FinalWin Prob.pScore
1927%96
112
873%103
123
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
119.19491.8
ORL logo ORL
128.19698.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL112
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)112
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)111
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 3110
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Gortat 8' Hook Shot110
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0ATLChildress Layup (6 PTS)110
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)108
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Childress 10' Jump Shot108
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLCook Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)108
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ATLMISS West Free Throw 1 of 1108
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ORLMISS Gortat 17' Jump Shot106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLRichardson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21ATLBibby Driving Layup (23 PTS)104
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30ORLLewis 9' Hook Shot (22 PTS)102
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Turkoglu 13 AST)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:07ATLMISS Smith 10' Running Hook Shot102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37ATLStoudamire 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)102
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58ORLBogans Dunk (16 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)99
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 5:10ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot99
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 299
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 5:23ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 5:41ATLHorford 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)99
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56ORLArroyo 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)97
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 6:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)97
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 6:11ATLMISS Johnson 10' Fadeaway Jumper97
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 6:23ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)97
0.6%
112
99.4%
Q4 - 6:37ATLJohnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)97
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 6:55ORLLewis 6' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 7:14ATLStoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)95
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 7:34ORLArroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 12 AST)92
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 7:56ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)92
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 8:22ORLBogans Layup (13 PTS) (Lewis 4 AST)90
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 8:41ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)90
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 8:59ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)88
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 9:07ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup88
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 9:11ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 9:20ATLLewis STEAL (1 STL)88
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 9:31ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)88
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 9:32ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)87
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 9:37ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 9:56ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 9:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 10:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)85
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 10:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 10:24ORLMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot85
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 10:35ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 10:37ATLMISS Williams Layup85
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 10:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 10:40ATLLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)85
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 10:41ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 10:42ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot85
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 11:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 11:06ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 11:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 11:20ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 11:32ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 11:33ATLMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot85
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 11:50ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T6)85
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL85
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound85
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 67' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)85
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot85
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMAGIC Rebound85
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Bibby 11' Running Jump Shot85
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)85
3.7%
97
96.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot85
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q3 - 1:11ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (23 PTS)85
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q3 - 1:34ATLHorford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)85
4.9%
95
95.1%
Q3 - 1:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q3 - 1:39ORLMISS Evans Layup85
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q3 - 2:01ATLSmith Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)85
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q3 - 2:07ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot83
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q3 - 2:34ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)83
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q3 - 2:35ATLHawks Rebound83
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 2:35ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)83
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q3 - 2:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q3 - 2:43ORLMISS Howard 5' Running Jump Shot83
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q3 - 3:01ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)83
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q3 - 3:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q3 - 3:26ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)80
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q3 - 3:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup77
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q3 - 3:49ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q3 - 4:10ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q3 - 4:10ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q3 - 4:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 4:11ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup75
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 4:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 4:22ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot75
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q3 - 4:34ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)75
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 4:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 4:42ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot75
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q3 - 4:58ATLHawks Rebound75
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 4:59ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot75
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 5:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 5:11ATLMISS Johnson 8' Hook Shot75
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 5:29ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)75
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q3 - 5:46ATLSmith 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)75
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 6:03ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (21 PTS)73
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q3 - 6:19ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)73
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q3 - 6:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 6:35ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup70
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q3 - 6:43ATLBibby Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)70
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q3 - 6:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 6:59ORLNelson Tip Shot (11 PTS)68
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS Evans Layup68
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 7:06ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q3 - 7:07ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot68
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 7:22ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 7:22ORLEvans Tip Shot (7 PTS)68
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 7:24ORLMISS Nelson 12' Jump Shot68
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 7:33ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 7:34ORLMISS Lewis 15' Running Jump Shot68
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 7:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 7:51ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot68
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 8:11ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 11 AST)68
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 8:30ATLSmith 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)68
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 8:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 8:39ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot66
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 8:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 8:52ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 166
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 8:56ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Running Jump Shot64
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 9:15ATLJohnson 7' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)64
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 9:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 9:27ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot62
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 9:45ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)62
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 10:04ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)59
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 10:21ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 10:40ORLTurkoglu Dunk (19 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)57
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 10:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 10:50ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot57
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 11:04ORLHoward Dunk (21 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)57
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 11:21ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)57
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 11:28ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)55
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 11:47ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)55
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL53
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound53
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Jones 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 153
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLFoyle 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)51
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot51
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup51
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot51
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q2 - 1:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q2 - 1:12ORLMISS Turkoglu 9' Hook Shot51
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q2 - 1:31ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q2 - 1:52ORLTurkoglu Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)49
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q2 - 2:11ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)49
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q2 - 2:11ATLHawks Rebound49
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q2 - 2:11ATLMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot49
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q2 - 2:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q2 - 2:35ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 149
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q2 - 2:40ATLBogans STEAL (1 STL)49
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q2 - 2:50ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q2 - 3:06ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q2 - 3:13ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q2 - 3:14ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot46
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q2 - 3:34ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T5)46
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q2 - 3:49ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 9 AST)46
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q2 - 4:00ATLSmith 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
5.3%
60
94.7%
Q2 - 4:28ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)44
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q2 - 4:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q2 - 4:37ATLMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot44
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q2 - 4:54ORLArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)44
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q2 - 5:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q2 - 5:02ATLMISS Smith Layup44
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 5:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q2 - 5:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 244
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 5:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 5:25ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)44
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q2 - 5:39ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 5:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 5:57ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 5:58ATLMISS Childress 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q2 - 6:22ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q2 - 6:22ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 6:38ATLJohnson Layup (14 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)42
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q2 - 6:50ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)40
10.9%
49
89.1%
Q2 - 7:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot40
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 7:22ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 7:36ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 7:36ATLChildress Putback Dunk (2 PTS)40
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 7:37ATLMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot38
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 7:51ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
16.1%
43
83.9%
Q2 - 7:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
15.7%
43
84.3%
Q2 - 8:00ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 8:01ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot38
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 8:22ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)38
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 8:43ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)38
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 8:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 8:49ORLMISS Lewis 5' Jump Shot35
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 8:57ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 8:58ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot35
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 9:18ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 9:19ORLMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot35
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 9:42ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)35
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 9:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 9:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Jump Shot32
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 10:15ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)32
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 10:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 10:38ORLMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 229
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 10:38ORLMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 229
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 11:00ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 11:02ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 11:19ORLArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 11:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot26
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLStoudamire 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)26
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
7.5%
37
92.5%
Q1 - 1:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q1 - 1:11ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot24
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q1 - 1:28ORLLewis 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)24
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMAGIC Rebound24
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMISS Lewis Layup24
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q1 - 1:47ATLChildress Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)24
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 2:03ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)24
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q1 - 2:20ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q1 - 2:20ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q1 - 2:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q1 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot22
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q1 - 2:47ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)22
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q1 - 3:01ATLJohnson 11' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q1 - 3:20ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)20
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 3:23ATLNelson STEAL (1 STL)20
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q1 - 3:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot20
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q1 - 3:48ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)20
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q1 - 4:00ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q1 - 4:00ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 217
10.3%
27
89.7%
Q1 - 4:05ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 4:07ATLMISS Pachulia Layup17
10.3%
27
89.7%
Q1 - 4:14ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.0%
27
89.0%
Q1 - 4:16ORLMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q1 - 4:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot17
10.3%
27
89.7%
Q1 - 4:39ORLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)17
11.0%
27
89.0%
Q1 - 4:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 4:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 5:15ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)15
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 5:28ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)15
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 5:40ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)13
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 5:53ATLJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q1 - 6:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 6:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot11
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 6:37ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 6:52ORLTurkoglu 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)9
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 6:58ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 7:00ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper9
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 7:20ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)9
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 7:37ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 7:40ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 7:49ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)9
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 8:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 8:04ORLLewis Layup (2 PTS)6
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 8:06ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 8:06ORLMISS Evans Tip Shot6
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 8:07ORLMISS Lewis 4' Hook Shot6
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 8:25ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 8:26ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 8:31ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)6
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 8:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 8:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 24
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 8:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 8:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 8:45ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot4
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 8:56ORLMAGIC Rebound4
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 8:56ORLMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot4
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 8:58ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 9:00ORLMISS Howard 11' Running Hook Shot4
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 9:22ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 9:38ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)2
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 9:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 9:49ATLMISS Williams 15' Turnaround Jump Shot2
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 10:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 10:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 12
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 10:16ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 10:17ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot2
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 10:42ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
15.9%
7
84.1%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMAGIC Rebound2
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 11:00ATLMISS Smith Driving Layup2
17.2%
5
82.8%
Q1 - 11:11ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)2
17.9%
5
82.1%
Q1 - 11:25ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 11:47ORLEvans Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Nelson0
20.2%
0
79.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.18 58.9%
ORL
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
23
70%
ORL
21
33
64%
Midrange
ATL
19
50
38%
ORL
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
16.5
17
65%
97%
ORL
15
22.5
28
54%
80%
Free Throws
ATL
9
13
69%
ORL
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2764%13.5 / 21
M. Bibby2388%11.5 / 13
J. Smith1657%8.0 / 14
S. Stoudamire1680%8.0 / 10
M. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
A. Horford945%4.5 / 10
J. Childress643%3.0 / 7
J. Richardson2100%1.0 / 1
M. West2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 4
S. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2665%13.0 / 20
H. Turkoglu2364%11.5 / 18
R. Lewis2265%11.0 / 17
K. Bogans19106%9.5 / 9
J. Nelson1359%6.5 / 11
C. Arroyo1169%5.5 / 8
M. Evans750%3.5 / 7
A. Foyle2100%1.0 / 1
B. Cook0-0.0 / 3
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+11
-11
94
ORL
87
+12
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.18 58.9%
ORL
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
111.2
ATL 119.1
ORL 128.1 +9.0
Pace
91.4
93.5
ATL 91.8
ORL 98.3 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.1
ATL 15.7
ORL 14.6 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
53.7%
ATL 57.2%
ORL 62.5% +5.3%
TO %
15.5%
14.7%
ATL 11.1%
ORL 8.5% +2.6%
ORB %
29.8%
23.4%
ATL 19.0%
ORL 22.0% +3.0%
FTrt
34.0
35.5
ATL 14.4
ORL 33.3 +18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
55.8%
ATL 56.5%
ORL 60.0% +3.5%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
ATL 5.3% +1.1%
ORL 4.2%
BLK %
8.4%
6.2%
ATL 5.4% +2.7%
ORL 2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.9%
ATL 58.9%
ORL 62.1% +3.2%
Rim FG%
58.6%
61.5%
ATL 69.6% +6.0%
ORL 63.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
40.8%
ATL 38.0%
ORL 39.1% +1.1%
3P %
35.6%
38.6%
ATL 64.7% +11.1%
ORL 53.6%
FT %
77.2%
72.1%
ATL 69.2% +4.9%
ORL 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
35.5%
ATL 25.6%
ORL 39.3% +13.7%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
32.3%
ATL 55.6%
ORL 27.4% +28.2%
3P Att. %
16.5%
32.2%
ATL 18.9%
ORL 33.3% +14.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points112123
Rebounds4043
Assists2627
Steals54
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals46-9045-84
At-the-Rim FG16-2321-33
Midrange FG19-509-23
2-Point FG35-7330-56
3-Point FG11-1715-28
Free Throws9-1318-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
45.9
27
64%
1
11
0
0
4
1
0
1
3-4
75%
9-17
53%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
40.7
16
57%
12
5
0
2
2
1
2
10
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 30
35.4
23
88%
2
6
2
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
5-6
83%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
27.9
11
55%
9
0
2
0
0
4
1
8
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
18.3
9
45%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
22.0
6
43%
4
1
0
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
19.4
0
0%
5
2
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
16.9
16
80%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
4-6
67%
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
3.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
2.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
59%
40
26
5
3
11
0
8
32
9-13
69%
35-73
48%
11-17
65%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.