FinalWin Prob.pScore
972%103
103
2828%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
119.88697.1
MIA logo MIA
110.68576.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL103
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)103
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)102
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWilliams Layup (34 PTS)101
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)101
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)100
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)99
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
97.3%
92
2.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup96
96.4%
92
3.6%
Q4 - 1:00ORLTurkoglu Dunk (17 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)96
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 1:11MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)94
88.5%
92
11.5%
Q4 - 1:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
80.5%
92
19.5%
Q4 - 1:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 294
81.9%
92
18.1%
Q4 - 1:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 294
85.5%
92
14.5%
Q4 - 1:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)94
88.6%
92
11.4%
Q4 - 1:29ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot94
83.4%
92
16.6%
Q4 - 1:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)94
88.6%
92
11.4%
Q4 - 1:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot94
83.4%
92
16.6%
Q4 - 1:51MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
87.2%
92
12.8%
Q4 - 1:51MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
88.5%
91
11.5%
Q4 - 2:09ORLNelson 14' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
91.2%
90
8.8%
Q4 - 2:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
88.7%
90
11.3%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot92
86.5%
90
13.5%
Q4 - 2:37MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
80.1%
90
19.9%
Q4 - 2:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
83.3%
90
16.7%
Q4 - 2:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
88.9%
90
11.1%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
86.7%
90
13.3%
Q4 - 3:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)92
78.5%
90
21.5%
Q4 - 3:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 291
76.1%
90
23.9%
Q4 - 3:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)91
81.2%
90
18.8%
Q4 - 3:13ORLMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot91
74.1%
90
25.9%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMagic Rebound91
78.7%
90
21.3%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot91
76.7%
90
23.3%
Q4 - 3:48MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
71.4%
90
28.6%
Q4 - 3:49ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 291
72.5%
90
27.5%
Q4 - 3:49ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
77.5%
90
22.5%
Q4 - 3:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
71.8%
90
28.2%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Blount 3PT Jump Shot90
69.3%
90
30.7%
Q4 - 4:12MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
62.9%
90
37.1%
Q4 - 4:13ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
65.7%
90
34.3%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (32 PTS)90
71.6%
90
28.4%
Q4 - 4:52MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
78.3%
88
21.7%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
82.7%
88
17.3%
Q4 - 5:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
78.2%
88
21.8%
Q4 - 5:10ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
80.0%
88
20.0%
Q4 - 5:26MIACook Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)90
83.6%
88
16.4%
Q4 - 5:30ORLDavis STEAL (3 STL)90
90.8%
85
9.2%
Q4 - 5:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)90
93.3%
85
6.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot90
92.6%
85
7.4%
Q4 - 6:04ORLDooling Driving Layup (9 PTS)90
89.8%
85
10.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (30 PTS)88
87.2%
85
12.8%
Q4 - 6:44ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)88
89.9%
83
10.1%
Q4 - 6:53MIACook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)88
92.6%
83
7.4%
Q4 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
89.2%
83
10.8%
Q4 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
88.9%
83
11.1%
Q4 - 7:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)86
86.7%
83
13.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot86
85.6%
83
14.4%
Q4 - 7:46ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)86
82.7%
83
17.3%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)83
73.3%
83
26.7%
Q4 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound83
78.0%
81
22.0%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
80.9%
81
19.1%
Q4 - 8:41ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
78.0%
81
22.0%
Q4 - 8:41ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
77.4%
81
22.6%
Q4 - 8:45ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
73.4%
81
26.6%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
71.8%
81
28.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHEAT Rebound81
68.9%
81
31.1%
Q4 - 9:07ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
70.5%
81
29.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)81
74.0%
81
26.0%
Q4 - 9:37ORLCook 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)81
68.8%
81
31.2%
Q4 - 9:53MIADavis 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
63.6%
81
36.4%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)79
68.8%
79
31.2%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMagic Rebound79
73.8%
79
26.2%
Q4 - 10:12ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
70.4%
79
29.6%
Q4 - 10:32ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
73.8%
79
26.2%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot79
72.4%
79
27.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
68.8%
79
31.2%
Q4 - 10:42ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot79
70.4%
79
29.6%
Q4 - 10:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)79
73.9%
79
26.1%
Q4 - 11:07ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)79
80.5%
76
19.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAWilliams 16' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)79
83.8%
76
16.2%
Q4 - 11:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
86.5%
74
13.5%
Q4 - 11:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
85.6%
74
14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
80.6%
74
19.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
81.6%
74
18.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot77
82.9%
74
17.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
80.7%
74
19.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot77
81.7%
74
18.3%
Q3 - 1:02ORLMagic Rebound77
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
82.8%
74
17.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
80.8%
74
19.2%
Q3 - 1:09ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)77
81.7%
74
18.3%
Q3 - 1:21ORLCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot77
82.9%
74
17.1%
Q3 - 1:43ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)77
80.8%
74
19.2%
Q3 - 1:48ORLCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
74.1%
74
25.9%
Q3 - 1:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Fadeaway Jumper74
71.3%
74
28.7%
Q3 - 2:09MIADavis 20' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)74
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q3 - 2:37ORLCook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
77.1%
72
22.9%
Q3 - 2:37ORLCook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
76.6%
72
23.4%
Q3 - 2:48MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)72
74.0%
72
26.0%
Q3 - 3:14ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
80.3%
69
19.7%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)70
77.4%
69
22.6%
Q3 - 3:58ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
82.9%
66
17.1%
Q3 - 3:58ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
82.5%
66
17.5%
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
80.6%
66
19.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
79.6%
66
20.4%
Q3 - 4:21ORLEvans 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)68
77.2%
66
22.8%
Q3 - 4:44MIAWilliams 4' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
74.5%
66
25.5%
Q3 - 4:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
77.3%
64
22.7%
Q3 - 5:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 266
77.8%
64
22.2%
Q3 - 5:01ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
79.3%
64
20.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)65
77.6%
64
22.4%
Q3 - 5:24ORLHoward Putback Dunk (14 PTS)65
80.2%
62
19.8%
Q3 - 5:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)63
77.6%
62
22.4%
Q3 - 5:28ORLMISS Cook 9' Jump Bank Shot63
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 5:45MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)63
77.6%
62
22.4%
Q3 - 6:13ORLEvans Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)63
82.6%
59
17.4%
Q3 - 6:26MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)61
80.3%
59
19.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
82.6%
57
17.4%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot61
84.2%
57
15.8%
Q3 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound61
82.6%
57
17.4%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Cook 8' Running Jump Shot61
84.2%
57
15.8%
Q3 - 7:06ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)61
82.0%
57
18.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIABlount 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)61
84.5%
57
15.5%
Q3 - 7:41ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)61
86.1%
55
13.9%
Q3 - 7:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
82.4%
55
17.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
81.6%
55
18.4%
Q3 - 8:13MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
79.9%
55
20.1%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMISS Lewis 9' Running Hook Shot58
80.7%
55
19.3%
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 8:27ORLMISS Evans Reverse Layup58
80.7%
55
19.3%
Q3 - 8:41MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T9)58
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 9:04ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)58
80.1%
55
19.9%
Q3 - 9:20MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)56
77.8%
55
22.2%
Q3 - 9:29ORLDavis STEAL (2 STL)56
75.0%
55
25.0%
Q3 - 9:56ORLMagic Rebound56
77.8%
55
22.2%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot56
77.0%
55
23.0%
Q3 - 10:23ORLEvans Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)56
75.5%
55
24.5%
Q3 - 10:29ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
73.1%
55
26.9%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot54
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q3 - 10:48ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)54
69.9%
55
30.1%
Q3 - 11:03MIAAl. Johnson Driving Dunk (6 PTS)52
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q3 - 11:22ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 11:44MIAAl. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)50
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
70.9%
51
29.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
70.9%
51
29.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
65.2%
51
34.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
63.1%
51
36.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
59.0%
51
41.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q2 - 1:12ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)45
57.6%
51
42.4%
Q2 - 1:20ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q2 - 1:21ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot42
48.5%
51
51.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)42
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q2 - 1:45ORLDavis STEAL (1 STL)42
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q2 - 1:56ORLMagic Rebound42
59.2%
48
40.8%
Q2 - 1:58ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
58.1%
48
41.9%
Q2 - 2:10MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)42
60.6%
48
39.4%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
66.5%
45
33.5%
Q2 - 2:29ORLMISS Howard Layup42
67.3%
45
32.7%
Q2 - 2:44MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)42
69.0%
45
31.0%
Q2 - 2:53MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)42
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q2 - 3:08ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)42
69.8%
44
30.2%
Q2 - 3:37MIAAnthony Tip Shot (6 PTS)40
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
69.7%
42
30.3%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
71.6%
42
28.4%
Q2 - 4:08ORLLewis Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)40
70.5%
42
29.5%
Q2 - 4:14ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
68.0%
42
32.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot38
67.3%
42
32.7%
Q2 - 4:41ORLDooling Running Dunk (2 PTS)38
65.4%
42
34.6%
Q2 - 4:44MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)36
62.8%
42
37.2%
Q2 - 5:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q2 - 5:03ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
61.6%
42
38.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)36
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
67.8%
40
32.2%
Q2 - 5:40ORLArroyo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)36
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 5:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
68.6%
40
31.4%
Q2 - 5:42ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
66.7%
40
33.3%
Q2 - 6:01MIACook 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)36
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 6:14ORLTurkoglu Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)36
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q2 - 6:35ORLMagic Rebound34
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Quinn 12' Jump Shot34
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q2 - 6:57MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot34
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q2 - 7:07ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
69.8%
38
30.2%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
69.1%
38
30.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound34
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q2 - 7:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
68.1%
38
31.9%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)34
69.8%
38
30.2%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
71.8%
36
28.2%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
72.5%
36
27.5%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 8:07ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
75.7%
34
24.3%
Q2 - 8:14ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
73.3%
34
26.7%
Q2 - 8:35ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
71.7%
34
28.3%
Q2 - 8:50MIACook 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)32
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 9:10ORLFoyle Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)32
75.9%
32
24.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIACook 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
74.2%
32
25.8%
Q2 - 9:27MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
75.9%
30
24.1%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 9:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
75.9%
30
24.1%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
77.9%
30
22.1%
Q2 - 10:04ORLLewis 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)30
80.7%
27
19.3%
Q2 - 10:15ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
79.3%
27
20.7%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot28
78.0%
27
22.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAAnthony 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)28
79.4%
27
20.6%
Q2 - 10:54ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)28
80.8%
25
19.2%
Q2 - 11:16ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
77.7%
25
22.3%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot25
77.2%
25
22.8%
Q2 - 11:33ORLFoyle Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q2 - 11:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
77.7%
25
22.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot25
77.2%
25
22.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMagic Rebound25
77.4%
25
22.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot25
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
77.4%
25
22.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 224
75.9%
25
24.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIADavis 6' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)24
75.8%
25
24.2%
Q1 - 1:24ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)24
77.9%
23
22.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAAnthony 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)24
79.1%
23
20.9%
Q1 - 1:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
81.0%
21
19.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot24
81.7%
21
18.3%
Q1 - 1:57MIADavis Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)24
81.0%
21
19.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
82.5%
20
17.5%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q1 - 2:18MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
82.5%
20
17.5%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 224
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 224
83.3%
20
16.7%
Q1 - 2:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q1 - 2:36ORLMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot24
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q1 - 2:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)24
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q1 - 3:12ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)24
85.8%
17
14.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIADavis 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)24
87.0%
17
13.0%
Q1 - 3:39ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
87.9%
15
12.1%
Q1 - 3:39ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 223
87.8%
15
12.2%
Q1 - 3:48ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
88.0%
15
12.0%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup23
87.7%
15
12.3%
Q1 - 4:22ORLEvans Layup (2 PTS)23
86.9%
15
13.1%
Q1 - 4:24ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
86.1%
15
13.9%
Q1 - 4:25ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
85.2%
15
14.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAAl. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
86.1%
15
13.9%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
86.9%
13
13.1%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
86.6%
13
13.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
85.9%
13
14.1%
Q1 - 5:21ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)19
87.8%
10
12.2%
Q1 - 5:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
86.9%
10
13.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
86.6%
10
13.4%
Q1 - 5:51ORLLewis Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)17
85.8%
10
14.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
84.9%
10
15.1%
Q1 - 6:11ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)15
85.6%
8
14.4%
Q1 - 6:27MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIAHEAT Rebound12
82.3%
8
17.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot12
83.2%
8
16.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
82.3%
8
17.7%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 212
82.5%
8
17.5%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
83.1%
8
16.9%
Q1 - 6:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Blount 8' Running Hook Shot12
83.2%
8
16.8%
Q1 - 7:22ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)12
82.3%
8
17.7%
Q1 - 7:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
81.3%
8
18.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Al. Johnson Tip Shot10
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
80.0%
8
20.0%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Al. Johnson 7' Hook Shot10
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
80.0%
8
20.0%
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 210
80.1%
8
19.9%
Q1 - 7:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 210
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
81.3%
8
18.7%
Q1 - 7:48ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot10
80.4%
8
19.6%
Q1 - 7:57ORLMagic Rebound10
81.3%
8
18.7%
Q1 - 7:58ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot10
80.4%
8
19.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
81.8%
8
18.2%
Q1 - 8:28ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
83.8%
5
16.2%
Q1 - 8:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 8:36ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot7
80.9%
5
19.1%
Q1 - 8:52MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
82.7%
3
17.3%
Q1 - 8:59ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
83.1%
3
16.9%
Q1 - 9:09ORLMagic Rebound7
83.9%
3
16.1%
Q1 - 9:10ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot7
83.0%
3
17.0%
Q1 - 9:23MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
83.9%
3
16.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
85.6%
0
14.4%
Q1 - 9:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
86.0%
0
14.0%
Q1 - 9:43ORLMagic Rebound7
86.8%
0
13.2%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
86.5%
0
13.5%
Q1 - 10:11ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)7
85.6%
0
14.4%
Q1 - 10:19ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
84.8%
0
15.2%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
84.5%
0
15.5%
Q1 - 10:36ORLLewis Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
83.7%
0
16.3%
Q1 - 10:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
82.8%
0
17.2%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS Lewis Driving Finger Roll Layup3
81.9%
0
18.1%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
82.8%
0
17.2%
Q1 - 10:58ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)3
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 11:20MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
79.3%
0
20.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAHEAT Rebound0
78.1%
0
21.9%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot0
78.5%
0
21.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
79.3%
0
20.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
19
26
73%
MIA
11
16
69%
Midrange
ORL
6
18
33%
MIA
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
23
36
64%
MIA
6
6
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson21105%10.5 / 10
H. Turkoglu2056%10.0 / 18
D. Howard1843%9.0 / 21
R. Lewis1554%7.5 / 14
K. Dooling1083%5.0 / 6
M. Evans857%4.0 / 7
K. Bogans542%2.5 / 6
B. Cook433%2.0 / 6
A. Foyle2100%1.0 / 1
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams3465%17.0 / 26
D. Cook1563%7.5 / 12
R. Davis1142%5.5 / 13
J. Anthony1071%5.0 / 7
M. Blount941%4.5 / 11
B. Jones9150%4.5 / 3
A. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+20
-11
95
MIA
73
+12
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
100.2
ORL 119.8 +9.2
MIA 110.6
Pace
93.5
90.5
ORL 97.1 +20.7
MIA 76.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
ORL 14.8 +4.0
MIA 18.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
48.2%
ORL 54.1% +0.4%
MIA 53.7%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
ORL 12.6% +0.7%
MIA 13.3%
ORB %
23.4%
22.2%
ORL 40.5% +14.8%
MIA 25.7%
FTrt
35.5
30.0
ORL 48.6 +41.3
MIA 7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.5%
ORL 57.1% +16.1%
MIA 41.0%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
ORL 7.0% +2.3%
MIA 4.7%
BLK %
6.2%
7.1%
ORL 5.8% +3.5%
MIA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
50.6%
ORL 54.2% +0.2%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
61.5%
59.2%
ORL 73.1% +4.3%
MIA 68.8%
Mid FG%
40.8%
38.8%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
38.6%
35.8%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
72.1%
72.7%
ORL 63.9%
MIA 100.0% +36.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.2%
ORL 35.1% +15.6%
MIA 19.5%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
48.1%
ORL 24.3% +19.6%
MIA 43.9%
3P Att. %
32.2%
21.7%
ORL 40.5% +4.0%
MIA 36.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points10394
Rebounds4131
Assists2016
Steals64
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)22 (3)
Field Goals35-7439-82
At-the-Rim FG19-2611-16
Midrange FG6-1818-36
2-Point FG25-4429-52
3-Point FG10-3010-30
Free Throws23-366-6
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
41.7
18
43%
16
2
1
1
4
3
8
8
6-16
38%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
39.7
15
54%
8
2
0
1
4
3
3
5
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
37.5
20
56%
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
3-7
43%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
33.2
21
105%
4
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 220 · 29
18.1
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28
19.8
5
42%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
19.8
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
13.9
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 29
10.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
6.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
F · 6'9" 238 · 32
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
41
20
6
3
11
0
15
26
23-36
64%
25-44
57%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.