - 6:37SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot72
61.3%
65
38.7%
Q3 - 7:02DENCarter 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)72
57.0%
65
43.0%
Q3 - 7:06SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)70
53.8%
65
46.2%
Q3 - 7:26DENIverson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)70
49.4%
65
50.6%
Q3 - 7:45SASDuncan 3' Layup (17 PTS)68
46.1%
65
53.9%
Q3 - 7:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
49.4%
63
50.6%
Q3 - 7:58DENMISS Carter 2' Reverse Layup68
50.8%
63
49.2%
Q3 - 8:17SASGinobili 3' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
53.2%
63
46.8%
Q3 - 8:37DENMartin 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)68
56.5%
61
43.5%
Q3 - 8:55SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)66
53.2%
61
46.8%
Q3 - 9:19SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 9:20DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 166
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q3 - 9:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q3 - 9:22DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)64
41.9%
61
58.1%
Q3 - 9:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 9:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
45.5%
60
54.5%
Q3 - 9:48DENCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)64
44.4%
60
55.6%
Q3 - 10:06SASThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T6)61
37.0%
60
63.0%
Q3 - 10:21DENCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)61
33.3%
60
66.7%
Q3 - 10:43SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 11 AST)58
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 10:59DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)58
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q3 - 11:02DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
33.2%
58
66.8%
Q3 - 11:03SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 11:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 11:09DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot58
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 11:27SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
33.2%
58
66.8%
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q3 - 11:42DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot58
40.6%
55
59.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASUdoka 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)58
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0DENIverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)52
35.7%
51
64.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot52
43.6%
48
56.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENNuggets Rebound52
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot52
43.6%
48
56.4%
Q2 - 1:08DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
44.5%
48
55.5%
Q2 - 1:09SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot52
44.0%
48
56.0%
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 1:25DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q2 - 1:47SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 10 AST)50
38.3%
48
61.7%
Q2 - 1:52DENThomas STEAL (1 STL)50
42.9%
46
57.1%
Q2 - 1:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Duncan 2' Dunk50
44.1%
46
55.9%
Q2 - 2:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
41.7%
46
58.3%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Thomas 4' Jump Shot50
43.7%
46
56.3%
Q2 - 2:13DENAnthony 2' Layup (14 PTS)50
41.7%
46
58.3%
Q2 - 2:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
38.5%
46
61.5%
Q2 - 2:15DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)48
36.6%
46
63.4%
Q2 - 2:38SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
38.5%
46
61.5%
Q2 - 2:38SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
39.4%
45
60.6%
Q2 - 2:44DENMartin 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)48
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q2 - 2:50SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)46
38.5%
44
61.5%
Q2 - 3:08DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
35.1%
44
64.9%
Q2 - 3:08DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
34.6%
44
65.4%
Q2 - 3:25SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T4)44
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 3:39DENAnthony 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)44
29.9%
44
70.1%
Q2 - 3:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
27.7%
44
72.3%
Q2 - 3:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
28.3%
43
71.7%
Q2 - 4:15DENUdoka STEAL (1 STL)42
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 4:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot42
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 4:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 4:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 5:02DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 5:02DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 241
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 5:08SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Martin: Tip to Smith41
34.6%
40
65.4%
Q2 - 5:08SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot41
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q2 - 5:36DENSmith 1' Dunk (11 PTS)41
31.9%
40
68.1%
Q2 - 5:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 5:45SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
28.9%
40
71.1%
Q2 - 6:04DENAnthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 6:14DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot37
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 6:29DENMartin 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 6:39SASStoudamire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 6:50DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)35
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 7:06SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)33
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 7:26DENKleiza 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)33
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 7:50SASStoudamire 3' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)31
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 8:07DENSmith 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)31
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 8:10DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 8:12SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot29
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 8:31DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T7)29
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 8:38DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Bonner 20' Jump Shot29
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 8:51DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)29
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 9:07SASBonner 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)29
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 9:23SASSPURS Rebound29
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 9:24DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 9:34DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 9:35SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 9:45SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 9:46DENMISS Kleiza 3' Layup29
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 9:49DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 9:50DENMISS Kleiza 2' Layup29
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 10:07SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
23.6%
33
76.4%
Q2 - 10:32DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 10:46SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)26
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 10:56SASJump Ball Bonner vs. Najera: Tip to Finley26
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 11:08DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)26
25.1%
29
74.9%
Q2 - 11:09SASMISS Udoka 14' Jump Shot26
24.6%
29
75.4%
Q2 - 11:17DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)26
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 11:27SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)26
25.1%
29
74.9%
Q2 - 11:41DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)26
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q2 - 11:46DENNuggets Rebound23
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q2 - 11:47DENMISS Smith 2' Layup23
22.2%
27
77.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS23
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENOberto STEAL (1 STL)23
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASOberto 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)23
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)23
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot23
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENMISS Iverson 8' Jump Shot23
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)23
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot23
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 1:10DENAnthony 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)23
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 1:24DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)21
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 1:25SASMISS Udoka 17' Jump Shot21
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q1 - 1:41DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)21
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q1 - 1:53SASUdoka 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)19
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 1:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 1:57SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 2:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 2:09SASMISS Udoka 14' Jump Shot19
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 2:36DENSmith 2' Layup (4 PTS)19
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 2:54SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)17
20.2%
23
79.8%
Q1 - 3:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)17
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 3:03DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot17
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 3:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 3:16SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:31DENSmith 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 3:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)15
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 3:40SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot15
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 3:51SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Camby: Tip to15
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 3:51SASUdoka Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 3:51SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 215
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 3:56DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot15
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 4:07SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)15
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 4:17DENMartin 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)15
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 4:28SASDuncan 3' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)13
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 4:55DENCarter 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)13
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 4:59SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 5:11DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 5:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 5:17SASMISS Parker 2' Layup11
21.5%
16
78.5%
Q1 - 5:33DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)11
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 5:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
19.2%
16
80.8%
Q1 - 5:42SASMISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot9
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 6:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 6:03DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot9
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 6:18SASParker 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
19.3%
16
80.7%
Q1 - 6:25SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 6:26DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot9
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 6:41SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)9
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 6:51DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 6:53SASThomas 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)9
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 7:10DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:10DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 7:15SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 7:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot7
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 7:33DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)7
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 7:46SASThomas 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)5
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 8:13DENAnthony 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 8:25DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 8:26SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 8:43DENIverson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 8:53DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 8:54SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot1
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 9:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 9:07DENMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot1
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 9:32SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)1
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 9:53DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Bank Shot1
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 10:09SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)1
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:27DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:27DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 20
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:28DENMISS Carter 1' Reverse Layup0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:48DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:49SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:57SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:58DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 11:15SASThomas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:31DENMISS Martin 7' Running Hook Shot0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot0
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Camby: Tip to Thomas0
27.5%
0
72.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
SAS
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
25
36
69%
SAS
18
31
58%
Midrange
DEN
9
33
27%
SAS
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
SAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
DEN
17
23
74%
SAS
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2856%14.0 / 25
J. Smith2273%11.0 / 15
C. Anthony1856%9.0 / 16
K. Martin1647%8.0 / 17
A. Carter1071%5.0 / 7
E. Najera450%2.0 / 4
M. Camby325%1.5 / 6
L. Kleiza225%1.0 / 4
C. Atkins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2357%11.5 / 20
T. Parker1650%8.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1354%6.5 / 12
K. Thomas1372%6.5 / 9
B. Bowen1161%5.5 / 9
M. Bonner1056%5.0 / 9
I. Udoka938%4.5 / 11
M. Finley867%4.0 / 6
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
D. Stoudamire2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+14
-15
97
SAS
85
+11
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
SAS
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
106.5
DEN 105.1
SAS 111.5 +6.4
Pace
99.4
89.5
DEN 105.6 +16.1
SAS 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.5
DEN 13.6 +2.5
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
50.4%
DEN 50.6%
SAS 50.6%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
DEN 14.4%
SAS 11.0% +3.4%
ORB %
25.6%
23.4%
DEN 27.5% +5.3%
SAS 22.2%
FTrt
35.8
27.6
DEN 27.1
SAS 34.5 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
58.5%
DEN 45.0%
SAS 67.5% +22.5%
STL %
9.1%
7.1%
DEN 7.1%
SAS 8.3% +1.2%
BLK %
9.9%
6.5%
DEN 5.7%
SAS 7.2% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.8%
DEN 52.6%
SAS 54.0% +1.4%
Rim FG%
60.7%
60.6%
DEN 69.4% +11.3%
SAS 58.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.4%
DEN 27.3%
SAS 43.6% +16.3%
3P %
35.5%
36.9%
DEN 37.5% +1.8%
SAS 35.7%
FT %
75.1%
76.1%
DEN 73.9%
SAS 75.9% +2.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
30.8%
DEN 42.4% +5.4%
SAS 36.9%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
44.1%
DEN 38.8% +7.6%
SAS 46.4%
3P Att. %
22.8%
25.1%
DEN 18.8% +2.2%
SAS 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points103107
Rebounds4639
Assists1827
Steals78
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals40-8540-84
At-the-Rim FG25-3618-31
Midrange FG9-3317-39
2-Point FG34-6935-70
3-Point FG6-165-14
Free Throws17-2322-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 33
42.9
28
56%
5
4
1
1
2
2
0
5
7-7
100%
6-16
38%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
39.6
18
56%
7
4
0
0
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
30.8
16
47%
5
0
2
1
1
5
2
3
2-5
40%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 34
28.9
3
25%
14
4
0
0
2
2
3
11
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
19.4
10
71%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
28.6
22
73%
6
1
1
1
4
4
2
4
3-5
60%
8-9
89%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
22.9
4
50%
2
2
1
1
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 23
14.8
2
25%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 34
12.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
G · 6'0" 177 · 21
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
46
18
7
4
15
0
11
35
17-23
74%
34-69
49%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.