FinalWin Prob.pScore
662%95
83
2038%91
75
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
93.38975.7
ATL logo ATL
85.288106.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUATL
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU83
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLWilliams Running Dunk (8 PTS)83
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)83
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)83
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)82
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)81
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 1:13ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)81
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 1:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 1:20HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 1:39HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 1:41ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper81
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 1:52HOUMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)81
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 2:15ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)78
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 2:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:9 Def:13)78
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 2:25HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 278
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q4 - 2:25HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)78
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 2:39HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 2:40ATLMISS Smith 30' 3PT Jump Shot77
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 2:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q4 - 2:45ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot77
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 3:02HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 3:23HOUScola REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)75
94.7%
70
5.3%
Q4 - 3:24ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot75
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 3:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:9 Def:12)75
90.7%
70
9.3%
Q4 - 3:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
90.7%
70
9.3%
Q4 - 3:28ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot75
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 3:30ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot75
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 3:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)75
88.9%
70
11.1%
Q4 - 3:41HOUScola Putback Layup (7 PTS)75
88.9%
70
11.1%
Q4 - 3:43HOUMISS Alston Running Layup73
81.1%
70
18.9%
Q4 - 3:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)73
85.0%
70
15.0%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Bibby Driving Layup73
83.4%
70
16.6%
Q4 - 4:07HOUHayes Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)73
79.4%
70
20.6%
Q4 - 4:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)71
73.0%
70
27.0%
Q4 - 4:23HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
73.0%
70
27.0%
Q4 - 4:23HOUMISS McGrady Tip Shot71
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q4 - 4:25HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
73.0%
70
27.0%
Q4 - 4:25HOUMISS McGrady Tip Shot71
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q4 - 4:26HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup71
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q4 - 4:38HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
73.0%
70
27.0%
Q4 - 4:40HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot71
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q4 - 5:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)71
73.1%
70
26.9%
Q4 - 5:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)71
74.3%
69
25.7%
Q4 - 5:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)71
78.2%
68
21.8%
Q4 - 5:11HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot71
79.9%
68
20.1%
Q4 - 5:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q4 - 5:32ATLJohnson Tip Shot (26 PTS)71
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot71
90.0%
66
10.0%
Q4 - 5:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)71
87.6%
66
12.4%
Q4 - 5:41HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot71
88.7%
66
11.3%
Q4 - 5:52HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
90.9%
66
9.1%
Q4 - 5:53ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot71
90.0%
66
10.0%
Q4 - 6:13HOUMcGrady 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)71
86.0%
66
14.0%
Q4 - 6:17HOUScola REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)69
82.6%
66
17.4%
Q4 - 6:18HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
78.9%
66
21.1%
Q4 - 6:38HOURockets Rebound69
82.7%
66
17.3%
Q4 - 6:39ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot69
81.1%
66
18.9%
Q4 - 6:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
77.1%
66
22.9%
Q4 - 6:52HOUMISS McGrady 19' Fadeaway Jumper69
78.9%
66
21.1%
Q4 - 7:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)69
81.7%
66
18.3%
Q4 - 7:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)69
82.4%
65
17.6%
Q4 - 7:28HOUAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
85.1%
64
14.9%
Q4 - 7:52ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)66
77.3%
64
22.7%
Q4 - 8:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
80.2%
62
19.8%
Q4 - 8:05HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot66
81.4%
62
18.6%
Q4 - 8:16HOUBattier Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)66
84.0%
62
16.0%
Q4 - 8:16ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T13)65
80.3%
62
19.7%
Q4 - 8:25HOUJackson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
75.9%
62
24.1%
Q4 - 8:37HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
71.0%
62
29.0%
Q4 - 8:39HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup63
67.1%
62
32.9%
Q4 - 8:50ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
71.0%
62
29.0%
Q4 - 8:57HOUJohnson STEAL (2 STL)63
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q4 - 9:13ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
71.0%
62
29.0%
Q4 - 9:13ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 263
71.8%
61
28.2%
Q4 - 9:19ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
70.8%
61
29.2%
Q4 - 9:20HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot63
72.4%
61
27.6%
Q4 - 9:43ATLBibby 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
75.7%
61
24.3%
Q4 - 9:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
79.7%
59
20.3%
Q4 - 9:52HOUMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
80.9%
59
19.1%
Q4 - 10:04HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
82.5%
59
17.5%
Q4 - 10:05ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot63
81.4%
59
18.6%
Q4 - 10:34HOUJackson Running Layup (4 PTS)63
78.8%
59
21.2%
Q4 - 10:39HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
75.1%
59
24.9%
Q4 - 10:40ATLMISS Childress Running Layup61
73.7%
59
26.3%
Q4 - 10:52HOUHead 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)61
70.2%
59
29.8%
Q4 - 11:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
64.9%
59
35.1%
Q4 - 11:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
65.9%
58
34.1%
Q4 - 11:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
69.5%
57
30.5%
Q4 - 11:29HOUMISS Jackson Driving Layup59
70.9%
57
29.1%
Q4 - 11:46HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
74.1%
57
25.9%
Q4 - 11:47ATLMISS Law 17' Jump Shot59
72.7%
57
27.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU59
69.5%
57
30.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound59
74.1%
57
25.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Battier 68' 3PT Jump Shot59
70.9%
57
29.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOURockets Rebound59
73.9%
57
26.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot59
72.7%
57
27.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0ATLHAWKS Rebound59
69.7%
57
30.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot59
72.6%
57
27.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
69.7%
57
30.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 258
68.7%
57
31.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)58
69.7%
57
30.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
65.2%
57
34.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 1:02ATLSmith 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)56
61.1%
57
38.9%
Q3 - 1:13ATLHAWKS Rebound56
65.4%
55
34.6%
Q3 - 1:13ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot56
68.5%
55
31.5%
Q3 - 1:19ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
65.4%
55
34.6%
Q3 - 1:20HOUMISS Scola 12' Jump Shot56
66.8%
55
33.2%
Q3 - 1:42ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)56
69.8%
55
30.2%
Q3 - 1:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)56
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 1:56HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot56
74.9%
53
25.1%
Q3 - 2:07HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
76.7%
53
23.3%
Q3 - 2:08ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
75.6%
53
24.4%
Q3 - 2:10ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
72.9%
53
27.1%
Q3 - 2:11ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
75.6%
53
24.4%
Q3 - 2:31HOUAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)56
72.9%
53
27.1%
Q3 - 2:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)54
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q3 - 2:46ATLSmith Putback Layup (14 PTS)54
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q3 - 2:48ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot54
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 2:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
73.0%
51
27.0%
Q3 - 3:00HOUMISS Scola 8' Jump Shot54
74.2%
51
25.8%
Q3 - 3:25ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)54
76.5%
51
23.5%
Q3 - 3:32ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
79.4%
49
20.6%
Q3 - 3:34HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
80.3%
49
19.7%
Q3 - 3:53HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
82.3%
49
17.7%
Q3 - 3:55ATLMISS Horford Layup54
81.5%
49
18.5%
Q3 - 4:09HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
78.8%
49
21.2%
Q3 - 4:09HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)53
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q3 - 4:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)52
76.3%
49
23.7%
Q3 - 4:34ATLSmith Tip Shot (12 PTS)52
76.3%
49
23.7%
Q3 - 4:36ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
81.1%
47
18.9%
Q3 - 5:02HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
78.6%
47
21.4%
Q3 - 5:16HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
75.9%
47
24.1%
Q3 - 5:18ATLMISS Horford 9' Hook Shot50
74.9%
47
25.1%
Q3 - 5:29HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)50
72.5%
47
27.5%
Q3 - 5:47ATLHorford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)48
69.3%
47
30.7%
Q3 - 6:01HOUBattier 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)48
72.3%
45
27.7%
Q3 - 6:10HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
69.2%
45
30.8%
Q3 - 6:12HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q3 - 6:30ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)46
69.2%
45
30.8%
Q3 - 6:30ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)46
69.8%
44
30.2%
Q3 - 6:44HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)46
72.3%
43
27.7%
Q3 - 6:57HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q3 - 6:58ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot43
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q3 - 7:15HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
61.3%
43
38.7%
Q3 - 7:35ATLSmith Running Dunk (10 PTS)41
58.1%
43
41.9%
Q3 - 7:38HOUSmith STEAL (2 STL)41
61.3%
41
38.7%
Q3 - 7:41HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
65.4%
41
34.6%
Q3 - 7:41HOUMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q3 - 7:55HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q3 - 7:56ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot41
64.2%
41
35.8%
Q3 - 8:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)41
61.9%
41
38.1%
Q3 - 8:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)41
61.8%
41
38.2%
Q3 - 8:02ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot41
64.6%
41
35.4%
Q3 - 8:04ATLMISS Smith Driving Layup41
64.6%
41
35.4%
Q3 - 8:12HOUHorford STEAL (1 STL)41
61.8%
41
38.2%
Q3 - 8:30ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)41
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q3 - 8:42HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q3 - 8:42HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q3 - 8:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q3 - 8:43HOUMISS Scola Putback Layup39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q3 - 8:45HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q3 - 8:47HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q3 - 8:50HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q3 - 8:52HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
63.0%
39
37.0%
Q3 - 9:05HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q3 - 9:06ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot39
64.7%
39
35.3%
Q3 - 9:20HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)39
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q3 - 9:35ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)37
58.9%
39
41.1%
Q3 - 9:52HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (9 PTS)37
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q3 - 10:09HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q3 - 10:10ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot35
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q3 - 10:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q3 - 10:31HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 235
56.3%
37
43.7%
Q3 - 10:31HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 235
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q3 - 10:31HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q3 - 10:32HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup35
57.0%
37
43.0%
Q3 - 10:50ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)35
59.6%
37
40.4%
Q3 - 10:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
62.6%
35
37.4%
Q3 - 10:59HOUMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot35
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q3 - 11:21ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q3 - 11:21ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)35
67.5%
34
32.5%
Q3 - 11:41HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)35
69.5%
33
30.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL32
63.5%
33
36.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)32
60.1%
33
39.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 232
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 232
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
63.5%
33
36.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUWest BLOCK (1 BLK)32
61.8%
33
38.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0HOUNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
63.3%
33
36.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Williams Layup32
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)32
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
61.8%
33
38.2%
Q2 - 1:07HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
63.1%
33
36.9%
Q2 - 1:08ATLMISS Stoudamire 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 1:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 1:24HOUHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)32
62.0%
33
38.0%
Q2 - 1:41ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)32
63.1%
33
36.9%
Q2 - 1:58ATLHAWKS Rebound32
67.4%
31
32.6%
Q2 - 1:59HOUMISS McGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
67.9%
31
32.1%
Q2 - 2:18ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)32
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 2:35HOUMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
72.2%
29
27.8%
Q2 - 2:45HOUHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
74.4%
29
25.6%
Q2 - 2:47HOUMISS Harris 9' Jump Shot32
72.9%
29
27.1%
Q2 - 3:07HOUHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
74.5%
29
25.5%
Q2 - 3:08ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 232
74.1%
29
25.9%
Q2 - 3:08ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)32
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 3:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 3:15HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot32
75.0%
28
25.0%
Q2 - 3:36ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
76.7%
28
23.3%
Q2 - 3:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)32
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 3:40ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
81.9%
25
18.1%
Q2 - 3:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)32
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 3:55HOUMISS Harris 11' Jump Shot32
81.1%
25
18.9%
Q2 - 4:14HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 4:16ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot32
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q2 - 4:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)32
80.3%
25
19.7%
Q2 - 4:25HOUMISS Head 29' 3PT Jump Shot32
80.9%
25
19.1%
Q2 - 4:33ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)32
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 4:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
80.3%
25
19.7%
Q2 - 4:42HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
80.9%
25
19.1%
Q2 - 5:05ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
82.0%
25
18.0%
Q2 - 5:05ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 232
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q2 - 5:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 5:07HOUMISS Alston 17' Running Jump Shot32
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q2 - 5:31HOUHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
83.6%
24
16.4%
Q2 - 5:34ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot32
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q2 - 5:46HOUScola Putback Layup (3 PTS)32
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 5:47HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
80.3%
24
19.7%
Q2 - 5:49HOUHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)30
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q2 - 5:52HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
80.3%
24
19.7%
Q2 - 5:55HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot30
78.9%
24
21.1%
Q2 - 6:11HOUHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 6:11ATLMISS Stoudamire 29' 3PT Jump Shot30
79.6%
24
20.4%
Q2 - 6:30HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
78.1%
24
21.9%
Q2 - 6:30HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 229
77.5%
24
22.5%
Q2 - 6:32HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
78.4%
24
21.6%
Q2 - 6:33ATLMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot29
77.8%
24
22.2%
Q2 - 6:51HOUHayes Running Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)29
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 7:04ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)27
74.2%
24
25.8%
Q2 - 7:11HOUHayes Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Head 1 AST)27
72.0%
24
28.0%
Q2 - 7:32HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
70.0%
24
30.0%
Q2 - 7:33ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 125
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q2 - 7:54HOUHead Driving Layup (5 PTS)25
72.0%
22
28.0%
Q2 - 8:04HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 8:06ATLMISS Smith 10' Hook Shot23
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q2 - 8:13HOULaw STEAL (1 STL)23
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 8:24ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)23
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 8:24ATLHAWKS Rebound23
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 8:24ATLMISS Law Driving Layup23
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q2 - 8:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 8:49ATLMISS Law 19' Jump Shot23
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q2 - 8:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 8:59HOUMISS Jackson 30' 3PT Jump Shot23
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q2 - 9:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 9:26ATLSmith Tip Shot (6 PTS)23
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 9:28ATLMISS Law Running Layup23
73.2%
20
26.8%
Q2 - 9:32HOUSmith STEAL (1 STL)23
71.7%
20
28.3%
Q2 - 9:52HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
73.9%
20
26.1%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot23
73.2%
20
26.8%
Q2 - 10:00HOUWilliams STEAL (1 STL)23
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q2 - 10:21ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
73.6%
20
26.4%
Q2 - 10:21ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
74.0%
19
26.0%
Q2 - 10:41HOUHead 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
75.3%
18
24.7%
Q2 - 11:03ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)20
71.5%
18
28.5%
Q2 - 11:18HOUJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
69.5%
18
30.5%
Q2 - 11:30HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot18
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q2 - 11:47ATLHAWKS Rebound18
65.2%
18
34.8%
Q2 - 11:48HOUMISS Novak 29' 3PT Jump Shot18
65.8%
18
34.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL18
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound18
65.2%
18
34.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS West 48' 3PT Jump Shot18
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUNovak 3' Layup (2 PTS)18
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
60.9%
18
39.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Jackson 29' 3PT Jump Shot16
61.4%
18
38.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper16
62.1%
18
37.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
60.9%
18
39.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)14
58.1%
18
41.9%
Q1 - 1:05ATLHAWKS Rebound14
56.4%
18
43.6%
Q1 - 1:06HOUMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot14
57.0%
18
43.0%
Q1 - 1:23ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
58.2%
18
41.8%
Q1 - 1:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
61.0%
16
39.0%
Q1 - 1:34HOUMISS Hayes Layup14
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 1:36HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
62.7%
16
37.3%
Q1 - 1:38HOUMISS McGrady 15' Running Jump Shot14
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 1:54HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
62.7%
16
37.3%
Q1 - 1:55ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot14
62.2%
16
37.8%
Q1 - 2:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
61.2%
16
38.8%
Q1 - 2:15HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.8%
16
38.2%
Q1 - 2:28ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
63.2%
16
36.8%
Q1 - 2:33HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)14
61.2%
16
38.8%
Q1 - 2:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
58.8%
16
41.2%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot12
58.1%
16
41.9%
Q1 - 3:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 3:12HOUMISS Alston 28' 3PT Jump Shot12
57.6%
16
42.4%
Q1 - 3:30HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
59.3%
16
40.7%
Q1 - 3:33ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot12
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 3:41HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 3:41HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 211
56.4%
16
43.6%
Q1 - 3:56ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 3:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 4:00HOUMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot11
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 4:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 4:11HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot11
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 4:28ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 4:57HOUBattier 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)11
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 5:17HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 5:18ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot8
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:44HOUBattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)8
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 6:04ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)5
50.5%
14
49.5%
Q1 - 6:15ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 6:16HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 6:30HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 6:31ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot5
49.8%
14
50.2%
Q1 - 6:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 6:50HOUMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 25
48.6%
14
51.4%
Q1 - 6:50HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 7:03ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 7:08HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)4
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 7:33ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)4
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 7:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 7:38HOUMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot4
57.8%
9
42.2%
Q1 - 7:58HOURockets Rebound4
59.2%
9
40.8%
Q1 - 7:58ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot4
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 8:08HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
57.9%
9
42.1%
Q1 - 8:23ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
56.2%
9
43.8%
Q1 - 8:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 8:33HOUMISS Hayes 8' Jump Shot2
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 8:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
59.9%
7
40.1%
Q1 - 8:44HOUMISS McGrady 18' Fadeaway Jumper2
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 9:08ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
59.9%
7
40.1%
Q1 - 9:23HOUHayes Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 9:24HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
56.2%
7
43.8%
Q1 - 9:25HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 9:43ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)0
56.2%
7
43.8%
Q1 - 9:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
57.6%
5
42.4%
Q1 - 9:52HOUWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)0
58.3%
5
41.7%
Q1 - 9:56HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.9%
5
40.1%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Johnson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
59.2%
5
40.8%
Q1 - 10:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 10:16HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
58.4%
5
41.6%
Q1 - 10:32ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)0
59.8%
5
40.2%
Q1 - 10:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 10:43HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot0
63.7%
2
36.3%
Q1 - 11:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 11:02ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
65.4%
1
34.6%
Q1 - 11:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 11:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:15HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot0
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 11:35HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.3%
0
31.7%
Q1 - 11:36ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot0
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Mutombo: Tip to Bibby0
66.8%
0
33.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.80 39.9%
ATL
0.81 40.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
14
27
52%
ATL
7
16
44%
Midrange
HOU
10
34
29%
ATL
16
47
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
6
9.0
29
21%
31%
ATL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
HOU
17
26
65%
ATL
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2841%14.0 / 34
S. Battier1558%7.5 / 13
R. Alston822%4.0 / 18
C. Hayes867%4.0 / 6
L. Scola732%3.5 / 11
L. Head770%3.5 / 5
B. Jackson643%3.0 / 7
D. Mutombo250%1.0 / 2
S. Novak233%1.0 / 3
M. Harris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2848%14.0 / 29
J. Smith1644%8.0 / 18
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
M. Bibby831%4.0 / 13
M. Williams850%4.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
A. Law0-0.0 / 4
J. Childress0-0.0 / 1
S. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 3
M. West0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
81
+23
-8
104
ATL
74
+18
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.80 39.9%
ATL
0.81 40.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
106.6
HOU 93.3 +8.0
ATL 85.2
Pace
90.7
91.4
HOU 75.7
ATL 106.8 +31.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.6
HOU 19.0
ATL 13.5 +5.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
48.3%
HOU 36.7% +0.4%
ATL 36.3%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
HOU 7.3% +7.1%
ATL 14.4%
ORB %
29.1%
29.8%
HOU 36.7% +7.5%
ATL 29.2%
FTrt
27.6
34.0
HOU 28.9 +2.6
ATL 26.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.6%
HOU 43.3%
ATL 55.6% +12.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
HOU 9.0% +1.0%
ATL 8.0%
BLK %
7.8%
8.4%
HOU 3.2%
ATL 8.2% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
52.0%
HOU 39.9%
ATL 40.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%
57.9%
58.6%
HOU 51.9% +8.1%
ATL 43.8%
Mid FG%
40.6%
38.5%
HOU 29.4%
ATL 34.0% +4.6%
3P %
34.2%
35.6%
HOU 20.7%
ATL 23.5% +2.8%
FT %
72.6%
77.2%
HOU 65.4%
ATL 81.0% +15.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
36.9%
HOU 30.0% +10.0%
ATL 20.0%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
46.7%
HOU 37.8% +21.0%
ATL 58.8%
3P Att. %
25.5%
16.5%
HOU 32.2% +11.0%
ATL 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUATL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes28.219.8
Points8375
Rebounds5652
Assists1315
Steals87
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)38 (3)
Field Goals30-9027-80
At-the-Rim FG14-277-16
Midrange FG10-3416-47
2-Point FG24-6123-63
3-Point FG6-294-17
Free Throws17-2617-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 30
43.6
15
58%
5
2
0
2
2
2
2
3
5-6
83%
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
G · 6'8" 225 · 29
41.1
28
41%
9
2
2
0
1
2
3
6
7-12
58%
9-23
39%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 32
38.0
8
22%
4
7
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-10
10%
2-8
25%
F · 6'9" 241 · 28
25.1
7
32%
12
0
0
0
0
3
6
6
3-4
75%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 42
15.3
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2-4
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25
32.7
8
67%
12
0
1
0
3
4
6
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 25
18.6
7
70%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 185 · 35
10.0
6
43%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 25
8.2
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 242 · 25
7.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 24
G · 6'0" 161 · 23
#3 · G · 6'3" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'9" 248 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
40%
56
13
8
2
8
0
22
34
17-26
65%
24-61
39%
6-29
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.